A sense of debtIn the previous two posts, we explored how assets are grouped in a company's balance sheet.
Part 1: Balance sheet: taking the first steps
Part 2: Assets I prioritize
Now let's deal with Liabilities and Stockholders' equity. Let me remind you that these are the sources of funds that give a company assets. And indeed, with what funds can a company have assets? Either with its own funds (stockholders' equity), or with funds borrowed (liabilities). For simplicity, we will call them Debts and Equity.
Debts can vary in maturity, so we've divided them into two categories in the balance sheet: Current liabilities and Non-current liabilities .
Current liabilities include:
- Current debts are debts that need to be paid back within a year after they are incurred. Do you remember our master took a loan from the bank to make a large batch of boots? That loan will be recorded in this item (assuming the loan is up to one year in repayment).
- Accounts payable (debts to suppliers of goods and services). You can borrow money not only from the bank, but also from your suppliers, for example. In other words he is giving you raw materials now, but is ready to accept payment later. Such debts are reflected in this item.
- Accrued liabilities (Provisions for future expenses on unpaid bills in the form of wages, rent, taxes). The word "debt" is in many ways synonymous with the word "liability." A company may have many such liabilities: payment of wages, rent and taxes. In essence, these are also debts to be paid during the year. For convenience, cash reserves are set aside for them. They are spent at the moment when the payment is due. Such reserves are recorded in this item.
- Other current liabilities . Debts or liabilities with a maturity of up to one year that are not included in the categories above are shown here.
Non-current liabilities include:
- Long term debt - these are debts that need to be paid back more than one year after they are incurred. If our master had borrowed from the bank for two years, such a loan would fall into this category.
- Deferred taxes liabilities (Provision for taxes to be paid in a future period). Tax rates are subject to change, and new taxes may come into effect in a year or more. But even now, the company can set aside money for future taxes.
- Other long term liabilities . Here are debts or liabilities with a maturity of more than one year that are not included in the categories above.
In short, debts are loans taken by the company, provisions for tax liabilities, and debts to suppliers.
The amount of debt is a very important indicator in the fundamental analysis of a company. On the one hand, the mere presence of debt is not scary, because it demonstrates that banks trust the company and give it loans for development. On the other hand, a substantial amount of debt can cause serious problems and losses in the period of weak sales of goods or services. Banks are unlikely to suspend interest charges on loans if a company is doing poorly. This means the company will incur expenses in the form of interest on loans that are not offset by revenue. Also a reminder that if a company goes bankrupt, the owners of the stock get the assets of that company only after all debts have been settled . If the debts are so large that they exceed the value of all the property, the shareholders get nothing. For these reasons, I select companies with small debt loads.
What liabilities do I focus on?
- Current debt;
- Accounts payable;
- Long term debt.
For me, these are the items that most clearly reflect the company's debt situation.
In the next post, we will conclude our study of the balance sheet and look at the basic source of assets, which is Equity. See you soon!
Beyond Technical Analysis
Interpretation Of Chart Patterns According To Market Phase.NSE:BANKNIFTY1!
As we all know market moves in phases
What are those phases?
A primary bull or bear trend consists of two phases, specifically
Accumulation phase: if the market rises after consolidating, we say that the consolidation represents accumulation (buying activity).
Distribution phase: if the market declines after consolidating, we say that the consolidation represents distribution (selling activity)
The main issue arises when a trader tries to know whether this consolidation is accumulation or distribution.
So how can we overcome that issue?
As a trader, we have to try to look for evidence that suggests whether accumulation or distribution is taking place during consolidation and out of that evidence we will discuss how we can use chart patterns to identify the phase.
Chart patterns belong to one of two groups, that is, reversal or continuation.
Chart patterns have intrinsic and extrinsic biases.
What is the intrinsic bias of chart patterns?
Intrinsic bias means the inherent bullish or bearish sentiment associated with a chart pattern.
For example,1. An ascending triangle pattern has an inherently bullish bias.
2. A head and shoulder pattern has an inherently bearish bias.
3. A descending triangle pattern has an inherently bearish bias.
## A symmetrical triangle and rectangle/horizontal range pattern have an intrinsically neutral bias
What is the extrinsic bias of chart patterns?
Extrinsic bias refers to as location-based sentiment of a chart pattern.
Like a pattern forming at some location which is historically a strong resistance zone (Market top) so if an ascending triangle forms at that location then its extrinsic bias will be bearish.
Example 1: An descending triangle is an intrinsically bearish pattern, but if it is forming at a strong support location then the extrinsic bias will be bullish.
Example 2: An ascending triangle is intrinsically bullish, that is, it has a bullish bias. Regardless of where this pattern occurs with respect to past price action, it will always be inherently a bullish indication, but If this bullish pattern is found at the price level of some historically significant market top/Resistance, then we say that it is extrinsically bearish, cause the pattern is located at a significant resistance.
Factors determining the extrinsic bias of the pattern
• Direction of the preceding trend.
• Location with respect to historical extremes in price.
• Location with respect to the phase of an underlying market cycle
• Location with respect to other support and resistance barriers to price.
• Bullish or bearish divergent formations.
How can we use this extrinsic and intrinsic bias?
When extrinsic bias and intrinsic bias both are in agreement then the possibility of a reversal at market tops or bottoms is significant.
Similarly, for trends, when the intrinsic bias of the chart pattern is in agreement with the directionality of the trend, i.e., the trend sentiment, the potential for a continuation is usually greater.
For example, The inverse head and shoulder pattern have an intrinsically bullish bias, and it is also forming at a strong support location then its extrinsic bias is also bullish.
Like, If both are in alignment then we can say that this is an accumulation phase and a long entry can be initiated.
##When attempting to determine the reliability of potential reversals during the accumulation and distribution phases, or continuations during the trend phase, it is important to look for agreement between the intrinsic and extrinsic biases. If Any disagreement is seen as an indication that a reversal or continuation may be inherently weak.
