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RELIANCE

30 Jan ’24 — Nifty Gets a Downgrade after yesterday's upgradeNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ Recap from yesterday: “We are changing our stance from neutral to bullish as we had all 6 green candles today. Ideally, the stance change should come only after the 21913 resistance breach — but we are taking a bit of risk here. The pattern played out to be a W (double bottom). We would now look for bullish opportunities and the first target would be 21913. The global macros are not looking good with the war in the Middle East, news from Taiwan, and news from N Korea. Hope our markets will give a strong clue in case the situations escalate.” 4mts chart It is too early to say if the move today was due to the News impact that said “The US would give a fitting reply to the actions of Iran”. For us, it looked like a technical cool-off. We made the mistake of upgrading Nifty from neutral to bullish yesterday despite getting all 6 green candles. Today, we lost in a similar fashion 5 out of 6 63mts candles in RED. Most importantly we are back at the support level of 21491 where Nifty paused. Interestingly BankNifty did not fall that much, and neither did the NiftyIT - the pain was mostly for RELIANCE, Bajaj Finance, Titan, and ITC. 63mts chart We are back at square 1, the same support/resistance level of 21491 which we hit on 15th Dec 2023. In the last 1.5 months - we have gone nowhere. Seems like the Foreign Institutional Investors and DIIs took us for a roller coaster ride - and most of the retail traders are throwing up after the ride. After the meltdown today, we are changing the stance from bullish to neutral. Gap-down open is the best way to take out the support. If we break the next target to watch out for will be 21292 followed by 21199.
NSE:NIFTY
by viswaram
29 Jan ’24 — A flag like formation on 63mts TF - BankNiftyBankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ BankNifty also gets a stance upgrade - from bearish to neutral. The price action was not as beautiful as Nifty50 today. One reason would be the outlier performance by Reliance today +7%, whereas the main weightlifters for BankNifty were HDFCBK 1.38%, Kotak +3.08%, ICICBank 0.64%. 4mts chart The support/resistance of 45399 was in play today and it proved quite sticky. Although BN got to this level by 09.31 - we never had a strong breakout today. On the 4mts TF it appears we broke the resistance between 09.59 to 11.15 - but it was not strong enough as we fell back to it by 11.19. On a close-to-close basis, BankNifty gained an impressive 576pts ~ 1.28% but the charts do not signify a bullishness yet. 63mts chart The pattern formed today more or less looks like a flag formation - so the bullishness could come at any moment. BankNifty has a lot of catching up to do, so the run could get quite wild too. If the FII selling in HDFCBK has ended, it could be a good relief to the Bulls. We have changed the stance from bearish to neutral as BN has defended the 44542 support & is just above the 45399 SR. The moment we break these supports, we will go back to bearish mode. Algo Trading Our BankNifty algo trades ended today with a loss of 608 rupees per lot
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by viswaram
20 Jan ’24 — Probably the first working Saturday for a TraderNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ Recap from yesterday: “The last 3 candles almost gave away the clue that bearishness was ending. We would still like to see how Nifty will open tomorrow. Ideally, it should open above 21698 i.e. within the channel to cement the idea that Bears are thrown out of control.” 4mts chart Open was right at the trendline and it acted as a resistance. Nifty was unable to breach it and it meant we would have either a flat or negative day. A lot of interesting things happened today. NiftyIT moved down and ended with -371pts ~ 1.00%. Most of them would not have noticed IT falling. The banks outperformed today, Kotak +2.41%, AUBANK +2.32%, CANBK +2.22%, PNB +2.74% & ICICI +0.95%. If not for these, Nifty would have had a serious fall today Nifty’s low today was lower than yesterday’s low and it has closed the gap from 18th Jan. The OTMs of both Nifty and BankNifty were trading in green and sometimes had unusual spikes often seen during low liquidity. Despite the quick announcement to have a working day today - the actual traded volumes or contracts were not that bad either. Initially, we thought DII and FII would not participate, but they ended up selling 719 & 545 crores today 63mts chart Nifty was unable to get into the ascending channel despite results from RELIANCE and major banks. We suspect some weakness is haunting N50. It could completely be news/event-driven or related to the build-up for the budget session. The selling figures from the institutions may be because of this. From a technical analysis perspective, Nifty looks range bound between 21913 and 21491. Falling below 21491 could auto-trigger further shorts and it could even be an avalanche. Our stance remains neutral for Tuesday, also note that Monday will be a holiday for the consecration of Ram Mandir in Ayodhya.
NSE:NIFTY
by viswaram
10 Jan ’24 — 163pts pullback from a wedge - Nifty50 goes neutralNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ Recap from yesterday “Interesting price action formed at the current levels. Seems like where we are right now is a crucial support/resistance zone that could decide the next trend. Our call of bearishness will continue until N50 can break through the channel top line.” 4mts chart link Even without breaking the upper trend line, we had to change the stance from bearish to neutral today. The ball was in bear’s court today and they did not score. A small falling wedge pattern created a short squeeze that took N50 161pts ~ 0.75% higher. Credits to RELIANCE that contributed to ~ 40pts today. Momentum is everything in a trend, we will wait and watch how Nifty50 reacts to the expiry day tomorrow. 63mts chart link The last candle which is strongly is GREEN is standing out. Looks like the 21491 support is respected for now. If we fall below that tomorrow, we will not hesitate to switch back the stance to bearish. What the dominant animal is tomorrow - bear or bull is totally dependent on the opening 15mts.
