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Unveiling the Intriguing Intraday Patterns of NIFTY on 29 Feb 241.Opening Range:The market opened flat with first few candles indicating that today might have two sided trading and the market was two sided in a trading range as the opening range suggested 2.Mid Day and Closing:The market consolidated and gave a closing at around the top of the range which is a typical monthly expiry day... Patterns which were tradable: Only 1 good trade was seen today as per my analysis which came in the opening hour 1. The market formed a wedge pattern on the open with the 2nd bar being the first leg down bars 5,6,7 being second leg down and bar 10 as the start of leg 3 after 2 buy climax bars adding double confirmation... ANY DOUBTS RELATED TO PATTERN COMMENT BELOW I WILL BE READY TO HELP YOU GUYS!!! Whether you're a seasoned trader or a curious observer, dissecting these intraday patterns offers valuable insights into market dynamics and potential trading strategies.Would you like to see more posts like this, or do you have any suggestions for changes or improvements? Your feedback is invaluable in shaping our future content! Let us know in the comments below Happy Trading!!
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by keshevdugar
How to find a BREAKOUT that has a high probability of success?The probability of a breakout getting failed is much higher than it's success rate.(A STOCK AT REST TRIES TO BE AT REST AND THE ONE IN MOTION TRIES TO BE IN MOTION like NEWTON's First Law Of Motion) But breakout trades are the most rewarding trades in stock market. So...if there was a method to find out a high probable successful breakout then it would have been a shade better to make money in the stock market. Here I am with a tried and tested strategy to differentiate a fake breakout and a successful one: FOLLOW the below steps: 1.Choose a stock from an up-trending sector (At present sectors like ENERGY, PSUs, REALTY, FINANCIALS AND AUTO (Just started) are examples of up-trending sectors). The reason for choosing a sector which is up-trending is that the liquidity is high in those sectors and thus increases the chance of the breakout by one shade. 2.The stock should be above 50 week EMA and above 200 EMA on a daily time frame and RSI should be above 60 (In daily time frame) This is the reason why HEROMOTOCORP Trade is struggling a lot as it is below EMA 200. 3.The stock should breakout from a consolidation of STAGE 1 structure. And if the stock is in prior uptrend followed by a consolidation and then a breakout again increases the chances like the recent one in RELAXO FOOTWEARS. 4.If the stock breaks out of multiple patterns like INVERTED HEAD AND SHOULDERS,TRIANGLE,STAGE,PARALLEL CHANNEL,TRENDLINE(The more the number of patterns being broken the better the breakout is) One example of this is TRIVENI ENGINEERING Trade that I shared 5.The breakout should be backed with high volumes (AT LEAST EXCEEDING 20 MA) 6.The closing of the breakout should be strong (NO long wicks) One more example I have is of INDIAMART Trade that I shared applying most of the concepts discussed above. NOTE: The above discussed method only increases the probability of a breakout to be successful as no strategy in the market gives 100% successful trades, so managing the risk is as important as the strategy and I will post a tutorial soon for this also. FOLLOW me to stay updated as soon as I upload it here. Till then, HAPPY TRADING :)
Editors' picks
NSE:GRSEEducation
by keshevdugar
119
How to identify a multibagger stock?Ways to identifty a multibagger and a good stock for positional trade: The stock should fulfill the following criteria 1.It should be from a booming sector and the broader index should be uptrending 2.The relative strength of the stock to Nifty 50 should be in uptrend 3.RSI should be above 40 4.The stock should be in a stage 2 uptrend structure (breakout with good volumes + consolidation --> breakout with good volumes as shown in the structure of sun pharma) 5.The stock should have low volume consolidation. Many more examples are there from the realty sector and few from the financial sector and I will be uploading them very soon FOLLOW me to get notified when i upload a new idea Till then, Happy Trading :)
Editors' picks
NSE:SUNPHARMAEducation
by keshevdugar
106
Unveiling the Intriguing Intraday Patterns of NIFTY on 28 Feb 241.Opening Range:The market opened flat with first few candles indicating that today might have two sided trading and then after forming a DOUBLE TOP BEAR FLAG as indicated in the below posts of 5 min NIFTY FUTURES chart it broke the opening range and this started a meltdown 2.Mid Day and Closing:The market gave a strong breakout around opening hours and the breakout was very strong to continue it to the close Patterns which were tradable: 1. A double confirmation after DOUBLE TOP bear flag and a failed attempt by the bulls to defend the sell off.... 2. In this chart the bears formed a higher high double top with the resistance level of the previous strong sell off...When the trend is clearly down just look for signals to sell not to BUY as the bears will try to shport every rise and the bulls will give up easily... ANY DOUBTS RELATED TO PATTERN COMMENT BELOW I WILL BE READY TO HELP YOU GUYS!!! Whether you're a seasoned trader or a curious observer, dissecting these intraday patterns offers valuable insights into market dynamics and potential trading strategies.Would you like to see more posts like this, or do you have any suggestions for changes or improvements? Your feedback is invaluable in shaping our future content! Let us know in the comments below Happy Trading!!
