NIFTY WEEKLY ANALYSIS (17/7/21)Trendline still not broken (price near trendline and in consolidation mode around 15600 to 15900
This week the nifty closed at ATH and managed to close at upper levels.
Making small momentum candles (can break either side, p.s. Major trend is up)
Strong support at 15300 levels
A decisive close above 16000 with a catalyst is needed to enter new territory.
This weak midcap/ Smallcap and many other stocks blasted (realty/ pharma / broking) stocks did well.
Support and Resistance
What is Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern?Inverse Head and shoulders Pattern is the mirror image of head and shoulders pattern.
Read about Head and Shoulder Pattern here:
Inverse H&S Pattern is bullish reversal pattern. Signals the traders to enter into long position above the neckline.
Volume play a major role in both H&S and Inverse H&S Patterns. Usually the spike in volume on breakout is considered as a great signal for bullish entry.
Again a suitable target can be obtained by measuring the distance between head and neckline of the pattern and using same distance to project the target .
After the neckline breakout there is also a probability that prices can be retrace again to neckline due to lack of demand . Prices can only rise if again there is more demand which will lead to bullish uptrend.
Also if the neckline slopes slightly upward that is the sign of greater market strength thus gives further conformation to go bullish on Inverse H&S Patter .
Let us know what do you think about Inverse H&S Pattern? Please comment your views/doubts!
As always nothing works every time in
markets. Please do your research before taking any position. This is only for Educational Purpose.
We are covering all Major Reversal and continuation patterns in this series.
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Next Pattern we will cover: Round Bottom Pattern
Importance of Demand and Supply ZonesI gave you guys these Levels Yesterday To Trade. The First 5 Min CAndle Took a Heavy Support From the Major Support Zone and Made a Very Strong Bullish Candle and I Entered Straight Away In the Trade and Booked Over 180 Points in BankNifty FUT In Just 10-15MIn.Thats The Power of Demand and Supply Zones. Follow Me To Capture these Kind of MOves I Share them EveryDAy.
Tata Motors: Did Charts warn us ahead of the NEWSTata Motors
There was a NEWS today in afternoon with regards to Chip shortage effecting JLR car production and that it might take a toll on profitability for the Company. The NEWS took a heavy toll on Tata Motors instantly.
Now let me go by disclaimer, this is analysis in hindsight which is easier as the outcome is there in front of us now.
Also, I have not traded this set up, nor is this any kind of recommendation now. (although you can check out my other ideas on Tata Motors in the links below).
But the fact is: Technical Analysis gave us warning signals way before the NEWS was out .
If you look at the charts,
- the stock had been trading at the edge of blue line
- 356 -360 as you can see has been a major hurdle for Tata Motors ( marked by red line and red arrow marks)
So, today when the stock came in the zone around 356 levels, the cues were there for those who understand Technical Analysis that the stock is at resistance. The risk was minimum to sell in the zone of 356-360 .
The NEWS came in and once the blue line was taken out, it only helped those who positioned themselves based on this Technical Analysis set up.
If you follow Technical Analysis and if you had an eye on the stock , you would agree that Technical Analysis was again ahead of NEWS in terms of signaling the potential risk above 355 levels
Let me know what you think, in the comment section below
Regards,
Vaibhav Deshpande
200 (DAILY) SIMPLE MOVING AVERAGEThe 200-day simple moving average (SMA) is considered a key indicator by traders and market analysts for determining overall long-term market trends. The indicator appears as a line on a chart and meanders higher and lower along with the longer-term price moves in the stock, commodity, or whatever instrument that is being charted. The 200-day SMA seems, at times, to serve as an uncanny support level when price is above the moving average or a resistance level when price is below it.
As a very long-term moving average, the 200-day SMA is often used in conjunction with other, shorter-term moving averages to show not only the market trend but also to assess the strength of the trend as indicated by the separation between moving average lines. For example, comparing the 50-day SMA and 200-day is relatively common.
When moving average lines converge, this sometimes indicates a lack of definitive market momentum, whereas the increasing separation between shorter-term moving averages and longer-term moving averages typically indicates increasing trend strength and market momentum
It is possible that there is also something of a self-fulfilling prophecy aspect to the 200-day SMA; markets react strongly in relation to it partially just because so many traders and analysts attach so much importance to the indicator.
It is acting as Dynamic Support currently.
ASTRON | WEEKLY ANALYSIS | 40%-100% UPSIDE POTENTIALCLOSELY WATCH THE LEVELS
VOLUMES HAVE STARTED TO POP IN
23/6/21
- Smallcap, Material (paper)--posted negative results FY21---quarterly results mar21 is positive
-W- Stock has bottomed out and started making positive price structure
- Above all major EMA on D, in W, crossing 100EMA with good VOL
- Parameters positive on D & W
- Volume have started to increase
- Breakout and close above 60-62 on closing basis with good volume will validate
- Can initiate buy at lower trendline if makes bullish candle
- 100EMA and Resistance confluence
How to use Anchored VWAPAn Anchored VWAP (Anchored - Volume weighted Average Price) lets you make up an idea on whether the control of the market is on side of bulls or bears. Like the traditional VWAP, it incorporates price and volume in a weighted average and can be used to identify areas of support and resistance on the chart. Just like in intraday setup, a traditional VWAP lets you gauge the control of bulls or bears on the price after the opening of the day, the Anchored VWAP (AVWAP) tells you the control of bulls or bears with respect to an important day in the past over daily or weekly chart. In other words, an AVWAP indicator ties VWAP calculations to a specific price bar chosen by the trader.
