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Technical Analysis with Elliott Wave InsightToday, we're exploring Ward Wizard Innovations & Mobility Ltd., an Indian electric vehicle manufacturer, with an intriguing twist of Elliott Wave theory for market insights.
Before we dive into the waves, here's some background:
Ward Wizard Innovations & Mobility Limited is a publicly-held electric vehicle manufacturing company based in India. It's dedicated to producing eco-friendly electric scooters and vehicles. Not just in India, but its impact extends to countries like Uganda and Nepal.
Now, back to the chart and Elliott waves:
Recently, the stock witnessed a substantial decline from January 2022 to July 2023, followed by a period of consolidation.
Going back to its origins in May 2015 up to July 2021, we identify a significant wave ((1)), marking a robust upward trend.
This was followed by wave ((2)), an Expanded Flat correction (A)-(B)-(C) in blue. Wave ((2)) concluded near 161.8% of wave (A) as wave (C) of ((2)).
Now, the exciting part:
The best possibility is that we're currently experiencing a significant wave ((3)), known for bringing about robust upward momentum. This wave holds the potential to surpass previous all-time highs.
Elliott Wave theory is a captivating tool, helping us understand market psychology and forecast future price movements based on wave patterns.
Remember, there's a crucial detail:
We've set an invalidation level at 33.20, representing the low of July 2023. If prices drop below this level, it might indicate a different wave scenario.
Conclusion:
Our analysis hints at the potential for a strong bullish wave ((3)).
Markets are full of surprises, and risk management is your best companion on this journey.
I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
#banknifty positional view:-The movement from 38,163 to 46,369 is 7,756 point upmove, followed by a flat correction (zig zag, the reason the wave b pullback was 97.86% of the wave a). If we look at the rules of the flat the wave c must end near 123.6% i.e. 42,887 but we took a buffer of 161.8% to figure out a reversal zone.
Reversal Zone:- 41,829 - 42,887, safe traders can go long once the trend line breakout happens, the market in the analysis.
Use this dip for fresh buying opportunities.
All is well with the market, nothing to fear.
Rules of Regular Flats:-
Guidelines
• A corrective 3 waves move labelled as ABC
• Subdivision of wave A and B is in 3 waves
• Subdivision of wave C is in 5 waves impulse / diagonal
• Subdivision of wave A and B can be in any corrective 3 waves structure including zigzag, flat, double three, triple three
• Wave B terminates near the start of wave A
• Wave C generally terminates slightly beyond the end of wave A
• Wave C needs to have momentum divergence
Fibonacci Ratio Relationship
• Wave B = 90% of wave A
• Wave C = 61.8%, 100%, or 123.6% of wave AB
Regards,
SG
ICOMDEX & MCX CRUDEOIL – Bigger Picture AnalysisICOMDEX CRUDE OIL
Timeframe: Monthly
It is the ICOMDEX monthly timeframe chart where the price has started a new impulsive cycle from the low of 1270. The price has broken out 20 & 50 Exponential moving averages. RSI is snowing bullish momentum with a 56.97 level.
Wave formation and Fibonacci relationships:
Wave (2) retraced 38.2% of wave (1).
Wave (3) is a power-extended wave with 3.618% Fibonacci extension.
Wave (2) is trading above the starting point of wave (1)
Wave (4) retraced 61.8% of wave (3).
Wave (4) hasn’t entered the price territory of wave (1) and has formed a complex correction of W-X-Y.
Crude oil has accomplished the complex correction and marked evidence by breaking the descending channel of the corrective structure. According to the Elliott wave principle, an impulsive cycle can only be confirmed by breaking out the sub-wave X of the previous correction. If the price breaks out wave X, traders can see the following levels: 10550 – 11500 – 12744+ . Not having confirmation will be the confirmation of the continuation of the corrective phase.