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by keshevdugar
2
Unveiling the Intriguing Intraday Patterns of NIFTY on 27 Feb 24Are you ready to delve into the captivating world of intraday trading? On February 27, 2024, the NIFTY 50 index showcased some fascinating patterns that kept traders on the edge of their seats. Here's a quick rundown: 1. Opening Range: The market opened flat with first few candles indicating that today might have 2 sided trading... 2. Mid Day and Closing: The market gave a strong breakout around mid-day and the breakout retested the mid point of opening range and closed at around the upper half of the trading range... Patterns which were tradable: 1. Green line shows entry price and targets are around 1:2 RR 2. Red line shows the entry price with targets of 1:2 RR ANY DOUBTS RELATED TO PATTERN COMMENT BELOW I WILL BE READY TO HELP YOU GUYS!!! Whether you're a seasoned trader or a curious observer, dissecting these intraday patterns offers valuable insights into market dynamics and potential trading strategies.Would you like to see more posts like this, or do you have any suggestions for changes or improvements? Your feedback is invaluable in shaping our future content! Let us know in the comments below Happy Trading!!
NSE:NIFTY1!Education
by keshevdugar
2
What Is Bitcoin Halving? Here's All You Need to KnowWhat Is Bitcoin Halving? Here's All You Need to Know. Halving is the event of slashing Bitcoin's mining rewards every 210,000 blocks, or roughly every four years. Read all about it here. Table of Contents Overview What Is Bitcoin Halving? When Is the Next Bitcoin Halving? Deep Dive into Blockchain How Are Miners Rewarded? Why Halving Matters? The Big Picture What About Bitcoin’s Price? Halving and the Way Forward Overview Bitcoin’s halving is a milestone event for the crypto space. Essentially, halving pushes back the moment we see all 21 million BTC tokens pulled out of their cryptographic hash puzzles. Satoshi Nakamoto, the individual or group who created Bitcoin , programmed it to a fixed amount of 21 million coins. In other words, the total amount of Bitcoin can never exceed 21 million. Presently, miners have picked up just over 19 million through a process called Bitcoin mining. This amount is over 90% of the total supply with mining having started with the creation of Bitcoin 15 years ago. That leaves just about 2 million tokens to be unearthed before the final Bitcoin enters our dimension. How long should we wait until this mammoth of a milestone happens? More than a century, or around the year 2140 , according to forecasting wizards. The logic behind this peculiar mechanism lies in the so-called halving and this guide will help you understand all about it. What Is Bitcoin Halving? Halving, in its simplest form, is the process of gradually reducing the rewards of Bitcoin mining. As we mentioned, Satoshi Nakamoto originally hard-coded Bitcoin to a fixed supply of 21 million. All of them will come to life at an increasingly slower rate. More precisely, the pace at which Bitcoin is created is “halved” every 210,000 blocks. The current block reward is 6.25 Bitcoin as the last halving occurred on May 11th, 2020. When's the Next Bitcoin Halving? In April 2024, miners will add the next batch of 210,000 blocks. And that only means one thing - they will have their revenue immediately slashed in half to 3.125 Bitcoin. All halvings are evenly spread out approximately every four years, consistent with Bitcoin’s hard-coded design. This way, supply will keep increasing, just at a slower clip. The reason is simple - the Bitcoin halving rewards will continue to reduce. Deep Dive into Blockchain In order for new Bitcoin to come into circulation, miners need to create blocks in a chain, hence the term ‘blockchain’. Network operators—the hardworking miners—uncover blocks through computer-powered mining operations. These crypto diggers compute hashes as quickly as possible. What they do is search for the successful fixed-length output that they add to the block. The more hashes per second (hashrate), the more chances for hacking out new blocks and adding them to the blockchain. How Are Miners Rewarded? Generally, miners have two ways to reward themselves for the effort. The first one is to earn revenue from transaction fees of users who send and receive Bitcoin. That’s when they act as decentralized network operators and validate transactions without a central authority. At their height during the crypto boom in April 2021, the Bitcoin network fees reached as much as $60 per transaction and took hours to complete. After all, the network can only handle 4-7 transactions per second. To compare, payment giant Visa can validate 24,000 transactions per second. Average transaction fee of Bitcoin, USD Timeframe: April, 2021 Source: bitinfocharts.com/co...transactionfees.html The other way to reward Bitcoin miners is to let them pocket the newly-minted Bitcoin contained in the block. Halving is basically a reward system for miners. But more broadly, halving is part of the proof-of-work model associated