Cup and handle formationThe stock has clear resistance from 117 to 121. It has tried to breach this resistance, however, we can see a big selling. Now the stock is possibly making a cup and handle formation . Price change from the bottom of the cup to the top of the cup is around 45 Rs. If it able to breach the resistace of 118, we can expect up move of 45 Rs from the top of the handle which is coming around 160 Rs. Investors with medium to long term plan should start accumulating this share from this point onward as it is creating a base and a strong support at current levels. Investors should accumulate the stock in each dip until the levels of 120 for very good returns.
SL - 90 Weekly basis.
Trend Analysis
HOW TO INVEST PROPERLY IN STOCKS | 3 Steps | Market MagicNSE:ZENSARTECH
INVESTMENT OF THE WEEK | HOW TO INVEST PROPERLY | with MARKET MAGIC & Tradingview stocks.
Step 1. Diversify. Divide your capital in parts. Use different Demat accounts for investment. Dont put all your eggs in 1 basket. In TradeWorld1 | Market Magic Portfolio We diivde capital in 3 parts least.
50% Long term investments 40% Short term swing trades shared daily on Tradingview. and 10% you can keep cash or invest like in crypto or gold or any new opportunities.
Step 2. Bet Small. Dont invest more than 2% in 1 stock . Small Size Big Returns our style of working. Small size helps you be in focus and controlled state of mind .You make more logical decisions and less emotional mistakes.
Step 3. Lose less. Cut your losses quick. Small Size helps you do that. In heavy position size trades it becomes difficult to cut big losses. so Never let it be big in 1st place. Trade small Lose small. Be logical in markets. Focus on process not on profits.
Our investment / trade philosophy is less about strategies and win rate and more about money management and position management . Normal and simple investment setups can make you sufficinet income if you focus on process . Money management and position management are real keys of success in markets.
Whats your view. share your thoughts in comment box. This is 2nd Blog of Earning with Learning. Education Series . If you like this initiative we might continue it every week.
Happy Investing. Keep Earning and Learning.
TradeWorld1 | Market Magic.
HOW TO DIVERSIFY | WHY ITS IMPORTANT NASDAQ:NATI
WHAT IS DIVERSIFICATION ? WHY ITS IMPORTANT
Diversification means distribution of your capital and investments in different assets classes. Why its important you ask !
1. It reduces of Risk of overall Portfolio.
2. It provides you option to invest in multiple opportunities. It is very much possible that what you invest might not work and what you not selected makes big returns. So If you diversify you can catch broader market opportunities.
3. It helps you to bet small. Reduce the changes of 1 Big loss or 1 bad decision to Ruin your overall Portfolio or damage your returns badly.
4. Small Size helps you make calculated risk and return decision. You are most likely to make right decisions cut losses small and thus keeping drawdown with in recovery limits.
Overall it helps you to make good returns with good decisions not just luck or gamble. Keeping you safe and building you safe solid trading practices especially when you are new in the markets.
So if its so important then. HOW TO DIVERSIFY PROPERLY How do we do it.
It depends on your few factors you can consider before investing.
1. 1st of all on your Risk Tolerance and Reward expectations. Decide if you are high risk taker or keep it safe guy. Decide accordingly. But generally Keep your open risk less and 10-20% max at any time.
2. Invest in safe asset class for safety and some in High Risk Reward assets like stocks crypto and other opportunities . 1 Rule is Decide according to your age. if you are 20 invest 20% in Debt and 80% in Equity.
3. Keep your High Risk unregulated investments less than 5%-10% max. Dont go all in in Crypto. 5% -10% in Enough. But thats my opinion. Decide yourself for you.
So thats it for this Education Blog #4. Comment your thoughts. whats your experience.
Thanks for Reading.
NMDC - Journey Of A StockAlmost all chart patterns visible in this long journey
A brief Idea on how to track n trade a single stock over n over again through out its journey
How support acts as Resistance
How Long term resistance never fails to amuse us
How trade can happen using MTF (Tracking Daily / Playing Hourly)
How to use vmc market cipher b + divergencesSeveral confluences showing on Vmc Cipher indicator with the Gold buy signal dot.
