Market Crash:- Is it an opportunity? Hi Everyone!
In this analysis we'll look at some chart after we met Crash.
Whenever market crash it's an opportunity for us to buy a good share at discounted price. Just Switch to the higher time frame ( Monthly, Weekly ) and find out the major Support/Resistant. It'll try to test major Support/Resistant, Trendline , Channel.
ASHOKLEY :- The chart is self explanatory.
HDFCAMC :- Find support at IPO's high in 2020 Corona crash.
SBIN :- Major support @150
AXISBANK :- Create support at previous resistance.
JSWSTEEL :- Create support at previous major resistance.
VEDL :- No need to explain.
Q- Can we enter as soon as price touch the Support/Trendline/Channel?
Ans- No, Wait for Price Action or W pattern in Short time frame { D }
Disclaimer:- This is Not investment advice. It's just for learning purpose. Invest your capital at your own risk.
Please like, share & follow if you find this article helpful for you in any manner.
Support and Resistance
How to search for stocks at 200EMA?One of Trading Views' strongest feature is its screener. Probably the best some of us have gotten used to so far. This is a small tutorial /writeup to help you search for stocks probably sitting at support.
Remember, for certain stocks their area of value is 20EMA, while for some it’s 50EMA and for others it could also be 100EMA, so on and so forth. Basically, once you understand how this works, you can choose to tweak the values presented here to your liking.
Having said this, let's figure out how to search for stocks that are on or have fallen to 200EMA. You can always choose a different value according to your search needs. For this tutorial we will stick to finding stocks at 200EMA.
But before we move forward, let's get a basic understanding of what we are trying achieve. In a day/week/month/quarter a stock will always make a high and a low and the price will always fluctuate between this range or it will make a new day’s high or a new day’s low.
The example below is a visual representation of a very basic candle or price movement within a range. I am sure you all know this but I am trying to make this as simple as possible for everyone to follow. So, all you need to take away from this is, there is a high, there is a low, and there is a body that represents opening price and closing price. Some candles will not have a body but I do not want to dive into the details of candlesticks. Google is your best friend to know more on candlesticks!
What we are trying to do here is to restrict the search query from giving us stocks/scripts that are above 100EMA. Yes, you got it right. We are going to restrict the highs from going above the 100EMA and restrict the lows from going below the 200EMA.
Without wasting more time, here is how you do it.
Head over to Screeners and select ‘Stock Screener’
You should be on Trading Views default ‘Stock Screener’ page with a default set of filters. This screen displays stocks based on the filter you have selected. The Trading View screener always defaults back to the last used filter.
Now, let’s tweak TVs search filter. Click on ‘Filters’. This will open up the Screener settings menu.
In the search bar, type ‘High’. ‘High’ represents the highest value the stock reached in a single day. You should see 2 drop down options. For the first, choose ‘Below’ and for the second, choose ‘Exponential Moving Average (100)’
Go back to the search box and type ‘Low’. ‘Low' represents the lowest value the stock reached in a single day. You should again see 2 drop down options. For the first, choose, ‘Above’ and for the second, choose ‘Exponential Moving Average (200)’
Now, this part is important to get consistent search results. What happens with only the above search query is that you get a very convoluted or mixed search result where the EMAs get intertwined. Adding this section helps prevent the EMAs and overall search result from being all over the place.
Head back to the search box and type ‘Exponential’. What you need to edit is 100EMA. From the first drop-down choose ‘Above’ and for the second choose ‘Low’ or you could also choose ‘Exponential Moving Average 200’. This setting remains mostly constant even if you edit the above search parameters.
Close your ‘Filters’ settings menu and click the drop-down menu beside 'Filters' to ‘Save’ your newly created filter. Select ‘Save Screens As…’, give your new search filter a name and you should be done.
Viola! Your new search filter is ready to be used.
However, if your search result is huge (it should be), you can tweak it a little further to reduce the total number stocks returned by the filter. Here is what you need to do.