with high levels of energy consumption. Millions of mining rigs soak up that energy and crank out new Bitcoin. Why Halving Matters? Halving the block reward for mining Bitcoin is a way to protect its integrity. This immutable feature of the OG crypto makes it stand out as a unique asset class. In this light, it is also an alternative to inflation-prone national currencies, also known as fiat money. With that in mind, in a world that craves disruptive innovation, a technology that’s rewiring the global financial system has progressively moved into the limelight. The growing role of Bitcoin as a new investment vehicle is apparent, factoring in the elevated investor appetite . Bitcoin transacts tens of billions of dollars of daily volumes, with a peak of more than $126 billion on May 19, 2021. The figure is sufficient to prove it has piqued the interest of enough crowds to form a market around it. Before we revisit Bitcoin as an investable asset, let’s take a breather and trace the original crypto back to its origins where halving was introduced. The Big Picture Just over 15 years ago, the mysterious Satoshi Nakamoto mined the initial “genesis” block . For the effort, the clandestine developer(s) earned a hefty reward of 50 Bitcoin. And also bothered to leave a message hooked to the chunk of transactions. The message read: "The Times 03/Jan/2009 Chancellor on brink of second bailout for banks." Since then, the Bitcoin network has witnessed three halving events: On November 28, 2012, Bitcoin’s block reward was cut from 50 BTC to 25 BTC. On July 9, 2016, Bitcoin’s block reward was slashed from 25 per block to 12.5 BTC. The last one occurred on May 11, 2020, when the reward was axed to 6.25 BTC. The next Bitcoin halving event is on deck for April 19, 2024. Rewards will fall to 3.125 BTC. The Bitcoin halving dates may vary and we're yet to get a confirmation over the next one. Estimations indicate that every 10 minutes or so all network operators add a new block to the Bitcoin blockchain. With the current reward of 6.25 Bitcoin per block, miners dig out around 900 new Bitcoin a day. At today’s prices , this is equal to around $50 million worth of Bitcoin extracted daily. This is where the halving becomes interesting not just to the geeks among us. Halving events play a key part in shaping up supply and demand and weigh on the price of Bitcoin. Speaking of price movement, how does the rate at which new Bitcoin is churned out affect valuations? What About Bitcoin's Price? Bitcoin, as the world’s first cryptocurrency in a sea of many , is the quintessence of scarcity premium. Investment professionals are quick to say that Bitcoin carries a unique glamor as the only large tradeable asset with a predictable emission leading to a hard cap. In that light, analysts consider Bitcoin to be the newest entrant in the store-of-value category. An investment product that holds its purchasing power over time. Ideally coming with consistent price increases. This is possible thanks to halving - the brilliant mechanism hard-wired into the Bitcoin protocol. The minds behind the original digital currency conceived it as deflationary. A concept alien to the present financial system, flooded with central-bank cash and government stimulus. The reason is that, contrary to fiat currencies that inflate over time, Bitcoin should not be debased by inflation. Satoshi Nakamoto explained this inflation-rate flaw in an online forum around the time of Bitcoin’s inception. "The root problem with conventional currency is all the trust that’s required to make it work. The central bank must be trusted not to debase the currency, but the history of fiat currencies is full of breaches of that trust.” Halving and the Way Forward If there’s a need to draw broad conclusions, here are some of the more salient points to make a compelling argument. Bitcoin’s purchasing power is likely to avoid debasement thanks to the halving mechanism. With less than 10% of Bitcoin still to come to the surface, it will take more than 100 years for the last unmined Bitcoin to pop out. Once all the 21 million Bitcoin spring to life, miners will no longer stake their livelihood on uncovering new tokens. Instead, they will earn revenue from network fees for their work on validating transactions. But that’s only if the network sticks to the plan. FAQ ❔ "What is the purpose of halving?" ► Halving maintains a decreasing pace of block rewards, which emphasizes on the idea of scarcity in Bitcoin. ❔"When is the next Bitcoin halving?" ► The next Bitcoin halving event is scheduled to occur on April 19, 2024. This date is approximate, and the actual date may be different, depending on the time it takes to complete one full batch of 210,000 blocks. ❔"Is halving related to price increase?" ► Technically, when the supply of new Bitcoin is cut in half, and demand remains the same, prices may go up. But the price discovery of Bitcoin does not obey archetype models of economics. ❔"When will the last Bitcoin be mined?" ► Estimates point that the last available Bitcoin will be mined in the year 2140.