NSE:NIFTY
by viswaram
RELIANCE | Investment Pick📊 DETAILS Sector: Oil Exploration and Production Mkt Cap: 1,581,655 cr Reliance was founded by Dhirubhai Ambani and is now promoted and managed by his elder son, Mukesh Dhirubhai Ambani. Ambani's family has about 50% shareholding in the conglomerate. TTM PE : 23.09 (Low PE) Sector PE : 29.20 Beta : 1.25 📚 INSIGHTS Mid-range performer Stock with medium financial performance with average price momentum and valuation. These stocks may be affordable and are showing some investors interest. 18.15% away from 52 week high Outperformer - Reliance Industries up by 0.82% v/s NIFTY 50 down by -1.11% in last 1 month 📈 FINANCIALS Piotroski Score of 6/9 indicates Average Financials Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only, and I'm not a SEBI registered analyst. If you found this analysis helpful, I encourage you to like and share it. Your observations and comments are also welcomed below. Your support, likes, follows, and comments motivate me to consistently share valuable insights with you. 🔍 More Analysis & Trade Setups 🔍 For more technical analysis and trade setups, make sure to follow me on TradingView: www.tradingview.com
NSE:RELIANCELong
by Munish_Jain
Time to Sell_ RelianceNamaste! Any stock can not sustain it's bullish behaviour, without a correction. Reliance has to correct, before going up again. It is the proved nature of markets. Why selling any stock is a good idea. 1. To buy it back at a lower prices, 2. To full-fill urgent needs of money, 3. To let the weak hands enjoy the euphoria and not to stay in the markets when there is an extreme optimism. So, I am suggesting a logical price to book profits in Reliance. The price would be Rs 3100. Why? Look, the people who would have bought at around Rs 1100, will be getting around 2.9 times of there investment amount. Hence, they will be booking profits, resulting in a correction. Okay, I will be sell it at the above price, but what if I want to buy it again. A: You have to wait for greater than 15% correction from All time highs, before buying it again. Because, In India, LTCG is around 10%, so you have to get the stock back at 15% or more correction, to compensate for your extra efforts. Disclaimer: The analysis I have shared is based on my understanding of the markets. Please do your due-diligence and you are solely responsible for your decisions.
NSE:RELIANCEShort
by UnknownUnicorn7637383
3
02 Jan ’24 — A Breakdown in Progress? 3 black crowsNifty Analysis - Stance: Neutral Recap from yesterday: “The last candle is looking quite deep and has almost negated the progress of 3 days. If it was not related to any news/event, the outcomes match quite strongly for an interim top-like formation.” 4mts chart link - click here The last 30mts action yesterday was not a blip, we got some continuity today. Nifty50 fell 199pts ~ 0.92% intraday to 21555 by 10.39 and then retraced 50% of that fall. The real impact was on BankNifty and not Nifty. Just like we often say, during trend reversals - BankNifty takes the lead and then Nifty50 follows. We did change the stance on BankNifty to bearish today (more on that in a while). Even NiftyIT took some beating today, the positive contributors to Nifty50 were BAJFINANCE, RELIANCE, and ADANIPORTS. In fact, BAJFINANCE was the main reason FinNifty and BankNifty had a variance of 0.46% today. 63mts chart link - click here We would like to maintain the stance on Nifty to neutral itself. The first target for a trend change will be the breach of the ascending channel top line approx 21530 levels. From a technical analysis perspective, we had the 3 black crows at 14.30 yesterday and the first 2 candles today. The last time we had a breakdown i.e. on 20th Dec, Nifty50 took support at the channel top line - so we must breach that now for extra confirmation.
NSE:NIFTY
by viswaram
Reliance chart studyReliance spot at 2600 Weekly time frame Horizontal resistance as per previous life high levels, from where counter have changed trend in past, Bearish wolf wave or wedge can also be considered as per formation. Need to keep close watch on price action on daily time frame, if counter is not able to breakout and sustain above life high levels, can retrace around 5-7-10% going ahead, counter have give around 20% move from 2200 levels one way so as per fibbo 50% retrace would give a good 8-10% fall in counter. life high levels remain a key point as the juncture
NSE:RELIANCE
by RUDRA007
Big Bullish Breakout in Reliance InfraA Bullish Breakout of Flag and Pole pattern is visible on the Daily chart of NSE:RELINFRA MACD will gave Positive crossover on Daily and already given positive crossover on Weekly and Monthly chart. So, expecting the momentum to continue. One can create a fresh position in the scrip as per the levels mentioned on the chart. Risk Disclaimer: The information provided in this analysis is based on my personal interpretation of market conditions and the available data at the time of writing. It is advisable to seek advice from a qualified financial professional and to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
NSE:RELINFRALong
by raigvivek