Community ideas
Price and Volume Bonding and Conclusions Hello mates, friends and Trading community today i am sharing an Educational post on Price and Volumes relationship, The relationship between price and volume in trading is a fundamental aspect that traders analyze to gain insights into market dynamics and potential trading opportunities as volume is often used as confirmation of coming price movements, possibilities of price direction, trends and reversals. Overall, Price-Volume Theory is used by traders to analyze market dynamics and make informed trading decisions. So sharing below some key details about this relationship friends.
🚀 In trading, "price increase with volume" typically refers to a scenario where the price of a financial asset, such as a stock, increases as trading volume rises. This can signal increased buying pressure and investor & traders interest in the asset. In other words, as more shares are being bought and sold, the price tends to rise, reflecting higher demand and indicates that this uptrend is clearly supported by volume or potentially signaling a trend continuation or a breakout. (Conclusion- Good for fresh buying opportunities or can hold profitable positions for more time)
🚀 In trading, "price increase with volume decrease" When you observe a price increase accompanied by a decrease in trading volume indicates lack of conviction price increase with low volume suggests that there may not be strong conviction behind the move and It could be driven by a small number of traders or lack significant interest from the broader market. This scenario can indicate a potential reversal in the current trend. If the price is rising but fewer people are participating in the market, it could mean that the trend is losing momentum and might reverse direction soon. Overall, while a price increase alone might seem positive, when coupled with a decrease in volume, it's essential to consider the broader context and potential implications for the market trend. (Conclusion- Time to unwind long positions)
🚀 In trading, "price decrease with volume increase typically indicates Bearish Sentiments where Investors or traders may be selling off their positions and It refers a rising selling pressure with higher trading volumes with decreased price. due to negative news, poor financial performance, Traders may be taking profits after a period of price appreciation, and assuming market sentiment shift A change in market sentiment can lead to increased selling activity, causing prices to drop as more investors exit their positions. Overall, a decrease in price accompanied by a rise in trading volume typically indicates increased selling activity and could suggest a potential downtrend in the security's price. (Conclusion- Good to find out fresh selling opportunities)
🚀 In trading, "price decrease with volume decrease when you see a price decrease accompanied by a decrease in trading volume this could indicate a lack of interest or conviction in the current price trend., it could imply several things in trading for example Consolidation, weakening momentum or potential reversal and where buyers and sellers are in equilibrium, resulting in lower trading activity and potentially a sideways movement in prices or prevailing trend is losing strength, and a reversal might be imminent. (Conclusion- Good time to unwind the running short positions in market)
However, Apart of price and volume analysis it's essential to consider other factors such as market conditions, news events, and fundamental analysis to understand the full picture.
Regards-: Amit
Happy Trading mates, Thanks for reading hope you like this publication friends.
“Sheer will and determination is no substitute for something that actually works.” - Jason Klatt
Stay Ahead: Essential Tips to Avoid Trading PitfallsHello TradingView Community!
I'm excited to share some valuable insights on trading pitfalls and how to navigate them effectively. Trading in financial markets can be a challenging journey, but understanding common pitfalls and methods to avoid them can significantly enhance your success. Here are 10 pitfalls traders often encounter and actionable strategies to help you steer clear of them:
Having No Trading Plan:
Entering trades without a plan can lead to impulsive decisions. Develop a clear trading plan outlining your goals, strategies, entry and exit points, and risk management.
Using Strategies That Don't Match Your Personality:
Align your trading strategies with your personality, risk tolerance, and lifestyle. A good match helps you stay consistent and focused.
Having Unrealistic Expectations:
Set realistic goals based on your initial capital and risk tolerance. Trading is not a quick path to wealth, so be patient and persistent.
Taking Too Much Risk:
Avoid over-leveraging and using excessive position sizes. Implement risk management techniques like stop-loss orders and diversification.
Not Having Rules to Follow:
Create a set of trading rules to guide your decisions. These rules provide structure and help you stay disciplined.
Not Being Flexible to Market Conditions:
Adaptability is key in trading. Monitor the markets and adjust your strategies as conditions change.
Failing to Take Responsibility for Your Results:
Own your successes and mistakes. This mindset empowers you to learn, grow, and improve your trading.
Being Addicted to Volatility:
While volatility can be exciting, avoid chasing it for thrills. Focus on making well-reasoned decisions based on your plan.
Not Having a Process to Keep Track of Your Performance:
Maintain detailed records of your trades and their outcomes. Analyze this data to identify patterns and refine your strategies.
Not Dealing with Your Emotional Risk:
Emotions can cloud your judgment in trading. Practice emotional intelligence and techniques like meditation or journaling to stay composed.
Neglecting Proper Research and Due Diligence:
Relying solely on tips or rumors can lead to poor decisions. Conduct thorough research and due diligence on potential trades and investments.
Overcomplicating Your Trading Strategy:
Complex strategies may not always lead to better results. Simplify your approach to focus on proven methods and avoid overanalyzing the market.
Ignoring the Importance of Continuous Learning:
The markets evolve, and so should your knowledge and strategies. Stay updated on market trends and continuously educate yourself to stay ahead.
There is no trade without a stop-loss:
This point emphasizes the importance of having a stop-loss in place before entering any trade. It highlights risk management as a fundamental part of trading, ensuring that you have a clear exit strategy to limit potential losses.
If you have to re-analyze charts after being in a trade, you might be going in the wrong direction:
This point underscores the importance of trusting your initial analysis and trading plan. It warns against second-guessing or changing your plan mid-trade, which could indicate you may be heading in the wrong direction.
By implementing these strategies, you can enhance your trading experience and improve your performance over time. Remember, successful trading is a journey that requires discipline, patience, and continuous learning.
I hope you find these insights helpful. Feel free to share your thoughts and experiences in the comments. Let's continue to support each other and grow as a community!
Happy trading!
RK💕
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com/u/RK_Charts/ is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Stock Selection Based on ATH/52 Week Stock and Relative strengthHello community
Here I will be talking about the process for picking up the stocks based upon the All Time High (ATH)/52 Week BO Stock and RSI . As this is known to everyone but only few are getting benefited by applying it in real trading. The stock represents strength if it breaks its ATH Level and comes from Weekly BO Base. Most of the gains are made with the stocks breaking its ATH and Coming from Weekly Base BO and once it is combined with the RSI and Price Volume this can do wonders and improve trading style.
