NURECA | IPO Details ....Started @ 15 / FEB /2021 ( Today) 🎯NURECA IPO REVIEW-
Introduction to NURECA-
-Incorporated on 2nd November 2016 @Delhi.
-B2C Home healthcare and wellness product company.
-95% Revenue online.
-1 manufacturing unit-@Chandigarh.
-3 Brands.
What does the company do-
-company enables people with tools to effectively monitor chronic illness and upgrade their lifestyles.
-company engaged in the business of home healthcare and wellness products, which offers quality, durability, functionality, usability, and innovative designs.
-company tries to provides the home health care sector with innovation.
-Nureca company is the first digital company wherein they sell the products through online channel partners such as e-commerce players, distributors, and retailers.
The following brands are currently used by the Company-
-Dr. Trust: they provide the users to effectively monitor chronic illness and try to upgrade their lifestyle.
-Dr. Physio: This brand provides electric massagers, wheelchairs, and walkers.
-Trump: This brand provides the Mother and Child Care category.
NURECA PRODUCTS-
-Chronic Device Products- products such as blood pressure monitors, pulse oximeters, thermometers, nebulizers, self-monitoring glucose devices, humidifier ands teamers.
-Orthopedic Products-such as wheelchairs, walkers and physiotherapy electric massagers.
-Mother and Child Products- such as breast pumps, bottle sterilizers, bottle warmers, car seats and baby carrycots.
-Nutrition Supplements- such as fish oil, multivitamins, probiotics, biotin, apple cider and vinegar.
-Lifestyle Products- such as smart scales, aroma diffusers and fitness trackers.
NURECA'S Strength-
-Most of the products of NURECA is outsourced.
-Due to this their cost of production is low comparatively.
-Asset light model.
-It increased the production capacity.
-Bring product on semi-knocked down condition.
-V-shaped recovery.
-Nureca has a strong portfolio of products and a consistent focus on quality and innovation.
Financial Analysis-
-It has grown at a CAGR of 122.49%. As for the total assets, that has grown at a CAGR of 117.12%.
-The profits after tax, the growth rate is more moderate.
-Over the past three years, the net income has grown at a CAGR of 41.42%.
-The negative net cash flow from operating activities has grown at a CAGR of above 780%.
-the increasing burden of long-term debt. From Rs. 43 lakhs in 2019 to Rs. 9.77 crores in 2020 is an increase of over 2000%.
-If this debt burden continues to increase at this rate, it will create pressure on Nureca’s balance sheet.
-It was valued at Rs. 20,757 crores in 2019. By 2025, this market is expected to grow to Rs. 38,920.70 crores.
-It has grown from $24 billion in 2017 to $84 billion in 2021.
-In India especially, at least 33% of the population resorts to online shopping as opposed to conventional shopping outlets.
-Nutritional products, Rs. 17,840 crores in 2019 and it is expected to grow to Rs. 33,368 crores in 2025.
-Coming to the market for orthopedic products, in 2019, it was sized at Rs. 682.80 crores. This is expected to grow to Rs. 1,162.90 crores by 2025. The predicted CAGR, in this case, is 9.2%. The graph below shows the growing market
size over the years.
-The demand for chronic disease products is, of course, fairly inelastic in nature.
-Owing to the steadily increasing wave of chronic diseases, this demand is expected to rise in the future.
-By 2026, 12.5% of the population is expected to be geriatric in nature i.e. they will be above the age of 60. This means the demand for health-care products will only increase.
Business model-
-Nureca is a B2C company engaged in the business of home healthcare and wellness products,
-it offers quality, durability, functionality, usability and innovative designs.
-Voltas enables their customers with tools to help them monitor chronic illness and other diseases, to upgrade their lifestyle.
Risk-
-it faces stiff competition from organized and unorganized players, which leads to pricing pressure.
-it reduced margins and lower profitability.
-Home-health products are considered consumer-grade, due to concerns regarding the accuracy measures of products.
