📚Learn More💰Earn More - Inverted Head and Shoulders in GBPUSD
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Inverted Head and Shoulders Definition:
A head and shoulders pattern is also a trend reversal formation.
It is formed by a Valley (left shoulder), followed by a Lower Valley (head), and then another Higher Valley (right shoulder).
A “Neckline” is drawn by connecting the highest points of the two Peaks. Neckline resistance does not need to be strictly horizontal.
This illustrates that the downward trend is coming to an end.
When a Head and Shoulders formation is seen in a downtrend, it signifies a major reversal.
The pattern is confirmed once the price breaches the neckline resistance.
In this example, we can easily see the head and shoulders pattern.
How to Trade the Head and Shoulders Pattern:
ENTRY:
we put an entry order above the neckline.
TARGET:
We can also calculate a target by measuring the lowest point of the head to the neckline.
This distance is approximately how far the price will move after it breaks the neckline.
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Community ideas
ThunderCloud Investment in a Strong TrendIchimoku clouds are one of the best indicators to not only ride trends but also to avoid sideways markets.
It has five components:
1. Conversion line
2. Base line
3. Leading Span A
4. Leading Span B
5. Lagging Span (not shown on the chart above)
I would not go into details of how the calculations are made to draw these lines because the software would do it for you.
Rather I would like to share a setup that would help investors and traders to ride strong trends while ignoring weak trends and sideways markets.
Conditions:
1. There has to be a pullback in the market (Conversion line and Base line would intermesh with the Span A and Span B cloud); and
2. Conversion line should be trending above the Base line with decent gap between the two; and
3. Both these lines should be above Span A -- Span B cloud (at this time a trend would have already been established in the market); and
4. Span A should cross above Span B
At this point you can start investing in parts:
1. 50% when all the above conditions are met and
2. 50% on later pullbacks to get better average price
This method can also be used smaller timeframes like 15 minutes taking into account the larger picture on higher timeframes.
I hope you would learn something new with this educational post and make some money.
Regards
My 9 treading 💹 RULES-1- price action above all.
2- if you are always thinking about trade that means that trade is bad.
3- emotional & mental health is important.
4- check all time frame.
5- give your trade enough time.
6- you doesn't need to trade every day.
7- learn to plan and structure for every trade.
8- 2 hours for search for a best trade.
9- don't believe anything you read until you have tested and tried it out for yourself.
The Ultimate Price Action Breakdown Strategy Preface
Alright, the operation started after creating an extreme low at 120.20. Price has created an upward channel from the extreme low, where the equilibrium has occurred between bull and bear traders. Control line has given eleven touches, which shows the strong gravitation at the middle.
Here, we can see four reversals on the upper band, and three reversal points occurred on the lower band.
We have two opportunities:
1. Now, the price is on the H-line, and the breakout of the h line indicates the lower band touch.
2. Bull can buy at excess, or they can enter at reappearing in the value area for the target of the control line.
Every beginner who wants to start trading with naked strategy (without indicator) can use this method because the price is the thing that will pay you.
Let me explain to you important aspects of the breakdown strategy.
Value area:
A zone in which bulls and bears both are satisfied to stay within it.
In this zone, supply and demand equally exist.
Ascending Value area:
Range-Bound Value area:
Descending Value Area:
Value area has two bands:
Upper band:
Upper band indicates demand-supply.
In this chart, the price has taken four reversals from the upper band to maintain the equilibrium.
The upper band put a stop to the bull power.
Lower Band:
The lower band indicates demand pressure.
In this chart, the price has taken three reversals from the lower-band to maintain the equilibrium.
The lower band put a stop to bear power.
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No trading zone:
In order to respond to either bull or bears initiative, the price creates an area. In which no trading activities have taken.
It helps to find the weakness of any particular move.
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H Line:
After completing the last share move, the price creates the bulk trading activities, where bulls' power becomes dull.
Breakout of the H-line indicates the cease of the particular move.
