EUR/USD: Euro Stays Under Pressure Against Strong Dollar

Euro Stays Under Pressure Against Strong Dollar

The Euro (EUR) continues to face downward pressure against the US Dollar (USD), with EUR/USD touching new six-month lows near the 1.0600 mark during early Friday trading.

Here are the key factors influencing the Euro-Dollar pair:

1. Strong US Dollar Dominance:
The US Dollar, as represented by the USD Index (DXY), has maintained its strength and resumed its uptrend, hovering around the 105.60 level. This resurgence in the Dollar's strength follows the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance during its recent meeting, coupled with a robust rally in US bond yields, particularly in the belly and long end of the yield curve.

2. European Central Bank's (ECB) Mixed Signals:
Members of the ECB have exhibited a degree of consensus, hinting at a potential pause in future policy decisions despite the persistence of inflation well above the central bank's target. This mixed messaging from the ECB adds to the uncertainty surrounding the Euro's outlook.

3. Eurozone PMIs:
In the economic data arena, flash Manufacturing and Services PMIs for Germany revealed some upside surprises in September, with readings of 39.8 and 49.8, respectively. However, it's important to note that these figures still indicate contraction in these sectors. For the broader Eurozone, the Manufacturing PMI fell short of expectations at 43.4, while the Services PMI surpassed forecasts at 48.4.

4. Market Sentiment:
The Euro's persistent weakness can also be attributed to overall market sentiment, which has favored the US Dollar amid ongoing uncertainty and risk-off sentiment in Europe.

As the trading day progresses, market participants will keep a close eye on advanced PMI figures in the US economic calendar. Additionally, ECB Vice-President Luis De Guindos is scheduled to speak later in the session, which could provide further insights into the central bank's stance.

In summary, the Euro remains under pressure against the strong US Dollar, with recent economic data and central bank messaging contributing to the Euro's challenges. Market participants will closely monitor future developments and data releases for potential shifts in the EUR/USD pair.

Our preference

Short positions below 1.072 with targets at 1.0610 & 1.0590 in extension.

Trade closed: target reached:

Trade closed: target reached: