Magic of Trendlines in BankniftyAnalysis on 6th Jan 2023.
For Study Purpose-
- Make it Simple as possible.
- State of mind while trading far more important than actual amount you trade, so don't confuse by putting too much analysis every time.
- In Above chart you can see how clearly trend changing can be captured just with little bit of conviction on study.
Wish you a Happy New Year!!!
Community ideas
Rally Base Drop – Supply ZoneUnlike conventional Price Action Analysis, which relies on countless chart patterns, Supply Demand Strategy focuses only on four high-probability price formations. Rally Base Drop (RBD) is one of the four price formations which lay the foundation of the Supply Demand Trading Strategy.
Rally Base Drop Pattern
RBD is a reversal price pattern, which one can generally locate at market turning points. At areas where uptrends get exhausted and begin a new downward move.
RBD occurs when prices have been rising, and peaking, followed by a sharp drop. This indicates that the sellers are now more aggressive and have overwhelmed the buyers to form a Supply Zone.
Components of a Rally Base Drop Pattern
This formation comprises three parts:
1. Leg-In Candle - Bullish Candle to the left-hand side of the base structure. It need not be an explosive candle.
2. Base Candles - Narrow range small-bodied candles which indicate that orders are potentially being accumulated by the institutions.
3. Leg-Out Candle – Huge Explosive Red candle with a sharp drop in price, which indicates the footprint of Institutional Selling activity.
Steps to Identify a Rally Base Drop Pattern
1. Start with the Current Price on the Chart and go from Right to left
2. Look up and left until you find a strong Drop in the Price
3. Identify whether the formation is an RBD
4. Mark the Zone
When marking the Zone, we need to watch for freshness and the strength of the Leg-Out Candle.
Fresh Supply Zones are those where the price has never retraced after formation, they have the highest probability of having unfilled sell orders.
Strong Explosive Red Leg-Out Candle indicates that supply and demand are totally out of balance and institutions have been aggressive sellers at that price zone.
Trade Action at a Rally Base Drop Supply Zone
RBD pattern is the footprint of Institutional selling activity, formed due to the sheer size of their sell orders. This implies that, when prices retrace back to the area, there is a strong likelihood that there will be a large number of pending sell orders.
After identifying the supply zone, we as retail traders must wait for the price to retrace to the zone. The first retracement to the RBD supply zone is a high-probability sell opportunity. We can initiate a short trade on the pullback to the zone and in doing so participate along with the Institutions to the short side.
Some past examples:
Although RBD is a very powerful supply zone formation, it is highly recommended that one mustn’t trade it in isolation. Combining it with factors like a trend, trend exhaustion and location will improve the odds of the zones working in our favour.
Man on the shoulders of giantsIsaac Newton, who turned people's view of the world upside down, once said: "If I have seen further than others, it is by standing on the shoulders of giants". And indeed, each of us has a chance to discover something new for ourselves and others by drawing on the wisdom of our predecessors. I want to say a big thank you to Benjamin Graham, David Dodd, Warren Buffett and Peter Lynch, who openly shared their ideas with the world and inspired more than one private investor in their first investments.
I'm sure Mohnish Pabrai will join me in saying the same. Born in Mumbai, an engineer by training, he had no interest in the subject of stock investing until he was 30 years old. But by chance, after reading a book by Peter Lynch, he began to study the subject more deeply. Centimeter by centimeter he climbed the shoulders of the giants of value investing to see hitherto unknown horizons. He is now known as a successful investor, author of books on investing, and creator of incredibly kind philanthropic initiatives.
Listening to Mohnish Pabrai's lectures, I noted his ideas, which in many ways coincide with my own. I am happy to share them with you:
1. The market is always concerned about what will happen to the company in the future, so it cannot be 100% efficient (*).
(*) Let me remind you that according to "efficient market" theory, a company's current price reflects its "fair value" because any publicly known information instantly affects the price. Thus, an investor is unlikely to make a profit on any information, such as a company's strong financial statements, because the market has already reflected the event. However, this theory does not take into account the future, which we all think about every day and act in the present, including the market, based on those thoughts. For example, someone may think that a company's future is murky because of the news that has come out. This concern will be picked up by the crowd, and the stock will go down. Or on the contrary, the success of the company may be perceived as over-optimistic, and a real stir will start around the stock. No one knows the future, but thinking about it affects the present. For this reason, the current price of the company may not reflect its fair value, contrary to the "efficient market" theory.
2. Continuing with the first thought, the waves of pessimism and optimism will always be present in the market. They distort a company's value so much that they give us private investors a chance to buy and sell a company's stock profitably.
3. The more time you spend analyzing a company, the more you "fall in love" with it. Try to grasp this idea. After all, by spending a lot of time studying something, such as a company's excellent financial statements, we set ourselves up for what it must pay off as a profitable investment. Remember: the market doesn't owe you anything.
4. Often the decision to invest in a company can be made based on just a few surprising figures. For example, if the value of a company is equal to 50% of the amount of cash in its checking account. Mohnish Pabrai said that Warren Buffett used a reference book with the statements of thousands of companies, not to spend months studying each of them, but to find something that would really surprise him.
5. Mohnish Pabrai admitted that he has never once played the short and has no intention of doing so for the rest of his life. His math is really simple. If you play the short by selling a stock at $100, your maximum earnings are capped at $100 (which will happen when the stock drops to zero). Whereas a buyer of a $100 stock has a chance to sell it at both $1,000 and $2,000. There is no upside restriction by its very nature.
