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Futures

Nifty: Is Nifty shifting gearsNifty CMP 17308 - Nifty is still going up - however we see Nifty is struggling to keep up with the pace - From 30 March 2020, we observe Nifty trading in blue channel - however since 30 March 2021 exactly after 1 year, we see Nifty struggling to stay in blue channel and subsequently it came to the midpoint of yellow channel - currently it is at the crossroads and it looks likely it might shift to the yellow channel - the set up has potential target of 16800 over a few weeks Given the set up one may consider to sell 30 Sept expiry 17500 Call option around 100 The strategy has a yield potential of 6.5% approximately and provides in built loss protection for a rise up to 17600 till expiry Take care & safe trading...!!! Disclaimer - The view expressed here is my personal view - Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions - Use this for educational purpose - Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same - It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely - Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance - if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk - Do take proper risk management measures - Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
NSE:NIFTYShort
by indiamarketoutlook
4
BHEL Chart set up and viewBHEL CMP 53.95 Observations - stock has done a 76.4% retracement - 200 day EMA around 53 - stock near trendline (which may act as support) given the set up one may consider to accumulate stock from medium to long term perspective ( at cmp and on further dips ) momentum / short term players may consider buying if closing is above 57 for target of 62 / 65 ______________________________________________________________________________________ F&O strategy Suggested : Bull Put Spread strategy One may consider Sell 50 Put option around 1.25 and Buy 45 Put option around 0.30 Lot size 10500 Net receivables Rs 9975/- per strategy lot (yield potential 14.5% approximately) Loss in strategy if BHEL closes below 49.05 on 30 September Take care & safe trading....!!!! Disclaimer - The view expressed here is my personal view - Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions - Use this for educational purpose - Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same - It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely - Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance - if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk - Do take proper risk management measures - Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
NSE:BHELLong
by indiamarketoutlook
1
Tata Steel: Channel trade potential for September seriesTata Steel - We observe Tata Steel trading in blue channel from 03 May to mid July - currently it is trading in mirror image red channel - RSI is between 40-60 Tata Steel could likely be revolving in the red channel for September month For Cash buying any dips towards 1245-1260 may be considered as good entry level __________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Given the set up, F&O strategy suggested for Tata Steel: Short Strangle It involves selling both Call and Put option simultaneously Sell 30 September expiry 1500 Call option Sell 30 September expiry 1260 Put option Combined Premium receivable approximately 42 Max profit potential in strategy Rs 35700/- per lot (11% yield potential) Loss in strategy, if Tata Steel closes above 1542 or below 1218 on 30 September Take care & safe trading...!!! Disclaimer - The view expressed here is my personal view - Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions - Use this for educational purpose - Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same - It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely - Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance - if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk - Do take proper risk management measures - Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
NSE:TATASTEEL
by indiamarketoutlook
CHR(chromia Inverted Head an shoulders)CHR on 1 day TF has formed a Inverted Head and shoulder with multiple shoulders giving a higher probability of a big bullish momentum. Target 1 is given and we will keep target 2 open as experts believe CHR can fetch up to 140% in short term. Buy only after neckline breakout. RSI is also above 60 and MACD has given a crossover(weak crossover, but still there is a crossover ). Taking these 3 indications its safe to buy the crypto after breakout.