In a price reversal from the previous swing high or low, an A-VWAP tells us a general idea about the long-term (or short term based on the Anchor date) support or resistance or the price. In the attached TV screen, A-VWAP is applied over BankNifty futures (current contract in front). Here we can see that the price has taken reversals multiple times from the AVWAP.
Indigo Is in the verge of breaking my Quant Box.In daily and 30 min chart, Indigo has shown a consolidation of COI . Which clears, if it breaks either side and stands then it might give a multi-range target.
Please check the chart where I have provided a short-term multi-range target. Another side of the wall of the Quant box will be the Stop Loss.
The traders can plan their trade with derivative products also as per their risk.
Standard Disclaimer: Please consultant your financial advisor before investing. This report is for training purpose
HOW TO BUY STOCKS USING MOVING AVERAGEMoving average is the most common indicator in technical analysis also be the most important indicator, as it serves as the foundation of countless others.
1) What is a moving average?
Moving average (MA) is a simple technical analysis tool that smooths out price data by creating a constantly updated average price. The average is taken over a specific period of time like 10, 20, or 50 days, or any time period as suitable. The indicator is known as a ‘moving’ average, since its value keeps changing as the data keeps changing over time. I have used a band of 20 DMA.
Here’s an example. Say the closing prices of ITC for the last 5 trading days are:
Closing prices
Day 1: Rs. 215
Day 2: Rs. 220
Day 3: Rs. 222
Day 4: Rs. 226
Day 5: Rs. 239
In this case, the moving average of ITC for a 5-day period is calculated like this.
= (Day 1 price + Day 2 price + Day 3 price + Day 4 price + Day 5 price ) ÷ 5 days
= (Rs. 215 + Rs. 220 + Rs. 222 + Rs. 226 + Rs. 239) ÷ 5 days
= Rs. 224.
When used appropriately, they provide easy insight into a trend’s direction, its magnitude, support and resistance. Works magically, for those who depend on support and resistance strategies to generate entry points. However, for those who prefer to trade price reversals, using moving average crossover strategies is perfectly viable as well.
2) How to buy stocks using moving average? (I use a band of 20 DMA as my strategy)
a) By identifying support and resistance as shown in the chart: A moving average can also act as support or resistance. In an uptrend, an average may act as a support level, as shown in the chart. This is because the average acts like a floor (support), so the price bounces up off of it. In a downtrend, a moving average may act as resistance; like a ceiling, the price hits the level and then starts to drop again.
b) By identifying the trend as shown in the chart: Look at the direction of the moving average to get an idea of which way the price is moving. If it is angled up, the price is moving up, angled down, and the price is moving down, if moving sideways, and the trend is likely in a range.
Disclaimer I'm not an expert, i'm still learning. Sharing knowledge will enrich me with more knowledge. This strategy works well for me it may or may not work for you. I tried to explain in a layman's point of view. I reserve the right to be wrong.
triangle pattern breakout in IBULHSGFINThis is a weekly chart of IBULHSGFIN as we can see it gave a good triangle pattern breakout and this stock turning bullish. It sustains 246 levels then the next level is 360.
Creating Lines with ShortcutsCreating lines on a chart is one of the most fundamental methods of charting when performing technical analysis . Being able to create these effectively and quickly is a very useful skill to have.
Horizontal, Vertical and Cross lines can all be found on the drawings panel to the left of the chart in the subgroup “Trend Line Tools”. These tools can be added by selecting them from the subgroup and then placing them on the chart.
However, a more efficient method to creating these lines is to utilize the hotkey functions:
Horizontal Line Shortcut:
- Alt+H (PC), or Option+H (MAC)
Vertical Line Hotkey:
- Alt+V (PC), or Option+V (MAC)
Cross Line Hotkey:
- Alt+C (PC), or Option+C (MAC)
Becoming more efficient in your ability to draw lines on your chart will allow for quicker identification of areas of support/resistance and times on your chart.
Be sure to visit our help center to learn more about these tools!
More information on the Horizontal Line tool:
www.tradingview.com
More information on the Vertical Line tool:
www.tradingview.com
More information on the Cross Line tool:
www.tradingview.com
Parallel Channel- A great tool for Identifying Trends
A parallel channel which can also be termed as a price channel is a tool to identify a share’s price in bounded parallel lines. It can be horizontal, ascending or descending. It’s a great tool for those traders who believe or trades with the idea of Price action.
A parallel channel can be formed when the price of a security is restricted by supply and demand and can be upward, downward or sideways trending. It shows the trend on which the security might be headed towards or on the verge of breaking it to reverse its direction. It can occur on various time frames and can be created on various instruments like stock, mutual funds, ETFs etc.
The two parallel lines act just like the Resistance and Support. The upper line acts like the Resistance and the lower line acts like Support. A lower trendline is when the price pivots higher, and an upper trendline when the price pivots lower. The steepness of the parallel lines decides the direction of the price it moves.
Ascending channel will be bounded by positive lines indicating that the price is trending higher with each closing of the bar. Likewise, a breakdown of the lower line means that price has moved significantly and now it will see some profit booking and makes a good opportunity for profit booking.
Descending channel indicates that price is trending lower with each bar it is forming. Whereas a breakout of the upper channel conveys that the trend has changed and now the price will move upwards.
As in this example of Axis Bank Daily chart, you could see a Descending Parallel channel which did retrace to its lower price channel and that makes it a good entry point after which it broke the upper channel with good volume confirming its upwards rally.