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Vardhman Textiles - A Good Case StudyHey all! Just wanted to share an interesting chart with you all because it seems good for studying multiple concepts. As you can see, there was a massive price expansion in July 2022. This created a strong buying imbalance. The price then underwent a correction in a descending channel, thereby reaching the demand zone for a test. It strongly bounced off the demand zone ultimately leading to a shift in market structure. After the initial pump, there was a small period of consolidation (Pennant) which lead to another leg of expansion. The price then again went into consolidation in June. This consolidation now seems to be over and the price is likely to expand to the upside. Disclaimer : This is NOT investment advice. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Invest your capital at your own risk.
NSE:VTLEducation
by johntradingwick
Double Bollinger Band Strategy :Double Bolliger band Strategy : Tried to put in best easy way in the chart and simple explanation below : What we need : Two Bollinger Bands 1. Length 20 and StdDev 1 2. Length 20 and StdDev 3 Confirmation with indicators should be in same trend with candle stick trend 1. RSI (For trend identification) 2. Stoch (Entry and Exit confirmations / Overbought and Oversold confirmations) Risk Reward Ratio : 1:2 or 1:1.5 or as per your risk appetite, above ones shown with 1: 2 RR Rules of the game : When ever candle stick crosses above/below BB with StdDev 1, that’s the entry. Any candle after this should be used as entry point above the earlier candle which crossed BB with StdDev 1, stop loss should be the candle stick (candle stick which crossed) high or low (sell/buy respectively) or middle line of Bollinger band which ever are nearer. Take profit is 1 : 2 or as per the risk appetite. Avoid when : • Long wicks or long candles which crossed the BB with StdDev 1 • If the candle stick trend is not matching with RSI/Stoch (all should be in following same trend path) • If we don’t get entry within 2 candle sticks after the candle stick which crossed above/below BB with Std Dev 1 Stop Loss : Stop loss is the key here, please do not enter unless you understand how to calculate stop loss. Calculate Stop loss first before entry and it should be minimal say not beyond 40 points in Nifty as an example / acceptable loss in above example chart. Result : Out of 7 entries 1 hit SL while 6 won. 7 wins with 80 points each vs 1 SL with 40 points make to 520 points gain overall. Please do let me know if you have any questions would be happy to respond. Please do like and share this idea. Thanks Disclaimer : This analysis/strategy is only for educational purpose and not be considered as any trading idea/tip. Please consult your financial advisor before you take any trade and we are no way responsible for your profits/losses. Thank you!
Editors' picks
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by AdhigamaTrading
266
Peter Lynch's Philosophy of Stock InvestingWho is Peter Lynch? Peter Lynch is a renowned American investor who is best known for his tenure as the manager of the Magellan Fund at Fidelity Investments from 1977 to 1990. Under Peter Lynch's leadership, the Magellan Fund became one of the most successful mutual funds in history. During his tenure, the fund averaged an annual return of around 29% , consistently outperforming the S&P 500 index. In the US, in 1960, individuals allocated 40% of their assets, including their homes, to stocks and mutual funds. By 1980, this figure dropped to 25% and has further decreased to a mere 17% in coming years. Lynch attributed this decline to people's flawed methods and their tendency to lose money when attempting to invest without proper knowledge. Peter Lynch's performance as the manager of the Fidelity Magellan Fund: Average Annual Return: During Peter Lynch's tenure from 1977 to 1990 , the Magellan Fund achieved an average annual return of approximately 29%. This means that, on average, investors in the fund experienced a 29% annual growth in their investment. Cumulative Return: Over the course of Lynch's 13-year management, the Magellan Fund delivered a cumulative return of around 2,700% . This impressive figure indicates the overall growth of the fund's value during that period. Assets Under Management: When Lynch took over the Magellan Fund in 1977, it had approximately $18 million in assets. By the time he retired in 1990, the fund's assets had grown to over $14 billion , a significant increase over the span of just over a decade. Peter Lynch's Investment Philosophy Peter Lynch's investment philosophy is centered around the idea that individual investors can achieve successful results by leveraging their own knowledge , conducting thorough research, and adopting a long-term approach. His books, such as "One Up on Wall Street" and "Beating the Street," provide valuable insights into his investment strategies. 👉 Do Your Own Research: Lynch encourages investors to conduct thorough research and analysis of companies before making investment decisions. He emphasizes the importance of researching companies and understanding their products and services. 