##Intrinsically neutral formations, their extrinsic bias or sentiment is derived from the trend sentiment. For example, a symmetrical triangle will adopt an extrinsically bullish bias in an uptrend and an extrinsically bearish bias in a downtrend.
By considering these Factors while trading chart patterns in different market phases will give an in-depth insight and helps in making more informed and rational decisions.
I hope you found this helpful.
Please like and comment.
Keep Learning,
Happy Trading!
Assets I prioritizeIn the previous post Balance sheet: taking the first steps , we began parsing the balance sheet of the imaginary workshop and focused on assets. Today, I suggest looking at what types of tangible and intangible property are classified as current assets and what types are classified as non-current assets.
Current assets contain the following items:
- Cash and cash equivalents - in our case we can include a safe with money, which, in general, corresponds to the company's cash in its current bank accounts.
- Net receivables - here we would include the IOU from a friend. That is everything that clients owe the company for goods or services.
- Inventory - this includes a bag with leather, rubber and thread. That is all raw materials, from which goods are made, as well as stocks of finished goods in warehouses.
- Other current assets - this can include other current assets that do not belong to the previous items.
Non-current assets include the following items:
- Net property, plant and equipment - we include a garage, table, chair, sewing machine and tools. Depreciation is deducted from the original cost of the property when reporting it. Depreciation is the cost to repair and renew the property.
- Equity and other investments - in our example, this would include oil company stocks (and in general, any company investment in stocks or bonds of other companies).
- Goodwill - let's say our company wants to buy another company and is willing to pay $11 million for it. The assets of the other company are $10 million, and the debts that our company will have to pay for the other company are $2 million. So the assets net of debt are $8 million. After the purchase, the assets and debts of that company will become the assets and debts of our company. So, the difference between the purchase amount of $11 million and the net assets of $8 million is a goodwill equal to $3 million. For our workshop, this item is not relevant, as it didn't buy any company. Nevertheless, remember that goodwill is the difference between the purchase price of another company and its net assets.
- Intangible assets - this can include the value of the customer base in the master's phone book, as well as any other assets that have no tangible basis (such as purchased trademarks).
- Other long term assets - this item includes other non-current assets that don't belong to the previous items.
Once we understand which asset belongs to which item, its value (or rather, the sum of the values of all assets belonging to this item) is written in the balance sheet. For example, let's say we've determined that the Inventory item includes leather, rubber, and thread. The accountant adds up the value of the leather, rubber, and thread and writes the total amount in monetary terms against the Inventory item. This is how the numbers appear in the balance sheet.
Now let's discuss which balance sheet items we should pay attention to during the fundamental analysis of assets. I have formulated the following rule for myself: pay attention to the assets that are directly related to the sale of the company's goods or services .
If a company does not sell its goods or services well, its bank account balance will shrink, huge inventories of unsold goods and raw materials will accumulate in its warehouses, and accounts receivable (customers debt) will grow. The fact is that when sales are bad, the company is ready to lend out goods as debt.
If sales are going well, then, on the contrary, the money in the account will grow, and accounts receivable and inventory will start to shrink. All other assets can influence sales only indirectly, so I don't consider them.
Thus, I have identified my priority assets :
- Cash and cash equivalents;
- Net receivables;
- Inventory.
As you can see, they are all quick current assets. Non-current assets only indirectly affect sales, so they are not a priority benchmark for me.
In the next post, we'll start looking at the right side of our disclosed book, called the Balance sheet. That's where the company's liabilities and equity belong. See you next time!
The Ikigai of Profitable TradingYou're mistaken if you think that being a profitable trader revolves around cracking the code to defeat the market and being able to predict it's every move.
Trading is about probabilities and about how well you're able to maintain the balance of the ikigai of trading (my words) which are 3 equally important things namely - an edge, risk management and psychology.
Master your mind to master the charts.
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Why Traders Fail: Need for a Balanced ApproachWhy do people fail at trading?
It is true that the success rate in trading is very less. You will find only a couple of good traders in a city. In my opinion it is due to the imbalance between two extreme emotions or personalities. One cannot understand or succeed unless a balance is created between them. All that is needed to create the balance throughout this adventure is your Time and meaningful effort.
Here are some of those extremities that need to be recognized and balanced.
🚀 Lack of awareness Vs Hyperawareness
There are people who enter in trading without knowing this business. They would throw their hard-earned money in the market just because someone else is making money here. These people have very short trading career as they lose all their money in a couple of trades. At least knowing about trading will make them shy away from high risk scenarios and hence help in surviving for long.
On the other hand, there are people who have acquainted themselves to the markets to such a level that they want to know everything. They would like to learn each and every indicator and apply it on their charts, until they are left with a chaotic system which is bound to fail.
Market is an ocean. You can’t know everything but can try to master a few things.
🚀 Fear of Loss Vs Greed
Let me say that most of the people entering this business belong somewhere in the middle class. They always have dearth of money. So, they trade with less money and are afraid of losing it. They would either book very small profits or exit too early from good trades. But unfortunately, they won’t show this haste in losing trades. So, they book 1 point and lose 2.
On the other hand, there are risk takers who have money but they are greedy. They would often book heavy losses or do not book healthy profits on time. They would only fume when their profitable trades turn into losses.
Having less or more is not the question but discipline of booking profits and losses is the answer.
🚀 Stubbornness Vs Springy
People would hold on to a trade or system infinitely. They would not believe in cutting small losses or mend their system for improvements.
On the contrary, there are those who would keep on hopping on to one system or the other like a spring . They would book small profit/loss in one stock and buy another with higher risk.
Improvement and patience are the key to success in trading.
🚀 Dependent Vs Egoist
Each one of us would have bought stocks on the basis of tips from our broker, business channels or friends. Some of us would have moved on knowing the reality of tipsters while the others would still be clinging on to them. The latter would never learn a lesson before losing their entire capital.
On the contrary, an egoist would only be overconfident in what he is doing. Having your ears closed in trading is a great thing but lack of flexibility is another. If the whole world says that the ship is going to sink, you can not just sit on its deck waiting for a miracle.