In my earlier write up i also talked about the use of RSI with Screener from Tradingview only. Since i used this as my repository so save all my write up here only and can be viewed.(Stock Selection Based on Relative StrengthEDUCATION)
Screener for Stock Selection in Trading View:-
- Go to Stock Screener Tab at bottom in the Tradingview.
- Go to Filters
- Symbol Type - Common Stock
- Select New 52 Week High-
- Select New All Time High
- Select Relative Strength Index (14) >=75
The above will filter out stocks based on ATH and 52 Week High stocks and RSI. You can add more filters according to your requirements and make your stock list more refine and Make a list and look for opportunities.
I use the above filter to filter out stocks every weekend and mix it with Price and Volume to get Maximum Benefit.
As I am a Price Action trader I mix Price/Volume,Trend and ride the momentum.
You can try it and submit your feedback to me. Also, Tell me if you find something else which can be useful to the community. Together we can help each other in Learning and excel in our profession.
Remember: I am a Price Action Trader and use Price and Volume together with different Timeframes, including RSI, and market conditions. To get the best result, always wait for confirmation. Focus on Risk Management and Position sizing.
Treat trading like a business and it will pay you like a business…..!!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RastogiG
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
I am not a Sebi registered analyst. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com intended for educational purposes only and should not berelied upon for trading decisions. RastogiG is not an investment adviser andthe information provided here should not be taken as professional investmentadvice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or preciousmetals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RastogiGdoes not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any lossesyou may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
You Don't Need More Capital...Success in the stock market isn't just about having money.
Follow these steps:
1. Learn: Understand the basics and how stocks work.
2. Develop skills: Sharpen your Technical analysis and decision-making abilities.
3. Find your fit: Explore different Trading strategies and find what works best for you.
4. Plan : Make a clear plan for what you want to achieve with specific rules to follow.
5. Stay consistent: Stick to your plan and put in the hard work required.
6. Improve daily: Aim to become one percent better each day and learn from your mistakes.
7. Stay focused: Don't let emotions guide you; stay committed to your goals.
8. Be safe: Know when to cut losses.
9. Add more capital: When you're ready, consider adding more funds to grow your investments further.
10. Keep improving: Continuously learn and adapt to changes in the market.
Falling Knife stocks-How to identify them?I have discussed in previous post about what exactly falling knife stock is with a case study.
The next question would be how would an investor know that stock is a part of falling knife category?
To identify such stocks, I feel you should know about 2 concepts/indicators which are Moving averages and Fibonacci retracement. I will try to make you understand these concepts and also the levels where averaging/investing can be started.
1. Fibonacci(Fib) is a mathematical concept which governs the entire universe, even our stock markets. I can't explain the entire scientific concept here so just sticking to stock market.
Fib retracements help investors identify support and resistance for stock. There are 2 golden ratios which every investor must know, 38.2%(0.382) and 61.8%(0.618).
When a stock is in uptrend, 38.2% is the level where most stocks retrace upto. 61.8% is considered as last ray of hope for bounce in retracement. Any stock which has fallen below 61.8% is considered weak.
2. Moving averages(MA) are indicators which are continuously changing with moving stock market. These are an average of prices over a time period, hence Time frame is important.
There are many types of moving average, we use mostly simple and exponential.
When I say 20 Day EMA, it is Exponential average of 20 days of closing price of stock or when I say 200 week SMA, it is simple average of 200 weeks closing price.
Exponential is more used than Simple moving average which has scientific reason behind it so if you are curious, you can search for it.
200 Week moving average is considered as last ray of hope for investment. A fall below 200 Week moving average or 50 Month EMA indicates strong bearishness.
3. I have seen stocks reach from top to bottom and top again. Tata motors, HDFCAMC being few famous examples. Even, Most of real estate, PSU banks stocks are reversing. So, equity is beautiful, wild and highly unpredictable. However, A stuck investor should wait for monthly closing above 61.8% to start averaging in such stocks. Also, a closing above 200 Week EMA will slightly indicate return of bullishness and that's where reversal traders should think of investing
I feel this much knowledge is enough for now. If you have got some enlightenment from above information, lets apply this knowledge on one stock where I know many many investors are stuck, Rajesh Exports.
How do I know? I saw the shareholding pattern and that's where I was shocked to see the number of shareholders increase from 45000 odd to over 2 lakhs in the past 9 months!
Starting with fundamentals, Rajesh Exports Ltd is 4 decade old manufacturer of Gold and Gold Products available at a PE of around 9 and sales growth of 20% in last 3 years. All the ratios feel nice to me except the operating margin which is below 2% consistently which has led to drop in EPS which is major concern in the stock.
Technically, stock had a 52 week high of 1030 in Feb 2023 and it is now available at 360 odd which is more than 60% wealth destroyed. And as I said, the number of shareholders have grown 5x in the same time. (Note that FII, DII holding has reduced in same period).
If i see now from a non-investors perspective(psychology explains that investor can never see the bearishness), the stock has formed a beautiful double top and broken its neckline which was 61.8% of fib retracement all ready for a further fall and I see no support till 270-300 zone(sorry investors). It is also below 200 week moving average-red wavy line(if you check monthly chart, it is below 200 month moving average as well). A perfect example of Falling knife.
What next? If I were an investor, My last SL would have been 525 which is 50% retracement. Since, the stock is below 61.8% retracement , there is no chance of averaging at this moment. Hence, I feel investors should wait & watch until stock moves above 440 before averaging/entering. Don't jump in it. Wait for a big bullish monthly candle before averaging.
Also....
As promised,, I am sharing you names of stock which i have identified to be part of this unloved category. As an homework, do check fundamentals and reversal levels based on what we have discussed above.
The stocks are GRINFRA, TCNSClothing, Metropolis, Luxindustries, Polyplex, HLEGlasscoat, Deltacorp, Barbequenation.
If you are a curious investor, even you can find such stocks and do let me know in the comments below.
I would like to discuss any doubts regarding the concepts, idea or anything related to stock market so feel free to comment.
Keep investing, keep minting. India has a very big future ahead so these are the best few years to invest in India.Be a smart investor because it is important that you choose the right stock to meet your financial goals.
Expensive Mistakes in Trading and how to Clear Them !Hello Trading community, Today i brought an educational publication for sharing with all of you mates in which most of the experiences are mine too that what are the expensive mistakes we are doing and how can we improve that mistakes i am trying to share below mates. But before i start i want to say a big Thanks to Trading view and entire team for adding index and stock Options chart in the system and with this integration we no longer need to go any other platform to view those charts.