👉 Invest in What You Know: According to Lynch, it is crucial to focus on industries and companies that individuals can relate to or understand. He believes that individual investors have an advantage when they invest in businesses they are familiar with or have personal experience in. 👉 Focus on Fundamentals: Lynch places a strong emphasis on the fundamental aspects of a company, such as earnings growth, cash flow, and balance sheet strength. He emphasizes the correlation between a company's earnings and its stock performance over the long term, dismissing the significance of external factors (such as money supply, political events, or economic predictions). 👉 Long-Term Perspective: Lynch advocates for a patient and long-term approach to investing. He suggests that investors should be willing to hold onto their investments for several years to allow for the realization of the company's growth potential. Instead of trying to time the market, regularly invest a fixed amount of money each month. 👉 Ignore Market Noise: Peter Lynch advised people to ignore short-term market fluctuations and to hold onto their stocks during rough market periods. According to him, the key to making money in stocks is to avoid being scared out of them by short-term volatility. 👉 Contrarian Approach: Lynch often looked for investment opportunities in companies that were overlooked or undervalued by the broader market. He believed that being contrarian and investing in companies with strong growth potential before they became widely recognized could lead to significant returns. 👉 Ten Baggers: Lynch is famous for identifying companies with strong growth potential before they become widely recognized. He popularized the concept of "tenbaggers," stocks that increase in value by ten times or more, and emphasizes patient investing and long-term thinking. This term was coined by Lynch in his book “One Up on Wall Street”. Top 10 Investments From 1977 until 1990, the Magellan fund averaged a 29.2% annual return and as of 2003 had the best 20-year return of any mutual fund ever. Lynch found success in a broad range of stocks from different industries. According to Beating the Street, his top 3 profitable picks while running the Magellan fund were: 1. Fannie Mae 2. Ford 3. Philip Morris Peter Lynch's Categorization of Companies ✅ Slow Growers: Slow growers are companies that operate in mature industries with limited prospects for significant expansion. They have stable and mature businesses that generate consistent but slow growth rates. These companies often have a large market share and a well-established customer base . Slow growers are known for their stability and reliability , and they typically provide dividends to their shareholders. They are considered relatively safe investments , particularly for conservative investors who prioritize steady income and capital preservation. ✅ Stalwarts: Stalwarts are large, well-established companies that have a solid track record of consistent performance. They are dominant players in their respective industries and exhibit reliable earnings and cash flows. Stalwarts may not experience rapid growth rates like fast growers, but they have the potential to grow steadily over time. These companies often have strong competitive advantages , such as brand recognition, economies of scale, or established distribution networks. Stalwarts are favoured by investors seeking consistent returns and a lower level of risk compared to more volatile stocks. ✅ Fast Growers: Fast growers are smaller companies that exhibit rapid earnings growth and operate in industries with high growth potential. These companies often operate in emerging sectors or niche markets that offer significant opportunities for expansion. Fast growers prioritize reinvesting their earnings back into the business to fuel further growth and gain market share. While fast growers can provide substantial returns to investors, they also carry higher risks . Their success is contingent upon maintaining a competitive edge, executing growth strategies effectively, and navigating market challenges . Investors interested in fast growers should carefully assess the company's growth prospects, industry dynamics, and management team's ability to sustain growth. ✅ Cyclicals: Cyclicals are companies whose earnings and stock prices are closely tied to the economic cycle. These companies' performance tends to be sensitive to changes in the overall economy , resulting in fluctuating earnings and stock prices. Industries such as automobiles, housing, manufacturing, and consumer discretionary goods often fall into this category. During economic upturns , cyclicals tend to experience increased demand and higher profitability. Conversely, during economic downturns , these companies may face reduced demand and lower profitability. Investing in cyclicals requires careful timing and analysis of the economic conditions. Cyclicals can offer significant opportunities for profit when purchased at the right point in the economic cycle. ✅ Turnarounds: Turnarounds are companies that have experienced a significant decline or financial distress but have the potential for a successful recovery. These companies often undergo management or operational changes to reverse their fortunes. Turnarounds can result from various factors such as poor strategic decisions, operational inefficiencies, or changes in market dynamics. Investing in