Be an independent but flexible thinker.
Thanks for reading.
What Is the RSI Indicator & RSI DivergenceRSI - Relative Strength Index Indicator:
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum indicator used in technical analysis that measures the magnitude of recent price changes to evaluate overbought or oversold conditions in the price of a stock or other asset. The RSI is displayed as an oscillator (a line graph that moves between two extremes) and can have a reading from 0 to 100. It is important to note that the RSI does not indicate whether a stock is a buy or a sell; rather, it provides insight into the current trend of the stock.
The RSI is a versatile indicator that can be used by traders of all levels and can be adapted for any style of trading. For example, a trader may use the RSI to identify support or resistance levels, or to spot divergences that can be used to predict future price movements. The RSI can also be used to locate potential trading opportunities by looking for overbought or oversold conditions. Furthermore, the RSI can be used in combination with other indicators, such as moving averages, to gain a better understanding of the market’s overall trend.
Formula of RSI:
The RSI is calculated using a formula that compares the magnitude of recent gains against recent losses over a specified period. The formula for the RSI is:
RSI = 100 - (100 / (1 + (Average of Upward Price Movements / Average of Downward Price Movements)))
What is periods in RSI:
Periods in RSI (Relative Strength Index) are the number of time periods used to calculate the RSI. The most commonly used period for RSI is 14, but other periods such as 7, 9, and 25 are also used. This number represents the number of time periods that are used to calculate the RSI, so a period of 14 would mean the RSI is being calculated using the last 14 time periods.
RSI divergence:
RSI divergences are a type of technical analysis used to identify potential trend reversals in the markets. They are based on the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and are used to spot potential trend reversals before they occur.
A divergence occurs when the price of an asset makes a higher high, but the RSI makes a lower high. This suggests that the current rally is losing momentum and may reverse course. Similarly, a lower low in the price and a higher low in the RSI may signal an impending rally.
Divergences are best used in conjunction with other technical indicators and analysis to confirm price action. It is also important to keep in mind that divergences do not always lead to reversals and may simply signal a period of consolidation before the price continues its current trend.
Divergence Cheat Sheet / Types of Divergence:
Balance sheet: taking the first stepsToday we are going to start learning about fundamental analysis of companies. In my opinion, this is the basic skill you should have when picking stocks to invest in.
Once again, the main principle of the strategy I follow is to pick outstanding companies and buy their stocks at a discounted price.
You may have noticed that first-class products are occasionally discounted in stores, but not for long, because such products are quickly swept off the shelves, and almost the next day the price is again without a discount. Exactly the same strategy is applicable to the stock market. Now, fundamental analysis is a method for picking outstanding companies (that is, companies with strong fundamentals).
How can we tell if a company has a strong foundation or not? There is only one way - by analyzing its financial statements. Every listed company has to disclose this information publicly on its website. In other words, we don't have to extract that information - it is publicly available. You can also find it on TradingView and see the data in dynamics.
What is the content of this information? The company publishes three reports : balance sheet, income statement and cash flow statement.
The balance sheet, like the order book , can be presented as an open book. The left side of the book lists the company's assets and their valuation in monetary terms, and the right side lists the company's liabilities and equity , and their valuation in monetary terms.
What are company assets? These are everything that belongs to the company: buildings, equipment, trademark, shares of other companies, cash in the cash register. In general, all tangible and intangible property of a company are assets.
What are liabilities and equity of a company? These are the sources of funds that gave rise to the assets. For example, if you bought a computer for $1000 with your savings, then the computer is an asset, and your own savings are equity. If a friend lent you $100, and you put the money in your pocket, the money in your pocket is an asset, and the debt to your friend is a liability. Based on these examples, you can make an imaginary balance sheet:
As you can see, the entry in the balance sheet is the name of the asset, liability or equity and their monetary value. Assets, liabilities and equity are inextricably linked, so the sum of assets is always equal to the sum of liabilities and equity .
If we were to write every asset in this way on the balance sheet of a large company, it would turn into an endless book of hundreds of pages. However, if we look at the balance sheets of huge corporations, they can fit on a single sheet of paper. This is due to the fact that over time invented to group the same type of balance sheet items. Let's look at how the company's balance sheet items are grouped:
Don't be frightened. Now we will try to digest this table with the help of an example we are already familiar with. Let's think back to our master cobbler , specifically to the period when he was just starting out.
Let's assume what exactly he had at that time: a garage, a table, a chair, a sewing machine, tools, a bag with leather and rubber, thread, a safe with money, a phone book with clients' contact information, a IOU from his friend, and oil company stocks.
I have now listed the assets of our master, or should I say, of his workshop. I should note that what is listed here is exactly what is directly related to his business. Even the money in the safe, the debt from his friend, and the oil company shares came about because of the existence of the business. Let's say the master's apartment or the bicycle he rides in the park are not assets, because they don't belong to the workshop. They belong to the master, but not to his business.
Let's categorize the workshop's assets into groups. There are two big groups: Current assets and Non-current assets .
How should you distinguish them? The general rule is this: Current assets are what a company's product is made of, and what can turn into money in the near future, so they can be called quick assets . Non-current assets are where and with what we create the product, and what can turn into money not so soon (so they can be called long-term assets ).
So, here we go:
- A garage, a table, a chair are where we create a product, so a long-term (non-current) asset.
- A sewing machine, tools - this is what we use to create a product - a long-term (non-current) asset.
- A bag with leather and rubber and thread is what a product is made from - a quick (current) asset.
- A safe with money is already real money - a quick (current) asset.
- A phone book with customer numbers - it's hard to sell it to someone quickly, such assets are also called intangible assets and are placed in long-term (non-current) assets.
- IOU from a friend, i.e. a friend bought boots from a master, but can pay only after receiving his salary - a quick (current) asset.
- Shares of an oil company - let's assume that a customer once paid for the boots with them - a long-term (non-current) asset.
