SHORT BELOW 17142 LEVELWhy this Trade..??
1.Head & Shoulders Pattern(Depth is still Pending)
2.Market Sentiment
3.Trading in a Falling Path
4.Next Support 16690 is yet to reach
Buy or Sell based on the Support Break with Volume
This Analysis works for sure!!!
Disclaimer:This view is purely for educational purpose and it's my personal.Please consult your financial advisor before attempting any trade.We're not responsible for any loss or profits.
Chart Patterns
Combining Time cycle+Channel+Candle-stickI tried putting Elliot wave label on Asian paint daily,weekly and monthly chart and couldn't come to any logical conclusion,as the uptrend didnt followed any fib rule's neither did any major swing have an internal structure similar to elliot pattern cumulatively which could make an elliot pattern.
Never the less i have shown channel on the monthly chart which seems to be acting as good support and rasistance and as an investor who likes safety and decent return and who does research on it's own look's for good entry point where he can invest his money.
This can be achieved by plotting simple channel's across the chart connecting bottom's with bottoms and top;s with tops.Add to it i have tried plotting time cycle with 58 month period and it has also captured low's on most of the occassion.
Price moving near upper channel and lossing momentum has resulted in minor corrections and an investor should wait for prices to come near channel support levels for entering into a stock.Here i have shown several top's where prices were nearing upper channel line and has given bearish reversal candle stick pattern near upper channel line signifying weakness in near future.
observe when in the candle next to reversal candle low's of reversal candle is breached a meaning full correction has given good opportunity to investor enter into a stock,also top's are formed during the first 60-70% time of the cycle(not every time but in general) and we are already in that time zone of current cycle.
To sum up,price have reversed from upper channel line and has formed grave stone doji top reversal pattern in last month and in this month we are seeing follow through selling when we breached previous month's candle's low along with time cycle approaching top forming time zone hence long positions should have a definate stop-loss depending upon one's risk apetite as we are seeing top formation characteristics on monthly charts.
Fresh long's is not advisable at this point of time,on the downside level of 2250 remains crucial support.If in coming 4 months we get close below 2250 then we can assume that we have formed a significant top at 3500 level which would not be breached easily and would take significant time to overcome.
Disclaimer:I am posting this analysis just for my future reference purpose,positions should not be build or exited on the basis of this analysis.
CADILAHC-Falling ChannelWhy this Trade..??
1. Trading in a falling Channel
Buy or Sell based on the Support Break with Volume
This Analysis works for sure!!!
Disclaimer:This view is purely for educational purpose and it's my personal.Please consult your financial advisor before attempting any trade.We're not responsible for any loss or profits.
[Educational] Building Your Weekly Price Action WatchlistThis post helps you to understand how you can project any pattern formation in earlier stage. Also, It helps you to build your perfect weekly watchlist.
Create Your Price Action Weekly Watchlist in Following Sections:
1) Early Stage Price Action(Waiting Phase)
2) Mid-Stage Price Action(Reversal Entry Phase)
3) Final Price Action(Breakout/Breakdown Entry Phase)
Just spend few hours of your weekend and you don't required any screener to find perfect entry stock. You can build this watchlist according to your trading style.
Timeframe to be consider:
Intraday Positions: 5 Min, 15 Min, 1 Hour
Short Term Positions: 1 Hour, 1 Day, 1 Week
Long Term Positions: 1 Week, 1 Month
Dow @ critical levels.FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ONLY!
This is a daily chart of Dow . It has taken a support exactly at its daily support trendline (blue). From last several months, Dow has been trading in a range on weekly charts which can be seen in pink lines. On weekly charts Dow has made a flag and pole pattern and either it takes support at this level or may give break down. If it gives break down then it will be a bad signal for entire markets around the world. Break down on a weekly chart means begining of a down trend in Dow and eventually markets around the world would break down. 33682 is a very import support for Dow and if it starts to trade below that, keep a very strick SL of your portfolio on Daily charts .
Best Trade setup for Forex pairs tradingStrategy to execute trades in forex market, works for all pairs (please do back testing to gain confidence) :
What we need :
Candle Sticks
Timeframe – 1 hr
Bollinger Band – Length 20 and StdDev 2.5
Bollinger Band – Length 20 and StdDev 2
RSI – Length 6
Stochastic Oscillators – 14,3,3
MACD – 8,21,5
Confirmation with indicators should be in same trend with candle stick trend
1. RSI (For trend identification)
2. Stoch (Entry and Exit confirmations / Overbought and Oversold confirmations)
3. MACD (For trend identification with convergence/divergence)
Risk Reward Ratio : 1:3 and above or as per your risk appetite
Rules of the game :
Whenever candle stick crosses Std Dev 2 and touches/crosses Std Dev 2.5 above/below then we have to find the entry. Any candle after this should be used as entry point which reverses the previous candle trend. At the same time RSI, Stoch and MACD should also reverse from their respective over sold or over bought positions. Stoch will give first hint of reversal followed by RSI and MACD. If RSI is at 20 or 80 (extremes) then it’s a perfect setup and find the reversal trend along with Candle sticks for entry. If RSI is not at extremes but at 30/40 and 60/70 levels then the setup can work but may not be so accurate, this gives scope for less RR. Stop loss should be the candle stick (candle stick which crossed) high or low (sell/buy respectively) or below the Std dev 2.5 band which ever are nearer or as per your risk appetite.
