Black Friday giveaway - Win a Pro, Pro+, and a Premium plan!Hey everyone! 👋
As you may know, we are having our Black Friday sale in the latter half of this month. So, to celebrate this, we are giving away a Pro, a Pro+, and a Premium plan to you, our community of traders and investors.
All you have to do is subscribe to our weekly newsletter and join the family of over 2.9 million readers. If you’re already subscribed, keep reading to learn how you can win.
What is our weekly community newsletter?
Our weekly newsletter is built for one purpose: to keep you up to date in the markets. We include educational posts and ideas from our community, top scripts, an earnings calendar, an economic calendar, and more to prepare you for each week.
How to subscribe to our weekly newsletter?
1. Go to the top right-hand side of your screen, click on the display picture, and then select “ Profile settings ”.
2. Then click on the “ Notifications ” tab.
3. Once you open the notifications, you will see various options under the “ Email preferences ” tab. Just check the “ Weekly digest ” option and save changes. That’s it, you are good to go!
4. Once you are done subscribing to the newsletter, just sit back, and relax. We send our newsletter each Monday morning and we’ll be sharing the contest details. Make sure to open the next newsletter! Set a reminder for Monday at 9 AM.
When you receive our next newsletter, follow the instructions and you will be entered for a chance to win. We look forward to seeing you. Oh, and please feel free to send us any feedback about our newsletter. We especially want to hear if you enjoy it or if there’s anything you would like to see added!
Let’s go! ❤
– Team TradingView
Community ideas
How to use the Multi-layout feature?If you track several markets or if you need to track multiple symbols simultaneously, the multi-layout feature is the way to go. It enables you to track different markets or the same symbol simultaneously on different time frames. This particularly comes in handy if you trade indices and need to track the constituents to observe their price behaviour.
Example : If you trade Bank Nifty index futures or options, you can track the top constituents of the index. This will help you in assessing which constituents are pulling up or dragging the index and how the overall move can unfold.
This short visual guide will help you in accessing and customizing the multi-layout feature. Let’s get started!
1. Open the homepage of TradingView, go to “ Products ” and then open your chart layout.
2. Once you are on the chart page, you’ll see a small square icon at the top-right hand side of the screen. This is the “ Layout ” option. Click on it to view different available options.
3. As soon as you click on it, you’ll be greeted with a small window showing various combinations of horizontal and vertical layouts .
4. You can select the desired layout as per your needs. The vertical layouts look great on monitors in landscape mode, whereas the horizontal layouts go with portrait mode.
Please note that the number of charts per tab varies with the subscription type. The limit is as follows:
Free plan- 1 chart (Can’t use the multi-chart feature)
Pro plan - 2 charts
Pro+ plan - 4 charts
Premium plan - 8 charts
If you need to upgrade your account, be sure to check our Black Friday sale . You can get up to 60% off on subscriptions.
5. As we mentioned earlier, the multi-layout feature enables you to track several markets simultaneously or the same symbol on different time frames.
Example: Tracking different markets
Example: Tracking the same symbol on different time-frames
Observing the same symbol on multiple time frames provide easy insight into the multi-time frame analysis.
6. There are also a few synchronization options. You can synchronize the symbol, interval, time, crosshair, and date range between the charts. You can just select the sync option by just clicking on it.
Thanks for reading! Hope this was helpful!
See you all next week. 🙂
– Team TradingView
Feel free to check us out on Twitter and Instagram for more awesome content! 💘
10 things to remember about bear markets, volatility, and panicTrading & investing is not easy. If it were, everyone would be rich.
One of the most difficult moments for all traders, and especially investors, is when markets are abnormally bearish, trending downward or in a direction that goes against their positions. Adding to that difficulty is when volatility is rising and when uncertainty is high. These events have occurred throughout market history and should be expected. Every trader or investor should remember a simple truth: markets will go against you at some point. Be prepared.
Learning to trade or invest in bearish and volatile markets requires great skill, experience, and composure. The last 12 months have demonstrated that. Stocks, bonds, forex, crypto, and futures have seen heightened volatility over the last 12 months. So what should we do? What now?
Let's revisit the basics - the skills, traits, and mindset that are required to survive these moments.
1. Plan ahead 🗺
Plan your trade, trade your plan. Every trade, and every investment, should have an underlying plan. Write out the basic questions before you buy or sell. For example, what is your desired entry price? What is your desired exit price? What is your stop loss? How much money are you risking? Why are you making this trade or investment in the first place? In times of volatility, these questions matter more than ever. Get back to the basics.
2. Don't rush 🧘♂️
Volatility, and especially market panic, cause people to make quick reactions. The pressure, the fast price action, often forces people to act without a moment to revisit their original plan. Don't do this! Take your time. Stay composed and deal with the hand you have been dealt.
3. Be patient with entries 🎯
Many traders & investors speak of buying dips, but this phrase does explain the steps required. You don't buy dips without a plan. You plan out your strategy, you wait for the perfect entry, and you let the market come to you. When the market is in a downtrend, and volatility is high, it is paramount that you remain patient, waiting for the perfect entry. Use limit orders wisely.
4. Know your timeframe ⏰
Are you trading for one day? One month? Or 5 years? These basic questions will remind you of what you're trying to accomplish and how rushed or patient you should really be. They will also remind you about the chart you should be looking at, whether you should be zoomed in to a 30-minute chart or zoomed out to a weekly chart, showing years of price history.
