10 Jul '23 Post Mortem on Nifty A Calm Before The …?

NSE:NIFTY   Nifty 50 Index
The day started with a gap up at a 50% level between the high & low of the last session. From there we saw 2 to 3 candles of fall, but nothing serious to retest yesterday's swing low.
From 09.35 to 10.40 we had a good rally up to the 61.8% retracement levels. And then we had a fall of 0.54% ~ 104pts till 12.05. A small pullback till 13.55 and then a fall again of 0.4% ~ 77pts to the same 19334 levels.

Why is 19334 level so much interesting, read the 03 Jul analysis. The interesting part is that even though we had 2 falls today & the price action from the previous day also showed bearishness - I went long today (will explain the rationale shortly). 

Trades Taken
The first trade taken around 10.24 AM when N50 was surging. I exited the bearish credit spread of 19500/19600 CE at a negligible profit & went long by initiating bullish credit spread of 19400/19300 PE.
19400 PE sold for 70.2 & 19400 PE bought for 36.05. At that particular timestamp the trade felt okay and hence punched. After the day's close & analysis - I feel it was not that necessary. Nifty was not that bullish nor bearish today - it was just a calm day.

If N50 falls tomorrow, I will have to exit the bullish credit spread at a loss and re-enter the bearish credit spread. Lets hope today's time decay will give some advantage!


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