Trading in financial markets comes with risks, and mistakes can be costly. Some of the most expensive mistakes in trading include:
⚡Lack of Risk Management:
Failure to set stop-loss orders or not adhering to risk management principles can lead to significant losses. Traders who expose themselves to excessive risk without a safety net often suffer severe financial consequences.
⚡Overleveraging:
Using excessive leverage amplifies both gains and losses. While it can increase potential profits, it also magnifies the impact of market fluctuations. Traders who overleverage their positions may find themselves facing margin calls and significant losses.
⚡Ignoring Fundamental Analysis:
Neglecting to conduct thorough fundamental analysis and relying solely on technical analysis or market trends can lead to poor investment decisions. Changes in economic indicators, company financials, or geopolitical events can have a profound impact on asset prices.
⚡Chasing Losses:
Trying to recover losses quickly by making impulsive and high-risk trades can exacerbate the problem. Emotional decision-making driven by a desire to recoup losses often results in further financial setbacks.
⚡Lack of Discipline:
Traders who deviate from their established trading plans or strategies due to emotions, fear, or greed may make poor decisions. Maintaining discipline is crucial to successful trading.
⚡Insufficient Research:
Inadequate research before entering a trade can lead to unexpected surprises. Traders should thoroughly understand the assets they are trading, market conditions, and relevant news that might impact their positions.
⚡Falling for Hype and Speculation:
Investing based on market hype or speculative trends without proper due diligence can result in losses. Relying solely on the opinions of others or following the crowd can be detrimental to a trader's financial health.
⚡Market Timing Errors:
Attempting to time the market perfectly is challenging and often leads to losses. Traders who consistently mistime market entries and exits may miss out on profitable opportunities or incur substantial losses.
⚡Not Diversifying:
Putting all funds into a single asset class or market increases vulnerability to downturns. Lack of diversification can expose traders to significant losses if a particular sector or asset class underperforms.
⚡Ignoring Transaction Costs:
Neglecting to consider transaction costs, such as commissions and fees, can erode profits. Frequent trading without accounting for these costs can significantly impact overall returns.
Successful traders often learn from their mistakes, adapt their strategies, and prioritize risk management to minimize the impact of errors in the future. It's essential for traders to continually educate themselves, stay informed about market conditions, and remain disciplined in their approach.
Now we will talk that how we can take control on these above mentioned mistakes-:
Avoiding costly mistakes in trading requires a combination of education, discipline, and a well-thought-out trading plan. Here are some of the most expensive mistakes in trading and tips on how to avoid them, Understand the financial markets, trading instruments, and the factors that influence prices. Stay informed about economic indicators, market trends, and news that may impact your trades.
🚀Have a Trading Plan:
Develop a clear and well-defined trading plan that includes your goals, risk tolerance, and strategies. Outline entry and exit points, risk management rules, and position sizing guidelines.
🚀Risk Management:
Never risk more than you can afford to lose on a single trade.
Use stop-loss orders to limit potential losses and protect your capital.
Diversify your investments to spread risk across different assets.
🚀Control Emotions:
Emotional decisions often lead to trading mistakes. Stay disciplined and stick to your trading plan. Avoid making impulsive decisions based on fear, greed, or overconfidence.
🚀Start with a Demo Account:
Practice your trading strategies with a demo account before using real money.
This allows you to refine your approach and gain experience without risking your capital.
🚀Continuous Learning:
Stay updated on market trends, new trading strategies, and evolving market conditions.
Learn from both successful and unsuccessful trades, and use that knowledge to refine your approach.
🚀Monitor Positions:
Regularly review your open positions and adapt your strategy as market conditions change.
Set realistic profit targets and be willing to take profits when your goals are met.
🚀Stay Informed:
Keep abreast of global economic and political events that may impact the markets.
Be aware of scheduled economic reports, earnings announcements, and other events that can cause volatility.
🚀Avoid Overtrading:
Resist the urge to trade excessively. Quality over quantity is key.
Focus on high-probability setups and wait for the right opportunities.
🚀Stay Flexible:
Markets can be unpredictable. Be willing to adjust your strategy if conditions change.
Avoid being overly attached to a specific trade or outcome.
🚀Review and Analyze:
Regularly review your trades, both successful and unsuccessful.
Identify patterns in your decision-making process and learn from past mistakes.
🚀Seek Professional Advice:
Consider consulting with financial advisors or experienced traders for insights and guidance.
Joining trading communities or forums can also provide valuable perspectives.
Remember, trading involves risk, and there are no guarantees of profit. By following these guidelines and maintaining a disciplined approach, you can increase your chances of making informed decisions and avoiding common trading mistakes.
Regards-: Amit
Happy Trading mates, Thanks for reading hope you like this publication friends.
“If most traders would learn to sit on their hands 50 percent of the time, they would make a lot more money.” - Bill Lipschutz
Price-Time Correlation: Through WavesPrice reflection through Waves
We all know that price does not moves in a straight line, it moves in waves. A graphical representation of price with respect to time always gives us a wavy structure. If you notice carefully, on any chart, these waves reflect different characteristics. Some will be longer and quicker than the others while some will be smaller and slow. The behavior of these waves could help us in identifying strength and weakness in price and hence rational decision making.
Waves Reflect Momentum
The quick or slow action of a wave with respect to time indicates its momentum. A longer wave in a small duration of time is said to have more momentum than a wave of same length in a larger time duration. It should be noted that in trading, momentum of a wave is a relative term. It means that momentum of one wave doesn't make much sense unless it is compared with the momentum of another wave(s). It is through this comparison that we can discover strength and weakness in price action.
Momentum or Human Behavior?
Please do remember that when I say strength and weakness, that means the strength and weakness of market participants. Ultimately it is the human action and psychology that is playing in the background. In the foreground what we see are the waves on Price and Time axis. So, a weaker up wave would mean that buyers were not very strong in that up move. Or a stronger down wave would mean that sellers were stronger in that wave and so on. This contrasting behavior may help us in understanding the market behavior more accurately and taking prudent trading decisions.
Also remember that Price-Time correlation does not focus on bottom picking but it provides additional confirmation that the correction/consolidation has been terminated and the larger trend has resumed. Secondly, while the market may behave differently in different geo-political environments, one should not expect identical outcomes all the time.
Let's go through the Example in Chart
Normally after a strong trend we see a correction/consolidation. A correction can be of any type but for the sake of simplicity I have taken the more popular 'abc' type structure.
Wave A
Very strong momentum up wave. Generally, very strong moves lead to consolidations.