So, we've just categorized the master's assets into two groups: current assets (quick assets) and non-current assets (long-term assets). In the next post, we'll break down the components of these two large groups. See you then!
STUDY ( EOD )Understanding where the liquidity in the market is our edge, now note we are not anticipating a change in detraction, but a pullback after the swipe of liquidity at least 20-30 pips pullback, we take advantage of the pullback that why we go deeper to the ltf to look for entry, so we can get into the trade, and know where to get out
The 2022 TradingView Community AwardsHey everyone! 👋
🥳 Welcome to the 2022 Community Awards! 🥳
It’s that time of year again, which means it’s time for us to shine a light on some of the best content shared on TradingView in 2022. Roll back the clocks with us as we dive deep into the best trade ideas, educational posts, and videos that you shared on our network. Without further ado, let’s jump in!
Starting us off, here were the top 3 most popular written trade ideas (by likes).
TeamTaurus, with their idea “Nifty Prediction”
Wolf-AD7, with their idea “The Bitcoin Cycle: A guide to time the next major entry”
Here were the top 3 most popular educational ideas:
RK_Charts, with their idea “How and when you should apply which Option strategy”
Chaser30, with their idea “'Verse' of 'Reverse' Candlestick Pattern”
johntradingwick, with their idea “How to find High Probability trades?”
Here were the top 3 most popular Video ideas:
piyushrawtani, with their idea: “Gap up/gap down intraday strategy with simple entry/exit”
priceNpedia with their idea: “HCL Tech: Coming out of downward channel”
StockEngineers_ with their idea: “Volume Analysis Series Part-3”
Here were the top 3 most popular scripts:
mallu-trader, with their script “ADR + CPR By MT”
bharatTrader, with their script “Alpha-Returns”
VinayKumarKV, with their script “Super Scalper - 5 Min 15 Min”
Here were the top 3 most active streamers of 2022 (by # of streams)! Be sure to check them out:
🥇 Stoxway
🥈 SathishChandrasekaran
🥉 AlphaBulls
And finally, the honorable mentions. These were users who were selected by a bunch of different criteria, impressed the editors, and had at least one idea selected for Editor’s Picks. Please put your hands together for the following awesome community members!
🥇 Bravetotrade
🥈 TRADEWITHFUN247
🥉 Charts_insiders
And there you have it! Our 2022 community award winners. Think we missed a good user, idea, script, or comment? Let us know in the comments below 😎
Let’s all have a fantastic 2023 together.
-Team TradingView ❤️❤️
Magic of Trendlines in BankniftyAnalysis on 6th Jan 2023.
For Study Purpose-
- Make it Simple as possible.
- State of mind while trading far more important than actual amount you trade, so don't confuse by putting too much analysis every time.
- In Above chart you can see how clearly trend changing can be captured just with little bit of conviction on study.
Wish you a Happy New Year!!!
Man on the shoulders of giantsIsaac Newton, who turned people's view of the world upside down, once said: "If I have seen further than others, it is by standing on the shoulders of giants". And indeed, each of us has a chance to discover something new for ourselves and others by drawing on the wisdom of our predecessors. I want to say a big thank you to Benjamin Graham, David Dodd, Warren Buffett and Peter Lynch, who openly shared their ideas with the world and inspired more than one private investor in their first investments.
I'm sure Mohnish Pabrai will join me in saying the same. Born in Mumbai, an engineer by training, he had no interest in the subject of stock investing until he was 30 years old. But by chance, after reading a book by Peter Lynch, he began to study the subject more deeply. Centimeter by centimeter he climbed the shoulders of the giants of value investing to see hitherto unknown horizons. He is now known as a successful investor, author of books on investing, and creator of incredibly kind philanthropic initiatives.
Listening to Mohnish Pabrai's lectures, I noted his ideas, which in many ways coincide with my own. I am happy to share them with you:
1. The market is always concerned about what will happen to the company in the future, so it cannot be 100% efficient (*).
(*) Let me remind you that according to "efficient market" theory, a company's current price reflects its "fair value" because any publicly known information instantly affects the price. Thus, an investor is unlikely to make a profit on any information, such as a company's strong financial statements, because the market has already reflected the event. However, this theory does not take into account the future, which we all think about every day and act in the present, including the market, based on those thoughts. For example, someone may think that a company's future is murky because of the news that has come out. This concern will be picked up by the crowd, and the stock will go down. Or on the contrary, the success of the company may be perceived as over-optimistic, and a real stir will start around the stock. No one knows the future, but thinking about it affects the present. For this reason, the current price of the company may not reflect its fair value, contrary to the "efficient market" theory.
2. Continuing with the first thought, the waves of pessimism and optimism will always be present in the market. They distort a company's value so much that they give us private investors a chance to buy and sell a company's stock profitably.
3. The more time you spend analyzing a company, the more you "fall in love" with it. Try to grasp this idea. After all, by spending a lot of time studying something, such as a company's excellent financial statements, we set ourselves up for what it must pay off as a profitable investment. Remember: the market doesn't owe you anything.
4. Often the decision to invest in a company can be made based on just a few surprising figures. For example, if the value of a company is equal to 50% of the amount of cash in its checking account. Mohnish Pabrai said that Warren Buffett used a reference book with the statements of thousands of companies, not to spend months studying each of them, but to find something that would really surprise him.
5. Mohnish Pabrai admitted that he has never once played the short and has no intention of doing so for the rest of his life. His math is really simple. If you play the short by selling a stock at $100, your maximum earnings are capped at $100 (which will happen when the stock drops to zero). Whereas a buyer of a $100 stock has a chance to sell it at both $1,000 and $2,000. There is no upside restriction by its very nature.
6. And the thought I want to conclude this post with is don't look for people to hand you a treasure on a platter. Looking for treasure is much more interesting! It's about not trying to replicate someone else's trades or portfolio positions. Try to make your own decisions. Try to see your horizon.
The unwavering shoulders of giants will help you in all of this.
