Futures
Nifty: Game of Positions F&O Data analysis
Note this is not a recommendation for any trade. But just an analysis of Index F&O trade data for today.
Trading in Futures & Options involves real money and is very risky. It is like a 3 way fight between retail traders, FIIs and Proprietary traders.
In a war, it is important to understand your opposition's strength and weakness. In many war history, we can take lessons, that if you understand your opposition well, you can have a better chance of winning even if you are not as strong as them.
This is to help you understand how various market participants have positioned themselves for tomorrow.
Futures data
• Retail participants added Net 2.22 K Long contracts & squared off Net 1.39 K Short contracts
• FIIs squared off Net 19.37 K Long contracts & added Net 6.93 K Short contracts
• Pro traders added Net 17.79 K Long contracts & squared off Net 3.77 K Short Contracts
Call option
• Retail traders added Net 6.38 Lakh Call Longs & added Net 4.44 Lakh Call shorts
• FIIs added Net 14.49 K Call Longs & added Net 70.54 K Call short
• Pro traders added Net 61.48 K Call Longs & added Net 1.99 Lakh Call shorts
Put option
• Retail traders squared off Net 14.61 K Put Long & added Net 68.42 K Put shorts
• FIIs added Net 39.89 K Put Long & added Net 13.69 K Put shorts
• Pro traders added Net 61.98 K Put Long & squared off Net 359 Put Short contracts
Retail Participants added Index Futures Long and exited from Short positions and in Options are massively inclined towards Positive bias by being Net Call Buyers and Net Put sellers (bias is bullish)
FIIs on the other hand exited from Index Futures Long and added Index Futures Short positions and in Options are Net Call sellers and Net Put buyers
Pro traders have taken long position in Index Futures and exited from Short positions. However, in Options they have a net bearish position. They are major Net Call sellers and Net Put buyers
PCR is at 0.81
Today Nifty index has formed a doji candlestick. However it traded most part of the day around 15820 odd levels (3 hourly candles have a close at 15825, 15821, 15820) and then it fell back to close at 15752.
Prima facie looks like buyers of today are at risk.
In our last Game of Positions, we saw FIIs winning the battle by leaps and bounds. Let's see what we have in store tomorrow.
Important levels
on the lower side 15680 / 15628 / 15450
on the upper side 15820 / 15865 / 15915
Trust you find it useful.
Take care & safe trading...!!!
For trading ideas you can see the links below
Game of Positions: Friday Index F&O Trade data analysis This is not a recommendation.
Trading in Futures & Options involves real money and high risk. Hence there is a need to do more study before you randomly take a decision.
Just like in a game of Chess, when you plan to make a move, you need to factor in opposition's game strategy.
Using the same principle, when trading in Futures & Options, we should be aware of how 3 major participants i.e
- retail participants,
- FIIS
- Proprietary traders
have positioned themselves. DIIs have not been factored in here as they have limited access to F&O trade
Futures data
• Retail participants squared off 142 Long contracts & squared off 2.71K Shor t contracts
• FIIs squared off 5.99K Long c ontracts & added 6.89K Short contracts
• Pro traders added 5.06K Long contracts & squared off 6.20K Short Contracts
Call option
• Retail traders added 4.26 Lakh Call Longs & added 3.91 Lakh Call shorts
• FIIs added 54.92K Call Longs & added 70.17K Call short
• Pro traders added 1.14 Lakh Call Longs & added 1.34 Lakh Call shorts
Put option
• Retail traders added 2.24 Lakh Put Long & added 2.79 Lakh Put shorts
• FIIs added 62.13K Put Long & added 40.61K Put shorts
• Pro traders added 89.54K Put Long & added 67.18K Put Short contracts
- Retail Participants exited from Index Futures shorts and in Options are Net Call Buyers and Net Put sellers (bias is bullish)
- FIIs on the other hand exited from Index Futures Long and added Index Futures Short positions and in Options are Net Call sellers and Net Put buyers (bias is bearish)
- Pro traders have taken long position in Index Futures and exited from Short positions. However, they have hedged their position in Options by being Net Call sellers and Net Put buyers (Neutral)
Let us see who turns out to be the winner in this Game of Positions on Monday.
