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30 year interest rate channel broke out. Are we staring at bigger equity crash like 1987 or 1930?
This chart looks at US 10 Year Bond Yield over last 30 years.
The yield was in a downtrend and in a falling channel for 30 years until now where it broke out above the channel. This may signal a near term top on Equity markets.
Purely educational not to be taken as advice
India Bonds were on a long term downtrend, Now daily as well as weekly structure looks positive now.
SELF EXPLANATORY CHART
US 10 year yield at 2.80%. (Price falling)
Cup pattern breakout seen at 2.67%.
3% plus possible.
Not a good sign for global equity markets.
Globally the theme of Central Bankers tightening monetary policy is well captured with German yields hitting new yearly highs. Interest rates are rising all across the Globe and emerging markets need to make note of this. Yields could be testing 1% in the coming months if crude continues its upturn.
10 year yield broken 2 year resistance.
It is currently in the middle of the upward channel.
2 year resistance line could possibly act as a support which is at 7.50%-7.52%.
Yields could possibly retest support and then spike towards 8%.
Bond traders should ideally look to go short in price (long in yields at 7.50%) with stop at yield equivalent of ...
German10Yr v/s Comex Gold