POWER OF COMPUNDING IN TRADING AND INVESTMENT Hello guys here I am sharing a very interesting topic for which we heard and discuss many times and that is Compounding my dear friends so I am trying to share few things about it below-:
WHAT IS COMPOUNDING-: Compounding is the concept of continually reinvesting the earnings from an investment to generate more earnings, which are also reinvested to earn more, thereby growing the value of the investment over time. To put it differently, compounding is the process of generating earnings from both the initial capital and the earlier earnings on the capital. The term compound gains refers to the sum of the accumulated earnings over the specified period. That is, the gains earned on the principal amount is reinvested, and it earns an additional gains — the accumulation of both the interest on the principal and the gains on the earlier gains is called compounding gains.
So, compounding is basically a process of earning compound returns on an investment. Compounding is a simple concept but very powerful because it has a multiplier effect on the initial capital — the ability of the investment to generate earnings from not only the initial principal invested but also the subsequent returns earned over the coming period. No wonder Albert Einstein referred to it as the 8th wonder of the world: “The magic of compounding lies in the fact that it can help investors multiply their returns over the long-term”.
WHAT COMPOUNDING REQUIRES AND HOW IT WORKS-: Compounding requires three things:
1- The original investment remains invested
2- The reinvestment of earnings
3- Time
The more time you give your investments, the more your earnings would accumulate. So, to take full advantage of the power of compounding, you have to start investing early so that your investment will have enough time to accumulate and compound earnings. However, what you earn depends on the rate of returns, as that is what accelerates the income potential of your original investment.
To understand how compounding works, let’s take a look at this example. Assuming you invest $100 at a 10% return, you’ll have $110 at year’s end. If you don’t reinvest the 10 you earned, your return at the end of year 2 will still be just $10 (10% of the initial 100), and you will have only $120. But if you reinvest that $10 you earn the first year, you will also make a 10% return on it in year 2, so your total return on year 2 will be $11 instead of just another $10, and you will have $121 instead of $120 as you would if you weren’t compounding your earnings. See the two tables below for non-compounding investment and compounding one for a 10-year duration.
HOW TO GROW TRADING ACCOUNT BY COUMPOUNDING-: The same way the power of compounding is used to grow investments, you can use it to grow your trading account because your trading capital is an investment on its own. But since trading is an active process and with no consistent rate of returns, you need to know how to actively make compounding work for you.
Before we go into details, let’s examine some important trading concepts you should know, which are necessary for implementing a growth plan. These are the three key ones below
Account risk percent: This refers to the percentage of your trading account you risk per trade. This can be 1%, 2%, 5%, or even 10% if you are an aggressive trader. Most experts advise traders to risk only 1% or 2% of their account capital in each trade to reduce the possibility of blowing their accounts in no time. Once you have chosen the right percentage to risk in each trade, you may want to keep it constant.
Position size: This is the quantity of the instrument you carry in each trade. For stocks, it is the number of shares you buy, while for futures, it is the number of contracts you want to trade. In forex trading, it is called lot size. Whichever the market, your position size is a function of how much you want to risk in that trade. To get your position size, you need to convert your account risk percent to the dollar amount. For example, if you have a $10,000 account and decides to risk only 1% of it in each trade, it would translate to risking only $100 in each trade. With this, you can calculate your position size if you have decided where to place your stop-loss order. Here’s the formula in the case of stock trading: Position size = account risk (in dollars)/ (stop lose size x the share price). Assuming the account risk is $100, the share price is $5 per share, and the stop loss is 10%, the position size (number shares to buy) is 200 shares (100/ ). Thus, as your account balance grows, your position size increases without increasing your account risk percent.
Reward/risk: This is the ratio of what you stand to make for any risk you take. It depends on your trading strategy. You can have a trading strategy that allows you to have your profit target at 2 times your stop loss size. For instance, if your stop loss is a 10% drop in share price, your profit target can be a 20% gain in the share price. So, if your strategy has a fixed stop loss and profit target, you can only increase your earning by increasing your position size, which you can do only when your account balance increases so that you don’t increase your account risk percent.
So that is it friends mates and respected seniors I have to bind up this article already it has been lengthy so going to share one last point and that is the difference between compounded or non compounded returns-;
NON COMPOUNDED INVESTEMENT
COUMPOUNDED INVESTMENT
Introducing Minds! 5 Things you need to know.Social media has evolved to become an essential tool for traders and investors. Staying up to date with market narratives, sharing and reading top ideas, and directly collaborating with others all serve to make the medium an extremely important part of the research process. That’s why today we’re thrilled to announce the next step in that evolution - Minds!
In today’s post, we’re going to highlight a few ways to use Minds to improve the way you follow, share, and chat about your favorite symbols. After all, in markets, information is everything and this is another tool to build into your workflow:
1.) Think of Minds as a feed created by your peers – full of their opinions, notes, and shared news topics, all relevant to whatever ticker you’re currently looking at.
2.) Minds can be used to quickly measure the general sentiment for any symbol. Ask yourself what people are talking about and if it’s bullish or bearish.
3.) Accessible from any symbol page, or from the right rail (with the thought bubble icon), this unique format allows you to chat with other members of the community alongside your chart. Watch the chart and social conversation at the same time.
4.) Want feedback about a specific symbol? Head to the Minds feed for that symbol and share your questions or comments. Other traders will eventually see your posts on the Minds feed. They can then comment, upvote, and downvote to let you know what their initial reaction is. This feedback can be used to improve your understanding of a symbol.
5.) Minds can be used to quickly catch up on all the news about your favorite symbols. Head to a Minds feed and examine what people are saying. Is there breaking news? Links? Charts? Something else? Over time these feeds will become essential newsfeeds for you.
Minds is currently in beta, so please send us any feedback you have! Know that we are working diligently to improve it.
Finally - while Minds is open to all users to read, follow, and vote, only paying members (Pro, Pro+, and Premium) can currently post to the Minds feed and leave comments, similar to the other social tools on our site.