Editors' picks
Education
by TradingView
3
The most subjective facet of my decision-making systemIn the previous publication I started talking about my decision-making system. I use it when investing in stocks. This system allows me to answer three questions: - which stocks to choose? - at what price to make a trade? - and in what quantity? In this post, I will continue to answer the question Which stocks to pick? and tell you about another facet of my crystal. As you can see, my decision-making system is quite formalized. What do I mean? It has clear criteria for which a company must be checked before investing in its stocks. If we go deeper into this idea, we can say that the state of affairs in any public company can be assessed using numbers from its statements and stock exchange prices for its stocks. All this can be visualized, put into a form that is readable for the investor, and accelerate the decision-making process many times over. However, there is an area with information that hovers around the companies, directly or indirectly influences it, but is poorly formalized: this is News . News can be called a message related to a company and distributed through its website, media, and social networks. This message triggers an almost knee-jerk reaction among stock investors (and traders). They will try to interpret the information received, make a forecast, and in some cases even make a trade. It is for this reason that the moment the news is published is often accompanied by a sharp movement in the stock price and an increase in trading volume. The order book now has a lot more players than before. These are traders excited by the news, confident of what will happen next. Here I can’t help but recall the allegory about Crazy Mister Market from Benjamin Graham. It presents the market as a partner who is constantly knocking on your door and offering you crazy ideas (stock prices). Where does this mister get his madness from? My answer is simple — from the news. Despite this, I cannot help but pay attention to the news, I cannot help but interpret it, to build predictions in my head. This happens reflexively, as a reaction to boiling water hitting my skin. However, will I make a trade under the influence of this information? We'll talk about this at the end of the post. Let's find out what news is available and where to find it. In this publication, I will only consider matters relevant to the stock market. That is information that can directly or indirectly affect the state of affairs in the companies. As I work, I divide the news flow into two categories: macro-event and corp-event . A macro-event is something that can indirectly impact the state of affairs in a company since it impacts the external environment in which it lives. For example: 1. In the third quarter, US GDP grew by 4.9% year-on-year, which was better than expected (*). GDP Dynamics are a general economic indicator of economic growth in a particular country. This event only indirectly affects the business of the US companies. In other words, a company can be unprofitable even if the GDP in the country of its business is growing. (*) In the news, you will often see the following wording: - better than expected - worse than expected - as expected These are significant clarifications since it is believed that the exchange price already considers expectations for future events. Therefore, the coincidence with expectations will most likely be perceived calmly by market participants. Conversely, price fluctuations can be significant if the news can be qualified as a “surprise”. 2. The EPA is setting rules for a proposed “methane fee” on waste generated by oil and gas companies. This news also refers to macro events, as it impacts an entire industry: the oil and gas business. Moreover, please note that methane fee is only suggested. That is, it is not at all a fact that it will ultimately be implemented. Unlike macro events, a corp-event directly affects the state of affairs in the companies. Let's look at some of them. For example: 3. Hilton's (HLT) 3rd quarter Profit was in line with revenue forecasts. The news contains information about Hilton's financial results for the 3rd quarter. Of course, this directly impacts investors’ assessment of the company's prospects, and therefore the volume of investment in it. 4. Devastating wildfires have forced California's largest utility, Pacific Gas and Electric Company, to plan the sale of gas assets. Based on the news headline, we can conclude that the company is considering selling a significant part of its business (since the word “gas” even appears in the company name) to compensate for the damage from the devastating fires. Of course, this directly points to the difficult situation in the companies. Well, we figured out which news is considered a macro-event and which is a corporate event. Now let's find them where we need to. First, let's look at the event calendars that are available on TradingView. They are convenient because they inform us in advance what event to expect on the date in question. Let's start with the ⁣Economic calendar . You can find it in the main TradingView Products menu (Products -> Economic calendar ). This calendar shows upcoming publications of key macroeconomic indicators such as GDP, ⁣ interest rate, unemployment, and inflation. It will also reflect national events — for example, presidential elections. Thus, you will only see macro events in it. Click on globe and select the country you are interested in, a group of countries, or the whole world: this way you will filter events by geography. If you are interested in tracking only important events, there is a special button for this High importance . There is also a three-column importance indicator next to each event. If all are shaded, the event is of maximum importance. You can expand any event, read information about it, view statistics, and even add it to your personal calendar. In terms of importance, the higher the importance of the event, the stronger the market reaction may be after the information is released. Furthermore, the strength of the reaction will depend on how much reality diverges from expectations for this event (with the forecast). Please note that the current value published is published to the left of the forecast, and the value for the previous period