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Excess:
Excess is regret and fake-out.
In simple words , price breaks the upper band and again re-enter into the parallel channel.
Buying or selling at the excess is the perfect deal. An excess is a signal of reversal.
The psychology behind the control line :
Price is forming in the parallel channel, but bulls are not satisfied with the current trend. That's why bulls increase demand pressure to break the upper band of the value area. After breaking the upper band, bulls face some problems with profit booking. Now, bulls realize that the price is not going up. Bulls give up on the thought of trend change. Bears were watching this patiently. And after they realize that prices are too high, they increase supply pressure above the upper band of the channel. Now bulls are out of the market, and the seller has maintained the equilibrium & Vice versa.
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Control line:
The Control line is the gravitation point of any value area. We can draw by connecting the reversal points in the middle.
The more the points are available, the higher the effectiveness.
Please note that the price can not stay away from the control line of the value area. We can use it as a price target or breakout trade.
Here, the price has given eleven touches on the control line.
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Breakout or breakdown of the channel:
Bulls and bears both disagree with the current price trend.
Either bulls or breaks out the value area by giving consistent closing.
It often happens after a complex correction or trend change.
I will upload practical work on this idea. Kindly wait for the implementation.
Thank you for your support.
To be continued.....
CHF Unemployment RateUnemployment Rate
The unemployment rate represents the number of unemployed persons expressed as a percentage of the labour force.
A lower than expected number should be taken as positive to the CHF, while a higher than expected number as negative.
Actual: Forecast: Previous:
3.5%
3.6%
3.7%
BANK NIFTY:TIME CYCLE ANALYSISCYCLE PRINCIPLES:
1. The Principle of Commonality – Markets(Index) and security price(stocks) movements have many elements in common. In particular they tend to have common high and low points that coincide with cycles.
2. The Principle of Cyclicality – Price movements correspond to a combination of waves that exhibit cyclic characteristics.
3. The Principle of Summation – Cycle waves of different degrees combine to affect price movement and do so by adding the waves together.
4. The Principle of Harmonicity – Cycle waves of different degrees are harmonized and are related by a small integer value.comaan harmoics are 2nd and 3rd or 1/2 and 1/3.
5. The Principle of Synchronicity – Cycle waves are phased and synchronized at price troughs.
6. The Principle of Proportionality – Waves in price movement have amplitude that is proportional to their wavelength.
7. The Principle of Nominality – A specific, nominal collection of harmonically related waves is common to all price movements.
8. The Principle of Variation – Variation in harmonicity, synchronicity, proportionality and nominality (previous 4 principles) is expected.
FOLLOWING CYCLES ARE SHOWN HERE:
Cycle with second harmonic has given mid cycle dip where as cycle with 3rd harmonic has given higher peak there by confirming presence of cycle through sine wave like price strucutre.
270 DAYS:WHITE(WORKING IN 3RD HARMONIC,meaning it is divided in 3 equal length cycle of 90 days each)
90 DAYS:PINK(WORKING IN 2ND HARMONIC,meaning it is divided in 2 equal length cycle of 45 days each)
45 DAYS:GREEN(WORKING IN 3RD HARMONIC,meaning it is divided in 2 equal length cycle of 15 days each)
15 DAYS:YELLOW(WORKING IN 2ND HARMONIC,NOT SHOWN HERE)
Above mentioned things represents first 5 Principle of cycle theory,as we can see price movement having cyclic characteristics and higher degree cycle being divided in it's 2nd or 3rd harmonics,there by forming lows/troughs together.If we do summation of lower degree cycles then we get higher degree cycle which is representing principle of summation.