Wave B
Strong momentum corrective wave
Wave C
🚀Momentum is weaker than both waves A and B.
🚀From A to B, the price corrected in one go whereas C is a 3-wave sub structure in itself.
🚀Also, C took more time compared to B but could not reach the high of A.
Inference- Buyers are not very strong at this stage so not a very good place for fresh buyers.
Wave D
🚀Momentum is even weaker than C.
🚀5-wave sub structure and huge time taken by the wave to reach the low of B reflects that sellers were not strong enough to push the market down.
Inference- Buyers could try for a low-risk trade.
Wave E
🚀Price breached the high of C and A in a smaller duration of time. So huge momentum.
Inference- Good to keep holding long positions and for fresh entry into small pullbacks.
For measuring time one can count the number of candles in a wave with the help of DateRange tool provided in ForecastingandMeasurementTools Tab on the left pane of Tradingview chart page OR sometimes simply eyeballing a chart would serve the purpose.
Disclaimer: This is a very simple but strong concept, and I am not the sole follower or proponent of it.
Hope it added to your knowledge. Do hit the 🚀 button and share your experiences regarding momentum trading in the comment 💬 section below.
Thanks.
A 50-day moving average (50 DMA/SMA/EMA)A 50-day moving average (50 DMA) is a technical indicator that shows the average closing price of a security over the last 50 days. It's a popular indicator because it's realistic and effective at showing historical price movement trends.
Concept of 50 Moving Average
1. Entry
- Candle crossover 50 MA: This refers to a situation where the closing price of a candle crosses above the
50-period moving average line. When the candle's closing price moves from below the 50 MA to above it,
it indicates potential upward momentum in the price action. This could signal a bullish trend or a potential
buying opportunity.
2. Exit:
- Distance between 50 MA and Candle: This involves monitoring the distance between the closing price
of the candle and the 50-period moving average. If the distance becomes significantly large, it may indicate
an overextended market and a potential reversal. Traders might consider taking profits or preparing for a reversal
signal.
- Candle crossunder 50 MA: This occurs when the closing price of a candle crosses below the 50-period
moving average line. It suggests potential downward momentum in the price action. This could signal a bearish trend
or a potential selling opportunity.
3. No Trade Zone (Sideways):
- Use Box Breakout Strategy: In a sideways or ranging market where the price moves within a defined range,
a breakout strategy can be employed. A box breakout strategy involves identifying a range-bound market where the
price oscillates between a support and resistance level (forming a box-like pattern). Traders look for breakouts
above the resistance or below the support level to initiate trades. This helps avoid trading during periods of low
volatility and indecision, typical of sideways markets, and instead focuses on capturing potential momentum during
breakout movements.
Few Calculations & Rules for Fun to give you ButterfliesThis idea is for Educational and Fun purpose only. Please consult your financial advisor before investing or making any position. Facts or Data given above may be slightly incorrect & collected from various open sources. We are not SEBI registered.
Take Care
Happy Trading/Investing/Learning
Keep your COOL while TradingHow often do you let other people's nonsense change your mood and that spoils your Trading ?
Do you let a rude person, rude neighbor, rude unknown person ruin your Trading Day ?
However, the mark of a successful trader is to quickly get back to normal & focus on Trading.
Keep your Mind Cool & Calm - Meditate and remember this Old Story when someone or some trade spoils your Trading Psychology.
Take care and Happy Trading.
Index Trading-Follow EMA Crossover strategyI have been following the simple technique of Daily EMA Crossover for my long & short trades-especially for Trading NIFTY& BANK NIFTY
-Choose 15 Min Timeline
-Plot 4EMA viz 10/20/50/100
-Initiate long Trade when 10DEMA decisively crosses above all other DEMA Viz 20/50/100-which is known as Golden cross over
-Similarly initiate short trades while the 10DEMA cuts below all other moving averages viz.20/50/100-Death Cross over
By following the above simple technique we will be able to make good profits as well exit at the optimum levels.
If you go thru the recent NIFTY Chart its quite evident that even when NIFTY was trading at 22400 levels,10DEMA Cross over below other DEMAs on 11th March generated the 1st sell signal.
Decisive 10DEMA Cross over below 20/50/100 DEMA on 13th March,2024 while NIFTY was trading at 22340 levels confirmed the downfall.Had you initiated a sell signal at this signal its an easy 500 Points profits within a span of 5 days-Isnt it a decent profits ?Trade with levels and follow the trend always.If you feel its of use may send a thank note.Happy Trading(ONLY FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ONLY)
#StopLoss : The Safety Net You Need#StopLoss : The Safety Net You Need
Ever danced with volatility?
Without a stop loss, it's like tightrope walking without a net.
Here's why it's a MUST:
✅ Protect Your Fund: Keep that hard-earned Money safe
✅ Sleep Tight: Close your eyes without the market nightmares
✅ Plan Your Exit: Know when to bow out gracefully.
Remember, it's not just about making money; it's about keeping it too.
Like/Share if you also Agree with my Post.
NIFTY 50 (BULLs VS BEARs) Date - 13th March 2024
Time - 10:05 AM
After seeing today's move of gap up opening and then filled the gap again.
FIXED RANGE VOLUME PROFILE
1. This Volume indicator is more useful than ordinary horizontal and time base volume indicator.
2. Its Flexible to use and you can put wherever you want to identify at that particular time who are the dominators (BULLS OR BEARS), who made that particular move in market.
3. As we can see in chart, I have put 2 Fixed range volume tools for 2 different times, in that Red Lines come out it is showing POC (Point of Control) for that selected range.
4. If Current price is below POC line than we can say Bears are in Dominance , as per current situation in Nifty 50.
5. If Price roaming above POC line means Bulls are in all over Dominance so far.
So, after using this tool we can identify within dark volume range (shown in chart) sluggish movement expected and Until Price won't break POC line and High-volume range either side strong and rational move should not expected.
Lower the volume at any particular price faster the movement we can expect.
Getting Started with Technical AnalysisInvesting in the stock market can be both exciting and overwhelming. There are so many stocks and strategies are there that make it hard to decide where to invest. That’s where technical analysis comes in. It’s the study of market data to find patterns, trends, and potential opportunities.
To get started with technical analysis, you need to first understand what exactly technical analysis is.
Technical Analysis:
Technical analysis may sound complex, but it’s actually quite easy. In simple terms, it’s a method of assessing stock or any tradeable asset by studying statistics based on market activity, like past prices and volume.