is published to the right. This allows you to evaluate the released metric over time. So, my standard set of filters for the economic calendar is: - Geography: all over the world; - High importance; - This week; - All categories. The economic calendar has been set up. There is another calendar on TradingView: this is Earnings calendar . It is located in the interface for working with Supercharts and, of course, is intended for analyzing corporate events. Once you go to the chart, click on the calendar icon in the menu on the right, and the events panel will open in front of you. The Earnings calendar will contain the names of the companies, their next reporting date, and analysts' estimates of earnings per share: EPS. In its meaning, this estimate is an average expectation or forecast. Therefore, any strong discrepancy between current data and the forecast value can greatly change the value of the company's stocks. By the way, you can check this simply by clicking on the company's name in the calendar: the window with the stock price chart will update instantly. The released earnings per share value can be viewed both on the chart itself and in the company's information (the top menu button on the right). The current value will be marked with either a red circle (below the forecast) or a green circle (above the forecast). The gray circle indicates the forecast itself. Calendars are convenient because they present us with the main essence of the news in a compressed, digitized form. The description of such news is not as important as the value of the key indicator. However, if you want to read classic text news about a related company, simply click on the lightning bolt icon on your chart. You can also find news grouped by asset class, region, news agency, etc. in the main menu of the TradingView site's root page. Of the groups presented, I most often use News Flow to get a general context of what is happening. Returning to my decision-making system, there is news (let's call it critical ) that can trigger the closure of a position or non-opening of a position in the shares of a particular company, even though the main indicators do not suggest this. To determine such news, I ask myself three questions: 1. Do I trust this news source? We are surrounded by many sources of news: social networks, news sites, television, etc. It’s easy to check everyone’s reputation on the Internet. Therefore, to take the news into account, you must trust its source. If you see significant news about a company, but it is not in reputable media resources and/or on the company's website, this is a reason to think whether the source is trying to increase its popularity through a loud headline and unverified content. 2. Does this news describe an accomplished fact? Even in reputable publications, you can find publications with versions of events, forecasts, and opinions. This is good food for thought. However, when deciding, I constantly try to separate the standpoint from the fact confirmed by a reliable source. Only facts can be considered when deciding. 3. Is an accomplished fact capable of leading the company to bankruptcy? This is a difficult question that requires an assessment of the company's economic damage, and its comparison with the level of total debt to creditors and current assets. Even if a company is facing bankruptcy, it can be saved by providing assistance from the government or other businesses. Answering this question, I can listen to the opinions of analysts and my intuition. Therefore, this is the most subjective facet of my decision-making system. I just have to tell myself: “Yes, this fact can lead the company to bankruptcy” or vice versa: “No, this news is bad, but it does not pose a critical threat to the business.” So, if I answer “yes” to all three questions, then I can close a position in the shares of a particular company or not open it, guided simply by my “yes, this should be done.” The fact is that critical news comes out now, and reporting on a specific date in the future: there is a time gap between these events. Therefore, I find myself in a situation where I just need to decide and evaluate it later, in the future, based on published reports. It is similar to flying an airplane that fails during transit. The pilot may not fully understand what happened, but the choice must be made right now. If I answer “no” to any of the three questions, then I continue to use other facets of my “crystal” in standard mode, and leave the news “just for my information.” In future publications, I will continue to elaborate on my decision-making system and share my approach to choosing the price and quantity of a stock trade.
NSE:RELIANCEEducation
by Be_Capy
COAL INDIA. A Case Study.Hi Everyone! I hope you all are fine. Today I have brought an interesting Price Action case study of Coal India. Although the chart is self-explanatory, I will mention some key points. 1 . Always watch Support and Resistance—the basics of Price Action. 2. If the price goes too far away from the moving average(in either direction), be cautious, as sooner it will converge towards the Moving Average. (See MG-1 and MG-2 and the CMP currently.) 3. If the trade opens at a Gap, either down or up, sooner or later, the Price will fill the Gap. (Again, be cautious) 4. If you are confident about a Trade, you can enter it even if you are late. (I entered at the point where the Blue line is shown). The stock is performing Fundamentally well too, but I have skipped that part for now. I hope you like it. Happy Investing. This was for Educational Purposes only.
NSE:COALINDIAEducation
by azuriste
Understanding Reversal Zones (Buying at Bottom) 1. Supply & Demand Zones. 2. Support & Resistance. 3. Bullish & Bearish Order Blocks. as shown on main chart. Like other technical knowledge, This also are not a holy grail. It can only assist you in building a good strategy. You can only succeed with proper position sizing, risk management and following correct trading Psychology (No overtrade, No greed, No revenge trade etc). ABOVE SHARED EXPLANATIONS ARE ONLY FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ONLY. YOU MAY PAPER TRADE TO GAIN CONFIDENCE AND BUILD FURTHER ON THESE. This is for educational & papertrading Purpose only. please consult your financial advisor before investing. We are not SEBI registered.