OBSERVATIONS:
#CURRENT PHASE OF CYCLE:
270 DAYS:BEARISH
90 DAYS:BEARISH
45 DAYS:BULLISH
15 DAYS:BULLISH
#Briefings of 270 DAYS CYCLE:
In the current 270 days cycle with 3rd harmonic,we have already seen 3/4th cycle high around 39360,there by suggesting us that 270 days cycle has completely turned bearish
#Briefings of 90 DAYS CYCLE:
Rise from 8th march in current 90 days cycle can be attributed 90 day cycle's 2nd harmonic cycle working in bullish phase,post mid-cycle dip @32155.Chances of this current rise to cross highest high of current 90 day cycle(39424) is very low as current 90 day cycle itself has turned negative or bearish
#Briefings of 45 DAYS CYCLE:
As it is working in it's 3rd harmonic meaning current 45 day cycle will have three 15 day's cycle or will be divided in three 15 days cycle.Currently 1st 15 day cycle is going on and it has reached it's halfway point meaning going ahead we can see one dip around 28-30 th march which will complete first 15 day cycle,from there we can again see prices pushing higher in order to make 45 day's mid-cycle high,this high can be higher then high registered in first 15 day cycle and around 22 april second 15 day cycle will end meaning a dip in price around 20-22 nd april,this will be followed by last 15 day cycle rise post where in we will see price unable to cross high posted in second 15 day cycle there by turning every cycle(15,45,90,270) negative.
13th May is the day when entire current 270 day cycle is ending meaning in 2nd-3rd week of may we can see bank nifty forming important low.
Analysis:
Scenario-1:Bearish/Road-blocks ahead for prices to move higher from current levels
1)FLD(136 days) @ 36436.
2)61.8% retracement from high to low of previous 45 day cycle @ 36647.
3)Ichimoku cloud @ 36428.
4)Falling OI in futures contract from last 6 days.
5)Higher degree cycle(270 and 90) has already turned negative indicating lower probability of making new high till 13th may.
6)We have seen prices breaching previous 90 day cycle low in current 90 day cycle again indicating selling pressure.
Personal view:
As bigger cycle has turned negative buying from current levels should be avoided and long positions should be protected with stop-loss as per once risk appetite.I feel post 12th April(2nd ,15 day cycle peak zone starts of current 45 day cycle)we can see decent selling pressure in Bank nifty as post 12th April all the major cycle's will turn negative.
Disclaimer:Analysis/views shown here are only for educational purpose.Trading position should not be taken on its basis.
NIFTY:TIME CYCLE INVERSIONConcept of Time Cycle:
#A cycle is something that influences the price movement of a financial market to move up towards a peak, and then to move down towards a trough (or low point).
#It repeats that action on a fairly regular basis or exist in continuous time.
#There are multiple cycles which influence the price movement of any financial market.The multiple cycles that influence price movements combine in a very particular way.
#This multiple cycle low's are synchronized as low are made on the back of "fear/panic" and psychologically human tends to experience fear in mass hence different cycle lows are concentrated where as high's of different cycles are scattered as high's are driven by "GREED" which is rather more subjective.
#J.M.HURST inventor of cycle theory has given a nominal model which states comman cycle's that are found in financial markets.
#Due to multiple cycle going on at the same time,we can see variation in it's wave length(Cycle period).
Observation over here:
Since January 2021 we are seeing Nifty following 20-days time cycle there by making important pivot low's near vertical line showing cycle period day on most of the occasions till January 2022.
Since January 2022 we are seeing inversion happening in the time cycle meaning instead of catching or making important pivot low near cycle period day we are seeing market making important pivot high post which we have seen significant market fall on last 2 occasion of cycle period day.
Next cycle period day is on 17/03/2022.Hence going by this logic we can expect current up move to continue till 17/03/2022 post which we can see fall.
Although this time in the current up move we have seen price breaking upper channel rasistance and has also managed to close above it and also above its previous pivot closing high of 16793(16800) in today's trading session,which in itself is bullish sign suggesting next target of 17050-80 on the upside,however from here risk reward is not favorable for taking long trade.
Although channel rasistance is broken,from last 2 cycle we are seeing Nifty making pivot high's post which we have seen nifty falling and continuing on this logic post 17/03/2022 we can see fall in Nifty till at least previous pivot low of 15670 in order to confirm double bottom.