5. Have an exit strategy 🚨
An exit strategy means that no matter what happens, you know where your stop loss is and you know where your profit target is. No matter what happens, up or down or sideways, you have an exit plan. Do not leave any entry or exit up to chance. Create your exit strategy before you place the trade and follow it.
6. Tighten position size 💪
Added volatility and uncertainty need to be factored into your game plan before it begins in the first place. However, many new investors and traders forget to do this. If that's you, it's time to adjust your strategy, and your plan, for larger trading ranges, and volatility. The year-long trends that defined a previous market are now less valid.
7. Zoom out for historical context 🔎
Zoom out on your charts. Then keep zooming out. And now zoom out some more. Circle the latest candle, line, or price movement and let it serve as a reminder about where the price is today vs. where it came from. There's a saying: when in doubt, zoom out. Do not get lost in the moment, looking only at the day or week, but instead go research the entire history of price. Learn about what has happened in the past.
8. Cash is a position 💸
Want to dollar cost average into a trade? Want to buy more? Want to trade more? You need cash to do that. There is comfort in being able to participate in the volatility whenever you want. Cash is a position and guarantees this.
9. Avoid panic, FUD, and FOMO 😳
When emotions are running high, some of the biggest psychological mistakes can occur. FUD stands for fear, uncertainty, and doom. FOMO stands for fear of missing out. These are two common emotions in crashing markets. On one hand, everyone thinks the end is near and then on the other hand every little up move is the next bull run. Do not let these emotions take you.
10. Take a break 😀
Sometimes it helps to step away. Log out, close your apps, get outside and get some exercise. Come back to the markets when you're ready. Your mind will also be well rested now.
We hope you enjoyed this post and we hope it helps you as you navigate the markets.
Please feel free to write any additional tips or pieces of advice in the comments section below!
See you all next week. 🙂
– Team TradingView
Do check us out on Instagram and YouTube for more awesome content! 💘
'LEAP' the 'GAP' with the knowledge !!!Definition of a Gap:-
- Gap is a space left behind by a script in its price chart.
- It is the area of discontinuity price in the respective script.
- The reason may be anything but generally it occurs due to sudden changes in the sentiment of the market due to some events or news related to the particular script.
Types of Gaps:-
1. Common Gaps -
These gaps are not so certain to be considered. They are visible casually and almost every day as we have seen Nifty gaps up or down daily without any event or news. They have a high tendency to be filled (price generally comes back to that gap).
2. Breakaway Gaps -
A much more significant gap indicates the start of a new trend. Often seen at resistance or support points for example a stock is trading in a small band bounded with resistance and support and suddenly breaks the band with a gap on either side, now this gap indicates the start of the new trend which is according to the level which is broken.
Higher volumes at the gap point further confirm the move.
3. Runaway Gaps -
Runaway gaps are quite similar to the above one but, the major difference between them is runaway gaps are seen in the middle of the trend and breakaway gaps are seen before the trend. This gap indicates the strength of the trend and confirms the buying/selling interest in the stock.
This gap generally occurs in aggressive buying/selling interest due to news or events.
4. Exhaustion Gaps -
These gaps occur at the stage of exhaustion of the trend i.e. the trend is very close to finishing. If spotted correctly it could provide you exit at a very sweet spot. It is a typical sign of trend reversal. It generally occurs after the spike in the price of the stock.
This indicates that the market players are not interested to take the position at such a high/low price. The volumes would be unusual in this case.
My Observation: Breakaway and Exhaustion gaps can be spotted with help of RSI, if you RSI at choppy levels i.e. 40-60, and a significant gap is formed it is generally a breakaway gap. And if RSI is at extreme levels i.e. 15 or 85 and a significant gap is formed it is usually an exhaustion gap.
Trend is your friend & the fallacy of catching reversalsHere in this video, I discuss with you a losing trade which I took today and what we can learn from it.
I also share with you important things regarding gaps , and how a beginner is always trapped in reversals and why it's profitable to stay on the current side of the trend.
Follow @piyushrawtani if you find this video helpful .
Rounding Top patternHey everyone! 👋
Last week, we wrote about the "Rounding bottom" pattern. If you missed last week’s post, you can catch up here:
Today we are going to cover the "Rounding top" pattern along with a few examples.
Please remember this is an educational post to help all of our members better understand concepts used in trading or investing. This in no way promotes a particular style of trading!
The post will shed some light on the following topics:
➡ Basics and identification of the pattern
➡ Components
➡ Important aspects
What is a Rounding top pattern?
• A rounding bottom is a bearish reversal pattern that resembles the shape of the inverted "U".
• Rounding top pattern occur at the end of long uptrends and indicate a potential reversal.
• The pattern is also referred to as an inverted saucer due to its resemblance to an inverted saucer.
• Although, the volume and price move in sync but in practice, this can vary widely.
• When the price moves down from the neckline, it indicates weakness and suggests that the stock may begin a new downtrend.
Components of a Cup and Handle pattern:
A rounding bottom pattern can be divided into three main parts.
• Advance
• Formation of the base
• Decline
Important aspects:
1. Prior Trend: Since it is a bearish reversal pattern, the prior trend must be an uptrend. The top of a rounding bottom should ideally mark a new high or reaction high. The stock may trade sideways or flat for a long duration before the formation of the pattern.
2. Advance: The advance that leads to the formation of the high, can take a variety of forms. Sometimes, the up move has many whipsaws while other times, the stock may just trade flat.