Take profit : First target will be middle band, Second target will be other end once candle sticks touches Std 2 or take profit @ 1:3 or when Stoch blue line touches red line and reverses or when MACD blue line touches red line and reverses or as per the risk appetite.
Avoid when :
>Confluence of candlesticks trend with RSI/Stoch/MACD is missing (all should be in following same trend path)
>RSI is in between 40 to 60 range
>If Candle stick do not touch Std dev 2.5 band and reverses
>If entry candle sticks are near to the middle line of the Bollinger band as room for uptrend is less
>If you do not understand the strategy
>If you do not understand how candle sticks are behaving
>If candle stick pattern is not respecting high and low lines marked as mentioned above
>If there is no confluence of the setup with indicators
>When calculated SL is way high due to the formed candle stick (large or big candle stick, if taking entry after this candle)
>When there is no confidence on the setup
>Fear of Missing Out
>In a sideways market, hitting of SL will be high
Story behind this setup : Trend will be in between Bollinger band upper and lower bands and entry is sought whenever trend reverses after touching Stddev 2.5 upper or lower band. As per Empirical Rule 95% of Data will fall within 2 Standard Deviation 99% of Data will fall within 2.5 Standard Deviation, reversal happens after this and we try to take confluence with other indicators help for entry and exit. Sometimes an exit can also trigger entry for next trade if the setup gives confluence with mentioned parameters above.
Stop Loss : Stop loss is the key here, please do not enter unless you understand how to calculate stop loss. Calculate Stop loss first before entry and it should be below Std dev 2.5 or just below the previous candle of the entry candle whichever is acceptable loss or as per your risk appetite.
Please do let me know if you have any questions would be happy to respond.
Please do like and share this idea. Thanks
Disclaimer : This analysis/strategy is only for educational purpose and not be considered as any trading idea/tip. Please consult your financial advisor before you take any trade and we are no way responsible for your profits/losses. Thank you!
Horn bottom patternLink below in description of my previous educational information on Horn bottom and Horn top pattern.
In that chart, I was not able show the example for horn bottom, clearly. In this chart, you can find horn bottom pattern, where 'H" shape candle pattern is formed with a week difference. More information about how to trade the pattern, provided on chart.
Kindly do your analysis before initiating trade.
Horn top and horn bottom patternHorn tops are formed in an uptrend and are separated by a week on weekly chart. It appears to be in 'H' shape.
Horn top pattern formation indicates bearish reversal. And there will be price spikes while formation, as seen in above chart.
Later, once the pattern is confirmed, short positions can be initiated when the price closes below the low of horn top candles. In above chart, short to be considered below 3850 and target will be 395 points (difference b/w high and low ie., 4245-3850), which is good 10%. SL can be considered as the horn top high, if it favors the RR.
In the same way horn bottom pattern will be formed, where again the pattern appears to be in H shape, during the downtrend.
Horn bottom pattern formation indicates bullish reversal.
In the above main chart, I have placed Tatamotors chart where I could identify horn bottom. After the pattern confirmation, longs position can be considered with same criteria for the target. SL can be considered as horn bottom low, if it favors RR.
Hope the above chart was useful with the information provided.
Happy Investing !
NIFTY BREAKDOWNNIFTY has been trading in a ascending channel for the last few months, properly following and respecting the course of the channel until yesterday when the new variant of the corona virus has seen a negative impacts on the global front.
There was a gap down and also a breakdown as we can see the red candlestick has clearly breached the lower support of the channel.
Points supporting a Breakdown: (i) 17700 Head and Shoulder Pattern breakdown (ii) Ascending channel breakdown
Hence Indicating NIFTY in a down trend.
Till where can NIFTY fall: Support levels are as follows- (i) 17000 immediate support psychological support
(ii) 16900 0.382 Fibonacci retracement support
(iii) 16700 a big support of the previous breakout zone.
(iv) 16375 Fibonacci support
Omicron variant of Covid-19 still seems to hamper international tensions, so trade cautiously and don't go against the trend.
Have a happy week ahead and Happy Trading.