When NOT to use Candlestick PatternsIn this video I have explained when and how NOT to use Candlestick Patterns.
Beyond Technical Analysis
Coffee Can Index This is an index of top 10 stocks from Saurabh Mukherjea's Consistent compounders. Each having weightage of 10%. Base Price is kept at ₹1000 each stock having ₹100.
Stocks are
HDFC Bank
Bajaj Finance
Kotak Mahindra Bank
Asian Paints
Pidilite
HDFC Life
Nestle
Divis Lab
Titan
Lalpathlabs
The learning is that even if invest equally in these 10 companies then also it beats Nifty decisively. A concentrated portfolio of some quality stocks will outperform the Index. It has outperformed index in past. Let's see how this works in future
How trend changeThe price is making higher high with support of 20 sma and finally at top the price made a double top like patter which is other indication of trend change
20 sma is very important ma for short trend but first see that the price validate that indicator or behaviour
Keep learning and earning
POSITION TAKING TECHNIQUESScale In: means buy more shares as the stock progresses in your direction. Its better to buy 50% position initially and then buy 33% and 17% as the trade favors us. One may also buy in three equal parts of 33% each.
Scale Out: means exiting from a profitable position in pieces. Its better to sell 17%, 33% and then 50% to take the full profit potential of a trade. Some traders prefer to sell in three equal parts of 33% each which is perfectly fine.
Average In: means adding more shares into a losing position.
All In - All Out: means buy all shares in a single trade and then sell all of them in one trade while taking profit.
Its a good practice to trail stop loss as the first part of profit is booked.
Generally its not preferred to average in a losing position but its still a very common practice among retail traders.
I hope this information will be useful for some traders/investors.
Regards
HOW TO USE MOVING IN BEST WAY# STEPS
# first see that the price is respecting moving average ( there is no best moving average)
# second draw a trend line like this example
# entry trigger is the candlestick patter
Important - the price must in uptrend and tested moving average 2 times
Keep learning and earning
Why did Paytm crash? How to avoid such IPO?Why Paytm fell so much?
1. Paytm's Rs 18,300 crore IPO, which was the country's largest- this meant a large supply which needed large demand to support it's price.
2. But was subscribed 1.89 times only, this meant lack of demand.
3. Paytm is yet to turn profitable and Is likely to report losses for coming few years.
4. All above points created negative sentiments, people were looking to sell on listing but demand was not enough to support price and we had such a huge fall.
How to avoid such IPO?
1. Check their financial data. Check how their business has performed and their future guidance. Different brokerage house provide these reports, check them.
2. Check subscription levels, it shows the demand or interest which is most important, should be high.
If you have any doubt or query you can mention it in comments section.
MY TRADING SETUPThis is the best setup that work best for me
Whenever price rejected from any support or resistance level I enter the trade
This setup work because trader go short and put their stoploss near the support level so because of this she price
Make a move upward for retest the stoploss of short trader hit and they exist which help price to move sharply
Secondary the long trader who are waiting for support are also ready
BE PATIENT AND LEARN FROM UR MISTAKE
BEST OF LUCK
Trading with the 3M frameworkOne trade cannot make you rich, therefore it is important to not run behind every breakout trade and risk too much on a single trade.
By working equaly on all the 3Ms of trading we can balance our emtions and trade effectively.
Let's see how with the help of 3M framework we can trade above range breakout pattern.
1- Method Management
Simple range breakout
Price has respected the upper and lower trend lines multiple times which makes it a valid trend line. Now after the price breakout, the upper trendline which was previously acting as resistance will now act as support.
We can place the stop loss just below the upper trendline.
Exit immediately if the price fails to respect the upper trendline, do not hold the losing trade
2-Risk management:
Risk only 2% of your trading capital
Enter 30% of your position at CMP and if trades goes in our favor then execute your remaining 70% position.
Be patient. Don't bet too soon .
The point of entering with 30% position is if the trade goes wrong then our loss will be only on a 30% position.
The whole idea is to lose less money when you are wrong and to win more money when you are right
3-Mind managment:
Note= Trade with probabilistic mindset , no matter how much analysis you do there is always 50-50% chance.
