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NIFTY BANK TomorrowHey Everyone! A small market update about what has been going on lately and what may happen later. Ever since NIFTY BANK broke its two month long trend line upwards on 15th of June(Friday), the index has been seeing red till 20th of June(Wednesday). Ever since that trend reversal, a bullish parallel channel has formed. It is shown with the blue dotted lines in the chart. A channel can be used as an entry pattern for the continuation of an established trend, as part of a trend following strategy. Things to keep in mind for tomorrow: 1) If market opens close to the base of the green arrow, then we can expect a continuation of the upward channel. 2) If market opens close to the base of the red arrow then we may expect a strong correction downwards(1-2 days) This is my idea about the current market movement. Happy Options Trading ! :)
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by deepayann
BANKNIFTY NOWHi, I am an Options Trader. I am new to the Trading view sharing IDEAS platform. So, talking about BankNifty. I am referring to the 2H chart. We can see the sharp fall after the thrust of the reverse head and shoulders pattern(between 1st March and 26th April). Now where does it go next. BANKNIFTY is currently at 25875. This is a crucial zone. The "next support zone" shown in red around 25700-25600 is a possible target for shorting. We can see that BankNifty has already broken the green "Current Support zone" by a small margin. Lately sellers have been aggressive and it seems possible. If monday market starts with a good sell off then chances get higher. The red dotted lines indicate strong seller market. And the bold lines indicate the path of a 40-60 buyer-seller ratio market which is likely what will happen.
NSE:BANKNIFTYShort
by deepayann
ICICI Bank ( BULLS Vs BEAR ) Daily Chart As per daily chart in ICICI BANK Bears phase cycle is on swing with the negative impact of both Fundamentally on sector wise and as well as Technically. But as Fight Continue from Swing high of 307 Bears Attacked on Bulls with Three Consecutive Drag down Round upto 295 levels and Bears have More Power to Beat Bulls to the level 276.50 and more below 262 Levels as Gaps can be Closed below that LEVEL Please Like, Comment and Share your Views Thank you GOD Bless You Sachin Ghodke
NSE:ICICIBANKShort
by Sachin_Ghodke
Nifty: Price Action Macd Strategy: RevisitedFree stuff -- something which we ignore in haste. Unfortunately, whatever education I have been doling out is absolutely free. So please bear with me. Rules: ------- Only Long trades when price > 55 EMA Only short trades when price < 55 EMA ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Time Frame 1H ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Long Entry Preconditions: a) Price above 55 EMA b) MACD histogram above zero line --Positive Divergence seen on MACD signal line (a complementary condition for High probability Entries) Long Entry Trigger: Price break above Significant peak fractal of previous downwave OR the break above prior peak fractal high. Exit Strategy or Stop: Type 1 Exit Precondition: Negative Divergence seen on MACD signal line; and Trigger: Break below a consolidation level or the prior minor swing low Type 2 Exit Hourly close below 55 EMA Exit type I or type II whichever comes earlier ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Short Entry Preconditions: a) Price below 55 EMA b) MACD histogram below zero line --Negative Divergence seen on MACD signal line (a complementary condition for High probability Entries) Short Entry Trigger: Price break below Significant fractal of previous upwave OR the break below prior swing fractal low. Exit Strategy or Stop: Type 1 Exit Precondition: Positive Divergence seen on MACD signal line; and Trigger: Break above a consolidation level or the prior minor swing high Type 2 Exit Hourly close above 55 EMA Exit type I or type II whichever comes earlier ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ # If trade exited but price shoots back piercing out of 55 EMA or is already above/below 55 EMA , a break of previous peak fractal with MACD histogram above/below zero line triggers entry again. # Exit Strategy discussed above works well in long trades but chops in short trades. Tweaking a little by taking 1:1 or smaller targets (to previous support zones) instead of the Exit strategy may help in this issue. Backtesting 10/2017 to 2/2018: -------------------------------------- 9896/10413 = +517 *10331/10255 = +76 *10254/10130 = +124 10344/10355 = +11 *10211/10130 = +81 *10095/10148 = -53 10323/10210 = -113 *10210/10255 = -45 10374/10469 = +95 *10409/10504 = -95 10504/11009 = +505 *10878/10781 = +97 *10511/10411 = +100 *10379/10330 = +49 10475/10478 = +3 Profit points = +1352 What I have noticed is that this strategy works very well in a trending market. It help to ride the trend to this full potential. On short trades, we have to take profits at previous supports or else it will chop the profits. May be this is because we have been in a bull market. I sideways market there are hits and misses. I will try to further fine tune but keep in mind that no strategy works all the time, as visible from backtesting results. Do hit the like button for appreciation. Regards Bravetotrade
