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Fundamental Analysis

XAUUSD – Market Stays Flat Despite Trump’s Super BillXAUUSD – Market Stays Flat Despite Trump’s Super Bill, Is Gold Quietly Building Momentum? Gold has entered a narrow consolidation phase after a series of strong macroeconomic catalysts — including the passing of Trump’s Super Bill by the U.S. House of Representatives. But instead of rallying immediately, gold remains flat... and that silence could be louder than it seems. 📰 Macro Recap – Good for USD, Bad for Gold? The approved Super Bill may weaken the U.S. dollar in the medium term due to rising fiscal deficits. But for now, the market is skeptical, and gold is not reacting as expected. Meanwhile, the NFP and Unemployment Rate (UR) data came in surprisingly strong last night, reinforcing the possibility that Fed rate cuts may be delayed → A short-term bearish pressure on gold. With the U.S. Independence Day holiday, market liquidity will likely remain low today, increasing the risk of fake breakouts or stop-hunting volatility. ❗ “No immediate rally doesn’t mean no rally at all.” A retracement to the 3.2xx zone could offer an ideal entry for medium-term longs. 📉 Technical Outlook – XAUUSD Price has broken above the recent short-term downtrend line and is now testing a critical supply zone around 3344–3345, which may determine today’s intraday direction. 🔍 Key Levels Major Resistance: 3345 – 3362 – 3374 – 3388 – 3390 Major Support: 3330 – 3312 – 3304 – 3302 – 3298 🟢 Bullish Strategies (Buy Setups) 🔹 BUY Scalp Zone: 3313 – 3311 SL: 3307 TP: 3316 – 3320 – 3325 – 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350 🔹 Deep BUY Zone: 3304 – 3302 SL: 3298 TP: 3308 – 3312 – 3316 – 3320 – 3330 – 3340 These zones align with EMA confluence and potential FVG retracements – a solid setup for trend continuation. 🔴 Bearish Strategies (Short-Term Only) 🔹 SELL Scalp Zone: 3362 – 3364 SL: 3368 TP: 3358 – 3354 – 3350 – 3346 – 3340 – 3335 – 3330 🔹 Upper SELL Zone: 3388 – 3390 SL: 3394 TP: 3384 – 3380 – 3376 – 3370 – 3365 – 3360 Consider shorting only with confirmation patterns or bearish signals from lower timeframes. 🧠 Market Sentiment Today The market seems to be in a wait-and-see mode, consolidating between 3320 – 3340 as traders digest recent macro data. A breakout is likely after the U.S. holiday ends. Primary Scenario: Look to BUY on deeper pullbacks into support zones. Alternate Scenario: SELL only for intraday scalps when price rejects key resistance. 💬 What’s Your Take? Is gold silently accumulating strength for a breakout above 3390? Or are we about to witness a deeper correction in the coming sessions? 👇 Share your thoughts in the comments and let's discuss it together!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Guinea Show Signs of Short-Term Weakness Amids ConolidationThe 2-hour candlestick chart of Gold Guinea July Futures indicates a strong bearish sentiment. After facing resistance near the 78450–78500 zone, the price faced a steep fall, forming consecutive bearish candles. The recent candles are consolidating near the 77950–78000 support level, suggesting a potential pause or indecision after the sharp drop. The presence of long lower wicks shows buying interest at lower levels, but the lack of bullish follow-through suggests that bears are still in control. The absence of higher highs and consistent lower lows confirm a short-term downtrend. A break below 77950 could open the gates to test 77700, while resistance remains near 78250. Fundamentally, gold is currently under pressure due to a combination of rising US Treasury yields and expectations that the Federal Reserve may delay rate cuts amidst sticky inflation. Investors are preferring dollar-backed assets, leading to outflows from precious metals. Additionally, global risk sentiment remains relatively stable, reducing safe-haven demand. However, geopolitical tensions and potential recessionary fears continue to provide a long-term bullish backdrop for gold. In the Indian context, rupee movement and import policies also impact local gold futures pricing. Until clarity emerges on US economic direction, gold may remain choppy with a short-term bearish bias.
MCX:GOLDGUINEA1!Long
by duttkirti
Institutional TradingDivergence Trading Divergence trading is a technical strategy based on the observation that asset prices and their related indicators (like RSI, MACD, etc.) sometimes move in opposite directions. Types of Divergence: Regular Divergence: Predicts potential trend reversals. Hidden Divergence: Suggests trend continuation. Tools Used: Relative Strength Index (RSI) Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) Stochastic Oscillator How Divergence Works: If prices are making new highs but the indicator isn’t, it signals weakening momentum and a possible reversal. If prices are making new lows but the indicator isn’t, it could indicate that selling pressure is fading. Benefits: Early identification of potential trend changes. Effective in volatile markets. Risks: False signals can occur, leading to premature trade entries.
