viswaram

20 Mar ’24 — Nifty50, 220pts recovery? Weak hands will spoil it

Short
NSE:NIFTY   Nifty 50 Index
Nifty Analysis - Stance Bearish⬇️
Recap from yesterday: “Once we breached the support, there was no attempt to retrace. One thing is missing though — momentum. The weak hands still hold the shorts..”

4mts chart
Nifty went ahead and broke the recent swing low. The lowest point today was 21710. From the open till 10.47 - the index played as per script, but what needs attention today is the 220pts ~ 1.02% recovery. I am reiterating how bad the situation is when “weak hands” hold the CE shorts. Thankfully we did not cut through the 21913 resistance, otherwise whatever bearish setup we had created would have split open.
There is also mention of BankNifty falling, but needing to fall more. The index only lost 0.16% today, that's not enough to break through the PUT shorters. Momentum is a great thing in technical analysis, the trend starts only when the momentum is in favor because if things stay as it is - markets will recover.
On the 63mts time frame, Nifty is perfectly positioned. Today’s down move was received well among the traders, just when we thought a bigger movement was going to happen - the reversal took place. Tomorrow is the weekly expiry and things could get interesting. We still maintain the bearish stance below 21913.

63mts chart


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