NSE:NIFTY
by Bravetotrade
4
Option Strategy before budget & quarterly result.Auro Pharma has announced 07.02.18 for results and the budget is on 01.02.18 so one can avoid the risk of volatility. The price has already moved down by 10% in last month. In this situation one can try the following strategy : 2/1 ratio call spread and put spread: a. Buy 660 call 2 lots 14 to 17 range (Current-Price 15.20) b. Sell 640 call 1 lot 21 to 26 range (Current-Price 22.30) c. Buy 600 put 2 lots 14 to 17 range (Current-Price 15.15) d. Sell 620 put 1 lot 21 to 26 range (Current-Price 22.65) Max loss In the range of 2700 to 7500 if price consolidate 660 to 600 band post result Profit 11000 to 18000 if price move above 706 or 555 post result One should hold it for 10 working days or post result
NSE:AUROPHARMA
by praveen.bhatiya
IOC looking weakIOC CMP 393.2 The stock looks likely to have made a triple top around 430-450 band - the stock is now trading below the yellow zone making it look weak - staying below the yellow line zone the stock may potentially head towards the green line zone around 360... - immediate support at 380 levels highlighted with dotted red line - sustaining above 405-408 levels might invalidate the pattern - The stock might consolidate between 408-380 levels till month end... Given the view One may consider Short Strangle strategy for IOC November expiry Sell IOC 30-November expiry 410 Call option & 380 Put option Lot size: 1500 Call Strike Price: 410 Price: 4.35 Put Strike Price: 380 Price: 4.3 Understanding Reward and Risk in the trade Max profit potential Rs 12975 per strategy lot if IOC closes anywhere in between 380 to 410 on 30-November 2017 Loss if IOC closes above 418.65 or below 371.35 on expiry day Take care & safe trading...!!! ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Below are links to previous updates on IOC and some other stocks where we have used Derivatives Strategies...
NSE:IOC
by indiamarketoutlook
SBIN Strategy for November monthSBIN CMP 316 Link to previous post The stock has jumped big time from 3-4 trading sessions back 250 odd levels to 320 odd levels - the stock has touched upper end of trend line and has stepped down signalling it to act as resistance - 305-312 is important level for SBI on the lower side Given the set up one may consider Short Strangle strategy for SBI November month Sell SBIN November expiry 300 Put option around 11 & SBIN November expiry 330 Call option around 13 Lot size 3000 Total incoming 3000 * (11+13) = Rs 72000 / - Maximum profit in this strategy is of Rs 72000/- if SBIN stays anywhere between 300-330 zone on expiry day i.e on 30-Nov-2017 ( For risk management consider to move out of the strategy if SBIN goes above 345 or below 290 in Equity ) The strategy covers some risk for movement beyond the range but do understand that Trading in Futures & Options involves risk. Loss will occur if SBIN closes above 354 or below 276 on expiry day so give importance to Risk Management Understand the risk:reward potential and do necessary homework before taking any decision Take care & safe strategy
NSE:SBIN
by indiamarketoutlook
2
PRICE ACTION MACD STRATEGY -- LEARN TO EARNREAD CAREFULLY TO LEARN AND EARN Strategy backtested below for two years from 12/2/2014 to 12/2/2016 Rules: Only Long tardes when 55 EMA is above 200 EMA Only short trades when 55<200 EMA Time Frame 1H Long Entry Preconditions: Price above 55 EMA Positive Divergence seen on MACD signal line (for High probability Entries) MACD histogram above zero line Long Entry Trigger: Price break above Significant peak fractal of previous downwave OR the break above prior peak fractal high. Exit Strategy or Stop: Type 1 Exit Precondition: Negative Divergence seen on MACD signal line; and Trigger: Break below a consolidation level or the prior minor swing low Type 2 Exit Hourly close below 55 EMA Exit type I or type II whichever comes earlier # If trade exited but price shoots back piercing out of 55 EMA or is already above 55 EMA, a break of previous peak fractal with MACD histogram above zero line triggers entry again. # Exit Strategy discussed above works well in long trades but chops in short trades. Tweaking a little by taking 1:1 or smaller targets instead of the Exit strategy may help in this issue. Back Testing 12/2/2014 to 12/2/2016 1) E=6283 Ex=6487 +204 2) E=6575 Ex=6723 +148 3) E=6725 S=6743 +18 4) E=6749 Ex=6808 +59 5) E=6741 Ex=7269 +528 6) E=7345 Ex=7589 +244 7) E=7572 S=7530 -42 8) E=7548 Ex=7740 +192 9) E=7734 Ex=7770 +36 10) E=7709 Ex=8056 +347 11) E=8051 Ex=8064 +13 12) E=7815 Ex=7759* +56 13) E=7928 Ex= 8364 +436 14) E=8455 Ex=8521 +66 15) E=8152 Ex=7995* +157 16) E=8206 S=8270* -64 17) E=8148 S=8281* -133 18) E=8531 Ex=8861 +330 19) E=8681 Ex=8791 +110 20) E=8840 Ex=8862 +22 21) E=9612 Ex=8413* +1199 22) E=8808 S=8732 -76 23) E=8284 S=8311* -27 24) E=8270 Ex=8066* +204 25) E=8421 S=8390 -31 26) E=8428 Ex=8557 +129 27) E=8461 Ex=8549 +88 28) E=8322 Ex=7559* +763 29) E=8180 Ex=8210 +30 30) E=7988 Ex=7784* +204 31) E=7812 Ex=7682* +130 32) E=7945 S=7905 -40 33) E=7556 Ex=7403* +153 34) E=7402 S=7463* -61 