๐Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!๐
Dear Money Makers & Thieves, ๐ค ๐ฐ๐ฑโ๐ค๐ฑโ๐
Based on ๐ฅThief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis๐ฅ, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. ๐๐ธBook Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.๐ช๐๐
Entry ๐ : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (2890) then make your move - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
Stop Loss ๐: Thief SL placed at 2930 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 1H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target ๐ฏ: 2830 (or) Escape Before the Target
๐งฒScalpers, take note ๐ : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money ๐ฐ.
๐ฐ๐๏ธFundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental, Positioning, Overall Outlook:
โฐโโคXAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal Market is currently experiencing a bearish trend,., driven by several key factors.
โฐโโคFundamental Analysis
Rates: Fed at 3-3.5%, ECB/BoJ lowerโneutral to bearish.
Inflation: U.S. PCE 2.6%, global 2.5-3%โbullish.
Demand: Central banks, ETFs strongโbullish.
Geopolitics: Tariffs, Russia-Ukraineโbullish.
USD: DXY 106.00, slight softnessโmildly bullish.
โฐโโคMacroeconomic Factors
U.S.: Weak PMI (50.4), jobless claims upโbullish.
Global: China 4.5%, Eurozone 1.2%โsafe-haven lift.
Commodities: Oil $70.44โsupports gold premium.
Trump: Tariffs inflate costsโbullish.
โฐโโคCOT Data
Speculators: Net long 55,000โcooling but bullish.
Hedgers: Net short 65,000โstable.
Open Interest: 125,000โsustained interest.
Market Sentiment Analysis
Retail: 59% shortโcontrarian upside risk.
Institutional: Bullish to $3000, short-term caution.
Corporate: Miners hedge 2920-2940โneutral.
Social Media : Mixed, bearish near-term (2880-2906).
Broker: 60% longโcrowded.
โฐโโคPositioning Analysis
Speculative: Longs to 2949, shorts to 2880.
Retail: Shorts at 2918-2924โsqueeze risk.
Institutional: Balanced, inflation bets.
Corporate: Hedging stabilizes.
โฐโโคQuantitative Analysis
SMAs: 50-day 2850, 200-day 2650โbullish.
RSI: 48โneutral.
Bollinger: 2890-2930โconsolidation.
Fibonacci: 50% at 2909.47โpivot.
Volatility: 12%, ยฑ35 points daily.
โฐโโคIntermarket Analysis
DXY: 106.00, softโbullish.
EUR/USD: <1.0500โcaps gains.
Gold: Aligns with CHF/JPYโsafe-haven.
Equities: S&P 5960-6120โneutral.
Bonds: U.S. 3.8% yieldโpressures gold.
โฐโโคNews and Events Analysis
Recent: Tariffs, weak U.S. dataโbullish.
Upcoming: PCE (Feb 28)โkey USD driver.
Impact: Bullish short-term, bearish risk if PCE hot.
โฐโโคNext Trend Move
Technical: Support 2906-2891, resistance 2949-2955.
Short-Term: Dip to 2906-2880, rebound to 2949.
Medium-Term: Range 2850-3000.
Triggers: Bullishโsoft PCE; Bearishโhot PCE.
โฐโโคOverall Summary Outlook
XAU/USD at 2910.00: Bullish fundamentals (inflation, tariffs) vs. bearish USD strength. Short-term dip to 2880, medium-term to 3000 if catalysts hit.
โฐโโคFuture Prediction
Bullish: 2980-3000 by Q2 2025 (soft USD, tariffs).
Bearish: 2850-2864 (hot PCE, Fed hawkish).
Prediction: Bearish to 2880 short-term, bullish to 2980 mid-2025.
๐Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
โ ๏ธTrading Alert : News Releases and Position Management ๐ฐ ๐๏ธ ๐ซ๐
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
๐Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money ๐ฐ๐ต Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.๐๐ช๐คโค๏ธ๐๐
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned ๐ค๐ฑโ๐ค๐ค๐คฉ