BSE:SENSEXEducation
by SkyTradingZone
4
Institutional Master class Option Trading Explained Options are financial derivatives that provide the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset at a predetermined price within a specific period. Types of Options: Call Option: Right to buy the underlying asset. Put Option: Right to sell the underlying asset. Components of an Option Contract: Strike Price: The agreed price to buy/sell. Premium: Price paid to acquire the option. Expiration Date: Date when the option contract ends. Option Trading Strategies: Buying Calls/Puts: Simple directional bets. Covered Call: Holding stock while selling a call option to generate income. Protective Put: Buying a put option to hedge a long stock position. Spreads: Combining options to limit risk and cost.
NSE:HDFCBANKEducation
by SkyTradingZone
4
Institutional Option TradingStock Market Participants: Retail Investors: Individual traders and investors. Institutional Investors: Mutual funds, hedge funds, pension funds, etc. Market Makers: Provide liquidity by constantly quoting buy and sell prices. Stock Trading Types: Delivery Trading: Shares are purchased and held for longer periods. Intraday Trading: Shares are bought and sold on the same day. Importance of the Stock Market: Helps in wealth creation. Reflects economic health. Provides investment and diversification opportunities.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
5
Option Trading The stock market is a platform where shares of publicly listed companies are bought and sold. It serves two primary functions: providing companies with capital to grow and giving investors the opportunity to share in the profits of publicly traded companies. Key Components: Stocks: Ownership shares in a company. Stock Exchanges: Platforms like the NYSE, NASDAQ, and BSE where trading occurs. Indices: Benchmarks like the S&P 500 or Nifty 50 that track the performance of groups of stocks.
NSE:FINNIFTY1!Education
by SkyTradingZone
8
Institutional Trading Trading is the act of buying and selling financial instruments like stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, and derivatives with the goal of making a profit. Traders operate in various markets, including stock markets, forex markets, commodity markets, and cryptocurrency markets. Trading is often contrasted with investing, which is generally focused on long-term wealth accumulation. There are different types of traders: Day Traders: Buy and sell securities within the same trading day. Swing Traders: Hold positions from a few days to several weeks. Scalp Traders: Execute dozens to hundreds of trades in a day, aiming for small profits. Position Traders: Hold trades for months or even years, blending trading and investing. Trading can be driven by technical analysis, fundamental analysis, or a combination of both. Traders use a wide array of tools and strategies to analyze price movements and market trends.
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
6
XAUUSD 03/07: GOLD IN THE DRIVER'S SEATXAUUSD 03/07: GOLD IN THE DRIVER'S SEAT – WILL IT BREAKOUT OR PULLBACK BEFORE KEY EVENTS? Gold is on a solid upward trajectory, as expected from earlier predictions this week. After a negative ADP Non-Farm Payroll report yesterday, the USD weakened, providing the fuel for gold to soar. During the US session, gold surged from the 333x level to 336x. 🔑 Key Catalysts to Watch: 1. Political Factors: Trump's announcement that the Republicans in the House have united to push through the "Super Bill" is a significant factor that could propel gold even further in the near future. The political climate is setting the stage for gold's potential rally. 2. Macro Overview: Federal Reserve and Rate Cuts: The market is eyeing the Fed closely, with high expectations for two interest rate cuts this year. This could put continued pressure on the USD and further support gold. With a 90% chance of a rate cut by the end of Q3, the path is clear for gold to target new highs. US Economic Data: Disappointing ADP data, reporting a loss of -33k jobs, continues to point to a weakening labor market, strengthening the case for gold as a safe-haven asset. 🌍 Market Conditions and Trade Setup: The market remains on edge with these political and economic factors at play. The market will also be watching the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data closely. With the ADP report showing poor results, the market could experience some turbulence ahead of the NFP release, and with a long weekend ahead due to the bank holiday, traders should approach this market with caution. 