Trade Setup
1)Need reversal candle near cycle period,price being at gap(17050-80) or previous price action zone(17340-400).
2)Next day market should trade below reversal candle low for atleast first hour in order to initiate trade.
Stop-loss should be reversal candle high for short trade and target would be 15670.
Disclaimer:This are just my views on the index,no position should be squared off or initiated on its basis.Posting this for my future reference.
Trader's Query - Over tradingQuery :
How to control over trading? In last 4 sessions I made huge losses
I keep on placing orders, once I get loss.
Trading type : Intraday
Trading Instrument : Index
Reason :
Lack of discipline & knowledge
Lack of fear about money
How to rectify:
Trade based on well tested strategy
Less or no trades on news days
Targets vary depending on market situation
Follow trading rules
Example for trading strategy
When you are ready to pay brokerages, lose money because of over trading, you can spend your time, energy and money to learn about trading.
Symmetrical Triangle - Full ExplanationA Symmetrical Triangle is considered a bullish signal, indicating that the current uptrend may continue. It is a bullish continuation pattern. It is a volatility contraction pattern. This means volatility in the market is shrinking and a sign the market is likely to breakout, soon. A Symmetrical Triangle shows two converging trendlines, the lower one is ascending, the upper one is descending. The formation occurs because prices are reaching both lower highs and higher lows. The pattern will display minimum two highs touching the upper (descending) trendline and minimum two lows touching the lower (ascending) trendline. This pattern indicates a phase of consolidation before the prices breakout.
The symmetrical triangle pattern is different from a descending or ascending triangle pattern as both triangles’ lower and upper trend lines slope towards the center point.
A horizontal upper trendline is formed in ascending triangles that predict a higher breakout. With a descending triangle, a horizontal lower trendline is formed that predicts a lower breakout.
Formation Of Symmetrical Triangle
Below is the formation of symmetrical triangle
Identification a Symmetrical Triangle
i) The sides of the triangle slope equally (that’s why it’s symmetrical)
ii) The triangle has lower highs and higher lows – at least two of each
iii) It looks like a funnel, with the price “squeezing” from the left towards the right
iv)The bullish symmetrical triangle should be formed in an ongoing uptrend and the prices should breakout from the upper trend line.
Below is the example of the bullish symmetrical triangle formed on the 15 Min chart of NIFTY.
We can see how it is formed in an ongoing uptrend and prices breakout from the upper trend line in the direction of the prior trend.
Entry
Entry can be done after the breakout.
Sometime, when the price breaks out of the Symmetrical Triangle, it might re-test the previous market structure. So, traders can enter on the pullback also. You should also look for any reversal candlestick pattern like Hammer , Bullish Engulfing in the pullback.
pullback here is very small as it is in a small Time Frame (15 Min)
Stop Loss :-
The stop loss is placed right before the breakout point in a symmetrical triangle chart pattern. Previous low before the breakout is the stop loss.
Trailing Stop Loss :-
No one knows how high or low the market can go. And by trailing your stop loss, you allow the market to reward you as it moves in your favor. You can use the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) or Moving Average (MA) to trail your stop loss. You can use the 50 EMA to trail your stop loss. If the price closes below it, then you’ll exit the trade.
Target :-
The price target is equal to the distance from the high and low of the earliest part of the pattern applied to the breakout price point.
i)Take the distance between the high and the low of the Symmetrical Triangle — the widest point of the pattern.
ii)“Copy and paste it” at the breakout point
iii)Exit your trade at the price projection level
There is also a bearish symmetrical triangle which is a bearish trend continuation chart pattern. The bearish symmetrical triangle should be formed in an ongoing downtrend and the prices should breakout from the lower trend line.
Hope you all learnt from this post. Share with the community if you liked it.
Regards
Omahto
ARE YOU ALSO STRUGGLING WITH YOUR NEW TRADING CAREER ?
