GARTLEY Harmonic Pattern: How does it work?!GARTLEY Harmonic Pattern: How does it work?!
The "Gartley", as its name suggests, was introduced by Henry Mackinley Gartley.
All other harmonic patterns are modifications of the Gartley.
Its construction consists of 5 waves:
XA: This could be any violent movement on the chart and there are no specific requirements for this movement in order to be a Gartley start
AB: This is opposite to the XA movement and it should be about 61.8% of the XA movement.
BC: This price movement should be opposite to the AB movement and it should be 38.2% or 88.6% of the AB movement.
CD: The last price movement is opposite to BC and it should be 127.2% (extension) of CD if BC is 38.2% of BC. If BC is 88.6% of BC, then CD should be 161.8% (extension) of BC.
AD: The overall price movement between A and D should be 78.6% of XA
How to use it
Point D is where you come in, man! It's your entry signal.
-If it's an M pattern, you buy.
-If it's a W, you sell2.
Where to put your STOP LOSS??
-Below or "X" if you are a BUYER.
-Above "X" if you are a SELLER.
These percentages are based on the famous Fibonacci ratios, as mysterious as the pyramids of Egypt!
Ultimately, the Gartley pattern is like a good Cuban cigar: it requires patience and experience to be appreciated at its true value. But once you master it, it can become a powerful tool in your trading arsenal, as effective as a punch from Rocky Balboa!
Harmonic Patterns
Technical Analysis Part - 4The MACD is a momentum indicator that can be used to anticipate changes in market sentiment. However, it is not foolproof: experienced traders look to other metrics, such as trading volume, for a more complete perspective on market sentiment.
Key Takeaways
The moving average convergence divergence (MACD) is a popular momentum indicator that is used in technical analysis.
The MACD is calculated by comparing exponential moving averages in a security's price.
The MACD line is charted alongside a nine-day moving average of the MACD line, called the signal line, and a histogram representing the difference between these two curves.
Traders use the MACD histogram to anticipate changes in market momentum.
MACD analysis can still generate false price predictions. Experienced traders use additional metrics and fundamental analysis to support their forecasts.
DATABASE TRADING WITH OPTION CHAINOption chain data is the complete picture pertaining to option strikes of a particular stock or index in a single frame. In the Option chain frame, the strike price is at the center and all data pertaining to calls and puts on the same strike are presented next to each other.
Traders use an options chain to choose the specific option contracts that best align with their trading strategy. They can select options with the desired strike prices and expiration dates based on their market outlook. Options chains are crucial for assessing and managing risk.
WHY DO TRADERS FAIL?Why Most Traders Fail: Common Psychological Traps
Many beginner traders enter the market with a lot of enthusiasm but often leave disheartened after experiencing losses. One of the main reasons for this is not a lack of technical skills or strategy, but rather the inability to manage the psychological aspects of trading. Let’s dive into some of the most common psychological traps and how you can avoid them to become a more successful trader.
1. Fear of Missing Out (FOMO): FOMO is a powerful emotion in trading. It happens when you see a stock or asset rapidly rising, and you feel the urge to jump in late just because everyone else is. This often leads to entering trades at poor levels, where the risk of reversal is high.
Why It’s Dangerous: You end up making emotional decisions, ignoring your strategy.
How to Avoid It: Stick to your plan and predefined entry/exit points. Remind yourself that opportunities in the market are endless; chasing a missed trade could lead to a bad decision.
2. Revenge Trading: This occurs after a loss, where you try to win back the money immediately by placing irrational trades. Instead of accepting a loss, traders emotionally double down, hoping to recover quickly, often resulting in even bigger losses.
Why It’s Dangerous: Trading becomes emotional rather than strategic, leading to a cycle of poor decisions.
How to Avoid It: Accept that losses are a part of the game. Take a break after a significant loss to clear your mind, and only return when you can trade objectively again.