Several divergences, increasing money flow, bottom momentum waves getting smaller,
1.Blue Anker (very low) wave on gold dot
2.Smaller wave Anker (not a good trigger wave/entry point bc $$ flow not close enough to flipping zero line)
3.Smaller Blue wave (trigger wave) money flowing in almost above zero, vwap above zero.
Also pay attention to RSI & stoch RSI for over bought/sold to predict if other indicators have room to run.
I confluenced with macd, shows imminent reversal.
This is a great indicators, it works best if stretched vertically to read RSI better. I added dashed horizontal lines at 30 & 70 with a purple rectangle extended both ways to look like the default RSI
DOW JONES THEORYDOW JONES THEORY
TREND: A trend is defined as the general direction in which the prices move.
According to Dow Jones, there are three trend types, namely Primary trend, Secondary Trend and Minor Trend.
PRIMARY TREND: It is the longest of the three types of trends and in general determines the overall, broad movement of the security prices. The primary trend might be a upward trend or a primary bull trend or it may be a primary downtrend referred to as a primary bear trend.
Primary bull and bear markets are characterized by 3 different phases i.e. (i)The first represents reviving confidence from the prior primary bear or bull market respectively;
(ii) the second represents the response to increased or decreased corporate earnings respectively; (iii) when speculation becomes dominant and prices rise on “hopes and expectations.” or distress selling, regardless of value, by those who believe the worst is yet to come or who are forced to liquidate
SECONDARY TREND: A secondary reaction is considered to be an important decline in a bull market or advance in a bear market. The secondary trend is an intermediate-term trend that runs counter to the primary trend. Being able to anticipate or recognize secondary reactions increases profit capabilities by taking advantage of smaller market swings.
MINOR TREND: The day to day movements must be recorded and these movements generally make a chart pattern which can easily be recognized as they have a forecasting value. It is basically a horizontal price movement within a 5% range.
CONFIRMATION is one of the most important aspects as one needs to confirm the reversal of a trend. Hence confirm the reversal via trend lines with large volumes as volumes also play a important role in determining the objective of the direction of the price movement.
CONCLUSION: The Dow theory has formed the basis of modern day technical analysis and according to this theory we can identify primary trends and invest in those securities and by identifying secondary trends we can do small swing traces which we can profit if done correctly.
Happy Learning and Trading Everyone. Please hit the like button and follow me for more beautiful theories and setups to understand the basics of technical analysis.
Market Crash after a BULL MARKET? How to predict them?"HISTORY REPEATS ITSELF" is a very powerful mantra for success in STOCK MARKET.
Anyone can mint money in a bull market but THE ONE who protects his/her money before a market crash is the one who makes profits in the long run...
And the fun fact is that market gives enough chances to protect one's capital before the crash.
Here I am with one of the very few patterns which was common in both the major crash of 2008 and 2020 and in a mini crash of 1999.
This SETUP is very simple to read...yet a very powerful one
CONDITIONS TO QUALIFY IN THIS SETUP:
1.EMA 52 Slope should not be one directional upwards (CHECK IN BOTH DAILY AND WEEKLY TIME FRAME)
2.RSI-Sharp dip below 40
3.Triple Top as seen in the 1999/2008/2020 crash.
4.Breaking the bottom of the channel with gap down/low wick red candle.
LOOK AT THE MAGIC (1999 CRASH):
2008 CRASH:
2020 CRASH:
Now This was one such SETUP which was common in 2 MAJOR and 1 MINOR crashes in the data which is available on charts.
MARKETs can fell in many other bearish reversal setups like HEAD AND SHOULDERS as shown in the BEGINNING OF 2015 BEAR MARKET:
Many more reversal setups are there which are visible in most of the mini/major crashes that takes place in the market...I will look forward to share one by one all the possible reversal patterns to avoid confusion in reading and digesting the SETUPs...FOLLOW me to stay updated as soon as I upload them on my channel.
Till then,
HAPPY TRADING :)
PULLBACK
Generally, Pullback is occur when stock price break above the resistance line and gain some percentage, but after that it take a pause and fall down to that previous resistance line which just have broken. Also that line act as a support line, because when a resistance line break that line act as a support line, most of the time.