6. And the thought I want to conclude this post with is don't look for people to hand you a treasure on a platter. Looking for treasure is much more interesting! It's about not trying to replicate someone else's trades or portfolio positions. Try to make your own decisions. Try to see your horizon.
The unwavering shoulders of giants will help you in all of this.
POWER OF COMPUNDING IN TRADING AND INVESTMENT Hello guys here I am sharing a very interesting topic for which we heard and discuss many times and that is Compounding my dear friends so I am trying to share few things about it below-:
WHAT IS COMPOUNDING-: Compounding is the concept of continually reinvesting the earnings from an investment to generate more earnings, which are also reinvested to earn more, thereby growing the value of the investment over time. To put it differently, compounding is the process of generating earnings from both the initial capital and the earlier earnings on the capital. The term compound gains refers to the sum of the accumulated earnings over the specified period. That is, the gains earned on the principal amount is reinvested, and it earns an additional gains — the accumulation of both the interest on the principal and the gains on the earlier gains is called compounding gains.
So, compounding is basically a process of earning compound returns on an investment. Compounding is a simple concept but very powerful because it has a multiplier effect on the initial capital — the ability of the investment to generate earnings from not only the initial principal invested but also the subsequent returns earned over the coming period. No wonder Albert Einstein referred to it as the 8th wonder of the world: “The magic of compounding lies in the fact that it can help investors multiply their returns over the long-term”.
WHAT COMPOUNDING REQUIRES AND HOW IT WORKS-: Compounding requires three things:
1- The original investment remains invested
2- The reinvestment of earnings
3- Time
The more time you give your investments, the more your earnings would accumulate. So, to take full advantage of the power of compounding, you have to start investing early so that your investment will have enough time to accumulate and compound earnings. However, what you earn depends on the rate of returns, as that is what accelerates the income potential of your original investment.
To understand how compounding works, let’s take a look at this example. Assuming you invest $100 at a 10% return, you’ll have $110 at year’s end. If you don’t reinvest the 10 you earned, your return at the end of year 2 will still be just $10 (10% of the initial 100), and you will have only $120. But if you reinvest that $10 you earn the first year, you will also make a 10% return on it in year 2, so your total return on year 2 will be $11 instead of just another $10, and you will have $121 instead of $120 as you would if you weren’t compounding your earnings. See the two tables below for non-compounding investment and compounding one for a 10-year duration.
HOW TO GROW TRADING ACCOUNT BY COUMPOUNDING-: The same way the power of compounding is used to grow investments, you can use it to grow your trading account because your trading capital is an investment on its own. But since trading is an active process and with no consistent rate of returns, you need to know how to actively make compounding work for you.
Before we go into details, let’s examine some important trading concepts you should know, which are necessary for implementing a growth plan. These are the three key ones below
Account risk percent: This refers to the percentage of your trading account you risk per trade. This can be 1%, 2%, 5%, or even 10% if you are an aggressive trader. Most experts advise traders to risk only 1% or 2% of their account capital in each trade to reduce the possibility of blowing their accounts in no time. Once you have chosen the right percentage to risk in each trade, you may want to keep it constant.
Position size: This is the quantity of the instrument you carry in each trade. For stocks, it is the number of shares you buy, while for futures, it is the number of contracts you want to trade. In forex trading, it is called lot size. Whichever the market, your position size is a function of how much you want to risk in that trade. To get your position size, you need to convert your account risk percent to the dollar amount. For example, if you have a $10,000 account and decides to risk only 1% of it in each trade, it would translate to risking only $100 in each trade. With this, you can calculate your position size if you have decided where to place your stop-loss order. Here’s the formula in the case of stock trading: Position size = account risk (in dollars)/ (stop lose size x the share price). Assuming the account risk is $100, the share price is $5 per share, and the stop loss is 10%, the position size (number shares to buy) is 200 shares (100/ ). Thus, as your account balance grows, your position size increases without increasing your account risk percent.
Reward/risk: This is the ratio of what you stand to make for any risk you take. It depends on your trading strategy. You can have a trading strategy that allows you to have your profit target at 2 times your stop loss size. For instance, if your stop loss is a 10% drop in share price, your profit target can be a 20% gain in the share price. So, if your strategy has a fixed stop loss and profit target, you can only increase your earning by increasing your position size, which you can do only when your account balance increases so that you don’t increase your account risk percent.
So that is it friends mates and respected seniors I have to bind up this article already it has been lengthy so going to share one last point and that is the difference between compounded or non compounded returns-;
NON COMPOUNDED INVESTEMENT
COUMPOUNDED INVESTMENT
Pullback Trading Strategy - RulesPullback Trading Strategy over 80% Success Rate
Rules
Moving Average - Price should above 200 Period Moving Average
Entry - 10 Period RSI Below 30
Exit - 10 Period RSI Above 50
Stop Loss - Recent Swing Low
I hope you understood the pullback trading rules.
Chart 1 : Reliance 9.68% Up
The price was clearly above the 200 Period Moving Average in the chart below, and the RSI 10 period was below 30, indicating that the pullback rule was satisfied.
Chart 2 : SBIN 9.4% Up
The price was clearly above the 200 Period Moving Average in the chart below, and the RSI 10 period was below 30, indicating that the pullback rule was satisfied.
Chart 3 : TCS 3.13% UP
Pullback rule satisfied
Chart 4 : Bank Nifty 2.51 % UP
Chart 5 : Wipro 3.76 % UP
I hope you enjoyed it. Please share and comment if you found this content useful.
