valid structure mapping EXPLAINED in this video i mainly focus on confirming high and lows with proper logic
Trend Analysis
Capital Finsol Trend tradingTrend trading is designed to take advantage of uptrends, where the price tends to make new highs, or downtrends, where the price tends to make new lows.
An uptrend is a series of higher swing highs and higher swing lows. A downtrend is a series of lower swing highs and lower swing lows.
In addition to looking at swing highs and lows, trend traders utilize other tools such as trendlines, moving averages, and technical indicators to help identify the trend direction and potentially provide trade signals.
Stock HeatmapHave you ever heard of a stock heatmap? 📈 It's an innovative and visually appealing tool used in the world of finance to analyze and interpret market data. Let's explore what it is and how it can be useful in your trading journey.
🌡️ What is a Stock Heatmap?
A stock heatmap is a graphical representation of a large set of stocks or securities, where each individual stock is color-coded based on its performance or specific metrics. It provides a visual snapshot of the entire market or a specific sector, helping traders quickly identify trends, strengths, and weaknesses.
🔍 Utilizing Heatmaps
1️⃣ Market Analysis: Heatmaps allow you to assess the overall market sentiment and identify which stocks are performing well and which ones are underperforming.
2️⃣ Sector Analysis: By using sector-specific heatmaps, you can easily spot strong sectors and weak sectors, helping you make informed decisions about sector rotation strategies.
3️⃣ Stock Selection: Heatmaps can assist in narrowing down potential trading opportunities by highlighting stocks with significant price movements, volume surges, or specific technical indicators.
4️⃣ Risk Management: Heatmaps help you assess the risk-reward profile of different stocks, enabling you to prioritize stocks that align with your risk tolerance and investment goals.
Remember, a stock heatmap should be used as a complementary tool alongside other fundamental and technical analysis techniques. It provides a dynamic and intuitive way to visualize market data, aiding in decision-making and identifying potential trading opportunities.
Metrics: DrawdownDrawdown is the metric used to measure the decline in a performance curve relative to a previous peak. It represents the distance between a maximum point in the capital curve and its subsequent minimum.
This indicator can be visualized in relative terms (%) or absolute terms (€, $...). In my opinion, I always recommend using relative data as it makes the analysis more intuitive.
From this concept arises the maximum drawdown of a strategy, which indicates the maximum percentage loss between a peak and a trough over a specific period of time. This period can range from the last month to the entire historical series, known as the drawdown from origin.
Therefore, drawdown is used in the risk assessment of a system, both on its own and in combination with other related measures that provide a higher degree of information.
VIX vs S&P500The VIX index (officially known as the Chicago Board Options Exchange Market Volatility Index), developed by CBOE in 1993, is calculated based on the implied volatility of call and put options on the S&P500; index (SPX) over a 30-day period.
The theory behind the volatility index is that if investors believe the market is going to decline, they will hedge their portfolios by buying puts (the right to sell an asset at a predetermined price before a specific expiration date). Conversely, if traders are bullish, they may not want to hedge against potential downturns. This index shows a negative correlation with the S&P500.;
When there is high volatility, the VIX reaches high values and is often accompanied by declines in the S&P500;, indicating fear and pessimism in the market. These events often lead to significant movements in the stock markets. Conversely, when the VIX is at lows, there is confidence in the market and movements are smoother.
Relevant VIX levels:
VIX<20: Investor confidence. Often coincides with bullish periods for the S&P500.;
2030: Increased investor pessimism or fear. High volatility and the potential for significant downward corrections in the prices of the S&P500; and major stock indices.
Candlestick pattern: Shooting starShooting Star is a bearish candlestick reversal pattern. It signifies the end of an uptrend and the potential start of a downtrend. Its opposite is the Morning Star.
When analyzing this pattern, we should observe if the confirming candle closes within the lower third of the range formed. This condition acts as a filter when deciding whether to initiate a trade or not.
This filter makes sense because a stronger confirming candle indicates greater rejection of the uptrend continuation, thus increasing the likelihood of the pattern's success and the formation of a new downtrend.
On the other hand, if the confirming candle does not close below two-thirds of the range formed, it could indicate weakness in the direction of the trend and decrease the probability of the start of a new downtrend.
Correlation between different assetsCorrelation is a measure that establishes the degree of relationship between different assets. It is measured on a scale of +100% to -100%.
In the case of a +100% correlation (perfect positive correlation), both assets move in an identical manner in the market. Conversely, if the correlation is -100% (perfect negative correlation), we are talking about two assets that move in an exactly opposite manner.
Correlation is a crucial measure to consider because not being aware of the correlations between assets could inadvertently increase our risk. For example, if we open a sell position in NDJPY and another with the same lot size in NZDUSD based on an analysis conducted on the 4H timeframe, we would be multiplying our risk by 2 due to the high correlation between both assets in that timeframe (88%). The correct way to handle this situation may be to either reduce the risk of both trades by half or only trade the pair with a clearer scenario in your analysis.
The importance of using different TimeframesWhen visualizing the market and conducting technical analysis, it is crucial to interpret different timeframes.