3. Overconfidence After a Win: After a string of successful trades, traders may feel invincible and start to ignore their risk management rules. They increase their position size without realizing that the market can turn at any moment.
Why It’s Dangerous: Overconfidence leads to taking on more risk than you can afford, which can wipe out profits or even lead to significant losses.
How to Avoid It: Stick to your trading plan regardless of recent success. Don’t increase position sizes without a valid reason and proper risk management in place.
4. Greed – Holding On for Too Long: Sometimes, traders hold on to winning trades far too long, hoping for even bigger profits. Instead of taking profits at their target, they let greed take over and end up losing a significant portion of their gains when the market reverses.
Why It’s Dangerous: Greed blinds traders to the signals that it's time to exit.
How to Avoid It: Set clear profit targets and stick to them. Use trailing stop-losses to lock in profits while allowing for potential additional gains.
5. Not Accepting Losses – Holding on to Losing Trades: Many traders struggle with cutting their losses because it feels like admitting defeat. They hold on to losing trades for far too long, hoping the market will turn in their favor, which often results in deeper losses.
Why It’s Dangerous: Holding onto losing trades can drain your capital and emotional reserves.
How to Avoid It: Have a strict stop-loss in place for every trade. Accept that small losses are part of trading and necessary for long-term success.
Conclusion: In trading, your mindset and emotions can be as critical as your technical analysis or strategy. By recognizing these common psychological traps—FOMO, revenge trading, overconfidence, greed, and refusing to accept losses—you can manage your emotions better and make more objective trading decisions. Always remember: successful trading is not just about big wins; it’s about consistency, discipline, and emotional control.
What psychological traps have you experienced in your trading journey? Share your experiences in the comments below and let’s learn together!
Option TradingTo read an option chain, you can look for the following information:
Strike price: The price at which the stock is bought if the option is exercised
Premium: The price of the options contract, or the upfront fee paid by the investor
Expiry dates: The dates on which the option expires, which can affect the premium
Open interest (OI): The total number of outstanding option contracts that have not been settled
Implied volatility (IV): A percentage that indicates the expected price fluctuations, and the level of uncertainty or risk in the market
Bid: The best available price at which the option can be sold
Ask: The best available price at which the option can be purchased
Volume: The number of transactions that have occurred on the current trading day
Net change: The net change of LTP, where a positive change indicates a rise in price and an unfavorable change indicates a decrease in price
Bid qty: The number of buy orders for a specific strike price
Ask qty: The number of open sell orders for a specific strike price
Here are some other tips for reading an option chain:
The option chain is divided into two sections, calls and puts, with calls on the left and puts on the right
The current market price is displayed in the center
ITM call options are usually highlighted in yellow
Higher open interest usually indicates higher liquidity and market activity
Advanced MACD with Professionals The moving average convergence/divergence (MACD) indicator is a technical tool that helps traders identify entry and exit points for buying or selling securities. It's made up of three time series calculated from historical price data, and the metrics are highly adaptable: MACD series:
The main series Signal or average series: The second series Divergence series: The difference between the first two series Momentum Trading Otimize your MACD strategies with ... The MACD indicator is often displayed with a histogram that shows the distance between the MACD and its signal line. The histogram is positive when the faster EMA line is on top, and negative when it's on the bottom.
Here are some tips for using the MACD indicator: Buy or sell: Traders may buy when the MACD line crosses above the signal line, and sell when it crosses below. Understand moving averages: Moving averages tend to trail behind price movements, but the MACD can transform this into a trading strategy. Look at the difference between two moving averages: This shows how fast a trend is moving.
Institutional Database Trading #OptionTrading Option chain data is the complete picture pertaining to option strikes of a particular stock or index in a single frame. In the Option chain frame, the strike price is at the centre and all data pertaining to calls and puts on the same strike are presented next to each other.
Options trading is a type of financial trading that allows investors to buy or sell the right to purchase or sell an underlying asset at a fixed price, at a future date. Options trading operates on the basis that the buyer has the option to exercise the contract but is not under any obligation to do so.