Head back to the filter menu and type 'Last'. ‘Last’ represents the closing price of the stock. From the first drop down option choose 'Between' and enter your desired range in the 2 boxes. Here you are defining the price range of stocks that are within the value of 100 and 800. So, TV will only display stocks that fall in between this range.
In addition to all this, you can limit your search to only one Exchange. Which is either the 'BSE' or the 'NSE' exchange instead of both.
To do this, type 'Exchange' in the filter search menu and choose either one.
Psst: Don't forget to save your filter each time you edit else TV will not save your edits!
Hope you found this helpful and I sincerely hope you find a ton of good stocks to invest in!
Happy Trading!
BREAKOUT vs FAKEOUTTrading breakouts is a most profitable trading strategy that involves buying or selling an asset after a long period of consolidation.
Confirming breakouts before jumping into a trade is the key task to become a successful breakout trader.
Now lets see about the important key points to consider to confirm such valid breakouts
TYPES
There are different types of breakouts including
1)Trend line breakouts (diagonal form of S&R) ,
2)Horizontal price breakouts,
3)Pattern breakouts (double top, double bottom & other)
4)All time highs/lows breakouts,
5)Fib level breakouts etc.,
The support and resistance lines that are drawn at potential breakout points "should be seen as area/zones instead of fixed lines" .
BREAKOUT :
A breakout is when the price of the stock breaches a support or resistance levels that has previously formed followed by a strong candle close.
FAKEOUT :
A false break or fakeout, as the name implies, is any move above a resistance or below a support followed by a reversal that fails to close above or below the broken level.
WHEN THE FALSE BREAKOUT HAPPENS :
A false breakout happens when there are no enough buyers or sellers to continue supporting the stock towards the breakout direction.
In the examples above,the upper false breakouts happened because there were no enough buyers to continue pushing the price higher & tends to reverse similarly viceversa for the lower false breakout.
VARIOUS SCENARIOS OF FALSE BREAKOUT
POINTS TO REMEMBER
1)False breakouts can be avoided by waiting for strong candle closure above or below the levels to confirm the breakout strength.
2)Avoid the breakouts with non-stop parabolic movement (without pullback or retest).
3)Instead of using a single line as support or resistance, it is better to have an area/zone that covers all shadows in previous touches.
4)To take entry, always wait for the zone to breach by the candle closing confirmation combined with price action.
Hope it was helpful to you,
Happy Learning & Profit making :)
Thanks & Regards
Divyaapugal
Role of Support Resistance in Breakout tradingWhat is Breakout Trading ?
A breakout is a potential trading opportunity that occurs when a share price moves above a resistance zone or moves below a support zone on increasing volume .
For trading breakouts one should be aware of support and resistance . It acts as the backbone of Price Action trading.
What is Support & Resistance ?
Support is a place where a stock price stop moving downwards. It is a horizontal area on a chart, where price experience buying pressure and tends to move up.
Resistance is a place where a stock price stop moving upwards. It is a horizontal area on a chart, where price experience selling pressure and tends to move down
Why are these support and resistance formed?
Support and resistance are formed only due to our own emotions at points around high supply or demand zone . For instance, if a price falls from high 100 to 50 then in and around that price (50) there will be lots of buyers ready to buy assuming it to be very cheap price and same goes for resistance where lot of traders would like to offload their positions considering that price to be too high for the stock and good time to book profit.
Why do we need Support and Resistance?
Support and Resistance often helps to set
1)Target,
2)Entry and
3)Stop loss.
Guidelines for Drawing Support and Resistance:
For the same chart if we ask 10 traders to draw support and resistance area, we will get 10 different result. So, what are the important things to consider ?
I always prefer drawing rectangular zone instead of drawing single line to make chart look clean and easy to understand the area of supply and demand .
*Always Use Higher Time frame to draw Support and resistance area.
* Draw a zone using rectangle which shows multiple touches. While, this zone act as great support and resistance area compare to few touches which was due to volatility .
* While drawing zone make sure to cover shadows in all previous touches
Things to know:
* The more times the S&R zones are tested in a short period of time, the weaker they become &
the greater the likelihood it will break.