Pullback give an opportunity to an investor or trader to enter that trade if anybody missed when breakout was occur.
HOW TO INVEST IN US MARKETS | STEP BY STEP GUIDENYSE:V
Trade Logic | UPTREND STOCK BUY ON BREAKOUT . INVEST LONG TERM . US STOCK #1.
Entry 235
Stop 225 -4%
Target 250 +6%
RR 2.2+ 2nd Target Open
Details on chart as always
1 free US Stock Trade Idea Every Weekend.
TOPIC THIS WEEK | HOW TO INVEST IN US MARKET FROM INDIA
STEP 1. You can do it in many ways. Some Brokers provide you this facilities. Upstox used to do it earlier. Maybe some other brokers also. If you know any comment Below. Share with other trades too.
But 1 Simple way is start with INDMONEY app. You can search on Internet for more info. Its registered with SEBI too so hopefully safe.
STEP 2. Do all the Registration formalities. You can tranfer funds online and offline too. Best way is to Start with ICICIBANK account. It is only Bank for online Quick Transfer of funds currently . More details ON TWITTER.
STEP 3. Stay connected with us here on TRADINGVIEW. Every weekend we will share 1 good Trade and investment idea on US stocks. You can study and invest after your own analysis.
Thanks for Reading. Share with your friends. If you have any Doubts comment below. Happy Investing.
TEST FIRST / THEN INVEST
Pre-Expiry week's Volatiliy in Indian MarketDue to the physical settlement of stock derivatives(Futures and options) upon expiry, the margin required to trade/carry over such derivatives starts increasing gradually from Friday of the week preceding the expiry week. Forcing traders to close their positions in the pre-expiry week causes the pre-expiry week's volatility. In most cases, it results in a correction of the larger trend in the market. After SEBI has changed the margin rules for intra-day trading, many traders have moved to options thereby raising options share of net trading volume in monetary terms to almost 80%, thereby making the impact of pre expiry week very signifacant.
Like most things in market analysis, it isn't a rule but a general guideline that helps you better manage your risk better.
ACC STRONG INSIDE
ACC following the H&S Pattern
breakdown happen yesterday
300 points down side
What Does a Head and Shoulders Pattern Tell You?
A head and shoulders pattern is comprised of three component parts:
After long bullish trends, the price rises to a peak and subsequently declines to form a trough.
The price rises again to form a second high substantially above the initial peak and declines again.
The price rises a third time, but only to the level of the first peak, before declining once more.
The first and third peaks are shoulders, and the second peak forms the head. The line connecting the first and second troughs is called the neckline.
How Do I Identify a Head and Shoulders Pattern on a Chart?
The pattern is composed of a "left shoulder," a "head," then a "right shoulder" that shows a baseline with three peaks, the middle peak being the highest. The left shoulder is marked by price declines followed by a bottom, followed by a subsequent increase. The head is formed by price declines again forming a lower bottom. The right shoulder is then created when the price increases once again, then declines to form the right bottom.
What Does a Head and Shoulders Pattern Indicate?
The head and shoulders chart is said to depict a bullish-to-bearish trend reversal and signals that an upward trend is nearing its end. Investors consider it to be one of the most reliable trend reversal patterns.
How Can I Use the Head and Shoulders Pattern to Make Trading Decisions?
The most common entry point is a breakout of the neckline, with a stop above (market top) or below (market bottom) the right shoulder. The profit target is the difference between the high and low with the pattern added (market bottom) or subtracted (market top) from the breakout price. The system is not perfect, but it does provide a method of trading the markets based on logical price movements.
TRADE PULLBACKS LIKE A PROAn Uptrending stock gives many opportunities to enter in it.
But...we miss many of them assuming it as a reversal or before we enter the stock moves much higher again and Risk/Reward ratio is unfavourable for our trade.
Here I am with another tried and tested strategy to find whether it's a pullback or trend reversal and the most IMPORTANT...enter before the stock moves much higher.
So let's discuss Step by Step from STOCK SELECTION to ENTRY,STOPLOSS,EXIT.
I will also be discussing about the candlestick patterns and indicators for better accuracy.