Technical analysts believe that by analysing charts and other indicators, they can identify and predict market trends for any security. Essentially, they study a stock’s trading history to measure its potential for future price changes.
Let’s understand this with an example:
Let’s make a comparison to weather forecasting.
Can we predict the weather for the future? Yes.
Is the weather forecast always 100% accurate? No.
Weather forecasts are applicable over a period of time rather than being precise second by second.
Similarly, just like meteorologists use past weather data and atmospheric patterns to forecast future weather conditions, technical analysts utilize past price and volume data to predict future stock prices.
How You Can Start Technical Analysis of Stocks?
To begin with technical analysis, the first step is selecting a security for analysis. This can include stocks, commodities, currency pairs, or any other tradable financial instrument available on an exchange. Once you have decided on the security, the next step involves studying its price and volume data.
A widely used tool in technical analysis is the price chart. It provides a visual display of a security’s price changes over time. Price charts come in various types, with the candlestick chart being the most popular and commonly used option.
Candlestick charts offer wide information in a single platform. Each candlestick represents a specific time period, like a day or an hour. The body of the candlestick indicates the security’s opening and closing prices within that timeframe, while the wicks or shadows represent the highest and lowest prices recorded during that period.
By studying these candlesticks, traders can identify patterns and trends in the price movements of the stock.
Along with price charts, traders use various technical indicators to analyse securities. These indicators are mathematical calculations derived from the price and volume data of a security. They give signals that confirm trends, identify potential buy or sell signals , and provide additional information to traders.
Some popular and commonly used technical indicators are moving averages , relative strength index (RSI) , and Bollinger Bands , among others. These indicators help traders to judge market conditions, identify potential price reversals or trends, and help to take trading decisions.
Dos and Don’ts to follow when starting Technical Analysis:
Do’s:
A Volume is an important tool for technical analysis. High trading volume suggests a strong trend, while low volume can indicate a lack of buyers and sellers in security.
Traders mostly confirm trends and signals by using multiple indicators. With one or more than one indicators, a trader can become more confident in a potential trade. This approach allows for a thorough analysis of different aspects of the market, increasing the chances of making informed trading decisions.
One of the most important tips to remember is that while technical analysis can assist in identifying potential trades, practising effective risk management is essential.
Risk Management involves implementing stop-loss orders and ensuring that you don’t risk more than a certain percentage of your portfolio on any single trade. With the help of these risk management techniques, you can protect your investments and maintain a disciplined approach to trading.
As the price of stocks is changing every time, you need to stay updated with news and investments that can impact your investment.
Don’ts:
While technical analysis can look complex, it’s important to avoid difficult things. Stick to the fundamental principles and strategies, and you should be on the right track. Sometimes, simplicity is the key to effective analysis and decision-making in the stock market.
While technical analysis is important, it shouldn’t be the only way to evaluate securities. It’s also important to consider fundamental analysis , which involves looking at a company’s financial statements and economic factors. By using both technical and fundamental analysis, investors can get a better overall understanding of the securities they are analysing.
Trading can involve emotional decisions, but it’s important to let no emotions cloud your judgment. Stick to your trading strategy and avoid making impulsive trades driven by fear or greed. By maintaining discipline and adhering to your predetermined plan, you can make more rational and informed trading decisions.
When you’re taking potential trades, it’s important to think about the risk-reward ratio . This means comparing the potential profit with the potential loss.
With a good risk-to-reward ratio, you can make smarter decisions and aim for a good balance between R:R in your trading strategy.
Conclusion:
Technical analysis is a great tool for traders and aspiring investors in the Indian stock market. It helps identify potential opportunities by analysing price and volume data, allowing traders to recognize patterns and trends. However, it’s important to follow certain guidelines when using this approach. With the help of candlestick patterns , indicators, risk management tools, and fundamental analysis traders can achieve their financial goals.
Double Bottom & Double Top Patterns and How To Trade Them👋 Hello Trading community and my friends so today i came here with an educational post hope you like my work mates, In technical analysis quite often we hear about Double bottom and Double top patterns so today i am sharing that in very simple and easy to understand way. Although a lot can be understood from the idea's image alone but for those who are new to technical analysis i am explaining them by the description below.
⚪ Double bottom pattern-:
It is a bullish reversal pattern that typically occurs at the end of a downtrend. It consists of two distinct lows at approximately the same price level, separated by a peak in between. Here's how you can identify and trade on a double bottom pattern:
⭐️Identify the Pattern- Look for two consecutive troughs (low points) in the price chart, with a peak (high point) in between. The lows should be roughly at the same price level, forming a "W" shape.
⭐️Confirmation- After identifying the double bottom pattern, it's important to wait for confirmation before entering a trade. Confirmation can come in the form of a breakout above the peak that separates the two lows. This breakout should ideally be accompanied by an increase in trading volume, signaling strong buying interest.
⭐️Entry- Once you have confirmation of the pattern, you can enter a long (buy) position. Some traders prefer to enter immediately after the breakout above the peak, while others wait for a pullback to the breakout level before entering to improve risk-reward ratios.
⭐️Stop Loss- So there are no particular definition of stop loss after the activation of trade because it totally depends on a trader's setup some takes below resistance close or trigger basis and some can take below the recent swing low and maybe there are some more ways too.
⭐️Target- Determine a target price based on the height of the pattern. Measure the distance between the lowest point of the double bottom and the peak, and then add this distance to the breakout level. This gives you a potential target for your trade.
⚪ The double pattern-:
it is another common technical analysis pattern observed in financial markets, often signaling a potential reversal of an uptrend. The double top pattern typically occurs after an extended uptrend in the price of an asset.
⭐️Identify the Pattern- It consists of two consecutive peaks (or tops) at approximately the same price level, separated by a trough (or valley) in between. The peaks resemble the letter "M" on the price chart.
⭐️Confirmation- Traders typically look for confirmation signals to validate the pattern, such as a break below the trough between the two tops, increased volume during the breakdown, or other technical indicators like bearish divergence on oscillators such as the RSI or MACD.
⭐️Entry- Enter a short trade after confirmation, preferably when the price breaks below the trough between the two tops. Some traders may wait for a pullback to the breakdown level before entering to improve risk-reward ratios.
⭐️Stop Loss- So as i said above for the double bottom stop loss now telling the same for it too that it depends on trader to trader setup that some can take stop loss above resistance on closure or trigger basis and some can take above recent swing high likewise.
⭐️Target- Set a target for your trade based on the height of the pattern, which is the distance between the peak and the trough. Additionally, consider other support levels or Fibonacci retracement levels as potential targets.