📉 Technical Outlook – The Road Ahead for Gold: Gold has been trending upward and maintaining a bullish outlook. However, a minor pullback is expected. Resistance: 3358 – 3365 – 3374 – 3380 – 3390 Support: 3343 – 3335 – 3325 – 3316 – 3304 📊 Trading Plan – Key Levels to Watch: Buy Scalp: Entry: 3335 – 3333 SL: 3329 TP: 3340 → 3345 → 3350 → 3360 → 3370 Buy Zone: Entry: 3316 – 3314 SL: 3310 TP: 3320 → 3324 → 3328 → 3332 → 3336 → 3340 → 3350 → 3360 Sell Scalp: Entry: 3374 – 3376 SL: 3380 TP: 3370 → 3366 → 3360 → 3355 → 3350 Sell Zone: Entry: 3388 – 3390 SL: 3394 TP: 3384 → 3380 → 3376 → 3370 → 3366 → 3360 ⚠️ Key Focus for Traders: Upcoming Data: The NFP release will be crucial, as disappointing job numbers could drive gold even higher. Market Volatility: With the long weekend ahead and market reactions to key news, be prepared for possible volatility. Trade with Caution: Stick to your TP/SL strategy, manage risk, and only enter trades when clear setups appear. 📈 Conclusion: Gold is showing strong potential for further gains, but traders should be prepared for some pullbacks as the market reacts to upcoming economic and political news. The trend remains bullish, but it’s crucial to remain cautious and follow the technical levels closely to optimize entry points. Stay alert for key developments in the USD, NFP, and Fed rate-cut expectations, and let the market guide you.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Buy Trade - GBP/USDGreetings to everyone! You can place a buy trade on GBP/USD and check out my chart for the ideal entry, stop-loss & target placement. Remember :- * Move your SL to breakeven once the trade reaches 1:1 R. * Aim for a minimum reward of 1:1.5 R. * Don't risk more than 3% of your total margin. Let's execute this trade smartly! 🚀 💬 About Me: I am a professional trader with over four years of experience in the markets. I focus on swing trading using the 4H timeframe, mainly in the forex space. The trades I share here are the actual positions I’m executing. I post them as a small gesture to give back to the trading community that’s been a big part of my journey. Cheers! 🙏
Long
by ManojDurgapal
2
Gold Petal Futures Coil Near ₹9829 – Calm Before the Move?Gold Petal July Futures is currently showing signs of range-bound consolidation after a sharp recovery from the recent low of ₹9651. The price surged aggressively in the last leg but is now hovering around ₹9829 with multiple small-bodied candles, indicating indecision and balance between bulls and bears. Previous sessions show a strong bullish impulse followed by a flattening structure, suggesting that momentum is cooling off. This tight consolidation just below recent swing highs indicates that buyers are hesitant to push higher without a fresh trigger, while sellers are also not aggressively stepping in. A breakout above ₹9840 with strong volume could trigger a fresh upward rally, while a fall below ₹9780 may lead to a minor correction. This current price action resembles a bullish flag or base-building phase, and traders should wait for a clear directional move before entering. Until then, the structure is neutral with a slight bullish bias. This consolidation comes at a time when global gold markets are reacting to mixed signals—rising geopolitical tensions are offering support, while strong US economic data and hawkish Fed commentary are limiting upside. Domestic festive demand and favourable rupee movement are lending local strength, but the market remains cautious ahead of key macro data. Until clearer global triggers emerge, this zone between ₹9,826 and ₹9,880 may act as a supply ceiling, with traders needing confirmation before betting on the next leg.
MCX:GOLDPETAL1!Long
by duttkirti
Buy Opportunity in GoldI am watching it since 1 month. The Gold had taken its retracement. On lower (1h and 4H) timeframe, It traded in strong trends' zones which were broken yesterday. Now the crocodile traders should wait for its resistance zone and get a signal on 1 h or 4h timeframe to buy above resistance zone, above 3360. An H4 healthy candle closing above this resitance zone will pave the way into another test of 3422 area, not putting any TP though as my target is 5000 (fundamentaly).