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1.STOCK SELECTION:
.Broader market has to be in a uptrend (BULL MARKET)
.The stock should be from an uptrending sector
.The stock has to be in a STAGE 2 uptrending structure to QUALIFY as a stock for pullback.
For detail explanation of STAGES I have linked a post below:
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2.MOMENTUM INDICATORS
.RSI-- It has to be above 50 to increase the accuracy of the trade
.EMA 50--Slope of EMA 50 has to be positive
.MOMENTUM--If it is positive then it's icing on the cake
.ADX--While the stock is falling ADX should also fall to give a shade better trade.
.VOLUME--Should be low when the stock is falling as compared to Going up
Keeping things simple : IF THE STOCK QUALIFIES ALL THE ABOVE CRITERIA OF SELECTION AND INDICATORS THEN IT IS NOT A TREND REVERSAL
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3.CANDLESTICK PATTERNS
.Low body red candles are a very good sign
.Long wick rejection from the bottom
.Very less big body red candle (NOT MORE THAN 2)
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4.ENTRY
The most important part of pullback trading is to enter before the stock moves very high and also not wait for months for it to move.
STEP-1: Mark the candle of previous high as '0' in daily time frame.
STEP-2:Keep counting the candles from 1-20 as shown in the below figure: (MIN 8 has to be there)
STEP-3: Now when the count is completed mark the lowest price of the stock within the pullback range as 'PIVOT'
STEP-4:Now switch the chart to 1hr time frame as shown on the chart of HDFC Ltd.
NOTE: Candle 0's high has to be the high within these candles (MIN 8)...if not then this strategy might not work well.
STEP 5:Draw a stage structure (BASE) and our entry will be the breakout of this range (50%) and pullback to this STAGE (50%)
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5.STOPLOSS AND EXIT
STOPLOSS: The pivot point will be our stoploss
EXIT: After the stock has broken out of the stage EXIT after 20 counts (It sounds theoritical and funny...but it do works most of the time
Look at the EXAMPLE OF RELIANCE with the concepts mentioned above:
You can also see the EXAMPLE OF AIRTEL's previous pullback
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NOTE: Like all other strategies even this strategy is not 100% accurate.
I hope you liked this strategy of pullback trading and it might increase your chances to make profits in the market.If you have any doubts do let me know in the comment section below.
I will be posting a lot more strategies for trading/risk management in this channel ahead.
FOLLOW this channel to stay updated as soon as I upload it.
Till then,
HAPPY TRADING :)
How to enter a stock with institutions!Using multiple confirmations, different timeframes and by applying rules of price action over a chart let's one understand HOW THE PRICE BEHAVES!
Here is an example of buying a stock at the lows (Disclaimer: NOT THE ABSOLUTE LOWS)
Let's start with a Higher TF- Weekly'
The stock is in a formation of a price action pattern called CUP & HANDLE, where CUP is complete and HANDLE is forming and it is the spot where an early entry is possible ahead of a proper breakout.
This early entry becomes possible with following confirmations:
1. Volumes : Since the absolute low has been established the volumes in the stock as grown multi-fold which in itself is an indication that smart money is already into the stock.
2. RSI: After declining into bearish teritory below 40 in March 2020, the stock bounced back into neutral zone between 40-60 and closing above 60 on 31 August 2020. Since then the stock remained in overbought zone and kept on increasing and took a breather making a double bottom at 40(which is also termed as a support level) and making a neckline on 60 which was breached and retested providing adittional confirmation to the setup
3. The HANDLE: During handle formation the stock made a double botton between 870-910 levels which a pettern within a pattern also adding to the confidence.
The DAILY Chart
Now, the stock is confirmed that it is in a directional trend. Samller TF will help us in better entry and exit levels. The same procedure must also be followed in the lower TF because if the trend is distorting it will reflect in smaller TF first. Here,
1. Volumes: Near the neckline the stock has seen low volumes and the price has moved in a narrow range which we can also say an accumulation zone confirmed by a breakout with tremendous volumes.
2. RSI: Since the stock has been accumulating the RSI line rested near 60 zone which is also a support zone.
3. Pattern: As discussed earlier double botton is formed which more vibrant and act as a confirmation on lower TF.