-The company does not enter into long-term contracts for the manufacturing of its products and any manufacturing-related disruption could seriously impact its business
-The company also depends heavily on its channel partners such as third-party e-commerce players, distributors, and retailers. Any failure to manage the distribution network efficiently will adversely affect its performance.
IPO details-
IPO Date February 15, 2021 to February 17, 2021
Issue Type Book Built Issue IPO
Issue Size Rs.100 Crore
Fresh Issue Rs.100 Crore
Face Value Rs.10 per equity share
IPO Price Rs.396 to Rs.400 per equity share
Market Lot 35 shares
MinOQ 35 shares
Listing At BSE, NSE
Promoter's holding-
-Saurabh Goyal 46.67%
-Payal Goyal 46.67%
Object of the issue-
-To meet the working capital requirements of the business.
-To meet the general corporate purpose.
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Fundamental Analysis
How to find a stock with the strong fundamentals?Before investing in stocks you should know the fundamentals....
All of the mentioned criteria should be fulfilled before investing in a particular stock....
NOTE: This analysis is not eligible for Banking and NBFC stocks...
DISCLAIMER : This is just for educational purpose. Do your own analysis....
Cheat Sheet : Investment products at a Glance 🎯1) Cryptocurrencies: Highest Risk, Highest Return :-
There are 3 main types of Cryptocurrencies in the market now which are the most actively traded – Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Litecoin. Think of this as a new version of a stock, where the underlying thesis is the idea of decentralized ownership and value. For any other currencies in the market, for eg. USD , it is debt-based and backed by the respective monetary authorities. This also means that they are free to increase or decrease the supply to implement their policies on the market. For cryptocurrencies, they are limited in supply, hence the free market is completely at play here (demand and supply).
2) Stocks: High Risk, Highest Return:-
A stock (also called a share) is a part of ownership in a company. It represents a claim on the company’s assets and earnings and what that entitles you to do is to attend the Annual General Meetings (AGMs) and dividends payout if declared by the company. So essentially by buying into this company, you are betting that the management team and company fundamentals are able to get you more returns.
Total Returns = Capital Appreciation (price increases) + Dividend Payout (cash payouts)
3) Exchange Traded Funds (ETF): High Risk, High Return
Think of ETFs as an investment fund which is traded on a stock market. Essentially when you buy a stock of an ETF, you are buying into a basket of weighted shares. – diversification. Being actively traded also brings many benefits, namely, efficiency as well as liquidity compared to funds where often you would need to go through a long process to buy and sell the holdings. You can get a rather efficient price for your holdings at almost any time.
4) Unit Trust (Mutual Funds): High Risk, High Return
An instrument whereby you pay fund managers a fee of between 0.5% to 2% yearly to manage a pool of money (fund). Essentially their main goal is to outperform the benchmark return Where it is justified if they can outperform the market, they should indeed earn that fee because they know how to navigate and invest in the market better than you.
5) Bonds: Moderate Risk, Moderate Return
A bond is a type of debt instrument where an investor loans money to an entity. The entity can either be a corporate or more commonly government body. The purposes vary but it is mainly to raise funds for a defined period of time at a defined variable or fixed interest rate.
if you loan the amount for a longer period of time, the % interest increases towards the maturity date. As a bondholder, you reserve the right to the future payout at the maturity date. Something interesting about bonds is that they come in various types such as a Bond ETF (where it is a diversified basket of various bonds traded on the market) or a Bond Fund (where it is an actively managed basket of bonds with a purpose to beat the bond index)
6) Endowment: Low Risk, Low Return
An endowment policy is actually dressed up as a life insurance contract designed to pay a lump sum after a specific term (on its ‘maturity’) or on death. Usually, the structure is one which involves regular payments into this endowment fund held by your insurance company which then decides to invest and bring in some returns. Therefore it is a mix of some protection and forced savings plan (with a little better interest than a regular savings account normally)
7) Savings: No Risk, Negative Return
This is the most straightforward of all the different options. Actually, this is not an investment option but it is planted in the illustration above to show you how much you could be losing if you put your money in a normal savings account and not touch it. I think it is clear that the main goal is to have enough rainy day/opportunity funds of about 6 months of monthly expenses in this account. Next, by optimizing for an account which gives you the highest interest rates (although usually ranging from 1.5-2.0%). We actually did a useful comparison of which accounts make the most sense for you.