If you are also struggling with your new trading career then don’t just worry, it’s not like if you are only one who is struggling, as all the new comers goes through this same phase, and those who keeps believing in them and keeps the grind on eventually pass this stage and become a successful trader in the end.
In this post we will discuss about what one should do if he is not able to make money in the market
So, let’s start with the basics that everyone should follow in their initial phase of trading to become profitable.
1) SAVE YOUR MONEY : - There a great saying i once heard that in stock market , "First you will lose money then you will learn how not to lose your money and you will start making money ".If you are new then forget about how to make money, else keep focus on how not lose your money . Because once you have learned how not to lose your then money will just eventually start flowing into your account. So, work on protecting your capital.
2) UNDERSTANDING YOUR TRADING STYLE : - there are three types of trades one can execute in the market, and these are INTRADAY, SWING, POSTIONAL/INVESTMENT. The main difference between these trades is their holding time, assuming that you already know about these, I will proceed our discussion on why knowing your trading style is important. If you are taking intraday trades only and failing everyday then you should restart your trading journey as a Swing trader. As swing trades don’t require some immediate actions like entry and exit which is required in intraday, so you can give more time to your analysis and plan perfect entry and exit levels . And once you start feeling confident about your analysis then you can shift to intraday again back in future. Believe me this will help you a lot, at least it did the work for me. But if still want to take only intraday trades, don’t worry I will cover that up in next point.
3) PRACTICE MAKES A MAN PERFECT :-I don’t know if Practice doesn’t make a man perfector not but surely it removes the imperfections from a man. To become a better intraday trader what you have do is to take as many trades as you can but keep the quantity fixed to 1-2 and risk to reward to 1:2. Go to smaller time frame draw your support and resistance levels and execute trades accordingly, don’t worry about the small profit as it will come once you finish your training. Your goal should be of executing 500-1000 trade in next few months and see the by yourself in the end.
4) LEARN FROM YOUR MISTAKES : - whenever your trade fails, reanalyze that stock that try to figure out what was the mistake and write down your mistakes in your trading journal, it will help you to overcome your common and frequent mistakes and, in the end, you start avoiding these mistakes.
5) DEVELOP READING HABBITS : - If you have learned some few strategies from YouTube and trying to execute trades on the basis of those strategies then I will suggest you to read books about technical analysis. I am mentioning few books and sources that can help you,
a) Japanese candlesticks by Steve Nison
b) Trading in the zone by Mark Douglas
c) Encyclopedia of chart patterns by Thomas Bulkowski
d) The art and science of Technical Analysis by Adam Grimes
e) Zerodha varsity is also a good source for free and systematic course of Technical Analysis and Fundamental Analysis and much more.
I am sure if work on these points you will become a successful trader one day for sure.
I wish you a happy trading journey, best of luck for your future.
Trading ExecutionThis post is about simple entry,stop & exit,adapting the market movement. It will be useful to new traders. Watch it fully so that you wont miss important points.
Most of the time we do analysis and market give completely different scenario to handle. In this post I have explained about the trading execution using my yesterday’s analysis. I have explained the entries & stop.
Analysis - Reliance – Double top resistance @ 2400 – 2410. Mildly bearish. Price didn’t fall and went up.
Analysis-HDFC – Trend line support – neutral. Today took support & gave 35 pts move. I have marked the entry in the video.
Analysis-Infy – Consolidation –neutral. Today gave break out of 50 pts.
Analysis-TCS – Trend line support – neutral. Took support.
Analysis-ICICIBank - @ trend line support – neutral. Today gave 15 pts move.
Analysis-HDFCBank – Consolidation – no trend. 40 pts move today.
Analysis-SBIN – Consolidation – no trend. Gave upside break out for 10 pts.
Analysis-Kotak Bank - @ trend line support –neutral. Took support and gave 50 pts move.
Analysis-Axis bank – Descending triangle – bearish. Gave upside break out.