Why had Hong Kong's Stock Market Index Rallied recently? (HK50)2nd October 2024 / 11:15 AM IST
One Question arise whatever situation is arising internationally let's keep it aside ❗
What Technically has happened in Index HK50 that's what I have discussed in here.
30 % in Three Week Time Period
Everything is pinned in Chart ‼️‼️👍
Banknifty , Crude oil and Copper Divergence Divergence is a technical analysis concept that occurs when the price of an asset and a technical indicator move in opposite directions. It's a sign that the price of an asset may be reversing, and it can help traders recognize and react to price changes.
Here are some things to know about divergence:
#Types of divergence
There are two types of divergence: negative and positive. Negative divergence happens when the price of a security is rising, but an indicator is falling. Positive divergence happens when the price of a security is falling, but an indicator is rising.
#When to use divergence
Divergence can help traders make decisions like tightening stop-loss or taking a profit.
#How to confirm reversals
Divergence can occur over a long period of time, so traders can use other tools like trendlines and support and resistance levels to confirm reversals.
#When to use convergence
Convergence is when the price of an asset, indicator, or index moves in the same direction as a related asset, indicator, or index
Life of a Trader / Option's // StocksEmotional reactions
Overcoming your emotions is another hurdle you may encounter as a new trader. You may make impulsive decisions out of greed, fear, anger, frustration, or excessive optimism. This can lead to losses, which in turn can reduce your confidence.
To ensure you don't fall into the trap of your emotions, chalk out a detailed and rule-based strategy and try to follow it strictly. Review your trades regularly to learn from your mistakes and build stable trading behaviour. You can keep a trading journal and implement stop-loss orders to reduce emotional influence on your trading decisions.
Overtrading
Another common challenge that can come your way is the temptation to overtrade. You may feel tempted to overtrade to earn higher earnings or overcome losses quickly. However, more trades don’t necessarily translate into more money. Overtrading can increase your risk exposure and increase transaction costs.
To overcome the temptation to overtrading, you can set predefined limits on daily or weekly trades and take a break when you reach the limit. You must also ensure that you engage in trades that align with your strategy and do not prioritise quantity over quality.
Impatience
As a new trader, you may lack the patience to stick to your trading strategy, especially during market fluctuations. You may opt for premature exits if gains don't materialise as quickly as expected. However, success in trading does not come overnight. You must wait for the right opportunities and patiently endure losses and phases of stagnation.
A solution to this problem is to have a solid trading strategy with clear entry and exit criteria. Have faith in your plan and give it the time to work. Avoid changing your strategy too often. Once you have a solid strategy, be patient, wait for the right time and grab your opportunity.
Poor risk management
The stock market is highly volatile and unpredictable. One day, a stock can rise by 20% and plummet suddenly the following day. Such frequent changes in the price of an asset can overwhelm you. It also makes it challenging to plan your strategy and manage risks. You may feel tempted to chase high returns and take excessive risks. However, this can wipe out your capital in no time. This is why risk management is important in trading.
Make sure your trades align not only with your strategy but also your risk profile. Before placing a trade, analyse your risk-per-trade and reward-to-risk ratio. Diversify investments to spread risks across different sectors and assets to protect your capital. Include clear entry and exit points and an emergency way in your strategy. Using stop-loss orders can also help tackle risks and minimise losses.
Conclusion
The stock market is both alluring and daunting. Without proper knowledge and skills, you may incur losses and even quit prematurely if things don't go as expected. However, understanding the challenges beginners often face and learning to overcome them can illuminate your path to success.
Histogram(MACD) Divergence Trading Let us discuss the MACD indicator strategy and histogram. I know being a chartist you are familiar with this tool.
Hence I hope this will be a revision for you. Assuming you already know this topic, you should know that MACD Histogram is derived from MACD.