Let us know how you like it, and get out there and post your first Mind today!
Happy Holidays! 😎🌲
-Team TradingView ❤️❤️
A pill for missed opportunitiesPrevious parts of the post:
Part 1: My Three Comrades: the Chart, the Screener, and the Watchlist
Part 2: Two captains of the same ship
The market is an element we take for granted. It can't stop when we're busy doing other things, and it can't work if the stock market is off and you personally have work days.
The small investor's impact on the market is close to zero. Some may not like it, but I see it as a big plus. I'm not the only one. Even Peter Lynch wrote about this . It is because of our size that we small investors have the ability to get the best buy and sell prices on stocks. Just imagine an elephant and a mouse trying to drink water from a coffee mug. Who has a better chance?
Like the best sales, attractive stock prices don't last long. This also applies to the period of increased stock prices that are interesting to sell. To make sure you don't miss this time, TradingView has an alert service.
Why do we need an alert system? For our convenience. Once we have selected fundamentally strong companies, our next step is to keep an eye on their stock price so we can buy them at a price we can benefit from.
You remember our strategy, right? Buy rooms in a great hotel, and even during a sale period.
How do you monitor these "sales"? You have two options: to monitor the price chart yourself during the trading period, or set up alerts so that if the stock price reaches a certain level, you will receive an SMS message to your phone or email, or a push-notification in the TradingView app (depending on your settings). Agree, this is very convenient.
So how do you set up the alerts?
1. First of all, you must open the chart of the stock you are going to configure the alerts for.
2. Then click on the "Alert" button at the top toolbar of the chart.
3. Set the alert parameters in the settings menu.
How do I read the settings in this picture?
If the Apple stock price is less than $130 per share, I will receive an alert every minute, all the time the stock is trading below $130.
The alert I will receive will contain the following message:
AAPL Less Than 130.00
If you don't want to get an alert every minute, set the trigger to "Only Once".
4. In the "Notifications" tab, you can configure where the alerts and the sound will go. The system of customized alerts will allow you to use your time effectively. You will not be chained to the monitor and you can calmly wait for the cherished message.
In the picture you can see that alerts can come as:
- push notification to your phone (if you have the TradingView app installed);
- a pop-up window on your monitor;
- a letter to your email address;
- a message to a web address (advanced feature for developers);
- SMS to your phone, but via email (i.e. your email service must have the ability to send copies of emails via SMS).
As for my investment strategy, it's quiet enough to work on it even without alerts. Mr. Market doesn't often come with insanely interesting prices, so it takes time to get to the target values. It's like waiting for an astronaut from the Moon: he can't return to Earth in a day, you have to wait patiently, with the occasional peek at the situation.
So, I'm concluding my series of posts dedicated to the basic functions of TradingView. I advise you to "play" with the platform for a while to get used to it as quickly as possible. In fact, it has a lot of features that you will discover over time. For now, that's it.
In the following posts, we will begin to examine perhaps the most important aspect of an investment strategy, which is fundamental analysis. Get ready, here comes the part that will require the most concentration. But then you will be able to navigate this topic with ease.
See you next time!
'SANTA' of the 'TRADERS'This publication is dedicated to thanking the 'Santa' of the ‘Traders’ i.e. the 'Stock Market'.
The lessons given to us as a gift of the market, not only help us to succeed in the stock market but also helps us throughout life.
This 25th December i.e. Christmas let’s thank our 'Santa' and have a detailed look at 5 Great Gifts of the Stock Market and thank her for these
life-awakening gifts.
-> Discipline: The most important teaching in markets is discipline. As the wording of Jim Rohn states “Discipline is the bridge between goals and accomplishment” stock market develops that bridge.
The market has its way of teaching and punishing, I think all of us had witnessed its punishment whether in form of not keeping stop loss or not following your trade system.
Discipline plays a vital role in an individual’s life. As said by Horace “Rule your mind or it will rule you. ”The disciplined person has the power to rule his mind whereas others lack this ability.
-> Patience: Another gem cultivated by markets in our personality and harvested by us throughout life. One of the familiar names of our school time Benjamin Franklin says “He that can have patience can have what he will.” market first teaches this gem to us and then offer us what we wish.
We all have at least once missed taking the real profit by not waiting till the target is achieved but leaving the trade in midway though it was moving in our direction the reason is we lack patience and the market gives profit only to eligible ones so, either you be eligible or market will make you fit for it by its way.
-> Ability to conquer 3 gateways of hell: According to ‘The Bible’ there are 12 gateways to hell and among them, the most dangerous are Lust, Greed, and Anger.
The market helps its students in conquering those strong emotions. The beginner in the stock market has a strong lust for making money very quickly and greed for making lots of money without that kind of effort and when he fails in his motive anger gets born in his personality from where degradation or hell starts.
Those few people who still have not left the hands of the market get the knowledge to conquer those emotions throughout their journey in markets.
-> Faith in yourself: One of the famous quotes by Ralph Waldo Emerson is “The best lightning rod for your protection is your spine.” market strengthen that spine so that we as its student can withstand any kind of storm in our life.
Taking any trade based on your analysis requires self-belief on the early days people hesitate but later they rely on their analysis because the market has taught them self-belief.
-> Crush your arrogance: Market is popular in crushing the arrogant guy along with this removing any trace of arrogance in his personality. The famous wording says “Close some doors today. Not because of pride, incapacity, or arrogance, but simply because they lead you nowhere.” market as a kind teacher keep a keen eye on her student for arrogance as she knows that as soon as arrogance arises person starts his fall.
All of us had witnessed that whenever we start thinking that we have mastered markets and try to neglect discipline market slaps us badly to awaken us that we are still newbies and still had to learn a lot.
I believe these 5 are the most valuable gifts of the market but if you have any gift of the market much valuable in your life please mention it in the comments.
Finally, Merry Christmas to all my trader mates.
The stock market gives success only to eligible ones so, either you be eligible or the market will make you fit for it in its own way.