How to trade doji candle like a legendhello everyone,
It's been a long that we haven't discussed anything here..
so our today's topic of discussion is how to trade/play with signs similar to Doji/ dragonfly/hanging-man etc
so we know the sign very well. we are referring here to the candlestick pattern, where there is some conflict between buyers & sellers & both keep trying to push/pull each other resulting in forming a candle where we usually see a small body candle having wicks on both sides.
so our next question is how to trade them..
1. Trend: before trading such patterns the trend should be known very well.
2. Once we have got the trend then wait for the small body candle.
3. Once we have got the candle, mark the high/low of the prior candle of the doji candle.
4. Wait for the next candle to form after the formation of doji candle.
5. once, the marked candle high/ low is breached on a closing basis you are all set to go!
examples shared
Example -1
Example-2
Example-3
Example-4
Example-5
Example-6
Example-7
Example-8
Example-9
I have shared multiple examples regarding the same & hope I be able to add some logic also..
Please note time frame must be kept the same while analyzing this setup.
I have shared entry & stop-loss levels only. will share stop loss technique in another post
Thanks for reading!!
Introducing Minds! 5 Things you need to know.Social media has evolved to become an essential tool for traders and investors. Staying up to date with market narratives, sharing and reading top ideas, and directly collaborating with others all serve to make the medium an extremely important part of the research process. That’s why today we’re thrilled to announce the next step in that evolution - Minds!
In today’s post, we’re going to highlight a few ways to use Minds to improve the way you follow, share, and chat about your favorite symbols. After all, in markets, information is everything and this is another tool to build into your workflow:
1.) Think of Minds as a feed created by your peers – full of their opinions, notes, and shared news topics, all relevant to whatever ticker you’re currently looking at.
2.) Minds can be used to quickly measure the general sentiment for any symbol. Ask yourself what people are talking about and if it’s bullish or bearish.
3.) Accessible from any symbol page, or from the right rail (with the thought bubble icon), this unique format allows you to chat with other members of the community alongside your chart. Watch the chart and social conversation at the same time.
4.) Want feedback about a specific symbol? Head to the Minds feed for that symbol and share your questions or comments. Other traders will eventually see your posts on the Minds feed. They can then comment, upvote, and downvote to let you know what their initial reaction is. This feedback can be used to improve your understanding of a symbol.
5.) Minds can be used to quickly catch up on all the news about your favorite symbols. Head to a Minds feed and examine what people are saying. Is there breaking news? Links? Charts? Something else? Over time these feeds will become essential newsfeeds for you.
Minds is currently in beta, so please send us any feedback you have! Know that we are working diligently to improve it.
Finally - while Minds is open to all users to read, follow, and vote, only paying members (Pro, Pro+, and Premium) can currently post to the Minds feed and leave comments, similar to the other social tools on our site.
Let us know how you like it, and get out there and post your first Mind today!
Happy Holidays! 😎🌲
-Team TradingView ❤️❤️
A pill for missed opportunitiesPrevious parts of the post:
Part 1: My Three Comrades: the Chart, the Screener, and the Watchlist
Part 2: Two captains of the same ship
The market is an element we take for granted. It can't stop when we're busy doing other things, and it can't work if the stock market is off and you personally have work days.
The small investor's impact on the market is close to zero. Some may not like it, but I see it as a big plus. I'm not the only one. Even Peter Lynch wrote about this . It is because of our size that we small investors have the ability to get the best buy and sell prices on stocks. Just imagine an elephant and a mouse trying to drink water from a coffee mug. Who has a better chance?
Like the best sales, attractive stock prices don't last long. This also applies to the period of increased stock prices that are interesting to sell. To make sure you don't miss this time, TradingView has an alert service.
Why do we need an alert system? For our convenience. Once we have selected fundamentally strong companies, our next step is to keep an eye on their stock price so we can buy them at a price we can benefit from.
You remember our strategy, right? Buy rooms in a great hotel, and even during a sale period.
How do you monitor these "sales"? You have two options: to monitor the price chart yourself during the trading period, or set up alerts so that if the stock price reaches a certain level, you will receive an SMS message to your phone or email, or a push-notification in the TradingView app (depending on your settings). Agree, this is very convenient.
So how do you set up the alerts?
1. First of all, you must open the chart of the stock you are going to configure the alerts for.
2. Then click on the "Alert" button at the top toolbar of the chart.
3. Set the alert parameters in the settings menu.
How do I read the settings in this picture?
If the Apple stock price is less than $130 per share, I will receive an alert every minute, all the time the stock is trading below $130.
The alert I will receive will contain the following message:
AAPL Less Than 130.00
If you don't want to get an alert every minute, set the trigger to "Only Once".
4. In the "Notifications" tab, you can configure where the alerts and the sound will go. The system of customized alerts will allow you to use your time effectively. You will not be chained to the monitor and you can calmly wait for the cherished message.
In the picture you can see that alerts can come as:
- push notification to your phone (if you have the TradingView app installed);
- a pop-up window on your monitor;
- a letter to your email address;
- a message to a web address (advanced feature for developers);
- SMS to your phone, but via email (i.e. your email service must have the ability to send copies of emails via SMS).
As for my investment strategy, it's quiet enough to work on it even without alerts. Mr. Market doesn't often come with insanely interesting prices, so it takes time to get to the target values. It's like waiting for an astronaut from the Moon: he can't return to Earth in a day, you have to wait patiently, with the occasional peek at the situation.
So, I'm concluding my series of posts dedicated to the basic functions of TradingView. I advise you to "play" with the platform for a while to get used to it as quickly as possible. In fact, it has a lot of features that you will discover over time. For now, that's it.