3. High: In general, the pattern resembles an inverted "U" shaped top. However, it can also resemble an inverted "V" or an "M," but the high should not be too sharp. In addition to this, there is always a possibility of a new high due to a buying climax.
4. Decline: In general, the formation of the right half of the pattern should take about the same amount of time as the left half. This means that the down move of the highs should take about the same time as the up move. Moreover, the decline shouldn't be too sharp, or else there is a possibility of a bear trap.
5. Breakdown: The pattern is confirmed once the price breaks and sustains below the neckline. The price may return to the neckline to test for the supply before continuing downwards.
6. Volume: In general, the volume levels should be
- High during the up move
- Low during the formation of the base
- Rising during the down move
However, these are only guidelines and should not necessarily be taken at face value.
7. Target: Using the measurement objective, the target comes out to be equal to the depth of the base. It can be measured by calculating the distance between the bottom of the base and the neckline.
8. Stop-loss: Ideally, the stop loss is placed at the highest point of the base. But if the price oscillated up and down a number of times near the neckline, the stop-loss can also be placed above the most recent swing high.
Exhibit: Rounding top pattern with a failed breakout
Thanks for reading! As we mentioned before, this isn't trading advice, but rather information about a tool that many traders use. Hope this was helpful!
See you all next week. 🙂
– Team TradingView
Feel free to check us out on Instagram and YouTube for more awesome content! 💘
Rounding Bottom patternHey everyone! 👋
Today we are going to share a quick write-up about the “Rounding bottom” formation, along with a few examples that may help you solidify your understanding of this chart pattern.
Please remember this is an educational post to help all of our members better understand concepts used in trading or investing. This in no way promotes a particular style of trading!
The post will shed some light on the following topics:
➡ Basics and identification of the pattern
➡ Components
➡ Important aspects
What is a Rounding bottom pattern?
• A rounding bottom is a bullish reversal pattern that resembles the shape of the "U".
• Rounding bottom pattern occur at the end of long downtrends and indicate a potential reversal.
• The pattern is also referred to as a saucer bottom due to its resemblance to a saucer.
• Although, the volume and price move in sync but in practice, this can vary widely.
• When the price moves above the neckline, it indicates strength and suggests that the stock may begin a new uptrend.
Components of a Cup and Handle pattern:
A rounding bottom pattern can be divided into three main parts.
• Decline
• Formation of the base
• Advance
Important aspects:
1. Prior Trend: Since it is a bullish reversal pattern, the prior trend must be a downtrend. The low of a rounding bottom should ideally mark a new low or reaction low. The stock may trade sideways or flat for a long duration before the formation of the pattern.
2. Decline: The sell-off or decline that leads to the formation of the low, can take a variety of forms. Sometimes, the down move has many whipsaws while other times, the stock may just trade flat.
3. Low: In general, the pattern resembles a "U" shaped bottom. However, it can also resemble a "V" or a "W," but the low should not be too sharp. In addition to this, there is always a possibility of a new low due to a selling climax.
4. Advance: In general, the formation of the right half of the pattern should take about the same amount of time as the left half. This means that the up move off the lows should take about the same time as the down move. Moreover, the advance shouldn't be too sharp, or else there is a possibility of breakout failure.
5. Breakout: The pattern is confirmed once the price breaks and sustains above the neckline. The price may return to the neckline to test for the demand before continuing upwards.
6. Volume: In general, the volume levels should be
➡ High during the down move
➡ Low during the formation of the base
➡ Rising during the up move
However, these are only guidelines and should not necessarily be taken at face value.
7. Target: Using the measurement objective, the target comes out to be equal to the depth of the base. It can be measured by calculating the distance between the bottom of the base and the neckline.
8. Stop-loss: Ideally, the stop loss is placed at the lowest point of the base. But if the price oscillated up and down a number of times near the neckline, the stop-loss can also be placed below the most recent swing low.
Exhibit: Rounding bottom pattern with a failed breakout
Thanks for reading! As we mentioned before, this isn't trading advice, but rather information about a tool that many traders use. Hope this was helpful!
See you all next week. 🙂
– Team TradingView
Feel free to check us out on Instagram and YouTube for more awesome content! 💘
CHOOSING OPTIONS STRIKEChoosing wrong strike prices can lead to big losses even when our analysis is right. It's due to Theta decay.
So Lets understand some basics of options strike price.
There are three types of strike prices based on their moneyness.
1)ATM (At the Money)
2)OTM (Out of the Money)
3)ITM (In the Money)
FOR CALL OPTIONS :
Lets assume Stock ABC is trading at 150 (spot price). Then,
Spot price = 150
ATM Strike = 150
Any strike above spot price is OTM for call option.
Ex : 160 ,170,180 etc.,
Any strike below spot price is ITM for call option.
Ex : 140, 130, 120 etc.,
FOR PUT OPTIONS :
Stock ABC is trading at 150 (spot price).
Spot price = 150
ATM Strike = 150
Any strike above spot price is ITM for put option.
Ex : 160 ,170,180 etc.,
Any strike below spot price is OTM for put option.
Ex : 140, 130, 120 etc.,
HOW TO CHOOSE THE STRIKE AMONG THE ABOVE THREE MONEYNESS
1)Follow a simple rule, Buy a strike price which is closer to the spot price. "OTM STRIKES ARE BIG NO" .