WHAT IS OPTION GREEKS ?NSE:BANKNIFTY
Introduction
Option trading is an exciting process and almost every market participant has at least experienced the thrill of trading options, almost all the time with unsatisfactory results.
To avoid such accidents an option trader seeks different tools to trade sucssessfully,
The most important of tools are the Option Greeks and they are usually the first metric looked upon by option traders.
What are Option Greeks?
Options are derivatives of underlying assets ( curd is a derivative of milk, so the change in the quality of milk will result in a change in the quality of the curd derived ) similarly, Greeks are a way to measure the sensitivity of the price of the option to various factors.
The price of the option premium does not always move in conjunction with the price of the underlying asset and it is important to understand the different factors that affect the change in the price of the premium. With the help of the option greeks, a trader will be able to measure the rate of change of different factors affecting the option premium.
# You can check the option greeks by using zerodha option chain or any other trading platform
What is DELTA?
The first Greek is Delta, which quantifies how much an option's price is projected to fluctuate for every $1 that the underlying securities or index changes in price.
For example,A Delta of 0.50 indicates that the option's price will fluctuate 50 point for every 100 point movement in the price of the underlying stock or index.
#Delta for call option ranges between 0 to 1 and for put option ranges between -1 to 0.
>ATM options have a delta of 0.5
>ITM option have a delta of close to 1
>OTM options have a delta of close to 0.
Delta = Change in option premium/ Unit change in the price of the underlying asset.
#The following example should help you understand this better –
Nifty is currently trading at 16000
Option Strike = 15900 Call Option
Premium = 150
Delta of the option = + 0.60
Nifty is expected to reach 16200
What is the likely option premium value at 16200 ?
Well, this is fairly easy to calculate. We know the Delta of the option is 0.60, which means for every 1 point change in the underlying the premium is expected to
change by 0.60 points.
We are expecting the underlying to change by 200 points (16200 – 16000), hence the premium is supposed to increase by
= 200*0.60
= 120
the new option premium is expected to trade around 150 + 120 = 270
What ia gamma?
Gamma is used to measure the delta’s change relative to the changes in the price of the underlying asset.
If the price of the underlying asset increases by 1point, the option’s delta will change by the gamma amount.
The gamma value will also range between 0 and 1.
Gamma = Change in an options delta / Unit change in the price of the underlying asset.
What is Theta?
The Theta or time decay factor is the rate at which an option loses value as time passes. Theta is expressed in points lost per day when all other conditions remain the same.
theta is always shown as negative number because option value is depriciating as the time is passing.
Theta is the biggest enemy of option buyer cause it reduces the favourable outcome of option buyer by depriciating the option price.
for example,A Theta of -15 indicates that the option premium will lose -15 points for every day that passes by.
if an option is trading at Rs.290/- with a theta of -15 then it will trade at Rs.275/- the following day when other factors remain constant.
Theta = Change in an option premium / Change in time to expiry.
This is the graph of how premium erodes as a time to expiry approaches. This is also called the ‘Time Decay’ graph.
What is Vega ?
It is intended to tell you how much an option’s price should move when the volatility of the underlying security or index increases or decreases. It is the change of an option premium for a given change (typically 1%) in the underlying volatility.
1. Vega measures how the implied volatility (IV) of a stock affects the price of the options on that stock.
2. Volatility is one of the most important factors affecting the value of options.
3.A drop in Vega will typically cause both calls and puts to lose value.
4. An increase in Vega will typically cause both calls and puts to gain value.
Vega = Change in an option premium / Change in volatility.
What can option Greeks do for you?
1.Help you measure the possibility that an option will expire in the money (Delta).
2.Estimate how much the Delta will change when the stock price changes (Gamma).
3.Get a feel for how much value your option might lose each day as it approaches expiration (Theta).
4.Understand how sensitive an option might be to large price swings in the underlying stock (Vega).
“With the help of Greeks, an options trader can make more analyzed decisions about which options to trade, which strike price to trade and when to trade.
Since there are a variety of market factors that can affect the price of an option in some way, assuming all other factors remain unchanged,
we can use Greeks and determine the impact of each factor when its value changes.”
I Hope you found this helpful.
Please like and comment.
Happy Trading!
Two captains of the same shipPrevious part of the post: My Three Comrades: the Chart, the Screener, and the Watchlist
Now let's move on to the fundamental analysis. Remember in this post I gave the example that a joint stock company can be thought of as a hotel, and owning shares can be thought of as owning one or more rooms in that hotel. So, imagine now that our hotel has a terrible foundation with lots of holes in it. What would happen to such a hotel? Of course, it could collapse, dragging everything down with it. It would also affect the value of the stock, and in our case, the value of the rooms. Because no one will want to buy rooms in such a hotel, on the contrary, they will try to sell them at any price, and then the value of rooms (stocks) will go down.
The purpose of fundamental analysis is to understand how financially stable and profitable the chosen company is. Sometimes they say that a company has a strong or weak foundation - a generalized conclusion based on analysis of its financial statements. So, our task will be to find stocks of companies with strong foundations.
Let's go to "Chart+" and select "Indicators" in the upper toolbar. A menu will open for you, where on the left we will select "Financials". Here we can select data from company reports: Balance Sheet, Income Statement and Cash Flow. They are issued quarterly and annually. Accordingly, you can select any indicator from the statements, such as revenue, select the period - quarter or year, and add it to the chart. In this way, you can study the dynamics of this indicator over time.
In addition to the reporting data, you can add so-called multipliers to the chart. They are placed in the same menu after the "Cash Flow" > subsection called "Statistics". What is a multiplier and how to analyze the statements, we will discuss in our separate posts on the fundamental analysis, and now let's move on to the technical analysis.
Technical analysis is a search for recurring patterns on a price chart in order to predict its future behavior.
Let's go back to the time when candlesticks were invented. These charts appealed to traders so much that they began to look for repeating combinations of candlesticks, which served as signals of future price movement.