⭐️Remember that no trading strategy is foolproof, and it's essential to combine the Double bottom & Double top patterns with other forms of analysis for better accuracy and risk management.
⭐️Risk Management- Always manage your risk by sizing your position appropriately and setting stop-loss orders. Additionally, consider the overall market conditions and use other technical indicators to confirm your trade decision. As always, combining technical analysis with proper risk management and market understanding is crucial for successful trading.
⭐️Exit- Exit the trade when your target is reached, or if the price shows signs of reversing. Pay attention to other technical indicators or chart patterns that may suggest a change in market sentiment.
My Setup-: So after the confirmation usually i take retest entries to minimize my risk for these type of trades and somehow retests gives me more confirmations too of the strength of breakout, And one more thing i use and that is RSI indicator with default settings for these type of trades provided by Trading View so thank you very much to them. Stop loss i take on closing basis above or below on support and resistance. This is educational post so no logic to update this idea but still then if i will get any good example i will provide that via update. Thanks for reading and giving your valuable time.
Best Regards- Amit
“I get real, real concerned when I see trading strategies with too many rules (you should too).”
Larry Connors
HOW-TO use the Fundamental Strength Indicator? (full guide)Below is the complete instruction on how to use the Fundamental Strength Indicator .
Part 1: The Fundamental Strength of the Company
To understand what it is for, let's imagine that you manage a long-distance running team, and you need to recruit a team of excellent athletes. However, you don’t even know the names of these athletes or their contract amounts. You only have information about their health and athletic performance: hemoglobin and iron content in the blood, maximal oxygen consumption, steps-per-minute rate, speed, age, etc. Each player has their own large table with different parameters. And you have, let’s say, a thousand tables like that.
If you spend 3 minutes studying one table, it will take you 50 hours to analyze all the tables, which is just over 2 days of continuous work. And how long would it take to compare each athlete with the rest? Approximately 2 years of continuous work.
This is obviously no good, that is why you take a computer, enter all the data from the tables and start thinking about how you can reduce the time to compare one athlete with another. As a result of your brainstorming, you come to the following conclusions:
— Each parameter has its range of values, which can give you an idea of whether an athlete is suitable or not suitable for a marathon.
— The parameter may have its dynamics: it may increase from month to month, stay the same, or decrease.
— Each parameter can be assigned a score.
For example, the step-per-minute rate can be:
— 175 and above (+1 point)
— 165–174 (0 points)
— 164 and below (-1 point)
And you do that with each parameter.
What are these points for? To convert indicators that use different units into one measurement system. Thanks to this method, you can now compare apples to oranges.
Then, you sum up all the points per month and get one single number — let's call it athletic strength. You like your thought process, and you apply this algorithm to every athlete’s table.
Now, instead of dozens of parameters per month, you have one number (athletic strength) for each athlete. It looks like your task has been dramatically simplified. Next, to study the dynamics of athletic strength from month to month, you “ask” your computer to create a plot for each of the athletes.
This chart shows that Athlete #1's athletic strength has fluctuated chaotically in the first three quarters of 2022, possibly due to the lack of regular training. But then you observe a positive trend, where athletic strength has grown from month to month. It seems like the athlete has taken up training.
Then, to compare one athlete with another, you “ask” your computer to add the average value of athletic strength over the past six months (average pre-competition training period) to the existing plot. Now, you can use the most average recent value as a weighted score of athletic strength and compare athletes with each other based on this value.
Thanks to this solution, you accelerate the analysis process by a magnitude: one athlete – one number. It appears that you can then simply sort the table by the highest athletic strength weighted score and consider the best athletes. However, not wanting to sort the table every time the data is updated or when you get new athletes, you make a better decision.
The logic behind the points system implies that there is a maximum and a minimum possible number of points that one athlete can get. This allows you to create ranges of scores for athletes with excellent, mediocre, and poor training.
For example, let’s say the maximum is 15 and the minimum is -15. Athletes with a score of 8 to 15 will be considered as strong, 1 to 7 – mediocre, and 0 to -15 – weak.
That’s it! Now, thanks to this gradation, you can simply check which range the weighted athletic strength falls within, and decide whether each athlete will be admitted to the team.
I believe that now your primary selection will take no more than one working day (including a lunch break).
Now let's mentally replace athletes with public companies. Instead of data on health and athletic performance, we will have data from the companies’ financial statements and financial ratios.
Applying a similar algorithm, we will get the fundamental strength of the company instead of athletic strength.
I think it's time to show the Fundamental Strength Indicator . Let's launch! What do we see?
— First, it is a Histogram with bars of three colors: green, orange, and red. The width of the histogram depends on the depth of data from the company statements. The more historical data, the wider the histogram over time.
The green color of the bars means that the company has been showing excellent financial results by the sum of the factors in that period. According to my terminology, the company has a “strong foundation” during this period. Green corresponds to values between 8 and 15 (where 15 is the maximum possible positive value on the sum of the factors).
The orange color of the bars means that according to the sum of factors during this period the company demonstrated mediocre financial results, i.e., it has a “mediocre foundation” . Orange color corresponds to values from 1 to 7.
The red color of the bars means that according to the sum of factors in this period of time, the company demonstrated weak financial results, i.e., it has a “weak foundation” . The red color corresponds to values from -15 to 0 (where -15 is the maximum possible negative value on the sum of factors).
— Second, this is the Blue Line , which is the moving average of the Histogram bars over the last year (*). Averaging over the year is necessary to obtain a weighted estimate that is not subject to medium-term fluctuations. It is by the last value of the blue line that the actual Fundamental Strength of the company is determined.
(*) The last year means the last 252 trading days, including the current trading day.
— Third, these are operating, investing, and financing Cash Flows expressed in Diluted net income. These flows look like thick green, orange, and red lines, respectively.
— Fourth, this is the Table on the left, which shows the latest actual value of the Fundamental Strength and Cash Flows.
Indicator settings:
In the indicator settings, I can disable the visibility of the Histogram, Blue Line, Cash Flows (each separately), and Table. It helps to study each of the parameters separately. It is also possible to change the color, transparency, and thickness of lines.
The movie Moneyball was released in 2011, where Brad Pitt plays the role of Billy Bean, the sports manager of the Oakland Athletics baseball team. With a small budget, he managed to assemble a high-scoring team based on the analysis of player performance. As a result, this approach was applied by other teams in the league, and Billy Bean received massive recognition from the professional community.