2) Remember! when we are buying an option, the stock / index needs to move up / down with a good momentum. So that our option will gain some value & we will be in profit.
So it doesn't make sense to buy a OTM call / put. Because if a strike price is far away from spot price, it won't give us much movement due to time decay.
I have even shared my option strike rules as follow.
Friday, Monday & Tuesday = ATM strikes
Wednesday & Thursday = ITM strikes
This is how I used to pick strikes for intraday. The reason is simple because, if we are closer to the expiry (Thursday) the effect of theta decay is very high. Due to which our premiums will not move much even if the stock / index has moved pretty well. By following these rules, our chances of losing money will drop drastically.
Happy Learning & Earning :)
- DivyaaPugal
Different Methods to Identify Perfect Entries with ConfluenceBasics of Trading and the areas of interest of every trader to have minimum knowledge to understand the market and its movement.
Volume Based Entries
Basics of Volume When the price is trending volume will be above volume moving average that will be considered as trend, when volume is too high in a session thats higher than 3x to volume moving average that will be considered as climax which means maximum orders are filled in the exsisting trend. Apart from stocks if such Climax pattern in volume in any format is seen then consider there might be a reversal soon. If one is trading in the stocks you get to see this ultra high volumes in gap ups and gap downs, now you will have to know what sort of gap it is to take entries which we will discuss in the Gaps later.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gaps
Gaps theory needs to be understood properly, over 4 kinds of Gaps are found in charts. Simple understanding follows :
Common Gaps : Normal gaps that happen every day with in a ranging market
Break Away Gaps : If a range/pattern/Support or Resistance is broken with a gap that is called break away gap. This sort of gap happens in the early stages of trend.
Running Gaps : After breakaway gaps rest of the gaps if happened towards the trend is called running gaps. as long as there is an exhaustion gap.
Exhaustion Gaps : This Exhaustion Gap happens either up or down after an up trend or the same in a down trend. These gaps gets filled giving an idea that the trend has ended.
Consolidation Areas
Consolidation areas or the trading ranges are to be considered as Support & Resistance areas to identify for patterns like Triangle, wedge, flag, pennant, or rectangle patterns. good areas to look for gap up or down and volume to identify breakout for the next move or plan for the next session.
Fib Extension & Retracements
Fibonacci extention and retracements is the basic knowledge that any trader who is willing to learn about technical analysis should be considering learning in depth, its a basic tool that gives you a lot of info, Basic knowledge to know is Fibbonacci Retracement is used to identify the entry and Extension is used to identify the exit. levels of interest are called the golden ratio i;e: 38%, 50%, 62% this is where majority of the reversals happen, these can be considered as Support & Resistance zones to look for breakout entries
Support & Resistance
Every traders nightmare is to understand or identify S&R in the initial days of your trading is not because you cannot ... it is because you are too curious, anxious, exited to enter into a trade, once you calm down and try to understand the market its not that hard to identify them ... S&R areas are the reversal zones or breakout zones it is going to be a big topic if tried to explain the whole concept so lets just stick to basics and use pivot high and low and FIB levels as your support and resistance zones for now.
Trendline Breakout
These are first thing that any trader learns try to master them, a perfect trendline is considered a strong support in uptrend or resistance in downtrend when it has respected this line for least 2 times from its start point. A breakout gives you and opportunity to enter in to a trade.
Elliott Wave
This is not considered as entry point in the initial stages of learning but one should know the basics of elliott wave to identify the trend we are in by looking at the leg we are in and you can calculate the trend by given wave length through fibonacci ratios. Only thing that you need to know is that market doesnt move in a straight line like you see in elliott wave picture above there will be waves with in waves.
Try to bring all these together as confluence to understand the market move and take entries.
Note : Train the eye to identify the structure, then comes the logic and explanation.
Gap up / gap down intraday strategy with simple entry / exitI get queries from a lot of people who don't want to study technical analysis much.
They're just focused on getting a predefined trading strategy, which they can use effectively in the market without looking much at the charts .
So, in this video, I share a strategy which has been given really good results and it works a lot of times and I believe the probability of this particular strategy is close to around 65 to 70%.
It has simple entry and exit rules, and you can only apply this particular strategy when the market opens gap up or gap down.
See, whenever the market opens gap up or gap down, there is high volatile period of the market during the beginning half an hour or an hour.
And in that period of time,if you place a trade, then you have a good probability if market moves as per expectation.
As you can see these days, nifty and back nifty have been creating gap up and gap down opening almost on a daily basis.
In this case, the first rule is that if the market opens gap up by more than half a percent.
So for example, if bank nifty opens gap up by more then 200 points. , then only you can apply this strategy.
And on the other hand, if nifty opens gap up or gap down by more than 50 or 60 points, then only you should think of applying this particular strategy.
Small gaps do not count in this strategy.
So if bank nifty gaps down or gaps up by only 50- 60 points, then avoid this strategy altogether.
See, whenever the market is opening gap up or gap down, there are two possibilities.
The market might continue the current trend.
For example, if the market opens gap up, the chances are that the market might move higher, or the other possibility is that the market might go sideways the whole day.
So ,in this case, whenever you see the market opening gap up or gap down by more than half a percent, just have to follow this simple procedure.
Just plot the 15 minute chart with a 20 exponential moving average.
Why 20 exponential moving average because the market usually gets good support and resistance around the 20 moving average.
You can expect the market to stall around the moving average for a lot of times if you take a trade.