turnarounds can be highly rewarding but also carries significant risks. Successful turnarounds require a comprehensive analysis of the company's financial health, an understanding of the management's turnaround strategy, and the ability to identify catalysts for positive change. ✅ Asset Plays: Asset plays refer to companies that possess undervalued or underutilized assets , such as real estate, intellectual property, or unused land, which can be unlocked to create value . These companies may not have strong operational businesses but possess valuable assets that can be monetized or utilized in a strategic manner. Investors interested in asset plays should thoroughly assess the value and potential of the company's assets, along with the management's ability to capitalize on them. The success of asset plays relies heavily on effective asset management , strategic partnerships, or the sale of assets to unlock value and generate returns for shareholders. Peter Lynch's investment philosophy revolves around understanding natural advantages, focusing on industries within one's expertise, and simplifying the decision-making process . His approach encourages investors to prioritize knowledge and comprehension of individual companies rather than being swayed by external factors . Lynch's approach highlights the correlation between a company's earnings and its stock performance, undermining the significance of fundamental analysis over external factors. I hope that this article has provided you with valuable insights into the investing world through the lens of Peter Lynch. 🙂 If you found this article helpful, I encourage you to share it with your family and friends because sharing knowledge is a great way to empower others and contribute to the growth of financial literacy. Disclaimer: This is NOT investment advice. This post is meant for educational purposes only. Invest your capital at your own risk.
Editors' picks
SP:SPXEducation
by johntradingwick
5
Understanding Price Action and Volume in TradingIntroduction: In trading, there are two main components to consider: the psychological aspect and the technical aspect. While this tutorial will focus on the technical part, it's important to note that the psychological aspect is also crucial for trading success. In the technical realm, two key elements to prioritize are price action and volume. By understanding and analyzing these factors, traders can gain valuable insights into market dynamics. This tutorial will provide an overview of price action and volume and explain their significance in trading. Understanding Volume Definition of Volume: - Volume represents the number of transactions in the marketplace. - Each unit of volume indicates a single transaction (e.g., a sale). Volume as an Indicator of Strength: - Volume does not indicate the presence of more buyers or sellers. - It reveals the level of aggressiveness exhibited by buyers and sellers. - Higher volume suggests greater interest or activity at specific price levels. - Lower volume may indicate a lack of interest or support at certain levels. Auction Market Theory: - The market functions as an auction place with buyers and sellers seeking price equilibrium. - Bid and ask prices reflect the orders placed by traders and institutions. - Understanding the auction market theory helps decipher the relative strength of buyers and sellers. - Level 2 data, including bids, asks, and time and sales, provide insights into order flow. Understanding Price Action Importance of Price Action: - Price action refers to the movement and behavior of price on the charts. - Analyzing price action helps identify trends, breakouts, and reversals. - Price action reflects market sentiment and the acceptance of certain price levels. Components of Price Action: - Candlestick patterns: Analyzing the shape and structure of individual candlesticks. - Supply and demand: Evaluating imbalances between buying and selling pressure. - Support and resistance: Identifying key price levels where buyers or sellers are active. Combining Price Action and Volume: - Integrating volume analysis with price action enhances trading decisions. - Volume confirms or contradicts price movements, providing validation or cautionary signals. - Analyzing price action and volume together helps identify strength, trends, and traps. Using Indicators Properly Limitations of Indicators: - Many indicators are lagging, meaning they rely on price data to generate signals. - Price action and volume are leading indicators that provide real-time insights. Simplifying Your Trading Approach: - Remove unnecessary indicators and clutter from your charts. - Focus on price action and volume as primary tools for analysis. - Develop trading strategies and playbooks based on these essential components. Conclusion: Mastering the technical aspects of trading requires a deep understanding of price action and volume. By simplifying your approach and focusing on these key components, you can develop a solid foundation for trading success. This tutorial has provided an introductory overview of price action and volume. In subsequent lessons, we will delve into more advanced topics such as order flow and deeper levels of analysis. Remember to avoid overcomplicating your trading and always seek continuous learning and improvement.