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by hameedops
GOOD EVENING INSTUTIONAL TRADER date-02-07-2025 iNSTUTIONAL previous you can large liquidity pool and after apike small leg = manupulation SL= BREAK EVEN TP = THIS IS NOT EXACT TP SOME POINT HAVE SOME DOUBT LET SEE PREVIOUS MANULATION LEG HAVE SETUP BUT TUESDAY DONT HAVE INTERNET LET'S SEE WHAT HAPPEN IN FUTURE I WILL UPDATE YOU INSTITUTIONAL - DIRECT INTER ARE INSANE💀💀💀👀 I Dont have = social media I dont have - any course and paid signal YOU HAVE ANY QUESTION PLEASE WRITE COMMENT BELOW
Short
by TheBankerstudent
2
Strong Bullish Momentum or a Short-Term Setback?XAUUSD Analysis – 02/07: Strong Bullish Momentum or a Short-Term Setback? Gold has made a strong recovery after a brief period of consolidation last month, and it continues to show signs of strong bullish momentum. The price has been fluctuating, yet the overall trend remains positive. Let’s dive into the technical setup for today’s trading session. 📊 Market Overview: Recent Price Action: After confirming a bullish reversal on the H1 timeframe earlier this week, Gold has surged significantly. Yesterday, it reached 3358, completing wave 3 of an Elliott structure on the M30 chart, followed by a slight correction during the US and Asian sessions. Short-Term Correction: Wave 4 is currently underway, and there are two potential outcomes for this correction: It could find support at 3328-3330, leading to a continuation of the bullish trend. Alternatively, it may dip further to the 330x range before resuming the uptrend. 🧭 Key Levels to Watch: Support: 3328 – 3313 – 3304 – 3294 Resistance: 3344 – 3360 – 3368 – 3388 🧠 Trading Strategy for Today: Buy Scenario: Watch for a potential bounce around the 3328-3330 range. If this area holds, we can look for buying opportunities with a target towards 3358 and 3360. If the price breaks through the 3340 level, consider entering long positions and setting targets around 3350-3360. Sell Scenario: Sell Near Resistance: A quick scalping opportunity could arise near the 3388-3390 resistance zone. Tight SL and reasonable TP at 3384-3380 are the targets to aim for. For a longer-term Sell position, wait for a clearer breakdown below 3370 to target deeper levels like 3360. 🎯 Trading Plan for Today: BUY ZONE: Entry: 3306 – 3304 SL: 3300 TP: 3310 → 3315 → 3320 → 3325 → 3330 → 3340 SELL ZONE: Entry: 3388 – 3390 SL: 3394 TP: 3384 → 3380 → 3376 → 3370 → 3365 → 3360 → 3350 ⚡️ Key Considerations: The US macroeconomic data release and potential volatility from ADP NonFarm Payrolls today could provide significant movement, so stay alert and monitor the data closely. In Summary: Bullish bias remains intact with strong buy opportunities around key support levels like 3328-3330. For short-term traders, focus on quick scalping within the resistance zones, but don’t forget to follow the trend for the longer-term buy strategy. 💡 Stay cautious with your Stop Loss (SL) and Take Profit (TP) to manage risk effectively. Happy trading! 🌟
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Short-Term Analysis – Bearish Structure Firmly Intact.Gold remains locked in a well-defined bearish structure, with a clear downward channel established by multiple touchpoints. Price has retraced sharply, but the rally has stalled precisely at the HVZ resistance zone between 3,355–3,390, which coincides with the upper boundary of the channel. This HVZ acts as a supply zone, where aggressive selling pressure has consistently emerged. There is no sustainable bullish reversal as long as price remains below 3,390, and any intraday spikes into the HVZ are opportunities for bears to reload positions. The recent steep rally is a corrective move within the broader bearish trend formation, not a structural shift. This corrective phase has already lost momentum, evident in the failure to close convincingly above the HVZ. The bearish thesis remains valid as long as price trades below 3,390 no exceptions. The downside roadmap is clear: A decisive rejection from the HVZ zone sends price back to the break line at 3,250, which is a critical price area. Breaching 3,250 opens a clean path for continuation down to the primary bearish target at 3,205–3,203, aligning with the measured move from the channel width and historical support levels. Key Points: The channel structure is intact; the recent upward leg is corrective, not impulsive. Resistance aligns with previous failed rallies, reinforcing the HVZ’s strength as a sell zone. No macro catalyst supports a sustainable breakout above HVZ; upside liquidity grabs will get sold into. Only a confirmed close above 3,390 with follow-through invalidates the bearish structure nothing else. Conclusion: The trend is bearish. Price below 3,390 is an active short bias with targets at 3,250 and 3,205. Upside is capped by strong supply; intraday rallies into HVZ provide the best risk-reward short setups. Bullish scenarios are irrelevant unless the HVZ is convincingly broken with high volume.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by sparkrlight
1
ENVIRO INFRA ENGINEERS (NSE: ENVIRO)View: Strongly Bullish. Bias: Trend reversal confirmed. Strategy: BUY: Initiate around ₹240-₹245 or on retest of ₹230-₹235. Targets (T): T1: ₹262 T2: ₹287 T3: ₹312 Stop-Loss (SL): ₹220 (on daily closing basis). Reasoning: Decisive breakout from a significant long-term descending trendline. Strong volume confirming the breakout. RSI indicating robust bullish momentum. Potential for significant upside as stock recovers from prior fall. Note: This is an educational analysis and not financial advice. Do your own due diligence before investing.
NSE:EIELLong
by rmhetre15