In the following posts, we will begin to examine perhaps the most important aspect of an investment strategy, which is fundamental analysis. Get ready, here comes the part that will require the most concentration. But then you will be able to navigate this topic with ease.
See you next time!
'SANTA' of the 'TRADERS'This publication is dedicated to thanking the 'Santa' of the ‘Traders’ i.e. the 'Stock Market'.
The lessons given to us as a gift of the market, not only help us to succeed in the stock market but also helps us throughout life.
This 25th December i.e. Christmas let’s thank our 'Santa' and have a detailed look at 5 Great Gifts of the Stock Market and thank her for these
life-awakening gifts.
-> Discipline: The most important teaching in markets is discipline. As the wording of Jim Rohn states “Discipline is the bridge between goals and accomplishment” stock market develops that bridge.
The market has its way of teaching and punishing, I think all of us had witnessed its punishment whether in form of not keeping stop loss or not following your trade system.
Discipline plays a vital role in an individual’s life. As said by Horace “Rule your mind or it will rule you. ”The disciplined person has the power to rule his mind whereas others lack this ability.
-> Patience: Another gem cultivated by markets in our personality and harvested by us throughout life. One of the familiar names of our school time Benjamin Franklin says “He that can have patience can have what he will.” market first teaches this gem to us and then offer us what we wish.
We all have at least once missed taking the real profit by not waiting till the target is achieved but leaving the trade in midway though it was moving in our direction the reason is we lack patience and the market gives profit only to eligible ones so, either you be eligible or market will make you fit for it by its way.
-> Ability to conquer 3 gateways of hell: According to ‘The Bible’ there are 12 gateways to hell and among them, the most dangerous are Lust, Greed, and Anger.
The market helps its students in conquering those strong emotions. The beginner in the stock market has a strong lust for making money very quickly and greed for making lots of money without that kind of effort and when he fails in his motive anger gets born in his personality from where degradation or hell starts.
Those few people who still have not left the hands of the market get the knowledge to conquer those emotions throughout their journey in markets.
-> Faith in yourself: One of the famous quotes by Ralph Waldo Emerson is “The best lightning rod for your protection is your spine.” market strengthen that spine so that we as its student can withstand any kind of storm in our life.
Taking any trade based on your analysis requires self-belief on the early days people hesitate but later they rely on their analysis because the market has taught them self-belief.
-> Crush your arrogance: Market is popular in crushing the arrogant guy along with this removing any trace of arrogance in his personality. The famous wording says “Close some doors today. Not because of pride, incapacity, or arrogance, but simply because they lead you nowhere.” market as a kind teacher keep a keen eye on her student for arrogance as she knows that as soon as arrogance arises person starts his fall.
All of us had witnessed that whenever we start thinking that we have mastered markets and try to neglect discipline market slaps us badly to awaken us that we are still newbies and still had to learn a lot.
I believe these 5 are the most valuable gifts of the market but if you have any gift of the market much valuable in your life please mention it in the comments.
Finally, Merry Christmas to all my trader mates.
The stock market gives success only to eligible ones so, either you be eligible or the market will make you fit for it in its own way.
Bullish MarubozuThe bullish Marubozo candle (open equals low, high equals close) can signal a reversal when it is found at the end of a downtrend because it shows that the sentiment has changed and that the bulls are likely to continue pushing the asset higher.
Take High and Low of Candle . Take Position at Close. Target ( Total Length of Candle/2), SL : Low of Candle.
Risk Reward Ratio: 0.5
Feel free to share your feedback and queries.
If you want to know about your stock please mention in comment.
Note: This is not Paid only for Educational purpose.
Bearish MarubozuHello Friend
The bearish Marubozu candle signifies the complete control of the sellers on the market. Such is the level of the selling pressure that market participants are willing to sell their stocks or assets at every possible price point in the session.
Take High and Low of Candle . Take Position at Close. Target ( Total Length of Candle/2), SL : High of Candle.
Risk Reward Ratio: 0.5
To Learn Follow Us.
WHAT IS OPTION GREEKS ?NSE:BANKNIFTY
Introduction
Option trading is an exciting process and almost every market participant has at least experienced the thrill of trading options, almost all the time with unsatisfactory results.
To avoid such accidents an option trader seeks different tools to trade sucssessfully,
The most important of tools are the Option Greeks and they are usually the first metric looked upon by option traders.
What are Option Greeks?
Options are derivatives of underlying assets ( curd is a derivative of milk, so the change in the quality of milk will result in a change in the quality of the curd derived ) similarly, Greeks are a way to measure the sensitivity of the price of the option to various factors.
The price of the option premium does not always move in conjunction with the price of the underlying asset and it is important to understand the different factors that affect the change in the price of the premium. With the help of the option greeks, a trader will be able to measure the rate of change of different factors affecting the option premium.
# You can check the option greeks by using zerodha option chain or any other trading platform
What is DELTA?
The first Greek is Delta, which quantifies how much an option's price is projected to fluctuate for every $1 that the underlying securities or index changes in price.
For example,A Delta of 0.50 indicates that the option's price will fluctuate 50 point for every 100 point movement in the price of the underlying stock or index.
#Delta for call option ranges between 0 to 1 and for put option ranges between -1 to 0.
>ATM options have a delta of 0.5
>ITM option have a delta of close to 1
>OTM options have a delta of close to 0.
Delta = Change in option premium/ Unit change in the price of the underlying asset.
#The following example should help you understand this better –
Nifty is currently trading at 16000
Option Strike = 15900 Call Option
Premium = 150
Delta of the option = + 0.60
Nifty is expected to reach 16200
What is the likely option premium value at 16200 ?