NSE:BAJAJ_AUTOEducation
by MasterTrader1949X
breakout trading !In technical analysis, a breakout refers to a substantial price movement of a financial instrument, such as a stock or commodity, surpassing a specific level of support or resistance. This occurrence is of paramount importance, as it frequently signifies the initiation of a new trend, offering traders and investors valuable insights for informed decision-making. Outlined below are key aspects related to breakouts in technical analysis: Definition: A breakout occurs when the price of an asset surpasses a well-defined level of support or resistance. The breakout can manifest as either an upward movement (bullish breakout) or a downward movement (bearish breakout). Significance: Breakouts carry significance as they indicate a shift in market sentiment, suggesting that the prevailing trend may be weakening or reversing, potentially giving rise to a new trend. Types of Breakouts: Bullish Breakout: This occurs when the price surpasses a resistance level, signaling potential upward momentum. Bearish Breakout: In contrast, a bearish breakout happens when the price drops below a support level, indicating potential downward momentum. Volume Confirmation: Successful breakouts are often accompanied by an uptick in trading volume, serving as confirmation of the robustness of the new trend. Volume analysis is instrumental in validating the legitimacy of the breakout. False Breakouts: It is important to note that not all breakouts lead to sustained trends. False breakouts can occur, wherein the price briefly breaches a support or resistance level but subsequently reverses. Traders commonly employ additional technical indicators or await confirmation before acting on a breakout. Measuring Target: Traders frequently use the height of the pattern preceding the breakout, such as a triangle or rectangle, to estimate the potential price target. This aids in setting profit targets. Common Chart Patterns Leading to Breakouts: Triangles: Symmetrical, ascending, or descending triangles often precede breakouts. Head and Shoulders: Both inverse and regular head and shoulders patterns can signal potential breakouts. Rectangles and Flags: Consolidation patterns like rectangles and flags can lead to breakouts. Role of Trendlines: Trendlines are commonly employed to identify potential breakout points. The intersection of a trendline with a support or resistance level is deemed a critical zone for a potential breakout. Risk Management: Traders typically incorporate risk management strategies, such as setting stop-loss orders, to safeguard against false breakouts or adverse market movements. In summary, breakouts in technical analysis are pivotal events offering valuable information to traders and investors about potential shifts in market trends. Effective breakout trading strategies involve confirmation, volume analysis, and meticulous consideration of various chart patterns.
NSE:MPHASISEducation
by pratik2358
2
Community challenge: Share Your Best Trading Idea!Hey there, fellow investors and trading enthusiasts! We're starting the year with an exciting opportunity to reward the wisdom and experience that each of you brings to the table. With markets reaching new highs, and the economy continuing its unpredictable nature, it's a perfect time to talk about the markets. After all, it's this volatility that makes the markets interesting, right? Whether you're a seasoned veteran or a newbie eager to learn, your perspectives are incredibly valuable, and now you can even win an exclusive reward for sharing them! What's your prediction for a breakthrough trade this year? Comment below and share your thoughts. One lucky participant with the most insightful comment will win 1 month of TradingView Premium. 🎁 Remember, if a comment resonates with you or sparks an idea, feel free to like or reply to it. We can't wait to read your comments! 🔥
Editors' picks
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TradingView
23
Piotroski ScorePIOTROSKI SCORE What is a Piotroski Score ? Piotroski Score is a number between 0 and 9 which is used to determine the strength of a firm's financial position. The Piotroski score is used to determine the best value stocks, with 9 being the best and 0 being the worst. The Piotroski score is a favorite metric used to judge value stocks. The score is named after Stanford accounting professor Joseph Piotroski. It is based on 3 most important criteria: Profitability, Leverage and operating efficiency. Let's discuss all 9 points one by one:- 1. Positive Net Income (Score 1): If the company has a positive net income in the current year, it receives a score of 1; otherwise, it gets a score of 0. 2. Positive Operating Cash Flow (Score 1): Similar to the first point, if the company has positive operating cash flow in the current year, it receives a score of 1. 3. Return on Assets (ROA) Improvement (Score 1): If the ROA is higher in the current year compared to the previous year, the company receives a score of 1. 4. Cash Flow from Operations > Net Income (Score 1): If cash flow from operations is greater than net income, the company gets a score of 1. 5. Lower Long-term Debt to Assets (Score 1): If the ratio of long-term debt to total assets is lower in the current year compared to the previous year, the company receives a score of 1. 6. Higher Current Ratio (Score 1): If the current ratio (current assets divided by current liabilities) is higher in the current year compared to the previous year, the company gets a score of 1. 7. No New Share Issuance (Score 1): If the company did not issue new shares in the last year, it receives a score of 1. 