Guys check out the related ideas as well, it will work for you !
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STOP-LOSS Trailing method in detail !! 🎯Conclusion :-
1. Trailing stop loss is an order that locks in profits as the price moves in your favor.
2.You can trail your stop loss using: Moving Average, Average True Range, percentage change, market structure, and weekly high/low as well .
3. Investors uses above way to ride the trend till the last, & enjoys profits
4. as a investor you can ride it with trailing stop-loss by shifting it on phases wise / market structures
5.Read the important points mentioned on the charts
6.Refer chart for more information
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Long Term Wealth Creation Idea 2020/21 #9#LINCPEN 189.85 | Accumulate with long term perspective upto 170 levels for at least 2x/3x+ gains
Valuation/Growth : Decent
Favorable Portfolio allocation : Upto 5% of Overall Capital
Long Term Wealth Creation Idea 2020 #5#PICCADIL 9.60 | Accumulate with long term perspective upto 7.6 levels for at least 2x/5x+ gains... Valuation | Dividend | P/E | P/B | EV/EBITDA | MCAP/SALES : Lucrative Favorable Portfolio allocation : Upto 5% of Overall Capital
*DII enters in Sep2020 Shareholding pattern
Learning Idea #Prem7 - NAHARPOLY - INVEST could be a multibaggerTHIS IS NOT A TRADING IDEA
USE THIS ONLY FOR EDUCATION
I MAY OR MAY NOT BE TRADING
This chart is showing signs on growth
The P/E is very attractive and one may invest in this
Check the fundamentals for yourself and see if you want to go ahead
NIFTY BANK Vs PSU Bank Vs Private Bank I was wondering who is pushing the Bank Nifty, so I decided to visualize this by this simple comparison.
The three major PSU banks are compared with the NIFTY BANK there market cap is as follow
3 (25%) PSU banks out of 12 holds 28.05186836 % of NIFTY BANK VALUE.
9 (75%) Private banks out of 12 holds 71.94813164 % of NIFTY BANK.
YoY in % YTD in % 30 mar to 18 Nov in %
BANK NIFTY -5.56 -8.14 57.31
PSU BANK* -41.95 -43.64 6.03
State Bank Of India -25.47 -26.3 31.7
Punjab National Bank -49.1 -52.8 -7.29
Bank Of Baroda -51.28 -51.82 -6.32
PRIVATE BANK** -17.32 -19.41 62.00
INDUSINDBK -42.02 -45.4 96.12
AXISBANK -13.6 -15.58 72.68
ICICIBANK -1.29 -8.21 56.2
HDFCBANK 11.16 9.92 68.91
RBLBANK -32.71 -36.7 47.8
KOTAKBANK 12.16 9.91 42.9
BANDHANBNK -37.12 -29.3 66.43
FEDERALBNK -32.51 -33.8 45
IDFCFIRSTB -20 -25.6 62
*Average of PSU banks included in NIFTY BANK only
** Average of Private banks included in NIFTY BANK only
(YoY) in % YTD in % 30 mar to 18 Nov in %
BANK NIFTY -5.56 -8.14 57.31
PRIVATE BANK** -17.32 -19.41 62.00
PSU BANK* -41.95 -43.64 6.03
Where BANK NIFTY is down by 5.5% PSU BANK* is down by 41.9% on YoY basis.
After 30 march 2020 where BANK NIFTY is up by 57.3% PSU BANK* is only up by 6% even though PSU banks holds 28.05186836 % of NIFTY BANK VALUE.