Important levels for Nifty
Important levels on upper side: 15960 /16030
Important levels on the downside: 15780 / 15628 / 15450
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Disclaimer:
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
- we do our best to ensure that the data we release is complete, accurate and useful. However, because we do not create the data, and because the processing required to make the data useful is complex, we cannot be liable for omissions or inaccuracies
– The user expressly acknowledges that the Data may contain some nonconformities, defects, or errors.
– Neither Indiamarketoutlook nor the author shall be liable for any claim for any loss, or any other damage arising from access to or use of data or information contained herewith.
Infy: Chart set up and trading strategy for July monthInfy
Observation
- After result announcement, Infy goes into consolidation mode for a 2-5 weeks
- it then has rallied 17-27% till the next result announcement (calculation done on a opening or closing basis)
- current rally is measured at roughly 21% so far and another 9 trading sessions to go
- if Infy is to follow the blue channel, then we have be at the top end of the channel
- however if Infy is to follow the red dotted channel, then there is a scope for a price movement up to 1671 odd levels
Given the set up, F&O strategy that one may consider
selling Infy 1660 Call option around 12
The strategy has a max profit potential of Rs 7200/- per lot
More importantly from risk management point of view, it covers risk of rise in Infy price up to 1672 levels till 29 July 2021.
Take care & safe trading
Like & Follow for more such ideas
Disclaimer
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
Nifty: Are you with the trend or against the trend???Nifty
CMP 15853
Observations
- Nifty traded in down trend channel since Feb 2021 till April 2021
- Currently Nifty is trading in Uptrend channel
Now that we have identified the trend, let us look and analyze Futures & Options data for 05 July 2021 and understand how each market participant viz
- the Retail traders,
- FIIs and
- Proprietary traders
have positioned themselves.
Futures Data:
- Retail traders bought 1086 Long contracts & exited from 8397 Short contracts
- FIIs bought 3487 Long contracts and added 4663 Short Contracts
- Proprietary traders booked profits in 1314 Long contracts and added 5060 Short Contracts
Call option data:
- Retail traders added 29.56 K Long Call Contracts and added 69.42K Short Call Contracts
- FIIs added 18.95K Long Call contracts and added 13.34 K Short Call Contracts
- Proprietary traders added 80.38 K Call Long contracts and added 46.13 K Call Short Contracts
Put Option data
- Retail traders bought 3.16 Lakhs Put Long Contracts and added 2.64 Lakh Put Short Contracts
- FIIs added 5.98 K Put Long Contracts and Shorted 21.77 K Put Contracts
- Proprietary traders bought 83.08 K Put Long and Shorted 1.18 Lakh Put Contracts
Retail traders have exited from Futures Short position but still have a negative bias and have positioned in Options against the trend for a fall in Nifty
FIIs and Proprietary traders on the other hand are less active in Futures but in Options have positioned themselves with the trend for more upside to neutral play
Plan your trade accordingly...!!!
Trust, you would find this analysis helpful. If yes then
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But don't just follow me blindly
Learn and identify opportunities independently
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________
If you have been following me, our strategy is already in place.
Strategy update
Suggested selling 15 July expiry
15700 Put option around 120
CMP 42
Profit of 78 points so far per lot.
Take care & safe trading
Disclaimer:
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
My trade setup in BankNifty Futures for 12th June 2021My trade setup levels are created as below in BankNifty Futures for 12th June 2021.
The Key target levels will be at High - 35680, Low 34760..if market breaks these levels, expecting
the market go beyond in double the speed.
Expecting Movements...
Opening will be Flat or Downside
Down move till 10.45 am
Upmove or Sideways 10.45am to 12.15pm
Again Down move till 2.30pm
Again Recovery till 3.30pm
Close near at Low of the Opening level of today
**** May be a significant fast-fall today
Nifty: Will it take support Nifty
Last time when Nifty was at 15833, our view did not fit in but our strategy to sell 15700 Put option has kept us in the game. ( Nifty is down 150 points. Loss in our strategy is of 14 points )
- 20 day EMA is around 15677
- 61.8% retracement level is at 15628
. Will it take support here or continue the free fall ?
