Government bonds
2s10s, gives an understanding on how spreads will behaveGives an understanding on how spreads will behave, either leading or lagging indicator of the same
US10Y & SP500 | CRISIS ANALYSIS - BANKING SYSTEM MELTDOWN*From oct 2018 to dec 2019 there is very strong divergence of -42% between falling US10Y and rising S&P 500.(On every falling US10Y there is average of 60% correlation with S&P500).
*Corona virus Activated the convergence process and covered almost +70% to set the overall correlation at +34%.
*There is remaining 30-40% convergence left to align US10Y and S&P500.(Expecting alignment on lower trend channel).
US Inversion of Yield CurveThe yield curve has been recently uninverted, maybe due to Fed's short-term buying program.
Long The Fed is high likely Going to increase the Interest rate and bond yields i am expecting to rise , it might consolidate for day or tow but this move is coming , No one can stop it
Long Now Interest rate on 10 Year Bond is about to a shoot up , one can look to Go long if they trade and stay with it till it makes to 8.25 +
us10y1) RSI weekly at 40
2) triple bottom and resistance at channel trendline
3) Fed meet ahead
Are we looking for trend reversal?
US 10 Y30 year interest rate channel broke out. Are we staring at bigger equity crash like 1987 or 1930?
Tough times ahead for Stock Markets?This chart looks at US 10 Year Bond Yield over last 30 years.
The yield was in a downtrend and in a falling channel for 30 years until now where it broke out above the channel. This may signal a near term top on Equity markets.
Purely educational not to be taken as advice
India Bonds To BreakoutIndia Bonds were on a long term downtrend, Now daily as well as weekly structure looks positive now.
US 10 year yield - Can spike furtherUS 10 year yield at 2.80%. (Price falling)
Weekly chart
Cup pattern breakout seen at 2.67%.
3% plus possible.
Not a good sign for global equity markets.
German 10 Yr Yields hit new highs @0.71%Globally the theme of Central Bankers tightening monetary policy is well captured with German yields hitting new yearly highs. Interest rates are rising all across the Globe and emerging markets need to make note of this. Yields could be testing 1% in the coming months if crude continues its upturn.
Indian govt 10y bond yields set to spikeWeekly chart
10 year yield broken 2 year resistance.
It is currently in the middle of the upward channel.
2 year resistance line could possibly act as a support which is at 7.50%-7.52%.
Yields could possibly retest support and then spike towards 8%.
Bond traders should ideally look to go short in price (long in yields at 7.50%) with stop at yield equivalent of 7.29% for a target of a price at yield equivalent of 8%.