So ,you just have to plot the 15 minute chart, and if the market gaps up or gaps down, you just have to watch the first 15 minute candle.
So if the market opens gap up and it forms a bullish candle.
Then , what you can do is you can sell puts if price breaks the first 15M candle high. You can sell puts with the stop loss at the low of the candle.
If the market comes below the low of the candlestick the first 15 minute bar, then you exit your position and book the loss.
Why sell puts?
The idea behind selling puts is that during the first 15-30 minutes, the volatility is on a very higher side during that period.
And if at that point of time you start to sell options, then with the passage of time, as the market starts to move sideways, the volatility reduces.
And, what occurs is a concept called IV Crush.
The volatility starts to reduce very quickly and that will give you a benefit if you sell a put, even if the market goes sideways.
So for example, the market formed a very big bullish candle, and the criteria is if it crosses the high of the candle ,sell puts .
So, the whole day, if the market is moving sideways/upwards , the volatility crush will start to happen.
And with the passage of time, you'll start to see the benefit of the IV Crush and the time decay.
So this is a very handy strategy which you can apply.
Always remember, keep the stop loss below of the first 15M candle.
It's a very effective technique, and it's based upon gap openings.
And ,the first 15 minutes usually tell us who is on the stronger side, who's winning , buyers or sellers.
So make sure the gap is big and whatever bar is being formed in the first 15 minutes.
If the bar is bullish, you sell a put If the price crosses the high of that candle stick, and stop plus below the low of that candlestick.
It's an effective rule based strategy and you can back test it on nifty and bank nifty.
And you can also check its reliability, its effectiveness, you can also add this particular strategy in your tool kit.
So I hope this strategy will provide some sort of value to you in your trading.
And if you find the video helpful, don't forget to like this and share it and also comment your thoughts.
Thank you very much and take care.
'SWING' your losses into profits with 'SWING' trading strategiesIn prior posts, we have covered some great teachings about the market and,
in this post, we will elaborately cover the swing trading strategies. Let's start !!
->Definition of swing trading -: Swing trading is generally referred to as a trade carried out for a short time. Swing traders do not wait
till the price action opposes their direction, they are known for their prior moves.
They are good at identifying the shifts in market trends with the help of various techniques which are explained throughout this idea.
Swing trading strategies include the use of Fibonacci, Bollinger Bands, Channel Trading, Moving Average, MACD crossover, and better
understanding of chart patterns like Head & Shoulder, Flag, and Triangle Patterns.
We will discuss chart patterns, later on, now let's focus on the indicator strategies.
- >Swing trading strategies -:
->Fibonacci Retracement: The stock price tends to retrace, and swing traders use this retracement as an opportunity to enter a trend.
The retracement levels could be identified using Fibonacci Retracement, all you need is to identify the prior trend and if the price retraces to the 0.618 level and
again resumes the trend jump on it and ride the position till it reaches 0.236 level.
->Bollinger Bands : Most probably, the stock price tries to move in the Bollinger band, which is used by swing traders to initiate and terminate their position.
Firstly you need to identify the major trend, let's suppose it's bearish than when the price reaches the upper bound and there is a formation of a bearish candle
you could initiate a short position also when a bearish candle is formed at the median, there also you can initiate a short position.
->Channel Trading: Sometimes, stock price trades in a channel now this channel is used by swing traders i.e. when the trend is bullish they try to take long
position at the lower range of channel and book partial profits on median and wait for the price to reach the upper end.
->Moving Average: Here traders identify the major trend and take position according to it, with help of crossovers they generally prefer 10DEMA crosses 20DEMA.
->MACD : This is a simple strategy where the trades are initiated when there is MACD crossover but the cross should correlate with the trend.
My Observation-: These strategies could be more accurate if used to trade with the trend, i.e. if the stock is in an uptrend only take positions for a positive signal and just avoid negative signals.
Another basic strategy is to take a position when a script moves above the swing high or below the swing low, here the only thing to ponder is to manage your risk. Don't take over positions understand your risk appetite then take positions.
The Top 3 Elements found in all good trading plansHey everyone! 👋
This month, we have been theming our posts around the concept of building a solid trading plan. Our first post asked you to think about the kinds of factors that can predict long-term success. Our second post looked at why trading plans are so important. Both of these posts you can find linked at the end 👇
Having talked about the *what* and the *why*, it’s time to talk about the *how*.
Today we will be taking a look at the top 3 elements found in all good trading plans!
1️⃣ Element 1: Every good trading plan knows why it wins.
In trading, there are two variables that matter: Bat Rate, and Win / Loss.
► Bat Rate describes what percentage of the time a trade ends up as a win. A trader with a 90% bat rate wins 9 out of every 10 trades.
► Win / Loss describes how big the average win is, relative to the average loss. A trader with a 0.5 Win / Loss takes losses twice the size of his wins.
If you multiply these numbers together, you will get an “Expected Value”.
For example, a trader with a Bat Rate of 50% (wins half of the time) and a Win / Loss of 1 (Losses the same size as wins) is a perfectly “Breakeven” trader.
In order to make money in the long term, all you need to do is make the multiplication of these values be a positive value. The breakeven trader above only needs to win 51% of trades to begin making money, if his W/L remains constant.
