viswaram

1st Dec ’23 - Nifty on the cusp of Breakout? PostMortem Analysis

Long
NSE:NIFTY   Nifty 50 Index
Nifty Analysis
Recap from yesterday: “On the 1hr TF, 20015 was today’s stop and reversal level. The hourly candle seemed pretty strong, but some credibility has to be given to this new support level. I wish to continue with my bullish stance, the upper target will be the ATH and the lower target will be the new support of 20015.”

5mts chart link - click here
It is official guys, we have a new all-time high - 20291.55. Things were looking long right from the gap up. The first 5mts candle continued gaining momentum despite the gap-up, usually we see some profit bookings - but today was different. Overnight exit-polls results may have enticed the markets and the gap-ups are the secret weapon Nifty uses to overpower the bears.

1hr chart link - click here.
Once Nifty broke out from the 19875 levels, the long-only stance has given multifold returns. With all eyes on the Dec 03 election results, a stable political environment is the best case for the markets. A coalition or an upset is not usually good for the markets in the short-run. And I would not prefer to apply technical analysis for Monday as it will be overpowered by News flow. But I still prefer to go long.

1D chart link - click here
On the daily time frame, Nifty has broken out from a previous ATH that was hit on 15th Sep. We almost went down 6.6% before reclaiming the top. I would like to see this as a breakout with a new higher high in the cards. For this to happen, BankNifty has to reclaim its ATH (will discuss shortly).

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.