Education
by Abbhishekumr
Trade like a casino Operator (Risk Management) Trading Like a Casino Introduction: If you want to become a successful trader, it's essential to adopt a mindset similar to that of a casino. In this tutorial, we will explore how casinos operate and extract valuable principles that we can apply to our own trading. Two key components of a casino's success are having an edge and implementing effective risk management. By understanding and replicating these principles, we can increase our profitability in the long run. How does a Casino operate? - Casinos operate with an edge, meaning they have an advantage in every transaction. - Understanding the concept of probability is crucial. Games like roulette demonstrate that the outcomes are not evenly split between options. - Casinos calculate their edge by analyzing the probabilities of each outcome, which allows them to ensure profitability. - Risk management is also a vital aspect of a casino's operation. They set maximum limits on bets to protect their downside. Trade like a Casino - As traders, we want to replicate the casino's success by incorporating the same principles into our trading. - Our goal is to have an edge in every trade we take and implement effective risk management to protect our capital. - By aligning these two components, we can create a profitable trading system. Applying the principles to trading - Trading is a probability game. Each trade has a probability of going up or down. - To gain an edge, we need to identify the probability of our trades and establish our trading style. - Having a high probability trade doesn't guarantee success, but it improves our chances. - Risk management is crucial to protect our capital. We should only risk a small percentage of our account on each trade (e.g., 2%). - Balancing our edge and risk management will help us become successful traders. Backtesting and refining strategies - Once we have identified our edge and established risk management, we need to test our strategies. - Backtesting involves analyzing historical data to see if our strategies have been consistently profitable. - By testing and refining our strategies, we can ensure they work in real market conditions. - Continuous evaluation and improvement are necessary for long-term success. Conclusion: Trading like a casino involves having an edge and implementing risk management. By understanding and applying these principles, we can increase our profitability as traders. Remember to assess the probability of each trade, establish risk management rules, and test your strategies. Just like a casino, our goal is to create a consistently profitable system that ensures long-term success in trading.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by Abbhishekumr
How to use trading view "DOM" to place order fasterUnderstand the DOM Interface: [/i ] The DOM panel displays the bid and ask prices along with the order book depth for the selected trading pair. The bid prices are listed on the left side, and the ask prices are on the right side. Each price level shows the quantity available at that price. Place an Order: To place an order using the DOM, you have two options: market order or limit order. Market Order: To place a market order, simply click on the bid or ask price level at which you want to enter the trade. The order will be executed at the best available price in the market. Limit Order: To place a limit order, click on the bid or ask price level where you want to set your desired entry price. A limit order form will appear, allowing you to specify the quantity, order type (buy/sell), and order duration (GTC, IOC, etc.). Fill in the necessary details and click "Submit" or "Place Order" to execute the limit order. Confirm and Monitor: After placing the order, review the order details in the confirmation window that appears. Ensure that the order parameters, such as quantity and price, are correct. Once confirmed, the order will be sent to the exchange for execution. Monitor your open orders and position in the TradingView interface. It's important to note that TradingView's DOM feature serves as a visualization tool and connects with supported brokers/exchanges to facilitate order placement. Make sure you have an active trading account integrated with TradingView or use a supported brokerage service to execute orders seamlessly. Remember to practice caution while trading, and always double-check your order details before submitting them.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by Abbhishekumr