8. Gross Margin Improvement (Score 1): If the gross margin is higher in the current year compared to the previous year, the company gets a score of 1. 9. Asset Turnover Improvement (Score 1): If the asset turnover ratio (sales divided by total assets) is higher in the current year compared to the previous year, the company receives a score of 1. Notes:- If a company has a score of eight or nine, it is considered a good value. If a company has a score of between zero and two points, it is likely not a good value. 17 Indian Stocks with Piotroski Score 9 are:- - Gabriel India - C P C L - Amara Raja Ener. - Elecon Engg.Co - Force Motors - GE Shipping Co - ISGEC Heavy - JK Paper - Jyothy Labs - Kirl. Brothers - KNR Construct - Mah. Seamless - Nava - Neuland Labs. - IFB Industries - Prudent Corp. - Bikaji Foods Like other Fundamental tools, Piotroski Score also is not a holy grail. It can only assist you in selecting a good stock. But you can only succeed with proper position sizing, risk management and following correct trading Psychology (No overtrade, No greed, No revenge trade etc). This idea is for Educational purpose and paper trading only. Please consult your financial advisor before investing or making any position. Facts or Data given above may be slightly incorrect. We are not SEBI registered.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by MasterTrader1949X
1
A subset breakout pattern Observed a subset of the vcp/breakout pattern that's worked for me a few times. 1. Stock needs to be in an uptrend. As in the 10sma, 20sma, 50sma are all stacked and rising. 2. Price forms a "hump" 3. A shakeout at the end of the hump. Shakeout candle at minimum goes below 20sma, but closes in green at eod. 4. Next day breakout with huge volume. Try and get in about 5%-6%, before it runs away. Traded it a few times. Specifically BSE on 1st Dec 2021. Seems good for 4-5days swing trading. Also, the setup doesn't seem to occur too often. The hump-breakout occurs quite often, but this hump-shakeout-breakout doesn't. The shakeout I believe makes weak hands exit, so the reliability is probably better. So that's the edge. And, if this seems like a no brainer setup I apologize.
NSE:ALBERTDAVDEducation
by traderz101
1
Simple Combination of Price Action and Oscillator for Breakouts.👉 Introduction Breakouts are crucial in trading because they offer opportunities for quick gains through momentum. However, trading breakouts can be challenging. Around 80% of breakouts fail due to market inertia—where markets tend to continue their existing behavior. When a range attempts to break a comfort zone, some participants defend their positions, causing temporary failure. But remember the fundamental nature: a range will eventually convert into a trend, and a trend will eventually revert to a range. The Problem:- How Does A Breakout Fail? If you know how a breakout fails then there may be some chance that you can avoid trading those setups. 🗯Let's look at the first chart of BECTORFOOD on a daily time frame, A two-month-long ascending triangle range has been formed With a horizontal resistance of 1250. 1. There are good reasons to trade the breakout. a. An ascending triangle is an inherently bullish pattern. b. The resistance is strong and very good to trade its breakout. c. Volume was high before the breakout candle a good confirmation. Still the breakout field why? 2.Volume Action Factor 👉Let's look at an hourly time frame, On 7th of February Price opened slightly gap up on good volume but the candle was not able to sustain the high, and then the price attempted to break the resistance again at the closing of the session but again bears pushed price down with high volume. 👉The next day Price went above resistance On dry volume and then the sell-off started. 3. Oscillator confirmation Factor 👉Oscillators work well in the range bound market it shows the upper and lower range movement. 👉If you look at the chart the price was making a new high but the RSI was forming a bearish divergence (marked by a red dashed line ), and it hit the overbought zone before the breakout. 👉The stochastic was also in the upper zone before the breakout indicating a peak of price movement. 4. Broader Market Factor. 👉Let's compare the movement with the broader market direction, On the 7th of February the NIFT50 index started to sell off there was pressure building from all-time high resistance. 👉So the BECTORFOOD also followed that move and fell more than the index. One More Example:- 👉DHANI SERVICES chart, A clear resistance zone formed at 44.70 but if you see on the chart the oscillators got overbought On daily and hourly timeframes. 👉The volume action on the hourly timeframe also not good because when the price approached the resistance bearish volume increased and then the price went into consolidation and stochastic stayed in the higher zone and RSI started to decline from the overbought zone potential signal for weakness The Solution 👉IBREALEST Hourly chart, Volume spiked before the breakout a good sign and the RSI and stochastics are approaching the overbought zone but they had not become overbought before the breakout, when the breakout occurred the volume was supporting and even on the small range candle the volume is equal to its previous candle. Finally The Breakout Succeded. 👉By keeping these small and simple factors in mind while planning your trades you can minimize the wrong entries and also use price filtering methods like taking a trade on only closing basis of a particular candle above the resistance zone, And applying it with the concept of interpretation of chart pattern according to market phase idea published earlier Thanks For Reading so far, I hope this idea added Some value. Please like and comment. Keep Learning, Happy Trading.