I have shared the link in which I have done the analysis.
How to be successful by following the foot prints of Big Banks.A Very simple way to identify the foot prints of Big banks / Institutions / Big players in trading.
Why to follow the big banks ?
Because they are the market leaders who decide the direction of a market, and also they never loose their position most of the
time.
So who will be successful ? following big players or the one who follow retailers?
So hope you can find the answer - the one following the big banks / or institutions.
This can be achieved by finding the Valid Supply and Demand Zones and taking trade at those Zones only.
More info is given in below comments
High Probability Candlestick Pattern 1: Three Line StrikeAs you read from image description that's pretty much all there is to learn on this pattern.
Thomas Bulkowski in his book "Encyclopaedia of Candlestick Charts" mentions that this pattern predicts higher prices with an 83% accuracy rate.
Do you Remember Nirmala Sitaraman Candle?
Yes that's three line strike which was formed after budget was announced on 1st Feb 2021
Adding Another Example here of Reliance
Note: Candlestick patterns alone are not reliable sometime, so combine them with some indicators like RSI to spot positive divergence on same or lower time frame OR MACD crossover and histogram positive as shown in below example
DISCLAIMER:
There is no guarantee of profits or no exceptions from losses.
The stock and its levels discussed are solely the personal views of my research.
You are advised to rely on your judgement while investing/Trading decisions.
Seek help of your financial advisor before investing/trading.
Investment Warnings:
We would like to draw your attention to the following important investment warnings.
-Investment is subject to market risks.
-The value of shares and investments and the income derived from them can go down as well as up.
-Investors may not get back the amount they invested - losing one's shirt is a real risk.
-Past performance is not a guide to future performance.
-I may or may not trade this analysis
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Top 5 Price Action Secrets from my trading experienceIn this post I'm going to share some Price Action observations that can level up your trading game. 🚀
1) Whenever a stock breaks out on a monthly or weekly timeframe after years of resistance, the stock has the potential to deliver returns of more than 40% in the following weeks. In the chart below SASTASUNDR after a breakout from 10 year resistance gave more than 300% returns in 6 months.
2) Even in falling markets, when a stock consolidates it is a signal of strength, and it has a significant potential to make a huge move once the market has corrected.
3) If an industry sector and the overall market are both consolidating at the same time, and only a few stocks are attempting to break out, the likelihood of their failure increases dramatically.
4) When the market begins to rebound, the strongest stocks will generate higher returns and set new highs.
5) If a stock is accumulating or remaining close to its primary resistance or support, its chances of achieving BO/BD are significantly increased.
A simple trading strategy with ways to improve the winning edgeThere are lot of trading strategies which can be easily available. Whatever strategy you use, If you know how to increase the trading edge, and when to avoid the trade will help you to make money. I have taken a simple trading strategy known to most traders, but here I am going to explain how to take the trade which has more winning possibility.
Strategy : Previous day high break out. Go long above 1st 15 mins candle high.
Time frame : 15 mins
Entry condition : 1st candle should close above the previous day high.
Target : 1 : 2 or close at 3 or 3.15 pm if stop is not hit.
Trail : Shift stop to entry once you get 1 : 1 profit
Stop : Low of the 1st candle.
Entry : Above the high of 1st candle.
In this chart I have marked the previous day high.
Now we will see about how to increase the trading edge or winning edge.
On feb 25, the 1st candle volume was normal which indicates participants were not that much enthusiastic about the movement. Volume was not supporting and we did not get big movement as throughout the day volume did not pick up. 1st candle volume gave an indication that the trade was not having high edge.
On Feb 28th, the 1st candle had good volume, but the candle was having selling pressure. So we take the trade after seeing the next candles formation. Here the candles were showing buyers interest in the stock. This trade was having good trading edge.
On March 1st, 1st candle broke the previous day high & closed above it. Volume was good, but the high low difference was big. Position sizing will help but it most of the time we won’t get 1:2 rewards. This trade was not having high edge.