Multi-timeframe analysis can enhance the probability of success in our trading by utilizing support and resistance levels from higher timeframes than our base timeframe.
It is also useful for identifying candlestick patterns in other timeframes and assessing their alignment with other signals observed in our analysis.
Chart pattern: Head and Shoulders (H&S)The Head and Shoulders, from now on referred to as H&S, is a chart pattern used in technical analysis of stock markets. It is a pattern that indicates a reversal, signaling the end of a trend and the beginning of a new trend in the opposite direction.
It is one of the most important and widely used patterns due to its high reliability and the number of required implications. However, this does not mean it is infallible, as its success rate is around 70%.
Regarding its potential projection, if the price breaks below the support line after the formation of the Right Shoulder (RS), the range between the maximum price of the Head (H) and the support line is measured. This distance is then applied to the breakout point, as shown in the image, to obtain the minimum pattern projection.
Vardhman Textiles - A Good Case StudyHey all! Just wanted to share an interesting chart with you all because it seems good for studying multiple concepts.
As you can see, there was a massive price expansion in July 2022. This created a strong buying imbalance. The price then underwent a correction in a descending channel, thereby reaching the demand zone for a test.
It strongly bounced off the demand zone ultimately leading to a shift in market structure. After the initial pump, there was a small period of consolidation (Pennant) which lead to another leg of expansion.
The price then again went into consolidation in June. This consolidation now seems to be over and the price is likely to expand to the upside.
Disclaimer : This is NOT investment advice. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Invest your capital at your own risk.
Double Bollinger Band Strategy :Double Bolliger band Strategy :
Tried to put in best easy way in the chart and simple explanation below :
What we need :
Two Bollinger Bands
1. Length 20 and StdDev 1
2. Length 20 and StdDev 3
Confirmation with indicators should be in same trend with candle stick trend
1. RSI (For trend identification)
2. Stoch (Entry and Exit confirmations / Overbought and Oversold confirmations)
Risk Reward Ratio : 1:2 or 1:1.5 or as per your risk appetite, above ones shown with 1: 2 RR
Rules of the game :
When ever candle stick crosses above/below BB with StdDev 1, that’s the entry. Any candle after this should be used as entry point above the earlier candle which crossed BB with StdDev 1, stop loss should be the candle stick (candle stick which crossed) high or low (sell/buy respectively) or middle line of Bollinger band which ever are nearer. Take profit is 1 : 2 or as per the risk appetite.
Avoid when :
• Long wicks or long candles which crossed the BB with StdDev 1
• If the candle stick trend is not matching with RSI/Stoch (all should be in following same trend path)
• If we don’t get entry within 2 candle sticks after the candle stick which crossed above/below BB with Std Dev 1
Stop Loss : Stop loss is the key here, please do not enter unless you understand how to calculate stop loss. Calculate Stop loss first before entry and it should be minimal say not beyond 40 points in Nifty as an example / acceptable loss in above example chart.
Result : Out of 7 entries 1 hit SL while 6 won. 7 wins with 80 points each vs 1 SL with 40 points make to 520 points gain overall.
Please do let me know if you have any questions would be happy to respond.
Please do like and share this idea. Thanks
Disclaimer : This analysis/strategy is only for educational purpose and not be considered as any trading idea/tip. Please consult your financial advisor before you take any trade and we are no way responsible for your profits/losses. Thank you!
Understanding Price Action and Volume in TradingIntroduction:
In trading, there are two main components to consider: the psychological aspect and the technical aspect. While this tutorial will focus on the technical part, it's important to note that the psychological aspect is also crucial for trading success. In the technical realm, two key elements to prioritize are price action and volume. By understanding and analyzing these factors, traders can gain valuable insights into market dynamics. This tutorial will provide an overview of price action and volume and explain their significance in trading.
Understanding Volume
Definition of Volume:
- Volume represents the number of transactions in the marketplace.
- Each unit of volume indicates a single transaction (e.g., a sale).
Volume as an Indicator of Strength:
- Volume does not indicate the presence of more buyers or sellers.
- It reveals the level of aggressiveness exhibited by buyers and sellers.
- Higher volume suggests greater interest or activity at specific price levels.
- Lower volume may indicate a lack of interest or support at certain levels.
Auction Market Theory:
- The market functions as an auction place with buyers and sellers seeking price equilibrium.
- Bid and ask prices reflect the orders placed by traders and institutions.
- Understanding the auction market theory helps decipher the relative strength of buyers and sellers.
- Level 2 data, including bids, asks, and time and sales, provide insights into order flow.
Understanding Price Action
Importance of Price Action:
- Price action refers to the movement and behavior of price on the charts.
- Analyzing price action helps identify trends, breakouts, and reversals.
- Price action reflects market sentiment and the acceptance of certain price levels.
Components of Price Action:
- Candlestick patterns: Analyzing the shape and structure of individual candlesticks.
- Supply and demand: Evaluating imbalances between buying and selling pressure.
- Support and resistance: Identifying key price levels where buyers or sellers are active.
