XAU/USD 23 October 2024 Intraday Analysis

H4 Analysis:

-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.

Driven by the Fed's dovish stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, gold, as a safe-haven asset, has continued its upward surge.

As a result of this strong bullish momentum, CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to current price action, reducing the need for a deep pullback to indicate the initiation of a bearish pullback phase.

Intraday Expectation: Price is not currently showing any signs of a pullback, so I will remain on standby.

H4 Chart: snapshot

M15 Analysis:

-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.

Yesterday's intraday expectation was not met, as price failed to target the weak internal low and instead printed a bullish iBOS.

As previously mentioned, price remains extremely volatile due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed's softer stance.

After a bullish iBOS, we expect a pullback. The first indication, but not confirmation, of a bearish pullback phase initiation would be a bearish CHoCH, denoted by a blue dotted line.

Price is currently trading between an internal low and a fractal high.

Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase.

M15 Chart: snapshot
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