Part 2: Benchmark Business Model
One day, when I had already grasped the concept of the Fundamental Strength of a company, I was returning home from vacation. I was in a taxi and the driver was listening to an audiobook. As the drive took longer than an hour, I had nothing to do but listen to the story. I liked the content. It was a fictional novel with a plot centered around the main character named Alex Rogo. He is a manager of one of the three enterprises of the UniCo corporation.
Even though Alex spends all his time and energy on work, things are not going very well for the company: over the past six months, the company has only had losses. This leaves Alex's executives no choice but to give him an ultimatum: if he can’t radically improve the situation in three months, the enterprise will be shut down, and he will be left without a job. At the same time, Alex's wife is tired of her husband’s absence in her personal life, so she decides to leave him. Anyway, the story's beginning turned out to be very dramatic, and I wondered how Alex would cope with all this.
Luckily, in this stressful time, he meets his former physics teacher Jonah, who now consults companies regarding efficient production. Alex tells his old acquaintance about what’s going on and how he managed to increase labor productivity at the enterprise after purchasing new robots. However, the losses continue to hang over his head like the sword of Damocles.
After listening to Alex's story, Jonah wisely suggests that the problem with his enterprise lies in the management is concerned about anything but the main goal of their business, which is creating money or profit. Jonah explains to Alex that all management ideas related to expanding the sales market, using new technologies, or improving product quality can lead the company to a disaster if fundamental things are not considered. In his opinion, management should only focus on three indicators:
— Throughput , which is the rate at which a company makes money through sales.
— Inventory , which is all the money invested by the company in assets: premises, equipment, patents, raw materials, etc.: that is, in something that can then be sold.
— Operational expenses , which are all the money a company spends turning investments into cash, or something that can’t be sold, such as the salary of employees, the cost of rent, payment for delivery services, etc.
Thus, the management’s job is to make improvements that will ultimately lead to an increase in Throughput and a decrease in Inventory and Operational expenses.
For example, Alex’s purchase of robots to increase the number of products produced has led to an increase in production. However, suppose you look at it through the prism proposed by Jonah. In that case, we actually have the following picture: Inventory has increased, Operational expenses have not decreased (no one has been fired), and the robots can’t contribute to sales growth in any way (the Throughput is not increasing). As a result, this was not an improvement, but a deterioration.
The accumulation of such bad decisions eventually leads to the unprofitability of the company. Conversely, continuous improvements that will increase the Throughput and reduce Inventory and Operational expenses will inevitably lead to achieving the main goal – making money.
After I got home, I tried to find this book on the Internet. It turned out that it was written by physicist and philosopher Eliyahu M. Goldratt back in 1984. The novel is called The Goal .
That’s when I realized that if the company's management adheres to the approach described by Goldratt, then after a while, we will most likely see a fundamentally strong company. And the Fundamental Strength Indicator clearly shows how much the management has succeeded along this path.
For example, according to Goldratt, an increase in Throughput should lead to an increase in Earnings per share (EPS) and Total revenue . The reduction in Inventory may be linked with a decrease in Inventory to revenue ratio . Optimization of Operational expenses will definitely reduce the Operating expense ratio . All these parameters are considered when calculating the Fundamental Strength of the company.
So, let's move on to the methodology for calculating the Fundamental Strength Indicator.
The main idea that inspired me to create this indicator is: "Even if you buy just 1 share of a company, treat it like buying the whole business" . Guided by this approach, you can imagine what kind of business an investor is interested in owning and simultaneously determine the input parameters for calculating the indicator.
For me, a benchmark business is:
— A business that operates efficiently without diminishing the return on shareholders' investment. To assess the efficiency and profitability of a business, I use the following financial ratios(*): Diluted EPS and Return on Equity (ROE). The first two parameters for calculating the indicator are there.
— A business that scales sales and optimizes its costs. From this perspective, the following financial ratios are suitable: Gross margin, Operating expense ratio, and Total revenue. Plus three other metrics.
— A business that turns goods/services into cash quickly and does not fall behind on payments to suppliers. The following financial ratios will fit here: Days payable, Days sales outstanding, and Inventory to revenue ratio. These are three more metrics.
— A business that does not resort to significant accounts payable and shows financial strength. Here I use the following financial ratios: Current ratio, Interest coverage, and Debt to revenue ratio. These are the last three parameters.
(*) If you are keen to learn more about these financial ratios, I suggest reading my two articles on TradingView:
Financial ratios: digesting them together
What can financial ratios tell us?
Next, each of the parameters is assigned a certain number of points based on its last value or the position of that value relative to the annual maximum and minimum.
For example, if the Current ratio:
— greater than or equal to 2 (+1 point);
— less than or equal to 1 (-1 point);
— more than 1 but less than 2 (0 points).
Or for example, if Diluted EPS:
— near or above the annual high (+2 points);
— near the annual minimum and below (-2 points);
— between the annual maximum and minimum (0 points).
And so on with each of the parameters. As a result, the maximum number of points a company can score is 15 points. The minimum number of points a company can score is -15 points. These levels are marked with horizontal dotted lines: the green line is for the maximum value, and the red line is for the minimum.
I track the number of points for each day of a company's life on a three-color Histogram. The resulting average value for the last year is on the Blue Line. For me, it is the last value of the Blue Line that determines: this is the actual Fundamental Strength of the company.
As an additional filter, for example, when comparing two companies where all other conditions are equal: I use the dynamics of Cash Flows expressed in Diluted net income. These are the thick green, orange, and red lines over the Histogram.
Examples:
Below, I will evaluate various companies using the Fundamental Strength Indicator.
Tesla, Inc.
The indicator shows that since 2020, Tesla Inc. has been steadily increasing its Fundamental Strength (from 3.27 in Q1 2020 to 12.79 in Q1 2023). This is noticeable both by the color change of the Histogram from orange to green and by the rising Blue Line. If you look in detail at what has been happening with the financials during this time, it's clear what meaningful work the company has done. Revenues have almost quadrupled. Earnings per share have increased 134 times. At the same time, Total debt to revenue fell almost 10 times.
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
The company, formed in 2018 by the merger of Keurig Green Mountain and Dr Pepper Snapple Group, has failed to deliver outstanding financial results, causing its Fundamental Strength to fall from 4.63 in Q1 2018 to -0.53 in Q1 2023. During this period, the decline in diluted earnings per share was accompanied by higher debt and deteriorating liquidity.