It is interesting to see that after 30 march 2020 ,the 28.05 %(%value in Bank Nifty) of 57.3 is 16.7 that means PSU BANKS** contribution in Bank Nifty is lagging by (16.7-6=10.7)10.7%
It is interesting to see that after 30 march 2020 ,the 71.94 %(%value in Bank Nifty ) of 57.3 is 41.24 that means Private BANKS** contribution in Bank Nifty is leading by(62-41.24=20.76) 20.76%
With the above observation it is clear that at least PSU banks included in NIFTY BANK are the ultimate underperformers and the move of NIFTY BANK is solely because of the Private banks in NIFTY BANK in the last two years
Data Taken from nseindia official website.
Let me now what's your take on the above observation in comments and also comment about such bad performance of PSU banks.
Bank Nifty - This WeekMarket outlook for next week - BNF has closed with good bullish candle in daily timeframe. Indicators like RSI and MACD is showing great strength and shows the rally can continue for some more time. With the festivals ahead in coming weeks, banks posting good results and Biden winning election is a positive sign for index and BNF. Covid fear is still hanging in europe but that may not subside nifty and BNF movements this week. Correction of 1000 points is expected but that does not mean downtrend since the volatility is more. Uptrend is intact until 25000 fort is held tight. As per charts the mid line of the channel is broken with strength and correction if any i am not expecting any big downside. If the rally continues BNF may see 28000. So it is buy on dips. Since the volatility is more and one wants to participate in market they can buy Bankbees, this is much safer than Futures and Options and can hold for some time.
Banknifty 05-11-2020 expiry In banknifty some minor correction is remaining if the global market react to US elections, coronavirus, eruopean lockdown, then wait for either breakdown or breakout of the trend.
Levels are provided act accordingly as per your convenience.
Before result of US election trade safe.
Nifty Expiry 05-11-2020Know about Coronavirus, eruopean lockdown and US elections, global market is showing volatile.
So trade accordingly as per your convenience levels are provided.
Im not sure about upside moves but over market will react towards downtrend in upcoming week.
So be careful before election result.
Economics Cycle | Business Cycle |The business cycle, also known as the economic cycle or trade cycle, is the downward and upward movement of gross domestic product around its long-term growth trend. The length of a business cycle is the period of time containing a single boom and contraction in sequence.
The economic cycle is the fluctuation of the economy between periods of expansion (growth) and contraction (recession). Factors such as gross domestic product (GDP), interest rates, total employment, and consumer spending, can help to determine the current stage of the economic cycle
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Rarest of Rare Double Rounding Bottom with Break n Retest PattrnNSE:GMRINFRA
INVESTMENT IDEA // MULTI-BAGGER
DISCLOSURE & DISCLAIMER
➢ AT CURRENT PRICE LEVELS THIS IDEA IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ONLY. DEPENDING ON THE FURTHER PRICE MOVEMENT IN COMING WEEKS OR MONTHS, I MIGHT POST A BUY RECOMMENDATION, ONCE IT FULLY MEETS MY CRITERIA. YOU CAN FOLLOW ME FOR ANY SUCH POST IN FUTURE.
➢ ALL MY IDEAS AND RECOMMENDATIONS ARE SUBJECT TO MARKET CONDITIONS. PLEASE TRADE / INVEST / FOLLOW / COPY THE IDEA AT YOUR OWN RISK. I DO NOT TAKE RESPONSIBILITY OF YOUR LOSS OR CREDIT FOR YOUR PROFIT.
➢ I MAY OR MAY NOT HAVE ANY PERSONAL INVESTMENTS IN THIS SCRIPT.
➢ AS THE IDEA IS FOR LONG TERM INVESTMENT AND NOT FOR TRADING. THE IDEA BASED ON BOTH STRONG TECHNICAL & FUNDAMENTAL (QUANTITATIVE) ANALYSIS OF THE STOCK.
