Futures
Nifty: Will it take support Nifty
Last time when Nifty was at 15833, our view did not fit in but our strategy to sell 15700 Put option has kept us in the game. ( Nifty is down 150 points. Loss in our strategy is of 14 points )
- 20 day EMA is around 15677
- 61.8% retracement level is at 15628
. Will it take support here or continue the free fall ?
I would be cautious if today's close is below 15628.
Nifty would require a close above 14735 for momentum to kick in on the upside.
Plan your trade accordingly.
Take care & safe trading...
All eggs should not be in one basket...
Our strategies in Reliance, Aurobindo Pharma, LIC Housing have worked very well in the same time...🙂
Nifty: Chart set up & trading strategyNifty
Till the time Nifty is above 15760-15780 on a daily closing basis it might slowly look to crawl up
Trading Strategy
Sell Nifty 15 July expiry 15700 Put option currently around 120
The strategy provides an inbuilt risk cover for a fall in Nifty price up to 15580 till 15 July expiry.
Take care & safe trading...!!!
Disclaimer
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
Copper Futures Trade for July 2021Strategy for trading Copper for July 2021
1. Copper is in Downtrend on Daily Chart but have formed reversal pattern with bullish hammer on 21 June 21 also RSI showing strength.
2. Strong Resistance zone between 733 to 740. This area will decide further direction for trade either on Long side or short side.
3. Price is respecting channel as shown, if it touches zone 733-740 and gives any bearish indication on Day chart we can go short
4. If Price breaks channel on up side +Price above 740 sustaining with bullish indication (Day candle) then enter for long.
Exact price for entry / exit and SL will be updated as we get confirmation on either long / short side
📚 Leveraged & Margin Trading Guide + Examples ⚖️
Leveraged trading allows even small retail traders to make money trading different financial markets.
With a borrowed capital from your broker, you can empower your trading positions.
The broker gives you a multiplier x10, x50, x100 (or other) referring to the number of times your trading positions are enhanced.
Brokers offer leverage at a cost based on the amount of borrowed funds you’re using and they charge you per each day that you maintain a leveraged position open.
For example, let's take EURUSD pair.
Let's buy Euro against the Dollar with the hope that the exchange rate will rise.
Buying that on spot with 1.195 ask price and selling that on 1.23 price we can make a profit by selling the same amount of EURUSD back to the broker.
With x50 leverage, our return will be 50 times scaled.
With the leverage, we can benefit even on small price fluctuations not having a huge margin.
❗️Remember that leverage will also multiply the potential downside risk in case if the trade does not play out.
In case of a bearish continuation on EURUSD , the leveraged loss will be paid from our margin to the broker.
For that reason, it is so important to set a stop loss and calculate the risks before the trading position is opened.
❤️Please, support this idea with a like and comment!❤️
LIC HSG FIN: Chart set up & F&O trading strategy for July expiryLIC Hsg Fin
- The zone of 440-458 is crucial zone for LIC HSG FIN
- Blue support line currently around 420 odd levels
The target for the current set up 492 / 505 / 518
Strategy: One may consider buying in 2 tranches
1 at current levels and 2nd on further dips towards blue line
Exit if closing below 408
_________________________________________________________________________________
Alternatively one may consider
Bull Put spread strategy
Sell LIC HSG FIN 440 Put option around 10
Buy LIC HSG FIN 400 Put option around 2.5
Lot size 2000
Max profit potential in strategy Rs 15000 giving a yield potential of approximately 15% on margin requirement.
Take care & safe trading...!!!
Like, Share and Follow for more such ideas...!!!
Disclaimer
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
Tata Steel: Chart analysis and trading strategyTata Steel
Given the set up
Suggested Strategy: Bear Call spread
Sell 1160 Call option around 20
Buy 1210 Call option around 10
Yield potential till 24 June expiry: 12.4% (approximately)
The strategy covers risk for rise in price of Tata Steel up to 1170
Take care & safe trading...!!!
Disclaimer
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
Nifty: Probable expiry range for today June 10, 2021Nifty
Likely lower end of the range 15659
Likely Upper end of the range 15768
Disclaimer
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
ICICI Bank: Chart set up and Trading strategy...!!!ICICI BANK
Chart view and strategy suggested in chart
Disclaimer
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
Nifty: F&O Strategy for 24 June expiryView and strategy given in chart
Disclaimer
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
MARKEY CYCLES PSYCHOLOGY | EMOTIONS & COGNITIVE BIASES
All markets go through cycles of expansion and contraction.
📈When a market is in an expansion phase (an uptrend), there is a sentiment of optimism, belief, and greed. Typically, these are the main emotions that lead to a strong buying activity.
Sometimes, a strong sense of greed and belief overtakes the market in such a way that a financial bubble can form. In such a scenario, many investors become irrational, losing sight of the actual value and buying an asset only because they believe the market will continue to rise.
They get greedy and irrational by the impressive bullish movement, expecting to make huge profits. As the market gets heavily overbought, the local top is created. In general, this is considered to be the point of the highest risk.
