05 Feb ’24 — A Sharp Fall from the Support Level

NSE:NIFTY   Nifty 50 Index
Nifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
Recap from yesterday: ”The buildup from 24th Jan to today is a Double bottom (W) pattern and a small bullish trendline. All of which leads to confusion on what gets the highest priority. We would like to continue with the neutral stance for Monday with a slight advantage to the bullish side.”

4mts chart
The 21913 support and resistance line was in play today and for most of the time, Nifty50 was trading above it. The start of the day was quite tricky though - we opened gap-up right at this SR level and then fell to the previous close. In the next 8 minutes, we are back above the SR line. Although the price action was flat, we felt the chances to break out were higher than a breakdown. But the reverse happened - from 14.03 to 14.43 Nifty lost a whopping 216pts ~ 0.99% and never recovered from that fall till close. This makes us wonder - what the reasons could be. Rumors broke out that RELIANCE may be interested in buying out the wallet business from PAYTM. Since PAYTM was in a lower circuit throughout the day, the results were felt on the RELIANCE stock. It started falling. But this is not contagious - why would the other stocks react to this?

63mts chart
The next support comes at 21491, which is quite a long distance. The chart pattern is not at all bearish, in fact, it is more bullish than bearish. But we all know for an upward move, the resistance has to be knocked out whereas the support has to be breached for a downward move. For tomorrow, we wish to maintain our neutral stance and wait for some directional clues to appear.


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