How to get started with tradingNew to Trading? Dive in head-first with our comprehensive guide, drafted especially for beginners! 💼💡 With so many markets and strategies to choose from, it's easy to feel lost. In this post, we'll guide you through the essential steps to get started with trading and set you on the right path. 📚 Educate Yourself Initiate your trading journey by absorbing the essentials. This includes understanding various types of assets, familiarizing yourself with market terminology, discerning different trading strategies, and grasping risk management principles. Utilize a combination of mediums for learning. These could range from books, seminars, and online courses, to YouTube tutorials and our educational section . Get involved in online forums and groups where like-minded individuals share their trading experiences and insights. This can help cement your understanding of trading fundamentals. 💰 Choose Your Market Once you have a basic understanding of trading, the next step is to choose a market to trade in. You have a lot of choices like the stock market, foreign exchange (forex), or the crypto market. Consider what you like, how much volatility you can handle, and what are your financial goals. This is not an easy decision to market as global markets are massive - do your research and find the market that’s perfect for you. 🖥 Practice with a Demo Account Before you start trading with real money, it's a good idea to practice with a demo account. A demo account is a simulated trading account that allows you to practice trading without risking any real money. Use this account to test your trading strategies and get a feel for the market before you start trading with real money. This way, you get to know how to use the platform and how trading works. We at TradingView even have a special feature called Paper trading, made just for practice. Open the Trading Panel and select Paper Trading to get started. 📖 Develop a Trading Plan A trading plan serves as your personal guideline for conducting trades. It outlines your trading approach, your objectives, and risk management, and specifies when to enter or exit a trade. Implementing a trading plan helps in taking better decisions and avoiding emotional trading. 📑 Open a Trading Account Once you've educated yourself and gained some understanding of the mechanics, you need to open a trading account. There are many online brokers that you can use, and you should research them to find the one that best fits your needs. Take into account factors such as fees, platform usability, interface, and the available set of tools and resources. 🕹 Start with a Small Amount Avoid investing your entire life savings at once. Instead, start with a small amount and gradually increase it as you gain experience and develop confidence in your trading abilities. 😎 Choose Your Trading Style There are different trading styles, and each has its own advantages and disadvantages. You can be a day trader, a swing trader, or a position trader. Day trading involves buying and selling within the same day, while swing trading involves holding onto a position for a few days or weeks. Position trading involves holding onto a position for a long time, sometimes months or even years. ✅ Manage Your Risk Proper risk management is crucial in trading due to its inherent uncertainties. You should never risk more than you can afford to lose. Implementing stop-loss orders can help limit potential losses, and it is advisable to have a predefined exit strategy in case a trade doesn't unfold as anticipated. 📒 Journal Your Trades Once you start trading, it becomes imperative to consistently monitor your performance. Regularly keeping tabs on your trades, analyzing your performance, and making necessary adjustments to your plan are all vital aspects. Remember that trading involves risk, and you should be prepared to accept losses as part of the process. Getting started with trading can be intimidating, but you can use this guide as a reference to chalk out a plan for you. Remember that trading requires patience, discipline, and constant learning. By consistently educating yourself, honing your trading skills, and diligently monitoring your trades, you can progress towards becoming a profitable trader. Thanks for reading! Hope this was helpful. 🙂 – Team TradingView Be sure to follow us on Twitter , Instagram , and Telegram for more valuable content! 💘
Editors' picks
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TradingView
6
Risk managementRisk management is an essential aspect of trading, and TradingView can be a helpful tool for implementing risk management strategies. Here's a step-by-step guide on how to do risk management in TradingView: 1. Determine your risk tolerance: Before you start trading, assess your risk tolerance level. This will help you set realistic goals and determine how much risk you are willing to take on each trade. 2. Define your position size: Position sizing refers to the amount of capital you allocate to a particular trade. It should be based on your risk tolerance and the size of your trading account. TradingView does not provide direct position sizing tools, but you can calculate it manually or use an external position sizing calculator. 