MCX CRUDE OIL
Timeframe: Weekly
As we can see on the above chart, we are getting a similar structure, and mainly the confirmation. ICOMDEX & MCX CRUDE OIL can be a comrade to confirm each other, just like we used to compare Dow Jones with other indices.
If the price breaks out 7657 , traders can trade crude oil for the following targets: 8200 – 8950 – 9950+ . We still need to look at the lower timeframe to connect the worm’s-eye view(Micro picture) with the given eagle view.
Confidence Petroleum India Ltd : Stock Analysis💡 Company Overview:
Confidence Petroleum India Ltd is a leading manufacturer of LPG cylinders and a prominent supplier of auto LPG in India. With an extensive network of bottling plants and Auto LPG dispensing stations across the country, the company also serves industrial and commercial clients through packed LPG cylinders.
💡 Financial Performance (2017-2023):
Over the years, the company's net profit has demonstrated a steady growth trajectory. This consistent increase is attributed to rising sales, indicative of a healthy operation. A gradual profit rise, rather than sudden spikes, signifies the company's stability and sustained market presence.
💡 Institutional Interest:
Recent stake additions by Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) highlight growing market confidence in the company. Institutional investments often indicate a positive outlook and can influence market sentiment positively.
💡 Technical Analysis:
✔️ Double Bottom Pattern:
The stock displayed a double bottom pattern, indicating a potential trend reversal. The first bottom at 45-48 initiated buying interest. The second bottom at 56-59, coupled with increased buying activity, partially confirmed the pattern.
1st Bottom (45-48):
The first bottom at 45-48 initiated buying interest, marking the start of a potential uptrend.
2nd Bottom:
Efforts to break out at 81-83 faced strong supply, causing price falls.Then the Buyers from the first bottom re-entered the market, driving the price up.
Strong Upward Movement - Double Bottom Confirmation:
A strong upward movement confirmed the double bottom pattern. The breakout above the neckline indicated a potential sustained uptrend.
✔️ Volume Analysis:
🔹Volume A: Increased volume during upward movements highlighted heightened participant interest.
🔹 Volume B: Lack of significant volume indicated market indecision or limited trading interest.
🔹 Volume C: Comparing volume with corresponding price range provided insights into market activity.
🔹 Volume D: Volume decreased during the fall from 96, indicating reduced selling pressure.
💡 Assumptions and Market Outlook:
Considering the stable financial growth, institutional interest, and technical patterns, the stock appears poised for an upward move. The formation of a doji candle in the weekly timeframe, coupled with decreasing volume alongside price, supports the assumption of weakening selling pressure and potential for an upward trend.
🔹 Day frame
The stock retested the breakout area (81-84) with low volume, suggesting potential stability at higher levels.
If you are looking for an entry try at current level cmp 84
targt 90-100-130+
Study before making an investment decision.
Thank you
Ankith Shaju
Mighty Nifty - Oct 5Price is moving in the range 19300 to 19500.
Pattern : Supply/demand.
Range : Medium
Trend strength : Normal
A different perspective.
Buy Above : 19460.
Stop Loss : 19420.
Targets : 19500, 19530 and 19580.
Sell below : 19380.
Stop Loss : 19420.
Targets : 19350, 19320 and 19280.
Check the live market updates. Expected expiry day range is 19600 to 19250.
Hit the like button to Rock !! Show some energy !!
Note : This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell.
You are responsible for whatever you do.
WSTCSTPAPR - West Coast Paper MillsWest Coast Paper Mills Ltd is one of the oldest and the largest producers of paper for printing, writing, and packaging in India.
The company has established itself as a leading manufacturer of high-quality paper suitable for printing, writing, and packaging purposes. Its paper products, known for their global quality standards, find application across a wide spectrum of industries including printing, writing, publishing, stationery, notebooks, and packaging.
In the fiscal year 2020, the company made a significant move by acquiring a substantial stake in Andhra Papers(72%).
Furthermore, the company operates a state-of-the-art manufacturing facility in Mysore, dedicated to the production of optical fiber cables.