For example, there is a combination called "bearish engulfing" . When the market has a clear upward trend, and in one day, a massive bearish candle appears, the body of which closes the body and shadows of the previous candle - it can herald the reversal of the uptrend.
Or, if the market for three days in a row is drawn three black candles with massive bodies - they are called "three crows" . Traders interpret this as a sign that the downtrend is continuing.
Doesn't that sound like an omen to you? In fact, people have made up dozens of similar patterns and many more that, like weather forecasts, don't always come true.
You must have sensed that I cover this topic rather cursorily? This is due to the fact that I do not use technical analysis at all. That is, I do not make predictions based on recurring situations from the past.
I do, however, use one of the tools of technical analysis, which is the average value of the stock price over the year. Not to make predictions, but to have a guideline: when to buy and when to sell stocks of companies with strong fundamentals.
I will surely elaborate on this in my next posts, but for now, wrapping up the topic of technical analysis, I want to give one analogy.
Stock price movements can be compared to the sea: sometimes it is calm and sometimes it is subject to strong waves. An investor can be compared to the captain of a ship who has to decide whether to put to sea now or not (i.e. whether to buy stocks or not).
A captain who looks at the official weather reports and gauges is like an investor who uses fundamental analysis. And a captain who is only guided by omens and his gut is like an investor making a decision based on technical analysis.
You can be captain number two without me, but how to become captain number one is the subject of my blog.
Journal for 22 of dec 2022Asian had a bit more volume than usual, Asian high cleared the previous daily high that was just creating more liquidity, my main entry for the over sell was after Tuesday got cleared, nd there was a break of structure, and we had demand failures, but I was able to take risk sell just above the clear if Asian high, I will say that not advisable because London sessions has not open but Asian high was cleared, it would be better if you wait for London open and watch out for Tuesday high that was not cleared.
When to know the market is going to bullHello Everyone,
So after a very long time i am publishing a new educational idea on how can we catch such bull trends like this to make ourselves profit and also we will see how to know that a rally is ending or 5 signals to a bull market so let's go
But before we start we should know what is a bull run or bear run means
So a bull run means that it may feel you like prices are at the sky and not ready to come downs and in long-term in this investors love to see their portfolios during a bull markets because their stocks run like a jet in the sky. However, since markets are fluctuating, nobody knows when it will end also some investors are fearful when they see bull markets as a sell signal at anytime to take the maximum profit while others feel it very comfortable buying in a bull trend and "warren buffet" has said " Be Fearful When others are Greedy and be Greedy when others are fearful ".
Do the following analysis to predict these bulls :-
1. Always seek for high trading volume and demand in markets:- It will feel like everyone is just in the market to buy up and no one is ready to sell their stocks as the market continues to climb upwards. Bull markets always have greater demand compared to supply, high trading volume, and next level liquidity touching the sky.
2. Lower interest rates :- Like whenever Banks interests are low there is the sign that the market is bull.
3. High Growth Rate :- Bull markets are often seen when low unemployment is and so for people have money to spend, and when people spend their money and buy their products so their profits increase and their stocks increase and so for the market increases.
4. Growing Economy :- Bull markets are also seen when the economy is growing.
5. Divergence:- When the market is up even indicators and other metrics are showing down even through.
Thank you
journal for 21 of dec 2022Eu has been ranging for the past days, with that on my mind, I knew every trade I catch as an intraday is retracement, took my first entry after a break of structure but that was liquidity, I did not notice that from the beginning if I do would have placed my entry above the liquidity and used a 5 pips stop, that would have been my trade for the first entry if I had seen that liquidity on time. Second entry was the wick that cleared liquidity last entry was just above liquidity
My Three Comrades: the Chart, the Screener, and the WatchlistToday we will continue to explore the fascinating world of stock investing. And TradingView will help us with that. I sincerely recommend making friends with this platform, as I haven't found anything more convenient to implement my strategy yet.
After you have registered on the site, move to the main menu "Products" > "Chart+" . This is where you'll spend most of your time with the platform.
What opportunities are in front of you:
- Find companies to invest in;
- Make a fundamental analysis of the companies;
- Make a technical analysis of stock charts;
- Receive alerts on the buy or sell price of a stock that is right for you.
So, let's break down each item. How to search for stocks on TradingView?
Hopefully, you've already entered the "Chart+" section. In the upper left corner is a line to enter the ticker of the stock. If you don't know the ticker, just enter the first letters of the company name: the system will find the ticker that corresponds to that company on its own. However, keep in mind that stocks of the same company may be traded on different exchanges from different countries, so sometimes one company may have several tickers.
As an example, let's enter the name "Tesla" in the search bar to open a chart of their stock. As we can see, the system tells us that Tesla is traded on NASDAQ and some exchanges in other countries.
To the right of the search bar is a button with a choice of time frame. You can try different time frames, but for me the most important is the time frame of 1 day (i.e. one candle shows the price change for 1 day).
So, the way of selecting a company via the search bar is convenient when you know at least its name. But there are thousands of companies listed on the stock exchange, and it is impossible to know the name of every company. In this case, the "Stock Screener" will help us. It is located in the lower left corner. Clicking on the Screener will open a list of stocks, filtered according to the parameters you set (you can customize the parameters by clicking on the bright blue button "Filters" on the right).
Let's go to filters and configure the parameters we need. First of all, let's select the country - (for example), the USA . In the second turn, on the tab with general parameters, let's choose the instrument type - common stocks , and let's choose the exchanges - NYSE , NASDAQ , and one more American exchange - NYSE ARCA . Now we have a list of all stocks, which are traded on the exchanges that we have chosen.
What we are interested in, we can add to the "Watchlist" . This is the first (top) button in the menu on the right. Just right-click on the ticker from the screener and select "Add to Watchlist". The same can be done by right-clicking on a chart. Switching between the tickers in the Watchlist you will consequently switch between the charts.
So, we have figured out how to find the shares of a company. In the next post, let's see what we have in terms of fundamental analysis of companies.