3. Set your stop-loss order: A stop-loss order is an order you place with your broker to sell a security if it reaches a certain price level. It helps limit your losses in case the trade goes against you. In TradingView, you can add a stop-loss level to your chart by using the "Trend Line" tool or by manually entering the price level. 4. Utilize take-profit levels: Take-profit orders allow you to lock in profits by automatically closing a trade when it reaches a specific price level. You can set take-profit levels in TradingView by using the "Trend Line" tool or by manually entering the price level. 5. Monitor risk-reward ratio: The risk-reward ratio is the ratio of the potential profit of a trade to its potential loss. It is advisable to have a positive risk-reward ratio to ensure that the potential gains outweigh the potential losses. TradingView can help you calculate and monitor the risk-reward ratio by measuring the distance between your entry point, stop-loss level, and take-profit level. 6. Use risk management indicators: TradingView offers a wide range of technical indicators that can assist in risk management. Popular indicators include Average True Range (ATR), which helps determine the volatility of a security, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which can indicate overbought or oversold conditions. These indicators can help you assess risk and make informed trading decisions. 7. Regularly review and adjust your risk management strategy: Risk management is an ongoing process, and it's crucial to regularly review and adjust your strategy as needed. Analyze your trading performance, identify areas for improvement, and adapt your risk management approach accordingly. Remember, risk management is a personal process, and it's important to find a strategy that suits your individual trading style and risk tolerance. TradingView provides valuable tools and features, but it's ultimately up to you to implement and manage your risk management practices effectively.
NSE:TATACOMMEducation
by Abbhishekumr
UJJIVANSFB - Important learning - how to pyramid up & trail SLTraders, even those who have spent significant amount of time in stock market, find it difficult to understand and execute the concept of Pyramiding up in a stock and how to trail SL with each opportunity of pyramiding. While going through my daily watchlist of stocks, came across this chart and found it best suitable to explain the concept of pyramid up & trailing SL. The image is self explanatory In case of any further query, pls feel free to comment or message.
NSE:UJJIVANSFBEducation
by TradewithAditya
Type of Important GapsThere are three common types of gaps that frequently occur - 1. The breakaway gap 2. Runaway gap 3. The exhaustion gap. Breakaway gap is a more significant gap that usually marks the beginning of new trend. It occurs when the price of a stock breaks a significant resistance. Runaway gaps typically occur during strong bull or bear markets, where the price accelerates in the direction of the trend. Exhaustion gap occurs towards the end of a trend, signaling the exhaustion of buying or selling pressure.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by StockEngineers
SIMPLE BREAKOUT CHART PATTERNHere's a step-by-step breakdown of how breakout trading works: 1️⃣ Identify a Consolidation Phase: Look for a period of consolidation on the price chart where the stock's price is moving within a relatively narrow range. This phase indicates that the stock is building up energy for a potential breakout. 2️⃣ Set Support and Resistance Levels: Determine the support and resistance levels that define the boundaries of the consolidation phase. Support is the price level at which the stock tends to stop falling, while resistance is the level at which it tends to stop rising. 3️⃣ Wait for the Breakout: Monitor the price action closely and wait for the stock's price to break out above the resistance level or below the support level. The breakout should ideally be accompanied by an increase in trading volume, indicating strong buying or selling pressure. 4️⃣ Confirm the Breakout: To reduce the risk of false breakouts, consider using additional technical indicators or patterns to confirm the validity of the breakout. Examples include moving averages, trendlines, or candlestick patterns. 5️⃣ Enter the Trade: Once the breakout is confirmed, enter a trade in the direction of the breakout. You can place a buy order if the price breaks out above resistance or a sell order if it breaks below support. Set stop-loss and take-profit levels to manage risk and potential profits. 6️⃣ Manage the Trade: Continuously monitor the trade and adjust your stop-loss and take-profit levels as the price moves. Consider trailing your stop-loss to protect your gains if the stock continues to move favorably. Remember, breakout trading requires careful analysis and risk management. It's essential to use proper position sizing, risk only a small portion of your capital on each trade, and always be prepared for potential losses.