🔹 Technicals:
▸ Price has been moving in 40% range for the last 1 year
▸ Price is above all key MAs, which is a positive sign
▸ Weekly breakout followed by a pause
▸ The price is near the previous ATH and 20 EMA. This creates a confluence zone.
▸ Good chance that it goes into consolidation in the current range before heading higher.
▸ A demand zone is present at 580-615. This is also coinciding with 50 EMA.
▸ 200 EMA is also coinciding with the demand zone, thereby creating a confluence zone.
🔸 Financials:
March 2023
▸ Sales: 4921 Cr
▸ Sales Growth: 45%
▸ Net Profit: 1087 Cr
▸ Net Profit Growth: 214%
▸ Debt/Reserves ratio: 9%
▸ OPM: 12%
March 2022
▸ Sales: 3378 Cr
▸ Sales Growth: 50%
▸ Net Profit: 346 Cr
▸ Net Profit Growth: 8650%
▸ Debt/Reserves ratio: 28%
▸ OPM: 19%
March 2021
▸ Sales: 2245 Cr
▸ Sales Growth: -10%
▸ Net Profit: -4 Cr
▸ Net Profit Growth: -101%
▸ Debt/Reserves ratio: 49%
▸ OPM: 33%
Rising sales with promising profit growth, OPM% and reducing debt makes the stock a good candidate from a positional perspective.
Disclaimer: I am NOT a SEBI Registered Analyst and the information provided here is NOT investment advice. This post is intended solely for educational purposes.
HDFCBANK - Near Important Support ZoneNSE:HDFCBANK offers a range of banking services covering commercial and investment banking on the wholesale side and transactional/branch banking on the retail side.
Positives:
Company with high TTM EPS Growth
Good quarterly growth in the recent results
Effectively using Shareholders fund - Return on equity (ROE) improving since last 2 year
Efficient in managing Assets to generate Profits - ROA improving since last 2 year
Increasing Revenue every Quarter for the past 4 Quarters
Company able to generate Net Cash - Improving Net Cash Flow for last 2 years
Annual Net Profits improving for last 2 years
Book Value per share Improving for last 2 years
Company with Zero Promoter Pledge
FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding
Negatives:
MFs decreased their shareholding last quarter
Decline in Net Profit with falling Profit Margin (QoQ)
Declining profits every quarter for the past 2 quarters
Weak Momentum: Price below Short, Medium and Long Term Averages
NOT A RECOMMENDATION. JUST FOR EDUCATION. Thanks.
#nifty"Good morning! As of September 21st, global market sentiment is negative, primarily due to the performance of the Dow Jones. The market trend is bearish, and it may open with a significant gap. We don't know where it will open, but the sentiment remains the same. If the initial market experiences a sharp pullback around the immediate support zone, then we can expect a maximum of 23% to 38% Fibonacci pullback. On the other hand, if it breaks the immediate support zone, we can anticipate a continuation of the correction with minor consolidation."
BIOCONHello & welcome to this analysis
Stock is among the rare few which had a lengthy period of correction which broke the Covid lows.
Its trying to reverse as can be seen in lower time frame but higher time frame still lacks confirmation and is suggesting volatility.
I have explained the levels on both sides which would give a clearer direction of trend.
Hope this helps
Happy Investing
BankNifty-Selling The Tops with Wedge: The Precise Peak 44650Hello All,
Our tiny heroes reached a majestic peak at 44669 as per last idea published yesterday, just as we imagined in our dreams! This peak was not just a high point, it was a place where they could see the entire playground sprawling below. But as we all know, after reaching the top, there's a thrilling slide waiting! Our numbers decided to swoosh down, and guess where they are heading? Yes, you got it right, towards the fun zone of 44300, our lower band of support we chatted about yesterday! (Precise top at 44669 - What a sight to behold!)