☝🏽To get these numbers into positive “expected value” territory, every good trading plan needs to devise a way to systematically find trading opportunities that it thinks have an edge. The inputs of this system are completely up to the trader, but they are typically rooted in repeating price patterns, fundamental observations, macro trends, or other patterns and cycles. Backtesting can be useful here for getting a general idea of whether or not an idea for a trading strategy has borne out to be true over time.
In short, no matter what it looks like, good trading plans identify their edge before risking capital. Why start a business without a business plan?
2️⃣ Element 2: Every good trading plan takes into account the emotional character of the trader.
This is the hardest element to quantify, but also arguably one of the most important pieces of a good written trading plan - the ability to work around a trader’s individual strengths and weaknesses. This is less important for banks and hedge funds, as decisions are typically made with oversight, but for retail traders, there is no-one around to temper your personal flaws.
You can do whatever you want! - but it’s a double edged sword of responsibility that your trading plan needs to prepare you for.
In short, you can best get an idea of where you are emotionally weakest by looking at your trading history. Nobody can do this for you, so it requires quite a bit of self-awareness. However, the rewards of removing emotional risk from a trading plan make it worth the effort.
😱 All trading is based on fear. You need to understand which fear is stronger - the fear of missing out, or the fear of losing capital. Figure out which is stronger, and plan accordingly.
Just because you understand a certain strategy and other people make money trading it, doesn’t mean that you will be able to. Executing with 100% consistency at 30% efficiency is more important than finding a strategy with 100% efficiency that you can only trade with 10% consistency. Make life easy on yourself!
3️⃣ Element 3: Every good trading plan outlines risk.
Whether you have one thousand dollars or one billion dollars, ignoring risk is a sure way to experience massively increased monetary and emotional volatility , which can have a huge negative impact on long term profitability. Here are a few simple-to-implement mechanisms that Banks, Hedge Funds, and Prop Firms use to reduce risk significantly - good trading plans don’t skip these.
💵 Total Account Stop
Exactly what it sounds like: once you lose a certain percentage of your capital, you stop trading, liquidate your positions, and assess what went wrong. Only once you’re satisfied that you have fixed the issue are you allowed to re-enter the market. In the industry, this number is commonly 10%.
💵 Per Theme Risk
This ensures that you aren’t too concentrated on a single “bet”, even if the bet is spread across multiple instruments. For example, if you own multiple companies in the same sector, their performance will likely be correlated to some degree even if they have different products or services. Adding a hard cap to this type of risk can massively reduce risky or over concentrated allocations.
💵 Per Position Risk
Many successful Professional Traders and Hedge Funds use the concept of “Free Capital” in order to manage risk. “Free Capital” is the amount of money in hard dollars that makes up the buffer between an account’s current equity, and the total account stop number.
For example, If a currency trader at a bank has a 10% total account stop out, and runs a $10,000,000 currency book, then he can really only “lose” $1,000,000 before his bosses pull him aside to have a talk. His “Free Capital” is $1,000,000. He will then size his positions to where he only risks 1-5% of his Free Capital per trade. This way, he has room to be wrong a minimum of 20 times in a row before any negative consequences come his way. Implementing a “free capital” risk limit per position ensures that you have a TON of room for error.
Yes, this typically prevents you from doubling your account overnight, but again, that isn’t the goal. Long term profitability is.
Some people call this per position risk “one R” (one risk unit).
☝🏽Whatever it looks like, including a plan for managing your risk is essential for *actually* managing your risk. If these plans aren’t written out and acted upon, they’re also a lot easier to ignore.
🙏🏽 Thanks for reading! Hope this was helpful!
- TradingView Team ❤️❤️
Make sure you follow us on Instagram and YouTube for more awesome content! 💘
Would You Stake Yourself?Hey everyone! 👋
Last week, we took a look at a hypothetical scenario, where a rich acquaintance of yours needed help deciding between two traders he's thinking about staking. This led to the question: "Who would you stake?".
This post will continue right where that one left off.
-
After getting the contact info, you reach out to interview the two traders.
You speak with Trader #1 , and he appears to be quite intelligent, with wide and deep market knowledge. He’s shown you a few market predictions that he’s already gotten correct, and walks you through how he finds opportunities. You’re impressed.
You speak with Trader #2 , and he also appears to be quite intelligent, with broad market knowledge, in addition to a history of profitable investment/trade ideas. He walks you through how he finds opportunities, and, similar to Trader #1, you’re quite impressed. In addition, he also presents you with written details about how he plans to manage risk, his maximum drawdown, and a whole litany of other clearly defined rules that keep risk under control and quality trade ideas coming.
Assuming we are still in the position of choosing which trader to stake, most, if not all, individuals in this situation would pick Trader #2 because of his attention to preparation and risk control, in addition to having a ‘business plan’. Trader #1 may be smart and highly capable, but he’s shown no evidence that he has a process to continually generate good trade ideas while ensuring that he doesn’t lose everything. Trader #2 has “done the work”, and proven that he’s worthy of the capital.
-
Whether they know it or not, anyone who manages their own money is constantly faced with the same decision. If you step outside of yourself, are you more like trader #1 or #2? Is your trading plan worthy of investment? Would you invest in someone else who’s taken the same trades that you have? Does that person have a plan? Have they “done the work”?
Keeping yourself honest about what is working and what isn't is a superpower!
Hopefully, this emphasizes the importance of building a trading plan. Next week we will take a look at what factors are typically needed in order to build an effective one.
If you’re not like Trader #2, comment below about the steps you’re taking to become better prepared for what the market throws at you!