Well, this is fairly easy to calculate. We know the Delta of the option is 0.60, which means for every 1 point change in the underlying the premium is expected to
change by 0.60 points.
We are expecting the underlying to change by 200 points (16200 – 16000), hence the premium is supposed to increase by
= 200*0.60
= 120
the new option premium is expected to trade around 150 + 120 = 270
What ia gamma?
Gamma is used to measure the delta’s change relative to the changes in the price of the underlying asset.
If the price of the underlying asset increases by 1point, the option’s delta will change by the gamma amount.
The gamma value will also range between 0 and 1.
Gamma = Change in an options delta / Unit change in the price of the underlying asset.
What is Theta?
The Theta or time decay factor is the rate at which an option loses value as time passes. Theta is expressed in points lost per day when all other conditions remain the same.
theta is always shown as negative number because option value is depriciating as the time is passing.
Theta is the biggest enemy of option buyer cause it reduces the favourable outcome of option buyer by depriciating the option price.
for example,A Theta of -15 indicates that the option premium will lose -15 points for every day that passes by.
if an option is trading at Rs.290/- with a theta of -15 then it will trade at Rs.275/- the following day when other factors remain constant.
Theta = Change in an option premium / Change in time to expiry.
This is the graph of how premium erodes as a time to expiry approaches. This is also called the ‘Time Decay’ graph.
What is Vega ?
It is intended to tell you how much an option’s price should move when the volatility of the underlying security or index increases or decreases. It is the change of an option premium for a given change (typically 1%) in the underlying volatility.
1. Vega measures how the implied volatility (IV) of a stock affects the price of the options on that stock.
2. Volatility is one of the most important factors affecting the value of options.
3.A drop in Vega will typically cause both calls and puts to lose value.
4. An increase in Vega will typically cause both calls and puts to gain value.
Vega = Change in an option premium / Change in volatility.
What can option Greeks do for you?
1.Help you measure the possibility that an option will expire in the money (Delta).
2.Estimate how much the Delta will change when the stock price changes (Gamma).
3.Get a feel for how much value your option might lose each day as it approaches expiration (Theta).
4.Understand how sensitive an option might be to large price swings in the underlying stock (Vega).
“With the help of Greeks, an options trader can make more analyzed decisions about which options to trade, which strike price to trade and when to trade.
Since there are a variety of market factors that can affect the price of an option in some way, assuming all other factors remain unchanged,
we can use Greeks and determine the impact of each factor when its value changes.”
I Hope you found this helpful.
Please like and comment.
Happy Trading!
Two captains of the same shipPrevious part of the post: My Three Comrades: the Chart, the Screener, and the Watchlist
Now let's move on to the fundamental analysis. Remember in this post I gave the example that a joint stock company can be thought of as a hotel, and owning shares can be thought of as owning one or more rooms in that hotel. So, imagine now that our hotel has a terrible foundation with lots of holes in it. What would happen to such a hotel? Of course, it could collapse, dragging everything down with it. It would also affect the value of the stock, and in our case, the value of the rooms. Because no one will want to buy rooms in such a hotel, on the contrary, they will try to sell them at any price, and then the value of rooms (stocks) will go down.
The purpose of fundamental analysis is to understand how financially stable and profitable the chosen company is. Sometimes they say that a company has a strong or weak foundation - a generalized conclusion based on analysis of its financial statements. So, our task will be to find stocks of companies with strong foundations.
Let's go to "Chart+" and select "Indicators" in the upper toolbar. A menu will open for you, where on the left we will select "Financials". Here we can select data from company reports: Balance Sheet, Income Statement and Cash Flow. They are issued quarterly and annually. Accordingly, you can select any indicator from the statements, such as revenue, select the period - quarter or year, and add it to the chart. In this way, you can study the dynamics of this indicator over time.
In addition to the reporting data, you can add so-called multipliers to the chart. They are placed in the same menu after the "Cash Flow" > subsection called "Statistics". What is a multiplier and how to analyze the statements, we will discuss in our separate posts on the fundamental analysis, and now let's move on to the technical analysis.
Technical analysis is a search for recurring patterns on a price chart in order to predict its future behavior.
Let's go back to the time when candlesticks were invented. These charts appealed to traders so much that they began to look for repeating combinations of candlesticks, which served as signals of future price movement.
For example, there is a combination called "bearish engulfing" . When the market has a clear upward trend, and in one day, a massive bearish candle appears, the body of which closes the body and shadows of the previous candle - it can herald the reversal of the uptrend.
Or, if the market for three days in a row is drawn three black candles with massive bodies - they are called "three crows" . Traders interpret this as a sign that the downtrend is continuing.
Doesn't that sound like an omen to you? In fact, people have made up dozens of similar patterns and many more that, like weather forecasts, don't always come true.
You must have sensed that I cover this topic rather cursorily? This is due to the fact that I do not use technical analysis at all. That is, I do not make predictions based on recurring situations from the past.
I do, however, use one of the tools of technical analysis, which is the average value of the stock price over the year. Not to make predictions, but to have a guideline: when to buy and when to sell stocks of companies with strong fundamentals.
I will surely elaborate on this in my next posts, but for now, wrapping up the topic of technical analysis, I want to give one analogy.
Stock price movements can be compared to the sea: sometimes it is calm and sometimes it is subject to strong waves. An investor can be compared to the captain of a ship who has to decide whether to put to sea now or not (i.e. whether to buy stocks or not).