On March 3rd volume was good, but it was a bear candle and closed below previous day high. So no trade.
In this example, price broke the previous day high for 4 days. As per our strategy we got 3 trade set ups, but only one trade has high trading edge.
This is how you can improve you winning rate in a trade.
In this UPL chart, 1st candle broke previous day high, had good volume, but high/low difference was big and it did not give 1:2 profit.
In this Bsoft chart, price close above the previous day high but the candle is having selling pressure and no trade in it.
Whenever you decide to trade on a strategy, back test at least 100 trades to check the winning chances. Always place stop once you enter a trade. Market is having fast direction change nowadays and you should be prepared to handle it.
Bank Nifty:Plan of Action & What FOLLOWED( +18.52% OR +7298 pts)We witnessed an awesome planned fall in Bank Nifty, hope you all enjoyed and made money with the idea.
Lets look at the Plan of Bank Nifty & Nifty
My Favourite Bank Nifty first
& Nifty
Lets dig deep into the structure & my thought process behind it
First thing First "KEEP IT SIMPLE BABY''
Model 1 (ABC(Elliott ABC)/Pole & Flag/ABCD Harmonic Pattern) what ever you call it, its the simplest of the pattern to recognise & trade
Elliott Wave (ZigZag)
- ZigZag is a 3 waves ''Corrective'' structure in bigger 5 wave "Impulse"
- Subdivision is 5-3-5
- Wave B can be any corrective structure ie zigzag-flat-triangle
Fibonacci Relationship between waves are
- Wave C = 61.8%, 100%, 127.2% or max 161.8%(need to be careful while labeling wave C as wave 3 is 161.8% of wave 1)
- Wave B = 50%, 61.8%, 78.6% or 86%
Pole & Flag
- Basically Flag is a pattern which forms after market has moved some distance
- Flag is a consolidation pattern used to participate in the previous move, that can be up or down
- Basic & Logic of the flag is as simple as, any consolidation which is in-between parallel channel
- Trade can be initiated on break of parallel channel
- Fibonacci relation for the flag can be specified in 2 reversal points(Profit Taking Zone)
1) 61.8% projection of first leg, which should end in the range of 'CENTER LINE REVERSAL'' of parallel channel
2) 100% projection of first leg, in this case, price reverse from bottom of the parallel channel
Harmonic Pattern( Bullish ABCD)
In Harmonic Pattern (Bullish ABCD) it is labelled as ABCD, instead of ABC of Elliott wave and all the harmonic patterns are derived form understanding ABCD structure,
Fibonacci Relationship of all legs
BC= 61.8%-78.6% of AB
CD=127.2%-161.8% of BC
CD=AB
CD=127.2%-161.8% of AB
Now lets come back to Bank Nifty Plan
As per the above study, we can easily identify Impulse and Corrections
Points were considered while planning
- the rally following 20 Dec 21:1300 hrs was not Impulsive in nature
- Price was struggling to rise above 61.8%-78.6% fib retracement resistance level & hovering in the range
- 12 Jan-02 Feb-10 Feb formed ''TRIPPLE TOP" with narrow range of 1.38%
- for the said pattern we witnessed a breakdown on 24 Feb 22 on opening candle
Now the some important points to consider from ''Elliott Wave Principles''
- Wave B structure
As per Elliott Wave, Wave B can be a ZigZag, Flat or triangle(TO KEEP IT SIMPLE - not to go in complex corrections)
Possibilities of Correction
Case 1(Zigzag)
Case 2(Flat)
Case 3(Triangle)
Now from the above two patterns we can eliminate which doesn't fits the pattern
Case 1(flag) eliminated
we are not left with case 2 & 3 or say Possibiltiy 2 & 3
As per possibility 2 (flat) we get
As per possibility 3 (Triangle) we get
Both of the labeling stated Bank Nifty & Nifty are heading lower
We will wind up this, you can keep sharing & liking the effort of the author so that I can come up with more in future
Wish You Happy & safe trading
Views are for ‘’EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ONLY’’ trade at your own risk.