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by WallStreetmny
Trading journal 🥲 20 trades posted for you guys 4 of them got SL❌ hit without reaching TP 1✅. That's not the end of my trading 😅 ,no one is 100% accurate in any field. 80% win rate is satisfied for me to be a profitable trader as we can see some of them never touched SL and still keeps growing which is also a very good thing about this journey. Always trust your plans 👍 , Psychology tip:-Don't let FOMO interact your mind or trading plan. Sl tp entry always remain same..never change them once u have set. Just forget after getting into the trade..either hit tp or sl.. don't bring sl to more down and increase your losses or tp to more up to increase your risk of hitting it.
Education
by Akshay_Gour
3 Trading Stats that you must haveToday’s topic is all about three trading stats that you must have. If you remember I have spoken about the three step trading methodology in our talks at conferences and seminars. One of the components of the three step trading methodology is the optimisation component. This is when you’re looking at your stats to see how you can optimise your strategy or review your stats, look at what going wrong, what’s going well and what can be improved. In that review, there are a few stats that you definitely must be looking at. The first one is reliability. What this means is basically the percentage of winners to losers. So we are really looking at how many trades actually won as opposed to those lost. For example, sometimes you can have systems where there’s a 40% reliability of winners and 60% losers. Or you can also have systems where you have 70% winners and 30% losers. You can have either one. Usually with swing traders when you’re looking for low frequency and high profitability strategies, the reliability of these reduces because each trade is looking at giving you a higher profit. Let me explain that as we come to the second point. So the first stat you need to look at is reliability of the strategy. Here’s the second point. Not only is it important to look at how many times you’re winning – because that’s not really the whole picture – so the second point is where we need to know your average winner to loser. What we call average win to loss ratio. Basically this is very similar to your reward to risk ratio. One critical thing I must mention is that some traders say that they have to take a 3:1 reward to risk ratio trade or a 2:1 reward to risk ratio trade – that is all expected reward to risk ratio. You need to see how well is your strategy actually performing. That’s the most important point. What we’re then looking at is then we’re looking at the average. We know the actual winners, so how much did they make to the average loss that they made as well. So even though you may have a 40% reliability system, it’s only winning 40% of the time, if your actual win is say £200 to an average loss of let’s say £80, we’ve got about 2.5:1. So we’re looking at average win to average loss and that’s what you need to calculate in your stats. How much is it winning on average to your average loss? The final thing you need to know about stats is expectancy. In terms of expectancy what you’re looking at is basically your average net profit. Your average net profit divided by your average loss gives you your expectancy. What this figure is actually telling you is how much each of your trades is making. For example, if you had 0.5 all it’s saying is that through the expectancy formula and normalisation factor what it’s telling you is that each trade is making you 0.5% profit. Here’s a very quick tip for you, something to think about. If you want to increase that number you need to reduce the loss factor. This is why every single trade you take, the most important thing I keep stressing to traders, is to keep managing and focusing on the risk because the up-side will always look after itself. When you do that, when your average loss is minimal, that expectancy number really starts shooting up. So these are the three things you can look at for improving and optimising your systems to see how well your strategy is doing. First is reliability, second is average win to loss ratio, and third is expectancy. Do look at these stats, read up on them, or even post a comment or email us your questions if you have any challenges in knowing how to come up with these figures. We have trade log journals that measures this with all the formulas in our Traders Essentials Kit. I believe this has been very useful for you to analyse your stats and analyse your strategy performance so that you know how and where you’re going wrong and how to optimize your strategy to push that equity curve into positive territory. That’s the end. So give us your comments, give us your feedback and keep in touch. Until the next time, as we always say, stay disciplined, follow your plan and Trade Like a Master.