A captain who looks at the official weather reports and gauges is like an investor who uses fundamental analysis. And a captain who is only guided by omens and his gut is like an investor making a decision based on technical analysis.
You can be captain number two without me, but how to become captain number one is the subject of my blog.
A Comprehensive Guide to Descending Triangle.NSE:AMBUJACEM
A reliable bearish trend continuation pattern is known as Descending Triangle.
This post will cover these questions:
1. What is Descending pattern?
2. How to identify Descending Triangle?
3. Pre-requisite of pattern formation.
4. Trading Tactics.
1.What is Descending pattern?
#The descending triangle is a bearish formation that usually forms a continuation pattern during a downtrend.
#Descending triangles also sometimes function as reversal patterns at the end of an up trend, but typically they
are continuation patterns.
#Descending triangles are bearish in nature.
The descending triangle pattern here indicates that the buyers are not as aggressive as the sellers, so the price continues to generate lower highs. This shows that the demand for related security is falling.
2. How to identify Descending Triangle?
(a.) Drawing trendlines.
The bottom horizontal line (support line) is formed by two or more almost equal price lows, while the descending
trend line (resistance line) is formed by two or more declining highs.
(b.) what are Base and apex?
-The base is the vertical line drawn from the flat support trendline to the starting point (Resistance line) of the descending trend.
-The point at which both converging lines meet is called the apex point.
-The breakout should happen around 2/3 size of the whole pattern.
3. Pre-requisite of pattern formation.
(a.) Existence of prior trend.
It is very important to identify the previous trend, an established prior trend should
exist cause it's a continuation pattern. look for the pattern in a downtrend with a forecast of breakdown
from the horizontal line.
(b.)Volume pattern
While the pattern is forming the volume diminishes.
volume declines as the pattern develop and the price swings back and forth between an increasingly narrow range of
lower highs and similar lows.
However, there is a noticeable expansion in volume when the downside break occurs.
(c.) Retracement Moves.
The chances of a retracement move are very less in this pattern.
After the breakout the price can move again towards the breakdown zone to test the validity of the breakout,
on breakout the support is broken and when the price retraces the support becomes resistance and the price start moving
in the breakout direction.
4. Trading Tactics.
The entry will be below the support level and use protective stop loss above important resistance level,
or it can be above 50% of pattern range.
Minimum Take profit is the projected Base Line.
Use position sizing according to your stoploss level.
Like this idea if you find it useful and please share with your friends.
Keep learning,
Happy trading.
Thankyou.
Journal for 22 of dec 2022Asian had a bit more volume than usual, Asian high cleared the previous daily high that was just creating more liquidity, my main entry for the over sell was after Tuesday got cleared, nd there was a break of structure, and we had demand failures, but I was able to take risk sell just above the clear if Asian high, I will say that not advisable because London sessions has not open but Asian high was cleared, it would be better if you wait for London open and watch out for Tuesday high that was not cleared.
When to know the market is going to bullHello Everyone,
So after a very long time i am publishing a new educational idea on how can we catch such bull trends like this to make ourselves profit and also we will see how to know that a rally is ending or 5 signals to a bull market so let's go
But before we start we should know what is a bull run or bear run means
So a bull run means that it may feel you like prices are at the sky and not ready to come downs and in long-term in this investors love to see their portfolios during a bull markets because their stocks run like a jet in the sky. However, since markets are fluctuating, nobody knows when it will end also some investors are fearful when they see bull markets as a sell signal at anytime to take the maximum profit while others feel it very comfortable buying in a bull trend and "warren buffet" has said " Be Fearful When others are Greedy and be Greedy when others are fearful ".
Do the following analysis to predict these bulls :-
1. Always seek for high trading volume and demand in markets:- It will feel like everyone is just in the market to buy up and no one is ready to sell their stocks as the market continues to climb upwards. Bull markets always have greater demand compared to supply, high trading volume, and next level liquidity touching the sky.
2. Lower interest rates :- Like whenever Banks interests are low there is the sign that the market is bull.
3. High Growth Rate :- Bull markets are often seen when low unemployment is and so for people have money to spend, and when people spend their money and buy their products so their profits increase and their stocks increase and so for the market increases.
4. Growing Economy :- Bull markets are also seen when the economy is growing.
5. Divergence:- When the market is up even indicators and other metrics are showing down even through.
Thank you
journal for 21 of dec 2022Eu has been ranging for the past days, with that on my mind, I knew every trade I catch as an intraday is retracement, took my first entry after a break of structure but that was liquidity, I did not notice that from the beginning if I do would have placed my entry above the liquidity and used a 5 pips stop, that would have been my trade for the first entry if I had seen that liquidity on time. Second entry was the wick that cleared liquidity last entry was just above liquidity
My Three Comrades: the Chart, the Screener, and the WatchlistToday we will continue to explore the fascinating world of stock investing. And TradingView will help us with that. I sincerely recommend making friends with this platform, as I haven't found anything more convenient to implement my strategy yet.
After you have registered on the site, move to the main menu "Products" > "Chart+" . This is where you'll spend most of your time with the platform.
What opportunities are in front of you:
- Find companies to invest in;
- Make a fundamental analysis of the companies;
- Make a technical analysis of stock charts;
- Receive alerts on the buy or sell price of a stock that is right for you.
So, let's break down each item. How to search for stocks on TradingView?
Hopefully, you've already entered the "Chart+" section. In the upper left corner is a line to enter the ticker of the stock. If you don't know the ticker, just enter the first letters of the company name: the system will find the ticker that corresponds to that company on its own. However, keep in mind that stocks of the same company may be traded on different exchanges from different countries, so sometimes one company may have several tickers.