Our main objective is to ' 'Cut your losses short and let your profits run.''
To be profitable you don’t have to be right every time, you just have to be right big and wrong small.
Remember that the trade we are taking is just 1 of the next 1000 trades we are going to trade. We should not get so much emotionally attached to it that we end up losing our sleep if it doesn’t go according to the plan. By minimizing the importance of that one particular trade, we can really trade with ease and would be in a better situation to take sound decisions.
Note= Get in the habit of focusing on your trading system and following the process for entries, exits, and position size, rather than the money you are making or losing at any particular moment
Tata Steel - Did you buy the 'Good News' ?
TataSteel -
NEWS - Results on 11 Nov, highest ever quarterly profit.
Expectation - Strong buying and big trending move.
What actually happened ? - Fall from 1340 to 1271, down 1.3 %.
As usual news channels hype the results, so called 'analysts', big players declare it the best thing ever.
Those unaware of the game buy this fake hype, they buy at open.... and who is selling at the other end ? YES.. many of your favorite analysts, big players who were telling you to buy just a day earlier.
Harsh reality of markets-
1. News channels actually know nothing.
2. Big players are not here to do any favor to you, they have become big from money of people like you and me.
Sooner we realize this sooner we will be on the right path.
Do you sell after BAD NEWS in a Stock! Must see this- IRCTCSTOCK MARKET MYTHS -
There are many misconceptions people have about how stock market works and how it actually works. In this series we burst these myths or clear misconceptions so people can make wiser decisions in trading/investing.
Myth Number 2- A stock will fall after bad news.
Example- IRCTC -
1. News - Nov 5th - IRCTC, Railway Ministry discussing new revenue share model.
2. Reaction Expected by common people- Another big fall, lower circuit.
3. What happened ? - Initial selling by common people and then IRCTC closed % higher.
WTH happened !!
Reality - A stock may rise big even after bad news.
Taking decision based on this information give you no edge and you will loose over long term.
Big market picture is always given highest priority and buying/selling decision should be taken on this.
Do you think price should rise after good results? Check our other published Idea under 'STOCK MARKET MYTHS' theme.
Newbie's Corner - Have you given your best in trading?Many traders even after few years of experience in trading are still struggling to make money. They have improved their technical knowledge. They know when the price is going to give big move, but still unable to make use of that knowledge. Why?
When you are improving your technical knowledge, developing your trade set ups, are you increasing your trading capacity? It is nothing but your trading execution skills.
Lets see an example. A big ship sailing in a sea got a hole in the bottom and water is rushing inside the ship. Though the ship’s sailing capacity is good, it will sink because of the hole.
Similarly if you don’t improve your trading execution, whatever knowledge you have gained in market wont help you to make money. Trading execution skills can be developed as human beings are capable of learning anything they desire. So today, sit peacefully and think whether you have given at least 1% effort to improve your trading execution.
Remember there is always a light after the dark. Similarly whoever take proper efforts to improve their trading skills will definitely become a profitable, consistent trader. Have you given your best in trading?
Long intraday bnf trade tomorrow Historically this much fall in a single day have never come it is a bear trap again bank nifty has come to a perfect demand after a really quick really
Very few times we get to see this type of formation where the Index couldn't digest such quickly up move and markets reacted
Now we look at comparative up move vs down move if such quick up move wasn't digested then such quick down move will also not sustaine as it took 3-4 days to go up but gave a discount in just 1 trading session.
PULLBACK
Generally, Pullback is occur when stock price break above the resistance line and gain some percentage, but after that it take a pause and fall down to that previous resistance line which just have broken. Also that line act as a support line, because when a resistance line break that line act as a support line, most of the time.
Pullback give an opportunity to an investor or trader to enter that trade if anybody missed when breakout was occur.
Pre-Expiry week's Volatiliy in Indian MarketDue to the physical settlement of stock derivatives(Futures and options) upon expiry, the margin required to trade/carry over such derivatives starts increasing gradually from Friday of the week preceding the expiry week. Forcing traders to close their positions in the pre-expiry week causes the pre-expiry week's volatility. In most cases, it results in a correction of the larger trend in the market. After SEBI has changed the margin rules for intra-day trading, many traders have moved to options thereby raising options share of net trading volume in monetary terms to almost 80%, thereby making the impact of pre expiry week very signifacant.
