viswaram

23 Jan ’24 — 5 strong RED candles & a broken support - Nifty50

Short
NSE:NIFTY   Nifty 50 Index
Nifty Analysis - Stance Bearish ⬇️
Recap from yesterday: “Nifty was unable to get into the ascending channel despite results from RELIANCE and major banks. We suspect some weakness is haunting N50. It could completely be news/event-driven or related to the build-up for the budget session. The selling figures from the institutions may be because of this. From a technical analysis perspective, Nifty looks range bound between 21913 and 21491. Falling below 21491 could auto-trigger further shorts and it could even be an avalanche.”

4mts chart
Last week you saw a 2% fall in Nifty and today it was just 1.54% but the “real intensity” would be missing if you just looked at the headline numbers. Today Nifty fell a whopping 559pts ~ 2.57% HOD to LOD. The gap-up would have trapped a lot of traders today. Most of them would have come ready to hit the BUY button after the euphoria from “Ayodha Temple Inauguration yesterday”. Or it could just be a profit booking as the event is over, we need to understand the run-up to this level was more than ecstatic.

63mts chart
We broke the 21491 support by 12.24. Just look at the strength of the candles today - 5 RED candles followed by a Doji. Our stance changed from neutral to bearish as soon as the support was breached. The bullish channel looks broken and maybe it is time for bears to launch their attack. Ayodhya's Inauguration was on 22/1/24 and Nifty ATH is 22124 - guess both these numbers are here to stay for a while. 21038 is the next support followed by 20774.

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