Trend Analysis
HDFCAMC Stock AnalysisThe stock price is at major RESISTANCE and it is tested many times. It is also trying to the making of DOUBLE TOP PATTERN. If there is any reversal candle then short trade can be initiated and we can confirm the double top pattern. But for going long you should wait for the closing of 15 min candle with good volumes.
HOW DOUBLE TOP PATTERN WORKS
A double top is an extremely bearish technical reversal pattern that forms after an asset reaches a high price two consecutive times with a moderate decline between the two highs. It is confirmed once the asset's price falls below a support level equal to the low between the two prior highs.
KEY POINTS
1. A double top is a bearish technical reversal pattern.
2. It is not as easy to spot as one would think because there needs to be a confirmation with a break below support.
TOP/BOTTOM REVERSAL CANDLE PATTERNSHi
Its been a while since my last post. In this post I have represented selective candlestick reversal patterns.
In a candlestick, "body" represents the distance between candle OPEN and CLOSING price. Whereas "wicks" represent the entire range of the candle from TOP to the BOTTOM.
In most of these patterns only bodies are important. There are no conditions for wicks unless specifically mentioned like in abandoned baby star and (first two candles of) shooting star pattern. In an abandoned baby star pattern the wicks of the second day should not overlap with the wicks of first and third day. But there can be wick overlapping in morning and evening stars where the condition is for bodies only.
Similarly in shooting star, the second day should not overlap with the first day (not even wicks) whereas the third day may have some overlapping.
One should always try these patterns with some sort of confirmation in the form of volume or overbought/oversold scenarios etc. While taking a trade based on these patterns one should follow money management and trade management principles.
I hope this post will update your knowledge in one way or the other.
Do not forget to like and comment (for any doubts) to encourage writing on trading view.
Regards
JJSingh
Price Action with RSI and MACD - Trade with ConvictionFor the purpose of explaining the combined use of these indicators,
I have taken the example of TCS - TATA CONSULTANCY SERVICES, which recently gave a clear breakout.
Know your Lines! - By joining the recent highs and recent lows of a share price, we can identify if the share has a well tested Support & Resistance or not. I prefer those with a clear defined pattern simply because all traders are looking out for these levels and there is a pretty good chance they will hold good, if not, you will know its time to exit.
Catch the Support! - The key to any exchange profit is BUYING AT A LOW and SELLING AT A HIGH. While it might sound obvious, majority of people lose out because they FOMO in at a HIGH and then Sell at a Low to cut losses. Classic Failure Strategy. It is pretty normal if a stock is all abuzz in the market, but do not enter it based on the buzz, check if its already too late or not. If at all, buy at a pullback at Fibonacci levels 0.68 or 0.50 ( Higher Success Rate levels )
One Eye on the MACD! - What makes an Indicator exceptional is the number of people using it. RSI, MACD, STOCH are like the biblical indicators which you certainly want to check before taking a position. When the blue line of MACD cuts the signal line from below, and the price is around its support, chances are you will not repent going long.
RSI is your best friend! - RSI is very crucial to avoid buying at a high. When it is above 70( I prefer 80 ), it is better to wait for a pullback. In a bullish market, it usually bounces back from 50, but again it differs from share to share. Identify its key support and a bounce from that level around the price support when MACD is bullish, means its a good set up for a Long Position.
I also prefer to watch out for RSI and MACD divergence to see the momentum of the price. If the RSI or MACD is making lower HIGHS while the Share Price is making Higher HIGHS, it means the momentum is weaking and one must watchout for a nice pullback.
To summarise, Identify the Support and Resistance, Check if MACD has turned bullish when the pricce has pulled back to its support, Check if RSI has bounced from its support and preferably above 50 ( It means bulls are in control ). If everything checks out, it should be an ideal long setup.
I hope you take back something from the explanation, This strategy has almost everytime worked for me. I hope it does for you too.
Keep Learning :)
The reason behind Fibonacci retracement in stock marketsWhat is the reason behind Fibonacci retracement in stock markets?