"Always Respect Risk"
Happy Trading
Jai Hind
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My reasons and Your reasons behind losses while trading.Why do people take losses in trading?
The reasons or mistakes behind a trader make losses. I suggest you these reasons should not be repeated. If you might have also come to cross from this reason and got losses, you can type in comment number of specific reason what you have faced.
In case, you also have another reason except in this post, please or kindly specify it in comment section . We will discuss it for a solution.
1). Stop following the right/perfect "trade-setup strategy" even if you are earning from it.
For instance, you're going good in "breakout setup" but not following consistently, change suddenly/started to follow another pattern the setup.
2). Not enough Technical Knowledge.
New traders just learn from YouTube or another resource about basic charting reading & indicators, such as MACD, chart pattern, trendline, etc. directly jump in practical trading with using full margin and later convert to loss. They believe trading is very easy but it's theoretically. In the practical, you need experience & practice a lot to earn.
3). Believing blindly on Other's Tips.
A lot of traders pay high prices for tips/research/analysis and follow them blindly without applying margin management rules. As a result, they wipe out. I am not saying to ignore/avoid other research or analysis but you should apply margin management rules and also do paper trading on their research.
4). Try to cover loss, Expecting huge profit.
When traders take a loss, they think to recover the loss by taking entry huge quantities to recover from little pips/points and fall into a huge loss.
After taking a position with the perfect trade-setup, some traders expect more profit than the per-defined target. Later, they convert into loss because of changing setup.
5). You take risks that you can't afford to lose.
Taking Unlimited Risk means, neither protective stop nor mental stop.
Some people keep a 1:1 stop-loss and target ratio.
Don't do this: "Holding losers trades while selling winners trades".
6). Lack of Emotion Control.
Not following your own per-defined setup, for example, changing stop-loss or not exiting and expecting to recover, sometimes not booking profit and expecting more profit and finally convert into a loss. In more clear words, change your set-up frequently while real-time trading.
Don't believe in Exit or Marry with Beliefs/Hopes(Hope is not a strategy). Believe in recover loss without any specific reasons and finally had to take a huge loss.
I have seen in many new traders, they let Loose Grow and take a small profit.
Avoid the words ‘hope”, “wish” or ‘feel’ when talking about a trade-setup.
Believing that price cannot move higher/lower.
Stages of stock market cycleNSE:SRTRANSFIN
stock market stages by Stan Weinstein
Most important rules to grow and protect capital :
1) only go long when stock is in confirmed stage 2
2) never hold a stage in stage 4
Trading is like Kids Playing with ABC:Ducon Infratech Trade PlanDear all,
The above chart presents a simplicity of trading, its the heart and soul of trading, let it be a trend following system or investor or day trader or scalper -its as easy as kids ABC
Let me explain my points with the simple yet powerful setup with above chart and more examples:
Points to consider in every setup(conservative)
- Consolidation
- Breakout(A)
- Consolidation
- Retest(B)
- Continuation(C)
- Breakout - As we all know every tick in the market is a confirmation of fight between bulls and bear as bulls want to take prices higher and bears hammer the prices lower, breakout can be understood as a winning the battle and taking the prices higher. And we just have to join the WINNING SIDE in this case its BULLS
- Consolidation - Consolidation can be understood as a laying the foundation for a strong building. In stock market we know it as Flag, triangle, rectangle etc
- Retest - Its like price reversing back to the breakout level & consolidates again and forms patterns as flag, triangle, rectangle etc
- Continuation - Price again breaks out of the consolidation zone and continues
some of the live Nifty examples are mentioned below for better understanding
Some of the Bank Nifty charts for ready reference
Breakdown - retest from bottom & continued lower
Breakout and twice retest
Views are for ‘’EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ONLY’’ trade at your own risk.
"Always Respect Risk"
Happy Trading
Jai Hind