Like most things in market analysis, it isn't a rule but a general guideline that helps you better manage your risk better.
WaveTalks - Nifty: Channel Trading Strategy WaveTalks - Nifty: Channel Trading Strategy
There are three (3) types of channels:
1. Ascending Channel (higher highs and higher lows)
2. Descending Channel (lower highs and lower lows)
3. Horizontal Channel (ranging)
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Ascending channel
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An Ascending channel is a pattern formed from two upward trendlines drawn above and below a price representing resistance and support levels
The ascending channel is also known as a “rising channel” and “channel up“.
Ascending channel has a rectangle shape (Current Case – Nifty / 20th Oct2021)
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Trading Strategy
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As long as prices remain within the ascending channel, the upward trend in price can be expected to continue.
3 Supports shown as 17613 – 1st Support / 17864 – 2nd Support / 18209 - 3rd Support
When executing trades based on a trendline, it is important that the trendline is a valid one / How do you know it is valid – 2 points required to draw a trendline & 3rd point which is 18209 if falls & takes support then it confirms that the trendline is a valid one.
So, Any Buy or Long Trades should be executed with stops below the trendline so 18209 is an important level. Traders can keep 18200 level which is a psychological level.
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Descending channel
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A Descending channel is a pattern formed from two downward trendlines drawn above and below a price representing resistance and support levels.
The descending channel pattern is also known as a “falling channel” or “channel down“.
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Horizontal Channel
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A horizontal channel is a chart pattern formed from two parallel trendlines drawn above and below price representing resistance and support levels
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The Last Idea - Bulls Yelling The Excitement - Gap Strategy
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Hope you enjoyed selling at the tops 18600 for 18200 approx. Nifty Index took support in the 2nd Gap. Are You Ready for the Next Move?
BANKNIFTY Levels for Expiry Day !🛑in Yesterday market analysis i told that there's indecision between buyers and sellers at high level , and today also market is rejected from 38800 - 38900 levels and if you see the BANKNIFTY in Day frame chart we can clearly observe that it forming bearish candles at higher levels
-in today market we can observe that there's is indecision between sellers and buyers at higher levels and Caution it is bull market (Showing that no more buying interest for Institutional traders and that can be confirmed by FIIs ,DIIs data these two were pulling out their money)
-Bank nifty trading above all the moving averages those were 21 day, 50 day , and 100 day
- Bank Nifty WEEKLY Pivot is at 38800
🛑 keys Levels to watch out for day traders
- resistance is at 39450 - 39850
-with the stop loss of 39700
- we can see target of 40000
- Support Levels is at 39400-39300
- with SL of 39500
- we can see Target of 39000
if you like it ,do follow for more
have a nice day
Nifty:WaveTalks-Bulls Yelling Excitement- The Gap Strategy!!! Bulls Yelling The Excitement- The Gap Strategy!!!
When they come together, they are trying to tell you something.
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17950 – Critical Level: The Important Clue
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From the last 2 ideas published at TradingView - Crossing above 17950 & not falling below 50 Period Moving Average provided dynamic support to the Index – an important pullback trading strategy that bulls use to participate in the bull run.
50 Period Moving Average shown as Flag Mark + Red Circle (Offered Dynamic Support)
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Gaps Strategy
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Gaps act as support & resistance which can be used as another trading strategy. Intraday today @ 19thOct2021. Gap 3 held as support & gave bounce from current day low @ 18400 to 18550+ which is currently in progress.
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What Next?
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Current Fall looks Impulsive in nature from the Highs of 18600’s in the opening session, If holds as resistance & falls below 18550(strictly) then Next dynamic support could be gap 3 once again & if it gets filled- 2nd support shall be close to 18275-18300 zone which is 50 periods moving average.
If falls below 50 periods moving average Gap 2 & Gap 1 should act next supports.
Thanks for reading!