As a traders we all know Fibonacci that the Fibonacci ratios, i.e. 61.8%, 38.2%, and 23.6%, finds its application in stock charts. Fibonacci analysis can be applied when there is a noticeable up-move or down-move in prices. Whenever the stock moves either upwards or downwards sharply, it usually tends to retrace back before its next move.
The reasons that I come across why this uncertain market follows the Fibonacci retracement . The stock market only involves demand and supply, but how this golden ratio-number can govern the price movements, like most of us don’t have the mathematical knowledge. But psychology we all think in a similar way .
The two reasons that I come around are:
-Stocks do NOT "follow Fibonacci retracement." Stocks move around randomly, together with some bias due to overall unpredictable market conditions. Sometimes these random movements correspond to a recognizable pattern on accident, and when they do people notice and say "look at that, a pattern!" Then they give these patterns fancy names like "Fibonacci retracement," and start looking for them in other places, which they will certainly find if they look hard enough. Sadly, any attempt to use these patterns in advance to predict future price movements fail. Sometimes they match on accident, and just as often they don't.
If these patterns worked, then they would quickly be used until they stop working. E.g. If the pattern actually, correctly, showed that the stock price will go up next week, then a whole bunch of people will start buying it THIS week, causing it to go up sooner, and ultimately erasing the pattern.
-There are two schools of thought - one that believes in technical analysis, and one that doesn’t.
from the view of the latter
With many people believing in the significance of the stock price reaching or crossing certain levels - be it fibonacci levels, support lines, crosses of death, or whichever, those people react by buying or selling, thereby creating a self-fullfilling prophecy. If you want to make money in the market, you need to be aware of these reactions, and act accordingly - sometimes even supporting the supposed beliefs.
Personally, I think it’s like astrology - great if it helps you, but there is nothing behind it.
Again, look forward to the other side explaining you why it’s real, and make up your own mind.
Thanks for reading it. Please share your thoughts on things..
WaveTalks-Nifty-The Evening Star / Wedge CollaborationThis short video explains how the evening star turns into a wedge pattern. If correct, downside 16590 was critical support, holding above Nifty could bounce back again to 16680-16700. On the upside, Holding below 16712 highs, It can attempt to fall back again to 16615-16625 & assuming that if Index falls below 16590-critical support, it can fall to 16500 / 16440 / 16400 levels
When you splash around the water, you get to hear a peculiar sound which you heard over the video at the start.
I have compared that sound of up & down in Nifty Index to water pool splash. This scenario in technical analysis is called a wedge pattern
What Is a Wedge?
A wedge is a price pattern marked by converging trend lines on a price chart. The two trend lines are drawn to connect the respective highs and lows of a price series throughout chosen periods. The lines show that the highs and the lows are either rising or falling giving the appearance of a wedge as the lines approach a convergence. Wedge-shaped trend lines are considered useful indicators of a potential reversal in price action.
Elliott Wave Analysis
These wedges are further classified as Type 1 / Type 2 diagonal (wedge). Depending on the position of the structure unfolding. They are called
(Type 1)Leading Diagonal – Start the price move
(Type 2)Ending Diagonal - End the price move
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Last Video Idea - Nifty Bearish Bat Harmonic Pattern
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How to make a winning trade using pennants
A pennant is a small symmetrical triangle that begins wide and converges as the pattern matures (like a cone).
Here is an example of IEX.
The company has declared a good set up of numbers on 22nd July.
Profit after tax is up by 48%
Sales are up by 36%
The price is now hovering near the previous Resistance which now acts as a support
Tight price range near the support level. Look at the small candles.
Price goes up with rising volume on 23rd Aug.
Any pattern may falter depending on the overall market condition. So one should always keep a stop loss. :)
Hope you liked the idea. Happy trading.
Nifty looks weak and unlikely to hold its place!! Prediction: Since there is Jackson Hole Event, chances are that market wont leave their position open. Hence, there are high chance that we see Nifty down tomorrow.