I would be cautious if today's close is below 15628.
Nifty would require a close above 14735 for momentum to kick in on the upside.
Plan your trade accordingly.
Take care & safe trading...
All eggs should not be in one basket...
Our strategies in Reliance, Aurobindo Pharma, LIC Housing have worked very well in the same time...🙂
Nifty: Chart set up & trading strategyNifty
Till the time Nifty is above 15760-15780 on a daily closing basis it might slowly look to crawl up
Trading Strategy
Sell Nifty 15 July expiry 15700 Put option currently around 120
The strategy provides an inbuilt risk cover for a fall in Nifty price up to 15580 till 15 July expiry.
Take care & safe trading...!!!
Disclaimer
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
Copper Futures Trade for July 2021Strategy for trading Copper for July 2021
1. Copper is in Downtrend on Daily Chart but have formed reversal pattern with bullish hammer on 21 June 21 also RSI showing strength.
2. Strong Resistance zone between 733 to 740. This area will decide further direction for trade either on Long side or short side.
3. Price is respecting channel as shown, if it touches zone 733-740 and gives any bearish indication on Day chart we can go short
4. If Price breaks channel on up side +Price above 740 sustaining with bullish indication (Day candle) then enter for long.
Exact price for entry / exit and SL will be updated as we get confirmation on either long / short side
📚 Leveraged & Margin Trading Guide + Examples ⚖️
Leveraged trading allows even small retail traders to make money trading different financial markets.
With a borrowed capital from your broker, you can empower your trading positions.
The broker gives you a multiplier x10, x50, x100 (or other) referring to the number of times your trading positions are enhanced.
Brokers offer leverage at a cost based on the amount of borrowed funds you’re using and they charge you per each day that you maintain a leveraged position open.
For example, let's take EURUSD pair.
Let's buy Euro against the Dollar with the hope that the exchange rate will rise.
Buying that on spot with 1.195 ask price and selling that on 1.23 price we can make a profit by selling the same amount of EURUSD back to the broker.
With x50 leverage, our return will be 50 times scaled.
With the leverage, we can benefit even on small price fluctuations not having a huge margin.
❗️Remember that leverage will also multiply the potential downside risk in case if the trade does not play out.
In case of a bearish continuation on EURUSD , the leveraged loss will be paid from our margin to the broker.
For that reason, it is so important to set a stop loss and calculate the risks before the trading position is opened.
❤️Please, support this idea with a like and comment!❤️
LIC HSG FIN: Chart set up & F&O trading strategy for July expiryLIC Hsg Fin
- The zone of 440-458 is crucial zone for LIC HSG FIN
- Blue support line currently around 420 odd levels
The target for the current set up 492 / 505 / 518
Strategy: One may consider buying in 2 tranches
1 at current levels and 2nd on further dips towards blue line
Exit if closing below 408
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Alternatively one may consider
Bull Put spread strategy
Sell LIC HSG FIN 440 Put option around 10
Buy LIC HSG FIN 400 Put option around 2.5
Lot size 2000
Max profit potential in strategy Rs 15000 giving a yield potential of approximately 15% on margin requirement.
Take care & safe trading...!!!
Like, Share and Follow for more such ideas...!!!
Disclaimer
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
Tata Steel: Chart analysis and trading strategyTata Steel
Given the set up
Suggested Strategy: Bear Call spread
Sell 1160 Call option around 20
Buy 1210 Call option around 10
Yield potential till 24 June expiry: 12.4% (approximately)
The strategy covers risk for rise in price of Tata Steel up to 1170
Take care & safe trading...!!!
Disclaimer
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
Nifty: Probable expiry range for today June 10, 2021Nifty
Likely lower end of the range 15659
Likely Upper end of the range 15768
Disclaimer
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
ICICI Bank: Chart set up and Trading strategy...!!!ICICI BANK
Chart view and strategy suggested in chart
Disclaimer
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be