The Rising Wedge close to 44650’s
the Rising Wedge! WaveTalks spotted - this intriguing pattern early on through last idea. It’s like a see-saw that's tilting ever so slightly, warning our number friends to be ready for a possible change in the direction of their play. And guess what? Our assumption came true! The numbers took a fabulous turn, bringing a rush of exhilaration to our adventure! (A fabulous start with a cautious note from the rising wedge)
Intraday Targets
44400
44300
44150
Best Wishes from WaveTalks
Remember, at WaveTalks, we're always listening to the whispers of the waves, sharing the secrets of the numbers' adventurous journeys. We ask, "Can you hear it?"
The Last Idea based on 109 Session Moving Average
Disclaimer:
Trading in financial markets comes with its risks, and one might encounter dips and turns that could result in loss. Always consult with your financial advisor before making decisions in this adventurous playground. WaveTalks encourages a responsible and informed approach to the financial adventure.
Triangle pattern breakout in Havells HAVELLS
Key highlights: 💡⚡
✅On 1Day Time Frame Stock Showing Breakout of triangle Pattern .
✅Strong Bullish Candlestick Form on this timeframe.
✅It can give movement up to the Breakout target of 1435+.
✅Can Go short in this stock by placing a stop loss below 1295-.
Bank Nifty (Neowave Update)Hello Everyone
Its been a long time since i made the last video, well we are starting our video analysis with bank nifty. Any way i have mentioned all the details in the video. If you have any other query than let me know.
If you like it than give us boost and share the content.
Thank You
Bank Nifty - Aug 24Pattern : Support/Resistance.
Range : Medium
Trend strength : Normal.
Buy Above : 44520
Stop Loss : 44420
Targets : 44600, 44680, 44800 and 44880.
Sell below : 44300.
Stop Loss : 44400.
Targets : 44200, 44120, 44040 and 43960.
Check the live market updates. Expected expiry day range is 43900 to 44700.
Hit the like button to rock !!
Note : This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell.
Large Rectangle Breakout Seen in GAIL India Ltd.Hello Traders, i have brought another analysis on a pattern breakout which called (Rectangle Pattern). Well i have marked and written most of the things on chart, but still i am gonna to teach you here guy's about this pattern so if you see this next time, at least you guy's will be able to trade. So Let's start:-
Q:- What is Rectangle Pattern and How to Use Rectangle Chart Patterns to Trade Breakouts?
Rahul:-
A rectangle is a chart pattern formed when the price is bounded by parallel support and resistance levels.
A rectangle exhibits a period of consolidation or indecision between buyers and sellers as they take turns throwing punches but neither has dominated.
The price will “test” the support and resistance levels several times before eventually breaking out.
From there, the price could trend in the direction of the breakout, whether it is to the upside or downside.
we can clearly see Above in GAIL chart that the pair was bounded by two key price levels which are parallel to one another.
So, Traders, i hope you Guy's have learned today how to Trade Rectangle Pattern, but Mates We just have to wait until one of these levels breaks and go along for the ride!
Remember, when you spot a rectangle: THINK OUTSIDE THE BOX! That's it.
So now let's focus about company background.
Incorporated in 1984, GAIL, a Government of India undertaking, is an integrated natural gas company in India. It owns over 11,500 km of natural gas pipelines, over 2300 km of LPG pipelines, six LPG gas-processing units and a petrochemicals facility. It also has a joint-venture interest in Petronet LNG Ltd, Ratnagiri Gas and Power Pvt Ltd, and in the CGD business in several cities. GAIL has wholly owned subsidiaries in Singapore and the US for expanding its presence outside India in the segments of LNG, petrochemical trading and shale gas assets.
Market Cap
₹ 76,074 Cr.
Current Price
₹ 116
High / Low
₹ 123 / 83.0
Stock P/E
18.4
Book Value
₹ 98.8
Dividend Yield
3.46 %
ROCE
9.79 %
ROE
8.69 %
Face Value
₹ 10.0
Debt
₹ 17,816 Cr.