35) E=7255 Ex=6884 +371 #Trades with asterisk mark (*) at the end are short trades. Winning Trades= 27 Profit= 6237 points Losing Trades= 8 Loss=474 points Net points= 5763 Profit with one lot= Rs4,32,225 I have also tested this strategy for current year but I ll update the results later as its very time consuming. It has been observed that the strategy keeps us in a trade as long as trend is strong. The losses made in the strategy are quite manageable due to price action and divergence combination. Maximum loss made in a trade was 133 points and maximum profit was 1199 points. I ll further test this strategy; and the comments of fellow traders can surely help in fine tuning. I have noticed some fellows make carbon copies of already published ideas :) Its a highly undesirable practice and should be avoided by all means. B'coz readers can differentiate between the original idea and the copied one. Hope I made my point. Trade safe and stay healthy. Do hit like and comment. Best Regards Bravetotrade
NSE:NIFTY
by Bravetotrade
39
Rcom: Short sell Strategy with cautionRcom CMP 24.65 The stock is at 50 day EMA One may consider selling RCom July contract Option Type: Call Option Lot size: 14000 Strike Price: 25 Price: 1 Margin requirement Rs 80000/- approximately Max profit potential of Rs 14000/- per lot or max 17.5% yield potential on margin requirement In built loss protection for rise in stock up to 26 level on expiry day Do review your trading plan & plan your trade accordingly... Take care & safe trading...!!!
NSE:RCOMShort
by indiamarketoutlook
Nifty: A Simple Strategy Yielding Lacs.I am surprised to see how this simple strategy could yield such handsome return in the Index futures. Time Period= 1 June till date Chart= 15 min. Rules: 1. Divergence on Stochastics associated with inverse price movement 2. Entry @ break above/below immediately preceding "minor" swing high/low 3. Stop @ below/above immediately preceding "significant" swing low/high 4. Target @ immediately preceding "significant" swing high/low point 5. Would not trigger entry on gap openings, wait for price to pull back to entry or else trade will be missed 6. After entry, if target missed by few points then close position on break of a succeeding minor swing or consolidation pattern, whichever hits earlier 7. Minimum Risk to Reward Ratio should be 1:1 or else trade will be missed. 8. No support or resistance from higher time frame taken into account 9. All the entries taken with Stop loss and Limit orders. 10. Carry forward as long as target or stop is not hit. Trades: Trade1=33 pts. Trade2=16* Trade3=31 Trade4=34 Trade5=32 Trade6=13* Trade7=47 Trade8=37 Total= 243 Profit on single lot= 243*75=18225 For earning 1 Lac or more one should have traded at least 6 lots. * In Trade 2 and 6 target was missed by a few points so as per rules the position is closed at the break of succeeding consolidations pattern. #Trade missed @ Divergence 3 because of poor RRR Although this strategy yielded 100% success with no Stops hit yet it should be noted that we totally missed the shorting opportunity from 9700 to 9565 on 22nd June. The strategy might be successful in sideways to moderately bearish/bullish environment. Will it be good in a trending market is still a question mark for me, perhaps we will get the answer in coming days. Kindly cooperate if am wrong in my calculations somewhere but i suppose the purpose of this post is clear to everybody. Trade safe, stay healthy. Best Regards Afraidtotrade
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by Bravetotrade
35
My Intraday StrategyI have a very simple Intraday strategy which works really good. I would like to know your comments, advice or any faults you think my system might have, do paper trade this before actual trading. After market hours I scan stocks in the 15 min time frame to find out which stocks have broken above or below a range of say 20 bars behind. Meaning from last 300 mins range of the stock and a break above or below that at day end. After seeing the breakout I generally see the volume with which the stock has broken the range either above or below and the closing price at end of the day. If the volume is above average till the end that gives me an idea that the probability of the stock moving in the direction of the breakout or breakdown is more at the next day opening. RSI or the relative strength index plays a crucial role too. In case of a breakout the RSI should be nearing 70 and ready to cross it from below ie sloping upwards. In case of a breakdown RSi should be sloping downwards and ready to go below 40-38-35 levels from above. When these three factors come into play, I decide the price at which i will keep a buying stop order in case of a breakout and selling stop order incase of a breakdown and place the order after premarket close ie at 9.07am. I immediately place my stops as soon the market takes my orders. I will wait for 45mins to an hour to see if my trade entered is moving or then i exit at CMP. Youll can see from the ideas that i have published that mostly i do get good quick trades. except todays HDFC bANK which isnt going anywhere. Please let me know your feedback! Thanks
NSE:TATASTEEL
by crinvestments
40