Long
by neerajmali25
Nifty: 12th August Weekly expiry view Nifty Observations - Nifty managed to close in the green; however Index Futures OI reduced by 3.62% - if Nifty trades below 16325 then it would form lower top - lower bottom in ultra short term and could increase probability of short term down trend - however given it is weekly expiry day, an extension in morning trade towards 15340 / 15359 can not be ruled out. Chart and data analysis suggest, it could be day of testing patience and nerves where it could boil down to last 1 hour of trade Important levels on the upside 16320 / 16359 / 16420 Important levels on the downside 16218 / 16194 / 16140 Take care & safe trading...!!! Let me go by Disclaimer - The view expressed here is my personal view - Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions - Use this for educational purpose - Data is dynamic and can change in no time - Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same - It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely - Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance - if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk - Do take proper risk management measures - Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
NSE:NIFTY
by indiamarketoutlook
Nifty: The King of Options gets the weekly expiry range right!😀Nifty It was mentioned that - Nifty closing today would be subdued - not expecting any firecrackers today Range given for today was 16190-16302 with possibility of extended range of 16160-16330 The level of 16330 also had it's importance from Technical Analysis point of view and was mentioned in this post as T3 level Nifty levels were identified beforehand based on Technical and F&O data analysis... That approach of relying on studies and doing our homework, gave us clarity and be more rational in our trading decisions, rather than taking decisions based on greed, hope and fear. Nifty traded most of the part within the narrow range mentioned. It did trade in the extended zone for around 2 hours but eventually closed just 35 points above (0.22%) at 16294 well within the narrow range mentioned. Our Trading Strategy update Given the conditions, we waited patiently and when Nifty entered the extended zone, Strategy suggested during live markets, was to consider selling 26 August expiry 16500 Call option around 100. It gave ample opportunity to sell between 97-102 eventually closing the day in profit at 76. Remember Technical and Derivatives Analysis is not about being right or wrong but more about understanding your risk and reward potential in the trade and looking for opportunities where Risk::reward ratio is favorable to trade If you understand the above rule and can apply in your trading system, you won't need to Like or Follow me But if you decide to follow me Don't just follow the King of Options blindly 😉 Learn to identify opportunities independently Take care & safe trading...!!! Disclaimer - The view expressed here is my personal view - Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions - Use this for educational purpose - Data is dynamic and can change in no time - Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same - It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely - Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance - if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk - Do take proper risk management measures - Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
NSE:NIFTY
by indiamarketoutlook
1
Nifty: Likely range for 05 August weekly expiry dayNifty Prima facie based on F&O data analysis, not expecting any fire crackers tomorrow. Nifty expiry looks likely to be subdued in the range of 16190-16302. Extended range could be 16160-16330 Take care and plan your trade responsibly Let me go by Disclaimer - The view expressed here is my personal view - Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions - Use this for educational purpose - Data is dynamic and can change in no time - Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same - It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely - Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance - if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk - Do take proper risk management measures - Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
NSE:NIFTY
by indiamarketoutlook
Tata Steel: Chart set up and trading strategyTata Steel Observations are mentioned in the chart itself. Any rise towards 1430 / 1451, needs to be watched carefully. ___________________________________________________________________________________________________ Given the set up suggested F&O strategy, One may consider to sell Tata Steel 26 August expiry 2021 1460 Call option around between 35 - 42 (Closing price 37.05) Max profit potential in strategy Rs 31492/- per lot (at closing price) till 26 August 2021 More importantly, the strategy has an inbuilt risk cover for a rise in price up to 1497 till expiry day. Take care & safe trading....!!! Disclaimer - The view expressed here is my personal view - Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions - Use this for educational purpose - Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same - It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely - Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance - if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk - Do take proper risk management measures - Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
NSE:TATASTEELShort
by indiamarketoutlook
1