EPS
₹ 6.32
PEG Ratio
5.93
Promoter holding
51.9 %
Intrinsic Value
₹ 309
Pledged percentage
0.00 %
EVEBITDA
10.8
PROS
Stock is trading at 1.17 times its book value
Stock is providing a good dividend yield of 3.46%.
Company is expected to give good quarter
Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 43.6%
CONS
Company has a low return on equity of 13.8% over last 3 years.
Earnings include an other income of Rs.2,947 Cr.
Important levels for GAIL India Ltd.
Buy in between 112-117.
Targets we can see 130/140+
Keep Stop loss at 108.5
Price is above 200 EMA
We have seen Proper Breakout of Large Rectangle Pattern in weekly timeframe.
with Good Volume
Price is sustaining above breakout trendline and it has given pull back to retest the levels
MACD and RSI has given bullish crossover (I have not placed RSI here as i want chart neat and clean but i have analysed already)
Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades.
Dear traders, If you like my work then do not forget to hit like and follow me, and guy's let me know what do you think about this idea in comment box, i would be love to reply all of you guy's.
Thankyou.
#finnifty"Good morning! As of July 31st, there is no significant difference between the last session, but the global market has a neutral sentiment (based on only Dow Jones), and the market nature is bearish. Therefore, it doesn't matter if it opens gap-up or down. If the initial market takes sharp declines, we can expect correction continuation with minor pullbacks.
On the other hand, we can expect a rally only if it opens with a gap-up and sustains above the level of fib 38%. If it sustains, our next targets are 61% and 78%. Here, I mentioned a reversal structure (alternate view). If it rejects sharply around the 61% or 78%, we can expect a correction, but use the confirmation signal of (EMA20 and fib level 38%). If it breaks both signals, we can expect a correction. Otherwise, the rally might continue."
BankNifty:Tale of Triumph and Trials,Bulls or Bears-Which Side?Netflix - Scoop
The riveting Netflix web series "Scoop" brought to life a powerful saying from the book **"Behind Bars in Byculla: My Days in Prison" by Jigna Vora**. The line, **"If someone says it’s raining, and another person says it’s dry, it’s not your job to quote them both. Your job is to look out of the window and find out which is true" is a fitting metaphor for our exploration of the BankNifty index.** Here, we don't just parrot what others say, we strive to unravel the truth behind the numbers and the patterns.
**The story began at WaveTalks**. On the 25th of July, 2023
we published an enticing TradingView idea focusing on the BankNifty Index and outlined an **Expanded Ending Diagonal** . For the adventurous risk takers, we pointed towards potential targets:
- First stop at 46155
- A second milestone at 46263
- The final leap to 46369
The narrative took a thrilling twist on the 27th of July, 2023 . The Index raced towards our 3rd target, pausing just short at 46310. Then, it took a breathtaking nosedive, shocking the bulls with a Niagara-like fall from the highs of **46310 to the lows of 45238**.
**Now, traders are left wondering, "What's next?" The markets never sleep, so our story continues...**
**On the larger timeframe-4 Hour Chart**
We're seeing the formation of a tantalizing pattern - a potential rising wedge once again. **But here's the caveat**: **the Index needs to hold its footing at the crucial psychological level of 45525 to bounce back upwards.**
**If we stand firm above 45525**, we're looking at an exciting upward trajectory:
- First target at 45790
- Second target at 46300
- Third target at 46500
- **And if we cross beyond 46500**, we're aiming for a final target between **46900-47000+**, coinciding with the completion of the wedge pattern.
**Here comes the thrilling climax**. **What happens after reaching a new all-time high?**
Brace yourselves as we could see a rerun of the Niagara plunge from the 27th of July, 2023. From the new all-time highs of around 47000, the Index could potentially tumble to 43345, as marked by the menacing black arrow downside.