NSE:BECTORFOODEducation
by SANJAYPATIDAR_
Only one indicator is enough to trade.Yes. ! Super trend. If we know how and where to use this indicator, you are sure about getting very good trade. It ensures 1. Low risk 2. High returns and at times real big trend So how to use it? 1. Prefer larger time frame to avoid noise. I use weekly. 2. Once super trend is green wait for pullback towards super-trend. 3. When supertrend acts as support/resistance and price reverses from nr super trend make entry. (I would wait for break of earlier week high nr super trend) 4. SL is close below super trend. (weekly close for weekly chart) 5. Try to exit far from super-trend to book profit. (Target around 15% possible on weekly) Opposite is true for shorting in down trend....! All these charts are from Nifty50 stocks Note: I am re-publishing this post as earlier post was on Nestleindia which got split and chart is not getting updated.
Editors' picks
NSE:MARUTIEducation
by yndesai
8
HOW-TO use blackcat1402 L3 Emotion LineI. Overview The Emotion Line is an innovative technical indicator that captures market sentiment by analyzing price dynamics. It calculates the average of opening, high, low, and closing prices over the past three days and combines the concepts of Dynamic Moving Average (DMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to generate a value reflecting market sentiment. Implemented in Pine Script on the TradingView platform, the Emotion Line provides users with an intuitive tool for market sentiment analysis. II. Calculation Method Ray: Compute the average of the past three days' prices, i.e., (2 * C + H + L) / 4, where C is the closing price, H is the highest price, and L is the lowest price. Then, take the Simple Moving Average (SMA) of this average over 3 days with a smoothing factor of 2. CL (Close Line): Assign the value of Ray to CL, which serves as the basis for further calculations. DIR1 (Directional Change): Calculate the absolute difference between CL and the CL of the previous two days, indicating the magnitude of price movement. VIR1 (Volume in Range): Compute the sum of the absolute differences between CL and the previous day's CL over the past two days, measuring the accumulation of price fluctuations. ER1 (Efficiency Ratio): The ratio of DIR1 to VIR1, measuring the efficiency of price movement. CS1 (Cumulative Strength): Apply a weighted process to ER1 to obtain CS1. CQ1 (Cumulative Quotient): The square of CS1, further strengthening the cumulative effect of price movement. AMA5 (Adjusted Moving Average): Calculate the Dynamic Moving Average (DMA) of CL with the dynamic factor CQ1, then apply a 2-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to the result. Cost: Calculate the 7-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of AMA5. CLX (Composite Line): Compute the average of AMA5 and Cost to obtain CLX. Emotion Line: Calculate the proportion of CLX increasing continuously for N days, with N defaulting to 7 days. Multiply the result by 100 to get the Emotion Line value. MA_emotionLine (Moving Average Emotion Line): Compute the M-day moving average of the Emotion Line, with M defaulting to 6 days. III. Market Logic By analyzing the cumulative effect and efficiency of price movement, the Emotion Line attempts to reveal the strength of market sentiment. When the Emotion Line rises, it indicates a positive market sentiment, and investors may have an optimistic attitude towards the stock; a falling Emotion Line may signal a weakening market sentiment. The absolute value and trend changes of the Emotion Line can provide investors with references for buying, holding, or selling. IV. Usage Attention Signal: When the Emotion Line exceeds 20%, the market sentiment may begin to be positive, and investors should pay attention to related stocks. Entry Signal: When the Emotion Line exceeds 40%, the market sentiment is relatively strong, and investors may consider entering the market. Reduce Position Signal: When the Emotion Line exceeds 80%, the market may be overly optimistic, and investors should consider reducing their positions to avoid risk. Exit Signal: When the Emotion Line breaks below its M-day moving average, it may signal a shift in market sentiment, and investors should consider exiting the market. V. Notes The Emotion Line is an auxiliary tool, and investors should make comprehensive judgments based on other technical analysis and fundamental analysis. Market sentiment is influenced by various factors, and the Emotion Line may have lag, so investors should use it cautiously. Investors should adjust the parameters of the Emotion Line according to their risk tolerance and investment strategy. VI. Conclusion The Emotion Line is an intuitive indicator that reflects market sentiment through quantitative methods, providing a new perspective for investors to observe market dynamics. However, no technical indicator is foolproof, and investors should remain cautious when using it, combining their personal experience and market conditions to make decisions. Through the TradingView platform, investors can easily add the Emotion Line indicator to their charts to assist in their trading decision-making process.
Education
by blackcat1402