To me, it is the effect of MACD (cause), without which MACD Histogram would not have been born. I hope you can relate it to the previous paragraph. If not, no problem. Carry on reading.
But before proceeding further I would request you to recapitulate MACD (moving average convergence divergence). Thanks for converging your thoughts with that of mine. I am glad. It will help me to explain this article without taking the additional burden.
MACD Histogram Peak-Trough Divergence
By now you must have understood how the histogram dances to the tunes of prices. If one looks at it closely then one can easily identify the divergences.
You will notice that a peak and trough divergence is formed with two peaks or two troughs in the MACD Histogram.
Usually, it can be segregated into two parts, i.e. bullish peak and trough divergence and bearish peak and trough divergence.
Alright, I will explain you in short.
Bullish Peak-Trough Divergence
It is formed when MACD makes a lower low and on the contrary, MACD-Histogram makes a higher low. One thing you should keep in mind, i.e., well-defined troughs define the health of a bullish peak-trough divergence.
bullish peak trough divergence
Bearish Peak-Trough Divergence
It is formed when MACD makes a higher high and on the contrary MACD Histogram makes a lower high.
One thing you should keep in mind, i.e., well-defined peaks define the health of a bearish peak-trough divergence.
#StopLoss : The Safety Net You Need#StopLoss : The Safety Net You Need
Ever danced with volatility?
Without a stop loss, it's like tightrope walking without a net.
Here's why it's a MUST:
✅ Protect Your Fund: Keep that hard-earned Money safe
✅ Sleep Tight: Close your eyes without the market nightmares
✅ Plan Your Exit: Know when to bow out gracefully.
Remember, it's not just about making money; it's about keeping it too.
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Mastering the Art of Diamond Pattern Trading in Crypto and StockWhat is a Diamond Pattern?
The diamond pattern is a unique formation characterized by two converging trend lines, creating a pattern that resembles a diamond or kite. Within this pattern, price movements oscillate, presenting traders with an opportunity to make informed decisions. However, to successfully navigate the diamond pattern, you need to understand its nuances and follow a disciplined trading strategy.
Trading the Diamond Pattern: A Step-by-Step Approach
1. Identifying the Pattern
The first step in diamond pattern trading is identifying the pattern on the price chart. Pay close attention to two converging trend lines between which prices fluctuate. This visual cue is crucial for decision-making.
2. Determining the Trend Direction
Once you've identified the diamond pattern, the next step is to determine the direction of the trend. The diamond pattern's context within the existing trend is essential:
If the diamond pattern forms during an uptrend, it is considered a bearish pattern. This suggests a potential reversal.
If it forms during a downtrend, it indicates a bullish reversal pattern.
3. Opening the Trade
After determining the trend direction, wait for a breakout from the diamond pattern to confirm your trade's direction. Your actions will differ depending on the type of pattern:
For a bearish reversal pattern, open a short trade as soon as the price breaks below the lower trend line.
For a bullish reversal pattern, open a long trade when the price breaks above the upper trend line.
4. Setting a Stop Loss
To limit potential losses, it's essential to set a stop loss order. For a long trade, place your stop loss just below the low of the breakout candle. For a short trade, position your stop loss just above the high of the breakout candle. This ensures that you are protected if the trade goes against your expectations.
5. Setting the Target
Determining the target for a diamond pattern trade is critical for managing your risk-reward ratio. The target can be calculated by measuring the height of the diamond pattern, from the highest to the lowest point, and adding this distance to the breakout point. Remember, the target can be adjusted to align with your risk tolerance and trading style.
6. Managing the Trade
As the trade unfolds, closely monitor price action and adjust your stop loss and take profit orders accordingly. If the trade is moving in your favor, consider taking partial profits or tightening your stop loss to lock in gains.
7. Avoiding False Breakouts
Diamond patterns are susceptible to false breakouts, where the price briefly exits the pattern but then quickly retraces. To minimize this risk, wait for the price to close outside the pattern before entering the trade. This extra confirmation can significantly improve your success rate.