-Team TradingView
If you missed last week’s post, you can catch up here:
Who would you Stake?Hey everyone! 👋
In the next few posts, we'll be looking at the key elements involved in building a solid trading plan, but today, to introduce the concepts in a fun way, we will be looking at a completely hypothetical situation.
-
Let’s say that you’re walking down the street, and a stranger approaches you with a business proposal; he’s recently sold his business, and come into a significant amount of capital - 1,00,00,000 INR. Additionally, word of the sale has gotten to two separate aspiring traders, who have approached him asking him if they can manage his money in return for a fee.
The stranger has heard from a family friend that you’re interested in trading, and he wants your help in picking out which trader to invest the money in. In return for your help, He’s going to split the profits he makes 50-50 with you.
Obviously, it’s in your best interest to help him make a decision that will make the most money for the longest period of time, with the least amount of risk.
The stranger then pulls out contact information for both traders and asks you to interview them separately.
-
Here's our question to you: if you only get to ask the traders three questions to gauge their likely future performance, what would you ask them? What questions dive to the heart of risk, reward, and sustainability?
We look forward to your replies, and in next week's post, we will begin looking at how some of the likely responses can go towards building out a consistent, profitable process!
- Team TradingView
Feel free to check us out on Instagram , Telegram , and YouTube for more awesome content! 💘
One candlestick pattern - The MarubozuHey everyone!
In this post, we are going to talk about a candlestick pattern known as Marubozu, along with a few exhibits that may help you solidify your understanding of this pattern.
Please remember this is an educational post to help all of our members better understand concepts used in trading or investing. This in no way promotes a particular style of trading!
The candlestick charts offer a quick picture into the psychology of buyers and sellers. Before proceeding further, a few things to keep in mind:
→ A bearish candlestick indicates the opening price of the session being higher than the closing price.
→ Similarly, a bullish candlestick indicates the opening price of the session being lower than the closing price.
→ The shadow at the top and bottom represent the high and low for the session.
→ The size of the real body is indicative of the strength of the trend.
What is a Marubozu pattern?
A Marubozu is a candlestick with a full real body and no shadows. This solid body indicates a strong trend, be it in any direction. The name Marubozu comes from the Japanese and means "close-cropped", indicating a candle with no shadow.
Marubozu can be divided into two types, depending on the bias.
∎ Bullish marubozu
∎ Bearish marubozu
A Marubozu can appear anywhere in the chart irrespective of the prior trend; the trading implication remains the same.
⚠️ Please notice the textbook definition of a Marubozu is a candle with no shadows. However, in practice, the ideal setups rarely occur. Hence, there is a little bit of wiggle room on either side.
🟩 Bullish Marubozu
→ In a bullish Marubozu, the lack of the upper and lower shadow indicates that the low and high are equal to the open and close, respectively. However, there may be some shadows in reality, therefore we must be versatile within limits.
→ A bullish Marubozu indicates that market participants are willing to buy the stock at any price point throughout the day. As a result, the stock closes near the session's high.
→ In general, the occurrence of a bullish Marubozu indicates that the sentiment has strongly shifted to the upside and we can see higher prices in the coming sessions. Hence a trader should look for buying opportunities whenever the price pulls back to lower levels.
Exhibit 1: Bullish Marubozu
Exhibit 2: Bullish Marubozu with subsequent uptrend
🟥 Bearish Marubozu
→ In a bearish marubozu, the open price is almost equal to the high whereas the session closes near the low price.
→ A bearish Marubozu indicates a strong bearish sentiment because the market participants are willing to sell the stock at any price point throughout the day.
→ In general, the occurrence of a bearish Marubozu indicates that the sentiment has strongly shifted to the downside and we can see lower prices in the subsequent sessions. Hence a trader should look for selling opportunities whenever the price pulls back to higher levels.
Exhibit 1: Bearish Marubozu
Exhibit 2: Bearish Marubozu with subsequent down trend
Thanks for reading! Hope this was helpful!
See you all next week. 🙂
– Team TradingView
Feel free to check us out on Instagram , Telegram , and YouTube for more awesome content! 💘
Thanks to the greatest teacher 'THE MARKET' !!!This publication is dedicated to thanking one of the greatest and strict teacher the ‘Stock Market’.
The lessons of the market not only help one to succeed in the stock market but also helps throughout life.
This 5th September i.e. Teacher’s day let’s have a detailed look at 5 Great Learnings of Stock Market and thank her for these
life-awakening learnings.
-> Discipline: The most important teaching in markets is discipline. As the wording of Jim Rohn states “Discipline is the bridge between goals and accomplishment” stock market develops that bridge.
The market has its way of teaching and punishing, I think all of us had witnessed its punishment whether in form of not keeping stop loss or not following your trade system.
Discipline plays a vital role in an individual’s life. As said by Horace “Rule your mind or it will rule you. ”The disciplined person has the power to rule his mind whereas others lack this ability.
-> Patience: Another gem cultivated by markets in our personality and harvested by us throughout life. One of the familiar names of our school time Benjamin Franklin says “He that can have patience can have what he will.” market first teaches this gem to us then offer us what we wish.
We all have at least once missed taking the real profit by not waiting till the target is achieved but leaving the trade in midway though it was moving in our direction the reason is we lack patience and the market gives profit only to eligible ones so, either you be eligible or market will make you fit for it by its own way.