Nifty: Game of Positions F&O Data analysis Note this is not a recommendation for any trade. But just an analysis of Index F&O trade data for today. Trading in Futures & Options involves real money and is very risky. It is like a 3 way fight between retail traders, FIIs and Proprietary traders. In a war, it is important to understand your opposition's strength and weakness. In many war history, we can take lessons, that if you understand your opposition well, you can have a better chance of winning even if you are not as strong as them. This is to help you understand how various market participants have positioned themselves for tomorrow. Futures data • Retail participants added Net 2.22 K Long contracts & squared off Net 1.39 K Short contracts • FIIs squared off Net 19.37 K Long contracts & added Net 6.93 K Short contracts • Pro traders added Net 17.79 K Long contracts & squared off Net 3.77 K Short Contracts Call option • Retail traders added Net 6.38 Lakh Call Longs & added Net 4.44 Lakh Call shorts • FIIs added Net 14.49 K Call Longs & added Net 70.54 K Call short • Pro traders added Net 61.48 K Call Longs & added Net 1.99 Lakh Call shorts Put option • Retail traders squared off Net 14.61 K Put Long & added Net 68.42 K Put shorts • FIIs added Net 39.89 K Put Long & added Net 13.69 K Put shorts • Pro traders added Net 61.98 K Put Long & squared off Net 359 Put Short contracts Retail Participants added Index Futures Long and exited from Short positions and in Options are massively inclined towards Positive bias by being Net Call Buyers and Net Put sellers (bias is bullish) FIIs on the other hand exited from Index Futures Long and added Index Futures Short positions and in Options are Net Call sellers and Net Put buyers Pro traders have taken long position in Index Futures and exited from Short positions. However, in Options they have a net bearish position. They are major Net Call sellers and Net Put buyers PCR is at 0.81 Today Nifty index has formed a doji candlestick. However it traded most part of the day around 15820 odd levels (3 hourly candles have a close at 15825, 15821, 15820) and then it fell back to close at 15752. Prima facie looks like buyers of today are at risk. In our last Game of Positions, we saw FIIs winning the battle by leaps and bounds. Let's see what we have in store tomorrow. Important levels on the lower side 15680 / 15628 / 15450 on the upper side 15820 / 15865 / 15915 Trust you find it useful. Take care & safe trading...!!! For trading ideas you can see the links below
NSE:NIFTY
by indiamarketoutlook
2
Game of Positions: Friday Index F&O Trade data analysis This is not a recommendation. Trading in Futures & Options involves real money and high risk. Hence there is a need to do more study before you randomly take a decision. Just like in a game of Chess, when you plan to make a move, you need to factor in opposition's game strategy. Using the same principle, when trading in Futures & Options, we should be aware of how 3 major participants i.e - retail participants, - FIIS - Proprietary traders have positioned themselves. DIIs have not been factored in here as they have limited access to F&O trade Futures data • Retail participants squared off 142 Long contracts & squared off 2.71K Shor t contracts • FIIs squared off 5.99K Long c ontracts & added 6.89K Short contracts • Pro traders added 5.06K Long contracts & squared off 6.20K Short Contracts Call option • Retail traders added 4.26 Lakh Call Longs & added 3.91 Lakh Call shorts • FIIs added 54.92K Call Longs & added 70.17K Call short • Pro traders added 1.14 Lakh Call Longs & added 1.34 Lakh Call shorts Put option • Retail traders added 2.24 Lakh Put Long & added 2.79 Lakh Put shorts • FIIs added 62.13K Put Long & added 40.61K Put shorts • Pro traders added 89.54K Put Long & added 67.18K Put Short contracts - Retail Participants exited from Index Futures shorts and in Options are Net Call Buyers and Net Put sellers (bias is bullish) - FIIs on the other hand exited from Index Futures Long and added Index Futures Short positions and in Options are Net Call sellers and Net Put buyers (bias is bearish) - Pro traders have taken long position in Index Futures and exited from Short positions. However, they have hedged their position in Options by being Net Call sellers and Net Put buyers (Neutral) Let us see who turns out to be the winner in this Game of Positions on Monday. Important levels for Nifty Important levels on upper side: 15960 /16030 Important levels on the downside: 15780 / 15628 / 15450 Like & Follow Disclaimer: - The view expressed here is my personal view - Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions - Use this for educational purpose - Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same - It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely - Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance - if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk - Do take proper risk management measures - Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be - we do our best to ensure that the data we release is complete, accurate and useful. However, because we do not create the data, and because the processing required to make the data useful is complex, we cannot be liable for omissions or inaccuracies – The user expressly acknowledges that the Data may contain some nonconformities, defects, or errors. – Neither Indiamarketoutlook nor the author shall be liable for any claim for any loss, or any other damage arising from access to or use of data or information contained herewith.
NSE:NIFTY
by indiamarketoutlook
5