26 Sep ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty - Neutral with a bearish tint

NSE:NIFTY   Nifty 50 Index
Nifty Analysis
Recap from yesterday: ”I wish to change my stance to neutral as long as we remain between these 2 orange lines. Personally I prefer if Nifty breaks down and retests the August lows by this Thursday.”.
The prediction came out exactly true, but the trading results today were not satisfactory. Nifty stayed in a very tight range today with no indication of a breakdown.
I assume most traders were looking out for bullish opportunities, the swift move from 11.30 to 13.00 yesterday would have given some hope to the bulls. As soon as the markets opened this bullish case was not that strong, so I was looking out for moderately bearish to range bound trade possibilities.

Since it was the FinNifty expiry today, I committed the margin to a few OTMs of that index. When the opportunity came, I was unable to exit and take positions in Nifty. The opportunity did not last that long because markets were range bound.

On the 1hr chart we are almost at the centre point of the orange lines (support and resistance) i.e. 19562 and 19786. Nifty has to either fall below or rise above one of these lines to make the big move. Personally I prefer if it breaks the support and falls to the 19470 levels by tomorrow. As long as Nifty does not do that - I wish to maintain my neutral stance.


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