8. Trading with Proper Risk Management
Just like any trading strategy, risk management is paramount. Only risk a small percentage of your trading account on each trade, and never invest more than you can afford to lose. Always use stop loss orders to protect your capital.
Additional Tips for Trading the Diamond Pattern
- Confirm with Other Indicators
While the diamond pattern can be a reliable signal, it's wise to confirm it with other technical indicators, such as moving averages, momentum indicators, or volume indicators. Seek additional signals that support the breakout direction.
- Pay Attention to Multiple Time Frames
To enhance your trade's probability of success, look for the diamond pattern on various time frames, including daily, weekly, and monthly charts. Trade only when it aligns with the larger trend, increasing your chances of a winning trade.
- Be Patient
Diamond patterns take time to develop fully. Rushing into a trade before the pattern matures can lead to false breakouts and unnecessary losses. Exercise patience and wait for the pattern to confirm before making your move.
- Practice with a Demo Account
Before risking real capital, practice trading the diamond pattern on a demo account. This allows you to refine your strategy, identify optimal entry and exit points, and gain confidence in your trading plan.
In conclusion, mastering the diamond pattern in your trading strategy requires a combination of technical analysis skills, a disciplined approach, and a commitment to risk management. The diamond pattern can offer valuable insights into potential trend reversals or continuations, but successful trading relies on careful observation and strategic execution.
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Gann Solar Dates in ActionThrough his methodologies, WD Gann made a noteworthy discovery known as the Solar Cycles, revealing specific days when the stock market's trends shift. Gann's meticulous research led him to conclude that these pivotal days corresponded to instances when the sun was positioned at either a 15-degree or 90-degree angle relative to Earth. He held these solar positions in utmost significance, believing that they heralded market shifts. An examination of Gann's studies and theories reveals the precision of his dates down to the minute, albeit with occasional discrepancies of one or two days.
This all revolves around Gann's exhaustive research efforts, which culminated in the development of the Gann Study, a complex endeavour.
Gann identified critical turning points in financial markets using geometric divisions, pinpointing days such as those positioned at 45, 90, 135, 180, 225, 270, and 315 solar degrees from the Vernal Equinox.
Furthermore, he provided an overview of Gann's seasonal dates:
When utilizing the Gann Seasonal Dates tool, one can readily discern the Major and Minor dates that W.D. Gann closely monitored to predict trend reversals. Of particular significance are the solstices and equinoxes:
- March 21st
- June 22nd
- September 23rd
- December 22nd
Meanwhile, Minor seasonal dates fall precisely midway between the major seasonal dates and include:
- February 4th
- May 6th
- August 8th
- November 7th
Now, let's delve into the concept of solar dates:
Gann categorizes solar dates into two types: Static and Dynamic Solar dates. He emphasised that the year's commencement is not on January 1st but on March 21st(Sun in Aries), marking a moment of great significance.
How to Calculate Static Days?
1. The average number of days in a year is 365.256.
2. Divide it by 360.
3. The result is 1.0146, meaning one degree corresponds to 1.0146 days.
4. Static degrees include 30, 45, 60, 72, 90, 120, 135, 150, 180, 210, 225, 240, 252, 270, 288, 300, 315, 330, and 360 degrees. These degrees indicate when the market is most likely to experience significant shifts.
5. With knowledge of the days in a month, you can divide that number by 1.0146 to determine the date. For example, multiplying 30 by 1.0146 yields 30.438, which corresponds to March 21st plus one degree, resulting in April 20th.
Chart pattern: ChannelA channel is a pattern used in the technical analysis of financial markets that defines the movement of the price of an asset between the upper and lower lines of the pattern (parallel lines). Channels can be bullish, bearish, or sideways.
They are reversal patterns, meaning they indicate a signal for a change in trend.