Costco Wholesale Corporation
Wholesaler Costco has been surprisingly stable in its financial performance and with steady growth in both earnings and revenue. This is the reason the Histogram bars are exceptionally green throughout the calculation of the indicator. The Fundamental Strength has not changed in three years and is high at 11 points.
Part 3: Company Cash Flow Dynamics
The other day I came across an interesting article about the work of the Swiss company Glencore International AG in the 1990s. This company specializes in trading raw materials, and at that time it was actively trading with the countries that had left the USSR. None of those countries had foreign currency, and trust in local currencies had not yet appeared, so it was necessary to exchange commodities for commodities like in the Middle Ages. For example, to sell copper in Kazakhstan, a Swiss company bought raw sugar in Brazil, then took it to Ukraine for refining, then the refined sugar was exchanged for Siberian oil in Russia, then the oil was exchanged for copper ore in Mongolia, which was then sent to a plant in Kazakhstan to create copper suitable for sale on the world market. As we can see, money was used here only at the moment of purchase of raw sugar and sale of copper, the rest of the chain of transactions was an exchange of goods for goods. It turns out the following scheme:
Money - Raw sugar - Refined sugar - Oil - Copper ore - Copper - Money'
Of course, all of this made sense when Money' (with a stroke) equaled big money. Otherwise, the cost of preparing and executing such a complex transaction simply wouldn't have paid off.
This example once again convinced me how significant a role money plays in any company's operations. Can you imagine the chaos that a business can become without money and having to make up similar supply chains? Money simplifies and accelerates all processes in a company, so competent management of these flows is the basis of an effective business.
If you compare a company to a living organism, Cash Flow(*) is its circulatory system. It is thanks to this system that the company is supplied with everything it needs to produce goods or services.
(*) If you are keen to learn more about Cash Flows, I suggest reading my two articles on TradingView:
Cash flow statement or Three great rivers
Cash flow vibrations
Considering that cash flows play a fundamental role in the activity of any company, it is reasonable to assume that their analysis will give us the necessary information to decide.
For this reason, an additional parameter was added to the Fundamental Strength Indicator : the dynamics of Cash Flows expressed in Diluted net income(*).
(*) Since the value of income can be negative, the Diluted net income module is taken, that is, without the "minus" sign.
Why do I use income as a unit of measure of Cash Flows? Because it is a good way to make the scale of indicator values the same for companies from different countries, with different currencies. It also allows you to use a single value scale for both Cash Flows and Fundamental Strength.
So, let's take a look at how the dynamics of Cash Flows look like in the Fundamental Strength Indicator. These are three lines of different colors, which are located over the Histogram. Each of the flows corresponds to a specific color:
— Operating cash flow: green line;
— Investing cash flow: orange line;
— Financing cash flow: red line.
In this way, I can track the dynamics of the company's Cash Flow over time.
To interpret the dynamics of Cash Flows, I pay attention to the following patterns:
— How the cash flows are positioned in relation to each other;
— In which zone each of the cash flows is located: in the positive or negative;
— What is the trend of each of the cash flows;
— How volatile each of the cash flows is.
As an example, let's look at several companies to interpret the dynamics of their Cash Flows.
John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc.
This is the most ideal situation for me: operating cash flow (green line) is above the other cash flows, investment cash flow (orange line) is near zero and practically unchanged, and financial cash flow (red line) is consistently below zero. This picture shows that the company lives off its operating cash flow, does not increase its debt, does not spend a substantial amount of money on expensive purchases, and retains (does not sell off) assets.
Parker Hannifin Corporation
With stable operating cash flow (green line), the company implements investment programs by raising additional funding. This is noticeable due to an increase in financial cash flow (red line) and a simultaneous decrease in investment cash flow (orange line) with a significant deepening into negative areas. Apparently, there is not enough operating cash flow to realize the planned investments. One has to wonder how sustainable a company can be if it invests in its development using borrowed funds.
Schlumberger N. V.
The chaotic intertwining of cash flows outside the Fundamental Strength range (-15 to 15) is indicative of the company's rich life, but to me, it is an indicator of high riskiness of its actions. And as we can see, Fundamental Strength has only begun to strengthen in the last year, when the external appearance of cash flow has normalized.
Thus, when the Fundamental Strength of two companies is equally good, I use an additional filter in the form of Cash Flow dynamics. This helps me to clarify my interest in this or that company.
What is the value of the Fundamental Strength Indicator:
— allows for a quantitative assessment of a company's financial performance in points (from -15 to 15 points);
— allows you to visually track how the company's financial performance has changed (positively/negatively) over time;
— allows to visually trace the movement of main cash flows over time;
— accelerates the process of selecting companies for your shortlist (if you are focused on financial results when selecting companies);
— allows you to protect yourself from investing in companies with weak and mediocre fundamentals.
Mandatory requirements for using the indicator:
— works only on a daily timeframe;
— only applies to shares of public companies;
— company financial statements for the last 4 quarters and more are required;
— it is necessary to have the data from the Balance sheet, Income statement, and Cash flow statement, required for the calculation.
If at least one component required for calculating the Fundamental Strength is missing, the message "no data to calculate the Fundamental Strength correctly" is displayed. In the same case, but for the operating cash flow, the message "no data to calculate the Operating Cash Flow correctly" is shown, and similarly for other flows.
Risk disclaimer:
When working with the Fundamental Strength Indicator and the additional filter in the form of Cash Flows, you should understand that the publication of the Balance sheet, Income statement, and Cash flow statement takes place sometime after the end of the financial quarter. This means that new relevant data for the calculation will only appear after the publication of the new statements. In this regard, there may be a significant change in the values of the Indicator after the publication of new statements. The magnitude of this change will depend both on the content of the new statements and on the number of days between the end of the financial quarter and the publication date of the statements. Until the date of publication of the new statements, the latest relevant data will be used for calculations.
I would like to draw your attention to the fact that the calculation of Fundamental Strength and Cash Flows requires the availability of data for all parameters of the valuation model . It uses data that is exclusively available on TradingView (there is no reconciliation with other sources). If at least one parameter is missing, I switch to another company's analysis to continue using the indicator.
Thus, the Fundamental Strength Indicator and an additional filter in the form of Cash Flows make it possible to evaluate the financial results of the company based on the available data and the methodology I created. A simple visualization in the form of a three-color Histogram, a Blue line, and three thick Cash Flow lines significantly reduces the time for selecting fundamentally strong companies that fit the criteria of the selected model. However, this Indicator and/or its description and/or examples cannot be used as the sole reason for buying or selling stocks or for any other action or inaction related to stocks.