-> Ability to conquer 3 gateways of hell: According to ‘The Bhagavad Gita’ there are 3 gateways to hell i.e. Lust, Greed, and Anger.
The market helps its students in conquering those strong emotions. The beginner in the stock market has a strong lust for making money very quickly and greed for making lots of money without that kind of effort and when he fails in his motive anger gets born in his personality from where degradation or hell starts.
Those few people who still have not left the hands of the market get the knowledge to conquer those emotions throughout their journey in markets.
-> Faith in yourself: One of the famous quotes by Ralph Waldo Emerson is “The best lightning rod for your protection is your own spine.” market strengthen that spine so that we as its student can withstand any kind of storm in our life.
Before taking any trade based on your analysis requires self-belief on the early days people hesitate but later they rely on their analysis because the market has taught them self-belief.
-> Crush your arrogance: Market is popular in crushing the arrogant guy along with this removing any trace of arrogance in his personality. The famous wording says “Close some doors today. Not because of pride, incapacity, or arrogance, but simply because they lead you nowhere.” market as a kind teacher keep a keen eye on her student for arrogance as she knows that as soon as arrogance arises person starts his fall.
All of us had witnessed that whenever we start thinking that we have mastered markets and try to neglect discipline market slaps us badly to awaken us that we are still newbies and still had to learn a lot.
According to me, these 5 are the most valuable learnings of markets but if you have any learning of market much valuable in your life please mention in comments.
Also, comment which subjects teacher in your school life is as strict as the stock market, for me its 2nd language(Hindi) teacher.
Finally great thanks to 'The Market' for these great teachings.
The stock market gives success only to eligible ones so, either you be eligible or the market will make you fit for it in its own way.
Important house rules of TradingViewHey everyone! 👋
In this post, we will be taking a look at some of the most important guidelines we have on our platform when it comes to publishing. By following these pointers, you can be sure that the stage is set for you to post the most creative, alpha-generating trade ideas! Who knows, we may even select your idea for the front page 👀.
In addition, following these rules will also help keep the site free of spam and low-quality content. Let’s dive in!
✅ Make ideas understandable
→ When publishing content, be sure to include an insightful description and a readable title so that everyone can understand your post. You probably shouldn't propose an idea if it doesn't have any underlying logic.
→ The description does not necessarily have to be long. It can be short and crisp, explaining what you want to convey through your chart. That said, the more you write, the easier it will be for people to understand what you’re talking about.
→ You can mention several points such as the concept, entry, stop loss, targets, etc. This can help out novice traders in understanding your thought process.
→ Do not write the title or description in all capital letters (upper case).
✅ All content should be ad-free
→ Your content should be free from promotions. Any form of advertisements, logos, links, or references to any website, social media, messaging or email contacts, company names, wallet addresses, giveaways, prize contests, or any other kind of announcement or solicitation is not allowed.
→ Do not mention your Telegram, Twitter, Instagram, Youtube, WhatsApp, or any other social handles on the chart, in the description, in the comment section, or in public chatrooms.
⏰ Exception : The only exception to this rule is for Premium subscribers, who are allowed to include links and solicitation ONLY in the Signature field.
✅ No Fundraising
Any calls for donations or money-related solicitations are prohibited. Please take those requests to other platforms that are intended for such purposes.
✅ Publish in the same language as the site you're on
→ Please be sure to keep to the language of the TradingView subdomain you're on because writing in one language when the audience reads in another is simply a waste of time and effort.
→ If you'd like to publish in another language, please change the dialect by going to the language selector at the top bar menu of the screen.
→ You can not comment or publish ideas in Hindi on the Indian version as it is specifically an English subdomain. If you use any other language than English, then your ideas will be hidden.
⏰ Exception : The only exception is for scripts. Script titles must be in English, and their description must begin with English, followed by a translation in your preferred language(s).
✅ Don't plagiarize
→ Only share original content that you have created or have rights for. Do not copy or use someone else's work without getting their legal permission or without crediting them.
→ The ideas with plagiarized content are deleted and a harsh ban is imposed on the user.
✅ Don't fight the mods
→ Moderators are volunteers doing their best to keep the platform free of violations. Disrespecting moderators can lead to temporary or permanent suspension of your account from using any social features.
→ Mods are friendly chaps who are there to improve your experience on TV. If you have any complaints or concerns, please send them via private message in a civil manner.
✅ Don't create duplicate accounts
Use only one account. All fake, spam accounts are banned permanently without any warning.
✅ Don't try to manipulate the reputation system
→ Creation of multiple accounts to comment and like posts on the original account is a violation. A permanent ban will be imposed on the duplicate accounts as soon as they are flagged.
→ Do not indulge in any like-for-like or comment-for-comment scheme to increase the reputation points. If any user is caught doing so, a reputation cut will be applied.
✅ Be respectful
→ TradingView has a zero-tolerance policy for contentious political discourse, defamatory, threatening, or discriminatory remarks, hate speech, or personal attacks.
→ Be respectful, kind, tolerant, and constructive, even when you disagree. There's no room for negativity, swearing, trolling, or conflict.
→ Users can flag any spam comment/message by clicking on the small flag in front of the commenter's username. The comment will be moderated and deleted if necessary. You can also contact a mod for the same.
Be sure to check out the complete house rules at this link .
Thanks for reading! Hope this was helpful!
See you all next week. 🙂
– Team TradingView
Feel free to check us out on Instagram , Telegram , and YouTube for more awesome content! 💘