When it comes to trading them, there are different ways to do so. We can trade within the channel, aiming for the opposite end of the line we are situated on. Alternatively, we can trade the trend change. The trend change can be traded once the channel is broken, either within it or by waiting for the price to break the pattern. This latter option is riskier, but it can lead to greater profits as the trading begins at a point with a higher projected movement. (🇮🇳)
Metrics: Expected Value (EV)Expected Value (EV) is a statistical concept that indicates whether our trading system or strategy will yield positive, negative, or neutral results in the medium or long term. It is based on previous results. As we know, past performance does not guarantee future results, but it helps us get an idea of how it might work and allows us to base our decisions on objective terms.
The formula for calculating Expected Value (EV) is as follows:
Expected Value (EV) = (Win Rate * Average Win) - (Loss Rate * Average Loss)
When interpreting the result, it indicates whether you will gain or lose in the medium or long term per unit of currency at risk.
An example:
A trader achieves an expected value of 0.5 with their trading operations. This means that every time they risk 1€ in the market, they gain 0.5€ in profit.
Chart pattern: Head and Shoulders (H&S)The Head and Shoulders, from now on referred to as H&S, is a chart pattern used in technical analysis of stock markets. It is a pattern that indicates a reversal, signaling the end of a trend and the beginning of a new trend in the opposite direction.
It is one of the most important and widely used patterns due to its high reliability and the number of required implications. However, this does not mean it is infallible, as its success rate is around 70%.
Regarding its potential projection, if the price breaks below the support line after the formation of the Right Shoulder (RS), the range between the maximum price of the Head (H) and the support line is measured. This distance is then applied to the breakout point, as shown in the image, to obtain the minimum pattern projection.
Harmonic trading learning & experience.Harmonic more accurate work in consideration stock like
Reliance, Nestle,Bosch, hul .
this stock move slowly and fundamental strong so if you play using harmonic swing trade
So you have benifit.
Here you get low risk reward .
But if you have patience and harmonic experience definitely yearly generate good % profit
And plz avoid option trading in this stocks .
In consolidation stock or sideways stock+ fundamental strong.
Harmonic accuracy around 65/70%.
MFI indicator and how to work with itHello everyone, letit is in touch and today we want to tell you about one very cool indicator.
MFI - (money flow index) is a technical indicator designed to demonstrate the intensity with which money is invested in a security and withdrawn from it by analyzing trading volumes and the ratio of typical prices of periods.
it shows how attractive the asset looks. That is, the degree of intensity of investing money in it. At the same time, only the dynamics of the indicator is important, its value at a particular moment in itself does not matter much.
That is, speaking in simple terms, there is a similarity with rsi, but here it is not so strict in terms of divergences and convergences.
The indicator simply shows the discrepancy between the cash flow and the price of an asset.
Now on bitcoin we can see this discrepancy.
We had growth when money left the asset - this is a signal for a fall.
Therefore, the team and I expect the asset to fall to the area of 21500-20200, and from there it will turn around.
Below are some more examples of discrepancies.
If you liked the article, then put a reaction and write a comment - it will help us a lot.
SYSTEM 1.27Give the system a test run EU and GU , and don't forget to express your appreciation once you secure funding ! ..If you don't have any system yet, It could be the missing piece of the puzzle you've been searching for, I can assure you that during the backtesting process, you will discover many new and interesting insights.
Structural Confluence of Elliot and HarmonicsConfluence doesnt mean some indicators and price action .. confluence conditions can be seen everywhere from structure to entry
The above structure shows you confluence with 2 major concepts in trading world HARMONICS and ELLIOT, shows you the possible areas where you could see confluence of both
The 3rd wave could some times be BAT pattern or DEEP CRAB pattern in impulse, when it comes to elliot correction you will prob'ly see ABCD pattern in formation.
This will give you an idea of how to identify the confluence when you are looking for swing trading
Always keep in mind that there will be internal small patterns within the big pattern do not get confused while doing multi TF analysis thinking which pattern to follow, always follow the higher TF pattern.