In some cases, the market will start a sideways movement while smart money steadily sells the asset. This is also called the distribution stage. However, some markets don't present a clear distribution stage, and the downtrend starts sharply after the top is reached.
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
📉 When the market starts reversing, the euphoric mood can quickly turn into complacency, as many traders refuse to admit that the uptrend came to an end. As prices continue to fall, the market sentiment quickly moves to the bearish side. It often includes feelings of anxiety, denial, and panic.
In this context, by the anxiety we mean the moment when bullish biased market participants start to question why the price is falling, which soon leads to the denial stage. The denial period is marked by a sense of unacceptance. Many investors keep holding their losing positions, either because "it's too late to sell" or because they want still believe that "the market will come back soon."
But as the prices drop even lower, the selling wave gets stronger. At this point, fear and panic often lead to what is called a market capitulation (when holders give up and sell their assets close to the local bottom).
Eventually, the downtrend stops as the volatility decreases and the market stabilizes. Typically, the market experiences sideways movements before feelings of hope and optimism start arising again. Such a sideways period is called the accumulation stage.
❤️Please, support this idea with a like and comment!❤️
⬇️Subscribe to my social networks!⬇️
BANKNIFTY MAY TREND ANALYSISAfter trading within the Head and Shoulder pattern, the Bank Nifty finally gave a good breakout above our resistance line and traded 1200+ points up with very minimum resistance today.
The technical analysis shows a clear bull run from here till 37000 with internal corrections and Targets/Resistance given in the chart. Once the BANKNIFTY crosses the target, the respective target becomes immediate support to the same.
On the Bearish side if BANKNIFTY starts trading below 32350 then we can again see a Bearish move which I am highly not in the belief of.
The MACD is still showing a buying momentum and with reducing cases of COVID in India the markets seems to be ready for a Bull-run again.
You can always do back testings on Day/Week/5min charts as per your experience and track the Bank results to have a stronger view before taking any trade.
This is just my personal study and analysis. Do not trade on the basis of just my study. Do your own research as well.
Reference to my previous idea is in link below.
Nifty May 27 F&O StrategyNifty
CMP 14578
Last time when Nifty was at 14800 we felt that Nifty may not go below 50 day EMA
and felt it could be a buy on dips market.
- however currently Nifty is trading below 20 day & 50 day EMA
- RBI special announcement event with regards to Banking support done
We were cautious and went for a conservative strategy of selling Nifty 06 May expiry 14400 Put at 70
Nifty despite being down the strategy has yielded a profit to us
CMP 32
Option strategies may be less profitable per trade but if used properly it can increase your probability of more winning trades.
If today's closing is below the EMAs there is more likelihood of further downside
Positional Target for the current set up 14140 / 13800
Given the set up one may consider
selling Nifty 27 May 2021 expiry
15000 Call option
in the range of 140 - 160
cmp 144
Max profit potential at CMP Rs 10800/- per lot
Loss in strategy only if Nifty closes above 15144 on 27 May 2021
Be alert if Nifty closing is above 14720.
The strategy provides enough scope to adjust / exit with less damage if Nifty moves otherwise
Take care & safe trading...!!!
Disclaimer:
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
AMARAJABAT - High Probability of bullish movement.On the chart pattern of AMARAJABAT, we have found a breakout and retest of the falling wedge. The stock is trading near the support zone. Let it break the high of previous candle and you can make a long entry.
Nifty May 06, 2021 Expiry strategyNifty
CMP 14801
- Nifty has 20 day and 50 day EMA support around 14620-14650
- Resistance around recent high of 15044
Given the set up
One may consider a Short strangle strategy for 06 May expiry
Sell Nifty
14600 Put option around 100
15000 Call option around 82
Max profit potential in strategy Rs 13650 (approximately 8% on Margin requirement)
Loss in strategy only if Nifty closes below 14418 or above 15182 on 06 May 2021
Take care & safe trading...!!!
Disclaimer:
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
Nifty: Is this a Buy in dips opportuinityNifty
Earlier we were expecting Nifty to do a sub 14000 level. In that post we had highlighted that Nifty has a chance of bouncing back towards 14655. Well the bounceback has been much more than that and today despite we seeing a big dip in Nifty, it is so far trading well above
- 20 day EMA at 14648 &
- 50 day EMA at 14622 currently
Trading above the EMA changes the structure and So far as Nifty stays above the 2 EMAs Nifty may be considered as a Buy on dips opportunity.
Exit if closing is below the EMA
Given the set up,
Strategy that can be deployed
Consider
Selling Nifty 06 May expiry 14400 Put option around 70
Lot size 75
Max profit potential in strategy Rs 5250 per lot.
The strategy gives a decent return potential
But More importantly the strategy provides Risk cover for a fall in Nifty price up to 14330 giving ample scope and time to exit with less damage in case Nifty moves otherwise.
Take care & safe trading...!!!
Disclaimer:
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be