Education
by masterthemarkets2010
Turbo Breakout Setup: High-Probability Trades with Precision.NSE:CNXFINANCE Hello Traders, In this video, I have explained a Breakout trading setup that will generate only high-probability breakout trades, that have high success rate than another breakout. The setup is based on a pure price action structure and does not require any indicators just we are using volume as a confirmation tool. Why does this setup work? The logic is very simple let's talk about the 1st variation of this setup:- Fake Breakout as you can see in this setup most of the time the structure completes after a fake breakout. So that fake breakout means the short sellers in the correction phase trying to defend there stop loss and make prices go down but what do you think for how long they will be able to defend that zone when buyers' strength is increasing? so after that when buyers push the price a little above-failed breakout zone the price hits short sellers stop losses and include new buying at that level to push prices toward the sky. What about scenario 2nd:- NO failed breakout but horizontal range inside trend resistance line. When the trend Resistance line and horizontal line break at the same price point it invites many traders to put a limit order above that horizontal line and most of the short sellers also have put their stop loss when that zone hit the price again and start moving towards the sky. Other factors and detailed setup have been explained in the video. Any setup is useless without a pre-defined stop loss cause you need to focus on capital protection first then you can aim for profits. Always take calculated risks and use proper position sizing. This is only for educational purposes only. Always trade with stop-loss. I hope you found this idea helpful. Please like and comment. Share with Your Friends. Keep Learning, Happy Trading!
Editors' picks
NSE:CNXFINANCEEducation
by SANJAYPATIDAR_
9
Zig Zag corrective pattern and the Case study of Natural GasHello Friends, Here we had shared some major points and characteristics of Zigzag Correction pattern of Elliott waves. Also we had shared real example chart study of zigzag pattern as a case study of NaturalGas, in which their are some principles and guidelines, which are perfectly going through in chart of NaturalGas. Principles and Guidelines of Zigzag correction pattern 1) Zigzag correction pattern is a 3 waves structure which is labelled as A-B-C 3) Subdivision of wave A and C is 5 waves, either impulse or diagonal 4) Wave B can be any corrective structure as 3 subdivisions 5) Zigzag is a 5-3-5 correction structure Fibonacci measurements Wave B is always contra trend which generally retraces near 50% or 61.8% of wave A, and can also retraces up to 85.4% to 90% of wave A Wave C can generally be expected near 100% of wave A, but sometimes if it is extended then it can show 123.6%, 138.2% or up to 161.8% also. Sometimes if wave C is truncated then it can be near 61.8% of wave A. But ,If wave C is going more than 161.8% of wave A, then we should be cautious, because it can also be some kind of impulse wave instead of corrective wave. Case Study of Natural Gas Natural Gas almost done as expected till now as per zigzag corrective pattern, it would not be wonder if it looks to be doing a double correction higher in wave (ii) bounce & can see 2.786 level sometimes in next week before turning down as a wave (iii) of 5 of (C), On lower time frame if it doesn't crosses high of March 2023, then it can show some down moves to complete wave (iii), (iv) and (v) of 5 of bigger degree wave (C). After big correction as zigzag pattern which had already reached extreme levels in wave (C) which is more then 123.6% of wave (A), so now anytime it can start fresh impulse moves towards north directions, so instead of finding selling opportunities, one should try to find buying opportunities only after confirmation, and confirmation is price crossing high of march 2023, once its crossed peak point of march 2023 then no selling is recommended, then its only buy on dips with invalidation levels of Low of April 2023 as a stoploss, because it must be ending the bigger correction from last year peak, and can be taken as fresh impulse is started. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com/u/RK_Charts/ is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
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by RK_Chaarts
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