Rules for Positional breakout :
1)Candle closing is mandatory to trade breakouts.
2)Wait for the retest, if the price closes too far from the breakout level.
3)There should not be HTF support/resistance near the breakout level.
Types of breakout Patterns :
1)Rising & Falling Trendline
2)Rising & Falling Channel
3)Rectangular Channel
4)Ascending , Descending & Symmetrical Triangle
5)Head & Shoulder
6)Support & Resistance Breakout
Hope it was helpful to you,
Happy Learning & Profit making :)
Thanks & Regards
Divyaapugal
Asian paints case study: using Elliott wave & price action.
Asian paints had corrected more than 16% in just a month .
After 101 days, the price is back to the strong support zone.
Price has made a kangaroo tail/hammer candlestick pattern on the support zone. 200EMA is also near to price.
Wave principle is also giving a similar explanation.
There are three confirmations to find the ending point of wave four.
1. Price can take 61.8% retracement of the 3rd wave at 2782 , which is also a monthly support level.
2. Wave 4 can end nearby to support area.
3. sub-wave C of wave four is 161.8% of wave A at 2845 .
If the price enters the parallel channel, we will get a candlestick pattern and support zone's demand pressure.
200 EMA is also supporting this statement, which is close to the price. Or we have to wait for the monthly support level where the price is getting support, but entry is not possible without any reversal signal.
If the price isn't giving any reversal signal, the price will fall continuously.
Violation: Wave 4 can never touch wave 1. (at 2692)
I will upload an intraday chart with entry and targets the Asian paints soon.
Real Time example - TRIPLE ZIGZAG (Bullish)Let's talk about each waves of Triple Zigzag:
Wave W (5-3-5) impulsive: ((a)) = ((b)) at 17709 which is close actual low 17613. Its a sharp zigzag.
Wave 1X corrective: Wave ((b)) 3-3-5, Running Correction which is little complex.
Wave Y (5-3-5) sharp: ((a)) = 0.786 ((b)) at 16824 which, is very near actual low as 16782
Our first question is, What is the Zigzag?
In chart, a, b and c is zigzag which very easy to understand by picture.
Its really easy to understand this wave counting if you read just below basic rules and Characteristics of Zigzags. The main question, What is going on in nifty? This Triple Zigzag is bullish pattern. Really market is follow this pattern? - Wait and Watch...
Characteristics of Zigzags:
— labeled a-b-c
— subdivide 5-3-5
— typically occur in wave 2 position
— ‘b’ wave does not approach ‘a’ wave origin
— ‘c’ wave ends beyond ‘a’ wave extreme
— belong to ‘sharp'
Rules:
- Wave A always subdivides into an impulse or leading diagonal.
-Wave A always subdivides into an impulse or leading diagonal.
- Wave B always subdivides into a zigzag, flat, triangle or combination.
- Wave C always subdivides into an impulse or diagonal triangle.
We can use channel for zigzag. The Wave C often ends upon reaching the extreme of the channel.
TRENDLINES & S/R ZONES WORKS VERY WELL (EDUCATIONAL)Hello Friends,
Trendlines are one of the best part of technical analysis, see how resistances turns into supports, and supports turns into resistances.
One can start with practicing with Trendlines...!
1) Trendline is the base for all the technical patterns. So pls start practicing drawing trendline charts and then slowly move to next patterns.
2) Practice only few patterns and master in it rather than trying to learn all the patterns and techniques.
3) I would like to mention the quote of Bruce Lee here.
"I fear not the man who has practiced 10,000 kicks once, but I fear the man who has practiced one kick 10,000 times".
4) Do more and more practice on charts, more time you spend on charts, more friendship they made with you, you'll be able to understand the language of charts, because chart says everything...!
5)Best learning comes out of practice you do everyday and then you apply it in real market.
6) Books knowledge will not be use full, if you don't practice it particularly in real market, because it involves lots of emotions.