Combining Price Action and Volume:
- Integrating volume analysis with price action enhances trading decisions.
- Volume confirms or contradicts price movements, providing validation or cautionary signals.
- Analyzing price action and volume together helps identify strength, trends, and traps.
Using Indicators Properly
Limitations of Indicators:
- Many indicators are lagging, meaning they rely on price data to generate signals.
- Price action and volume are leading indicators that provide real-time insights.
Simplifying Your Trading Approach:
- Remove unnecessary indicators and clutter from your charts.
- Focus on price action and volume as primary tools for analysis.
- Develop trading strategies and playbooks based on these essential components.
Conclusion:
Mastering the technical aspects of trading requires a deep understanding of price action and volume. By simplifying your approach and focusing on these key components, you can develop a solid foundation for trading success. This tutorial has provided an introductory overview of price action and volume. In subsequent lessons, we will delve into more advanced topics such as order flow and deeper levels of analysis. Remember to avoid overcomplicating your trading and always seek continuous learning and improvement.
UJJIVANSFB - Important learning - how to pyramid up & trail SLTraders, even those who have spent significant amount of time in stock market, find it difficult to understand and execute the concept of Pyramiding up in a stock and how to trail SL with each opportunity of pyramiding.
While going through my daily watchlist of stocks, came across this chart and found it best suitable to explain the concept of pyramid up & trailing SL.
The image is self explanatory
In case of any further query, pls feel free to comment or message.
Type of Important GapsThere are three common types of gaps that frequently occur -
1. The breakaway gap
2. Runaway gap
3. The exhaustion gap.
Breakaway gap is a more significant gap that usually marks the beginning of new trend. It occurs when the price of a stock breaks a significant resistance.
Runaway gaps typically occur during strong bull or bear markets, where the price accelerates in the direction of the trend.
Exhaustion gap occurs towards the end of a trend, signaling the exhaustion of buying or selling pressure.
SIMPLE BREAKOUT CHART PATTERNHere's a step-by-step breakdown of how breakout trading works:
1️⃣ Identify a Consolidation Phase: Look for a period of consolidation on the price chart where the stock's price is moving within a relatively narrow range. This phase indicates that the stock is building up energy for a potential breakout.
2️⃣ Set Support and Resistance Levels: Determine the support and resistance levels that define the boundaries of the consolidation phase. Support is the price level at which the stock tends to stop falling, while resistance is the level at which it tends to stop rising.
3️⃣ Wait for the Breakout: Monitor the price action closely and wait for the stock's price to break out above the resistance level or below the support level. The breakout should ideally be accompanied by an increase in trading volume, indicating strong buying or selling pressure.
4️⃣ Confirm the Breakout: To reduce the risk of false breakouts, consider using additional technical indicators or patterns to confirm the validity of the breakout. Examples include moving averages, trendlines, or candlestick patterns.
5️⃣ Enter the Trade: Once the breakout is confirmed, enter a trade in the direction of the breakout. You can place a buy order if the price breaks out above resistance or a sell order if it breaks below support. Set stop-loss and take-profit levels to manage risk and potential profits.
6️⃣ Manage the Trade: Continuously monitor the trade and adjust your stop-loss and take-profit levels as the price moves. Consider trailing your stop-loss to protect your gains if the stock continues to move favorably.
Remember, breakout trading requires careful analysis and risk management. It's essential to use proper position sizing, risk only a small portion of your capital on each trade, and always be prepared for potential losses.
Trading journal 🥲 20 trades posted for you guys
4 of them got SL❌ hit without reaching TP 1✅.
That's not the end of my trading 😅 ,no one is 100% accurate in any field.
80% win rate is satisfied for me to be a profitable trader as we can see some of them never touched SL and still keeps growing which is also a very good thing about this journey.
Always trust your plans 👍 ,
Psychology tip:-Don't let FOMO interact your mind or trading plan. Sl tp entry always remain same..never change them once u have set. Just forget after getting into the trade..either hit tp or sl.. don't bring sl to more down and increase your losses or tp to more up to increase your risk of hitting it.
When to adjust Options - 5 Guidelines to stop your lossesIn this video, I discuss 5 Options selling guidelines which you can use to exit your option trades when they go wrong.
Selling options come with the risk of unlimited losses . That's why, the main aim of adjusting options is to put a cap to the losses , reassess the situation and increase profitability.
Follow @piyushrawtani for more!
Cheers =)
Intraday head and shoulder pattern trading This is a small video on how to calculate the target in the head and shoulder pattern which will allow us to place an alert using the tradingview tools. The tradingview tools make calculating the exact target based on the patterns a lot more easier. I hope this video helps the beginners, please note this is only for beginners and if you are already familiar with the patterns well then you may skip this.
Learn how candle work as a resistance in ABCAPITALABCAPITAL this is a learning for next time we find a hammer resistance.
How to identify Base Pattern Saucer with handle In This chart i have marked all the points. youcan easily find base patterns.
Inverse head and shoulder pattern Inverse head and shoulder pattern. I h&S pattern is a bullish pattern which signifies the continuation of price for upside.