As an example, let's enter the name "Tesla" in the search bar to open a chart of their stock. As we can see, the system tells us that Tesla is traded on NASDAQ and some exchanges in other countries.
To the right of the search bar is a button with a choice of time frame. You can try different time frames, but for me the most important is the time frame of 1 day (i.e. one candle shows the price change for 1 day).
So, the way of selecting a company via the search bar is convenient when you know at least its name. But there are thousands of companies listed on the stock exchange, and it is impossible to know the name of every company. In this case, the "Stock Screener" will help us. It is located in the lower left corner. Clicking on the Screener will open a list of stocks, filtered according to the parameters you set (you can customize the parameters by clicking on the bright blue button "Filters" on the right).
Let's go to filters and configure the parameters we need. First of all, let's select the country - (for example), the USA . In the second turn, on the tab with general parameters, let's choose the instrument type - common stocks , and let's choose the exchanges - NYSE , NASDAQ , and one more American exchange - NYSE ARCA . Now we have a list of all stocks, which are traded on the exchanges that we have chosen.
What we are interested in, we can add to the "Watchlist" . This is the first (top) button in the menu on the right. Just right-click on the ticker from the screener and select "Add to Watchlist". The same can be done by right-clicking on a chart. Switching between the tickers in the Watchlist you will consequently switch between the charts.
So, we have figured out how to find the shares of a company. In the next post, let's see what we have in terms of fundamental analysis of companies.
How to become profitable trading F&O SegmentHi TV Community,
DISCLOSURE : This article is aimed at those Indian Intraday / Swing traders who are struggling to be profitable while trading Options - especially with Options Buying in NSE.
If you are successful trading Options, then this article may not be for you.
So, here are my observations on trading F&O - especially Options Buying and an idea for an alternative approach to becoming profitable trading the markets.
OPTIONS BUYING
The Fact
Statistics reveal that most Option Buyers lose money on their trades because right from the word Go, every trade is stacked against them. So in order to win, the market must move fast in their direction otherwise the probability of loss increases with every next tick and passing minute.
Perils in Options Buying
Option buyers chose to "Buy Options" because of Low Capital Requirement - and this "low entry barrier" is in fact designed to lure them in and put them into loss while giving them occasional wins.
The reason to Buy Options for many traders is not because as a Strategy it is effective for producing winning trades, but rather the Low Capital Requirement - which means anyone with even 1000 Capital can trade Options. This Low Capital Requirement is so enticing that traders forget that the Odds of winning with Buying Options are always against them and they are more likely to lose than win.
Furthermore, many traders buy far out of money Options because it is available for cheap and thus make yet another mistake which puts them in greater risk of a losing trade.
And since they lose small portions of capital from their trades, the magnitude of their losses is not felt until one day they find themselves deep in loss. Since most Option buyers trade with low capital, they don't put in the efforts to inculcate discipline or give the activity of Trading the required discipline it demands and do not follow a set of rules that are essential for engaging in this activity day-after-day.
As Capital gets eroded with every losing trade while desperation to recover lost capital becomes strong, traders pump good money after bad money while being in denial frame of mind that they can not only recoup their losses but actually make profits!
And revenge and reckless trading contribute to their own share of losses.
In other activities that we engage in our real lives, we exhibit more careful behaviour, but with Options Buying the low entry barrier is what pulls in many traders and they trade Options just as they would trade the underlying asset by buying Naked Options without considering other important factors that impact Options prices!
Trading Options is a complex activity requiring years of deep understanding of the subject - but most Option Buyers just go and buy Naked Options because that is what is possible with Low Capital. The fact that Option Buyers have to be right both about direction and momentum so as to win is lost on most Option Buyers!
OPTIONS SELLING
Advantages of Option Sellers
Option Sellers on the other hand have great advantages over Buyers. On most trades they end up on the winning side. Especially as Expiry day nears, Time Decay assists Sellers and ensures that their chances of winning increases. Option buyers do not get any such " outside " support.
However, Option Selling requires Full margin and Bigger Capital. It is for those traders who can deploy big money. It's like a Club for the Elite. Options Selling means taking potentially unlimited risk and traders who trade with their own capital cannot afford to take such an unlimited risk and thus avoid Options Selling.
The requirement of Full Margin and Bigger Capital coupled with taking potentially unlimited risk drives away most Options Traders towards the " cheaper " choice of Options Buying.
YouTuber Menace
YouTube is a platform that notorious YouTubers exploit. Through their 'Doctored' Videos they speak about Options Buying as if it is a simple trading technique that even a monkey can master and make money! Gullible traders fall prey to such videos and take to Options Buying and eventually join the list of traders who lose money trading Options.
When watching a few videos wherein the YouTuber says that he has come up with yet another profitable strategy, both amuses and angers me. If your earlier strategy shared yesterday is profitable, then where is the need for a new strategy today?
But as these YouTubers make money from YouTube, creating more videos is necessary for them and through their click-baits pull in viewers. They actually make money from YouTube and not from the financial markets. Barring a few, the quality of Technical Analysis is so poor that less said, the better. So avoid those "Gurus" of YouTube - rather, spend time studying as many charts as you can instead to get a grip on trading!
Why are you in the Markets?
Obviously, your answer is to make money. However, you realise that to win in the market you have to play with Bigger capital than what Option Buying Demands.
If you don't have or unwilling to deploy bigger capital, then my advise to you would be to stay away from the markets. No point in donating money to strangers through Options trading.