7) Spend at least one hour per day in identifying chart patterns and preparing your own charts.
8) Track your charts, Understand how the price moves once the support or resistance is broken.
9) Understand which method gives you better success rate and focus on it more to improve further.
10) Believe me, Nobody can stop you.
some examples are shared below
nifty spot chart example
gold chart example
silver chart example
techm chart example
Shriram trans. arriving to its support zoneMany people ask me how to find a crucial support area now this it a perfect example of it , It is not an recommendation It is just an observation.
If you see here the zone of 1250 to 1260 is a crucial support zone which is tested for more than four times.
The overall trend of this stack looks sideways.
This is a perfect scene if you find and trade a reversal trade at support zone.
This is the way you should shortlist your stocks for playing reversals.
In earlier Idea of this stock (Check Out in comments) I want to play a major consolidation breakout but now it is better to find a reversal setup.
( Remember I am not telling you to buy this share , as no buying setup is there It is just for those people who want me to explain how I shortlist a stock and make a view on it before finding any buy sell setup)
MARKET PSYCHOLOGY & PRICE ACTION -WHEN OPEN=HIGH1] When Price is Open=high and also below pivot level, and rejected from previous day close .
2]Also broke Previous day low with strong candle - Indicates (bear are strong) bearish view and can go aggressively bear side.
3] When price gets rejected from previous day close , it stay bear side and less chance of reversal (week Bull) when it break Previous day low (strong bear)
Dow @ critical levels.FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ONLY!
This is a daily chart of Dow . It has taken a support exactly at its daily support trendline (blue). From last several months, Dow has been trading in a range on weekly charts which can be seen in pink lines. On weekly charts Dow has made a flag and pole pattern and either it takes support at this level or may give break down. If it gives break down then it will be a bad signal for entire markets around the world. Break down on a weekly chart means begining of a down trend in Dow and eventually markets around the world would break down. 33682 is a very import support for Dow and if it starts to trade below that, keep a very strick SL of your portfolio on Daily charts .
U-TURN Resistance converts into Support (EDUCATIONAL -AARTIIND) Aarti Ind. ltd. This stock has taken Resistance twice at same level, then it consolidated as a parallel channel at that same zone,
and then it given good breakout from parallel channel along with good intensity of volume,
Now it has retraced almost 78.6%, co-incidentally (1) same resistance zone, (2) Parallel channel's top, (3) Support trend line and (4) 200 DEMA, all are there at similar point location, All these 5 conditions met at same level that can provide good support. This scenario makes probabilities very strong each time. where stop loss is too low and Reward is too Good.
Overall scenario
Perfectly U-turn from valid fibonaccy level 0.786%
Daily macd line uptick and also converging towards positive
Good support zone
Support providing 100DEMA also at same responding zone
Parallel channel scenario
Support Trend line
Disclaimer
I am not sebi registered analyst
My studies are for educational purpose only
Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing
I am not responsible for your profits and losses
MARKET REVERSAL-IDENTIFYING BULL STRENGTH WITH CONFLUNECE1] 15 min candle taken support on PREVIOUS DAY Trendline and stronger rejection for
consecutive 3 candle (no 15 min candle close below trendline) and respecting
PREVIOUS DAY trendline indicating that bull are strong enough and trying hard -
during running market -(IS STRONG SIGNAL WITH CONFLUENCE)
2] forming strong hammer candle at day low, SO ENTRY IS PERFECT
AFTER BREAKING HIGHER HIGH OF HAMMER CANDLE
Pure Price Action TradeIn this Idea I'm going to share the simple price action trade which I have taken the May month in the stock D-MART.
Before taking any trade a trader must have find at least 3 confluences which align in the same direction so that we have a clear vision of the particular trade either it's a short trade or buy. By doing you are following a number of certain rules that will help you to make your trading emotionless and more disciplined.
For me I'm fan of price action trading which undergoes through Trends, S&R levels, Candlestick pattern, Chart pattern and sometimes EMA also.