Further, 16715 is important resistance followed by 16680 and 16650 and market is unlikely to cross 16715 because of the said event. Hence, on every resistance it is best to short nifty. with the SL of 16715.
Bank Nifty looks bearish for tomorrow (27 Aug 2021)Prediction: Since there is Jackson Hole Event, chances are that market wont leave their position open. Hence, there are high chance that we see Bank Nifty down tomorrow. Further, 35600 is important support. Next support will be 35350-00. Below 35300 don't forget to short with SL 35375.
Pattern: An ascending triangle is a chart pattern used in technical analysis. It is created by price moves that allow for a horizontal line to be drawn along the swing highs, and a rising trendline to be drawn along the swing lows. The two lines form a triangle. Traders often watch for breakouts from triangle patterns. The breakout can occur to the upside or downside. Ascending triangles are often called continuation patterns since the price will typically breakout in the same direction as the trend that was in place just prior to the triangle forming.
nifty is showing flag and pole patternFlag and pole is a bullish pattern. I it breaks the channel upside stock price makes a new high. But if it breaks the downside then it will no good breakout.
How flag and pole pattern work:-
Flags are areas of tight consolidation in price action showing a counter-trend move that follows directly after a sharp directional movement in price. The pattern typically consists of between five and twenty price bars. Flag patterns can be either upward trending (bullish flag) or downward trending (bearish flag). The bottom of the flag should not exceed the midpoint of the flagpole that preceded it. Flag patterns have five main characteristics:
1.The preceding trend
2.The consolidation channel
3.The volume pattern
4.A breakout
5.A confirmation where price moves in the same direction as the breakout
Bullish and bearish patterns have similar structures but differ in trend direction and subtle differences in volume pattern. The bullish volume pattern increases in the preceding trend and declines in the consolidation. By contrast, a bearish volume pattern increases first and then tends to hold level since bearish trends tend to increase in volume as time progresses.
WaveTalks-Nifty-Bearish Bat Harmonic Pattern at 16665This video discussed a bearish harmonic pattern that might be quietly sitting & hiding in the price structure if unfolds exactly holding below 16701.85 then the downside support could be 16510-16530 / Below 16500 for 16370-16390.
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Last Nifty Video Idea
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Hope you enjoy the video. Good Night!!!
Bitcoin: ABC WavesFriends:
Post here a study on the natural correction that BTC may undergo.
I am not saying here that it will happen this way. But I am expounding Elliot's theories about the ABC correction waves.
I hope I helped in some way.
Leave your like please and comment your opinion!
👉🏼If you want to talk to me, send an inbox message, or click on the footer of this post!
⚠️Disclaimer: The above comments reflect solely my opinion, this is not a buy or sell recommendation. Just a series of published studies, so that together with the community we can discuss operational tactics and techniques.
CLICK DOWN HERE!
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NIFTY LOOKS TO TEST ITS SUPPORTSNifty at its curial support of 16630, any fall would take the index to 16580-550. Also, Nifty has made double top and accordingly, likely to test 16380-50 levels soon so that double top pattern can be completed!!
Further, if cues are negative from Jackson Hole Event i.e., liquidity cut, we may see a good correction all over the world market. However, as the COVID cases are increasing in US, I believe the US Government will not cut the liquidity flowing in market and hence, its unlikely that Nifty will test lower levels and should fly above 16380-50.
PS: I am amateur in this huge investment world. Kindly check with your financial adviser before investing/ shorting/ longing the index.
TCS EDUCATIONAL CHART COMBINING MARKET SRTUCTURE & ACCUMULATIONtoday we'll discuss about market structure and accumulation range bound market
the price started a bearish trend by making lower highs
then the price sustained to go any lower
the market then came in range bound structure
and with breakout we saw huge volumes
now for the future analysis-
=== the strength of impulse waves is declining so we might see some consolidation/distribution phase
SORRY FOR THE VOICE _/\_
if u have any doubts feel free to ask in comments section