But yes, if you have and are willing to deploy more Capital, read on.
TRADING FUTURES
If you wish to operate in the F&O Segment, then Trading Futures is what I suggest over Options Buying or Selling.
Since it is clear to you that Bigger Capital is required and Options Buying is more riskier than you thought and chances of losing your money is high and not profitable in long run, the choice available to you is to buy/sell Futures Contract of the Asset. Say for example, BankNifty Futures over BankNifty Options.
Advantages of trading Futures
Once you've decided to trade Futures, here are your advantages.
First and foremost Time Decay. You don't have to worry over that with Futures.
Secondly, price of Futures is not as volatile as an Options Contract. In Options, a small drop in price of underlying can drastically drop price of an Option. But that does not happen with Futures and it reflects almost similar volatility as that of the underlying asset.
A ranging day or day of low volatility does not drastically impact price.
Futures price on expiry day does not expire worthless or zero.
Since only Monthly Futures are available (as yet), you just have to focus on the chosen Monthly Contract.
Solid volumes ensure adequate liquidity in BankNifty and Nifty.
As Bigger capital is required, you will be protected from buying multiple lots and over-trading.
Risk is under your control and you can cap it based on your risk appetite.
You can build your entire trading career by simply focusing on BankNifty / Nifty Futures.
Practice
To see if Trading Futures is for you, do paper trading of Futures and a chosen Option to study the results in a set period of time before taking the Leap.
Conclulsion
So, if you recognise that Options Buying is not going to be profitable in the long run and by shifting to trading Futures, you at least stand a chance of making money in the markets, you will do yourself a great favour making this change. So, if you are losing in Options, before you inflict more harm on yourself and burn your Capital, consider the thoughts shared above and also read articles written by others on the subject so as to take an informed call.
While there is, of course, more to being profitable in trading, if you put in the required time and efforts in studying Technical Analysis, charts, price action etc., in the long run being successful in the financial markets is an attainable goal.
Just remember, if you sow the same seeds, you will reap the same harvest!
CAUTION
This is not my advise to take to Trading Futures but as you are already trading Options, I am merely pointing you to explore a different approach.
The thoughts shared are based on my knowledge on this subject and I am willing to stand corrected and I fully understand that you don't have to agree with any of the views expressed by me.
Hope some of you find the shared information useful. Feel free to comment/correct and reach out.
All the best with your trading!
PRICECATCH
Gap Trading Combined With Supply & Demand ZonesWhat Are Gaps?
Gaps are nothing but Price of a Stock moving up and down sharply with no or little trading happening between the previous days close and current days open. Gaps show an ultimate picture of imbalance between supply & demand. Gap formations are due to many fundamental and technical reasons.
Most common example, when there is an announcement of company earnings. Gap Up or Gap Down is imminent the next trading day due to positive or negative news. A trader can profit from gaps provided he/she can identify the type of gap and its location with perspective to Institutional Supply & Demand Zones.
Gap Trading Strategy using Supply and Demand Zones
A lot of traders are fearful of Gaps and see it as a threat & aren’t comfortable carrying positions overnight. However, for a professional Supply Demand Trader, these Gaps aren’t threats on the contrary they provide high probability trading opportunities, when combined with Supply & Demand Zones.
Four Gap Structures That We Look At:
1. Inside Gaps
2. Outside gaps
3. Novice Gaps
4. Professional Gaps
1.How to Identify & Trade Inside Gaps?
Inside gaps are created when Price Opens between the prior Day’s High and low. Often these gaps fill quickly on the same day. Inside gaps can be mainly used for quick intraday trades, provided they happen at strong supply & demand zones.
Gap Up into a strong Supply Zone provides a good short opportunity, whereas Gap Down into a strong Demand Zone presents a good long opportunity. Let’s see an example:
2.How to Identify & Trade Outside Gaps?
Outside gaps are created when Price opens beyond the Prior days High and low. These gaps generally do not fill on the same day. They indicate the establishment of a new Trend or the continuation of the existing one.
One must wait for quality Supply & Demand Zones to form after the gap and wait for a pullback to join the new move. Let’s see an example:
3.How to Identify & Trade Novice Gaps?
When price gaps in the same direction of the current trend, then it is called a Novice Gap. Novice gaps as the name suggests are created by novice trader emotions and are excellent opportunities to find high probability trade setups.
Gap Up or Gap Down after extended moves into quality areas of Supply & Demand, offer us high probability Short & Long opportunities respectively. Let’s see an example:
4.How to Identify & Trade Professional Gaps?
When price gaps up in the Opposite direction of the current trend, it is called a Professional Gap or a Pro gap. Pro gaps represent a significant imbalance between Supply & Demand.
Pro Gaps generally occur after extended moves in one direction, taking the amateur traders completely by surprise. They generally bring about trend change. Pro Gap Down & Pro Gap Up form high probability Supply & Demand Zones. Pull back to these zones provide us with opportunities to enter at trend change points. Let us see with an example:
Beginners Guide to Market StructureMarket Structure is the most fundamental aspect of analysing charts, mastering it goes a long way in increasing one's reading of price. It provides us with a narrative with which to look at price. At a glance market structure looks quite simple but when studied in depth it has many nuances & can provide with very valuable information. Market structure is fractal in nature which means that the same pattern of price making higher highs & lower lows or vice versa repeats on all time frames. A bullish market structure on a higher time frame can have a bearish market structure on a lower time frame in its retracement leg. To analyse market structure a Top Down approach is used in which we start out by marking the structure on a higher time frame & then move down to lower time frames repeating the same process till we know where price is presently.