**WaveTalks** wishes everyone a joyful weekend!
As we delve into the narrative of BankNifty, we ask you - are you siding with the bulls or the bears? Stay tuned for more, and remember, it's not about echoing what others say, it's about understanding what's unfolding in the market.
KAJARIACER: The Stock You Don't Want to Miss!
📊 Key Details
KAJARIACER, a ceramic industry company and part of Nifty 500 index, has been a powerhouse stock in a strong bullish trend until October 2021.
The stock's historical monthly chart reveals an astounding 14,405% return from Rs. 8 to Rs. 1365, spanning from 2007 to 2021.
After reaching its peak, the stock entered a consolidation phase that persisted from October 2021 until BEFORE yesterday.
However, yesterday marks a significant breakthrough for KAJARIACER as it breaks out of the consolidation pattern with substantial volume.
The stock opened with a gap up today, and the weekly bullish candle indicates minimal selling pressure and robust buying activity, making it an excellent candidate for a potential buy entry.
Disclaimer: This analysis is solely for educational purposes and does not make me a SEBI registered analyst.
Like, Comment & Follow
I encourage you to like this analysis if you found it helpful and invite you to share your observations in the comments below. Your support, likes, follows, and comments motivate me to consistently share valuable insights with you.
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💥💰 Trade Wisely, Profit Greatly! 💰💥
Remember, always conduct thorough research and consider risk management before making any trading decisions. Happy trading! 📈🚀🌟
ISMT technically has the Ability to give you Plenty!This analysis is purely Technical.
Positive:
- Annual Revenue rose 19.1%, in the last year to Rs 2,598.2 Crores. Its sector's average revenue growth for the last fiscal year was 9.5%.
- Quarterly Revenue rose 12% YoY to Rs 658.7 Crores. Its sector's average revenue growth YoY for the quarter was -0.6%.
- Mutual Fund Holding remained the same in the last quarter at 0%.
Negative:
- Annual Net Profit fell 96.3% in the last year to Rs 87.7 Crores. Its sector's average net profit growth for the last fiscal year was -53.4%.
- Quarterly Net profit fell 99.7% YoY to Rs 8.4 Crores. Its sector's average net profit growth YoY for the quarter was -51.2%.
Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited (KFIL) acquired majority stake in the Share Capital of the Company(i.e. 51.25%), making ISMT a subsidiary of KFIL w.e.f March 10, 2022.
The Company is the largest integrated manufacturer of precision seamless tubes, tubular components, and steels in the Asia Pacific Region. The Company is mainly engaged in manufacturing of seamless tubes and engineering steels.
Apart from tubes, ISMT Limited also manufactures a wide range of value added products for each of these industries. These include items such as bearing rings, gear blanks, shifter sleeves, cages for constant velocity joints, swaged & machined axles, threaded and coupled casings, couplings and a host of similar products. The group companies include ISMT North America, Taneja Aerospace and Aviation Limited (TAAL), Structo Hydraulics AB, Sweden and ISMT Europe, Sweden.
ISMT has one of the most modern alloy steel plants in India. The factory, located at Jejuri (within a 100 km radius of ISMT's Tube plants) has a capacity of 190,000 MT per annum.
The Company is currently using the de-bottlenecking and modernization process to raise its capacity in the immediate future. It plans to increase the 1,55,000 tpa tube capacity to 2,00,000 tpa. Moreover, the steel capacity of the company which is already manufacturing at the rate of 2,40,000 tpa will be raised to 3,50,000 tpa.
BHARAT ELECTRONICS LTDHello & welcome to this analysis
Stock continues to be in an uptrend in the higher time frame with resistance in the monthly/weekly time frame near 145.
In the lower time frame its forming a wedge like structure with a small triangle. Resistance at 128.50 support at 124.
The stock has been a rank outperformer and any dips to monthly / weekly support zones would be an opportunity to buy, as well as investors could continue to do SIP in it from a long term perspective.
Happy Investing