➢ ROUNDING BOTTOM STOCKS TEND TO GIVE FALSE BREAKOUTS AT DIFFERENT LEVEL AS THEY TRY TO CROSS MULTIPLE RESISTANCES AT MULTIPLE INSTANCES. THOUGH THE RISK REWARD IS VERY HIGH FOR THESE PATTERNS, IT’S VERY IMPORTANT TO FOLLOW STRICT PRICE LEVELS FOR ENTRY AND EXITS.
So let’s begin....
What is a rounding bottom pattern and how it works?
In general, as the name suggests, when the stock chart has a curve or rounding shape as marked in the above chart it can be called Rounding Bottom Pattern. This pattern can occur anywhere in a chart and on any type of chart (Intraday, Daily, Weekly, Monthly etc). Though its not simple to use with a thumb rule per say, but an experienced technical trader can easily identify and use it effectively for his trading after several confirmations and combinations, such as price volume breakouts, DEMA crossovers or several other technical indicators.
How to identify a multi-bagger with rounding bottom pattern?
Just for the beginners, Multi-baggers are generally referred to investment grade stocks that gives returns that are multiple times of the buying price. So if you invest in a stock Rs. 100,000 in XYZ stock and over the period of 2-3 years it is worth of 500,000; The XYZ stock can be called as 5X bagger.
So now let’s see what is a Double Rounding Bottom Multi Bagger (DRBMB) with a retest. An DRBMB stock must meet certain criteria, which I am listing as below:
(Please select and refer the monthly chart of the stock with full history available)
- The stock should have a history of at least 10 years.
- In the past, stock price must have performed at least 5 times of the current price levels and fallen
from that peak gradually over months / years.
- Stock must have made 2 rounding bottom patterns in the time frame of 2-3 years each.
- Consolidation breakout as shown in the chart herewith.
- Confirmation on fundamentals (as below)
Do I need to check Fundamentals of company?
- Further to above confirmations, above chart pattern must be backed by the quantitative and qualitative fundamentals of the company. For example, once the consolidation breakout happens the company should start posting positive quarterly earnings every quarter consistently for 2-3 years minimum.
- Company should continuously doing reforms such as debt reductions, bagging new orders, promoters releasing their pledging and buying back more stake in the company etc.
(If you are not confident of doing the above yourself, for both the above confirmations, you can watch news channels (which I don’t recommend otherwise) and follow the renowned fundamental analysts who will definitely post their views on the stock time to time as it progresses.)
Why GMR INFRA?
In my view, GMR INFRA is a potential DRBMB which can qualify all the above criteria and can become a wealth creator over the period of 3-5 years.
When should I start and stop tracking?
Easiest way is to follow me, as I will be posting updates on this post so you can be well aware about the entry point and exit points. Other option is to follow the below quick price level summary by putting level alerts:
LTI Educational Call // Dated: 21 / 09 / 2020
NSE: GMRINFRA
LTP: 23.95
ENTRY: When Monthly closing is above 30.00
EXIT (STOP LOSS): When Monthly closing is below 25.00 (@20%)
(If you need accurate SL / Exit when MONTHLY 5 EMA crosses below MONTHLY 26 EMA)
TARGET 1: 80.00 (3x times of Entry Price within in 1 Year)
TARGET 2: 120.00 (3x times of Entry Price within 2 Years)
TARGET 3: Follow me... :-)
Are there any references or examples of such patterns?
Check out the stock TANLA SOLUTIONS (NSE: TANLA) for the similar chart pattern.
Would there be any opportunities of short term / swing trading in this stock?
Yes, once the stock is closed above 200 Monthly EMA there will be ample opportunities of swing trading and short term trading as well.
HAPPY INVESTMENTS & TRADING!!
GOLD BULLISH Gold Price Outlook: FOMC Rate Decision May Ignite XGold has been considered a highly valuable commodity for millennia and the gold price is widely followed in financial markets around the world. Most commonly quoted in US Dollars (XAU/USD), gold price tends to increase as stocks and bonds decline. The metal holds its value well, making it a reliable safe-haven. Improve your technical analysis of live gold prices with the real-time XAU/USD chart, and read our latest gold news, expert analysis and gold price forecast.