In this trade of D-MART the price was facing resistance continuously from Area-1 and taking support from Area-2 at the moment when it broke the support level it made a proper morning star pattern at a very crucial S&R level which I had represented by the purple horizontal line.
Human nature and psychology could never change so this pattern can come again.
At this point we can easily see the confluences-
1)Trend- Reversed
2)S&R LEVEL
3)Candlestick pattern
Entry- 2809
Stops-2668
Targets-3090
R:R = 1:2
-NITIN
Think & Trade Like Banks / Institutions / HNIYes it is possible.
We have been taught many things but not the basics so that the 5% of the whole trading community remains profitable.
The key to producing trading income in the stock markets is having a strategy that anticipates market turns and market moves with a very high degree of accuracy. To do this, you must be able to identify where banks and institutions are buying and selling in the market by looking at a price chart. This means training your eye to identify institution and bank demand and supply by looking at a price chart.
Bank Nifty !! Elliot WavesThe analysis base on Elliott Wave Theory in weekly and daily time frame.
Elliott wave has three parts :
a) Impulse wave (Point 0-1, 2-3, 4-5), which net travels in the same direction (higher high) as the larger trend, always shows five waves in its pattern.
b) Corrective wave (Point 1-2, 3-4), on the other hand, net travels in the opposite direction (higher low) of the main trend.
c) Followed by three waves in a correction (A,B,C) - Lower High and Lower Low.
The Elliot waves combined with fib retrenchment give a broader idea to identify trend and reversal.
Disclaimer : Consult financial advisor before trading.
Thanks
BANKNIFTY Levels for Expiry Day !🛑in Yesterday market analysis i told that there's indecision between buyers and sellers at high level , and today also market is rejected from 38800 - 38900 levels and if you see the BANKNIFTY in Day frame chart we can clearly observe that it forming bearish candles at higher levels
-in today market we can observe that there's is indecision between sellers and buyers at higher levels and Caution it is bull market (Showing that no more buying interest for Institutional traders and that can be confirmed by FIIs ,DIIs data these two were pulling out their money)
-Bank nifty trading above all the moving averages those were 21 day, 50 day , and 100 day
- Bank Nifty WEEKLY Pivot is at 38800
🛑 keys Levels to watch out for day traders
- resistance is at 39450 - 39850
-with the stop loss of 39700
- we can see target of 40000
- Support Levels is at 39400-39300
- with SL of 39500
- we can see Target of 39000
if you like it ,do follow for more
have a nice day
NIFTY 50 crucial levels for Expiry Day! - i was keep telling that market is opening in huge gap up it is not a encouraging move for market , now filling those gaps
- another thing to remember while investing in stocks , Smart money is moving away from market
- Day Volatility is increased by Nearly 5% , if anyone taken trade without knowing crucial S&R they will hitted by SL
-Currently NIFTY is trading above 21Day ,50 Day, 100 Day moving averages
- - WEEKLY pivot point is at 18180
🛑 Key levels to watch out for intraday traders :-
- resistance is at 18470 - 18500 (here we can see ( option chain) more short positions were holding at 18500 CE)
-with SL of 18400
- 18570 we can see as the target after breakout
- support level is at 18200 - 18180
-with the SL of 18250
- 18100 we can see as target after breakdown
if you like it do follow for more , Have a nice day ...
Checkout this link for Market Psychology
INVERSE HEAD & SHOULDERS PATTERN... NIFTY PHARMA!Inverse head and shoulders pattern is considered a bullish reversal pattern.
A breakout of the neckline after completion of the right shoulder triggers the rally in the underlying script.
In individual scripts, the breakout can be confirmed with good volumes traded.
The share price can retrace and take support at the trendline (the resistance line now acts as support). This is the next confirmation of the bullish trend.
The distance between the head and the neckline if projected above the neckline can be considered as the target ahead.
In nifty pharma, the index has been consolidating for almost 4 months now. A clear breakout of this neckline can be seen. The index also shows a retest of the trendline and looks like the rally has started. The target should be 15550 (calculated from the height of the head to the neckline).
Happy trading!