U-TURN Resistance converts into Support (EDUCATIONAL -AARTIIND) Aarti Ind. ltd. This stock has taken Resistance twice at same level, then it consolidated as a parallel channel at that same zone,
and then it given good breakout from parallel channel along with good intensity of volume,
Now it has retraced almost 78.6%, co-incidentally (1) same resistance zone, (2) Parallel channel's top, (3) Support trend line and (4) 200 DEMA, all are there at similar point location, All these 5 conditions met at same level that can provide good support. This scenario makes probabilities very strong each time. where stop loss is too low and Reward is too Good.
Overall scenario
Perfectly U-turn from valid fibonaccy level 0.786%
Daily macd line uptick and also converging towards positive
Good support zone
Support providing 100DEMA also at same responding zone
Parallel channel scenario
Support Trend line
Disclaimer
I am not sebi registered analyst
My studies are for educational purpose only
Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing
I am not responsible for your profits and losses
Chart Patterns
RSI divergence explained. Here we are seeing NIFTY of daily time frame, here we can see that candles between two vertical line are clearly in up trend and RSI for the same is showing slite divergence on down side which shows the clear indication that there may be change in trend in future and same did happen, NIFTY is now trading in sideways trend.
MY TRADING SETUPThis is the best setup that work best for me
Whenever price rejected from any support or resistance level I enter the trade
This setup work because trader go short and put their stoploss near the support level so because of this she price
Make a move upward for retest the stoploss of short trader hit and they exist which help price to move sharply
Secondary the long trader who are waiting for support are also ready
BE PATIENT AND LEARN FROM UR MISTAKE
BEST OF LUCK
Consolidation range EXAPLE you can se that price is stuck in the range on 4 hour time frame
I prefer to take entry on the first pullback after breakout or breakdown
But in this case I enter the trade with breakdown become I get 2 confirmation
The RSI level is falling below 50 and a golden crossover of 50 and 200SMA
SL - NEAR THE CROSSOVER
TARGET - AS MUCH U CAN GO WITH HELP OF MOVING AVERAGE
BUT IF U WANT TO PLAY SAFE THEN ENTER ON FIRST PULLBACK
I AM A EXPERIENCE TRADER SO I ENTER ON THE BREAKDOWN
BE PATIENT AND KEEP LEARNING FROM UR MISTAKE . ALWAY MANAGE UR RISK
FROM MY EARLIER POST U CAN ALSO LEARN HOW TO AVOID FALSE BREAKOUT
Head and shoulder pattern EXPLAINED HEAD AND SHOULD PATTERN
I am sure that you heard about the head and shoulder pattern this is the best example of head and shoulder
Head and shoulder pattern is good for reversal of price but if u trade head and shoulder in isolation
The. U must stop out . THE strong uptrend donot reverse just because of head and shoulder
Remember - never ever go against the trend , trend is ur friend but in this example the price cross below 200 SMA
So this is good reversal entry
HOW TO USE HEAD AND SHOULDER PATTERN
# see this pattern on higer time frame
# see 200 SMA for confirmation ( long trade above 200 SMA short trade below 200 SMA )
# watch price action near neckline
And I sure u know how to avoid fake breakout from my earlier post
Remember- alway follow risk management , be patient
KEEP LEARNING FROM UR MISTAKE AND BECOME GOOD TRADER
REAL BREAKOUT EXAMPLEIf u want to trade breakout then you have to focus on price action
Near resistance level
# The price unable to break a resistance level for long time
First time the price break the resistance but it is a feke breakout
Second time price break and show a massive move
How to avoid fake breakout
# have patience the price do 3 things if it is real breakout
1) after breakout price will retest the resistance level
2) or price took pullback this best time to enter
3) price will consolidate and stay above the key level for some time
A FALSE BREAKOUT REVERSE BACK IMMEDIATELY WITH BIG PRICE REJECTION AND MOVE SHARPLY DOWN
REMEMBER - HAVE PATIENCE OR LOSE MONEY
BEST WAY TO TRADE BREAKOUTIf you want to trade breakout unhave to keep some points in ur mind
1) See price action near the resistance level
# price consolidation
# candlestick pattern
# volume
2) If u miss the trade on BREAKOUT level don't worry price will do 2 thing
# price retest the key level
# price take pause in terms of pullback or consolidation after breakout
( First pullback is the best entry for risk to reward than trading breakout it may fail )
BE PATIENT TO BECOME AN PROFITABLE TRADER REMOVE ALL FOMO FROM UR MIND
Remember - let ur winner run and cut ur loss as soon as possible
WORKHARD AND BELIEVE IN YOURSELF
Proper explanation of a BULL TRAP BULL TRAP
The price is taking resistance from a key level many times . The trader are waiting for price to break the level
The fourth time the price breakout the key resistance level the immature trade took entry without confirmation
Of ( pullback, retest or consolidation) and had stoploss below the resistance level
Once the price get back to support level the stoploss of all trader get triggered which support the downward
Move . Secondary the trader who are waiting for shorting opportunity are also put price downward
Due to the both type trader price come down sharply
BEWARE HOW TO AVOID FALSE BREAKOUT OR TRAP
1) Alway trade breakout when price do these things
+ Take pullback after breakout
+ Come back for retest and continue after retest
+ Price stay above support level for some time or may consolidate before upward move
DONT IN HURRY YOU GET THE OPPORTUNITY FOR SURE IF U HAVE PATIENCE
REMOVE FOMO FROM UR MIND OR FACE LOSS
Axis Bank Wave countElliot Rules and guideline
1)Wave 2 should not retrace entire wave 1(Here on cycle degree it retraced wave 1 by 61.8% which is ideal as per guideline)
2)Any one wave entend's other 2 by 161.8%,other 2 being equal in length(As per guidelineTypically wave 3 extend's and 1 & 5 tends towards equality).Here also Wave 3 extend's wave 1 by 161.8% and wave 1 and 5 tends towards equality
3)We see two different forms of correction in wave 2 and wave 4 one being regular flat in case of wave 2 and other being triangle in case of wave
4 (Triangles are typically formed in wave 4 which is seen over here) which is signifying asymmetry between both the waves.
Current count as per above logic and rules application.
Super cycle: Wave 2
Cycle: Wave C(might have begun)
Before covid prices has started showing weakness and already been correcting,and on the back of covid panic it completed cycle degree wave A of super cycle wave 2.Since then prices has been moving up in an corrective manner and when it approached previous ath levels it faced rasistance.So far we have seen 3 attempts made by price to penitrate ath which all failed to sustain on closing basis.We are also seeing a negative divergence on RSI indicating top formation.Along with this negative divergence price was moving in a rising channel which also got broken and previous pivot low were broken in lesser time then it took to form.
Going ahead we might see an impulsive down move unfolding to complete cycle degree wave c which would complete super cycle wave 2.Price wise super cycle wave 2 has already retraced super cycle wave 1 by 61.8% during wave A formation hence current fall should not break those low's(Covid lows).It is possible that wave C can stop any of the retracement levels be it 23.6%,38.2% or 50%(not shown over here) to complete super cycle wave 2 flat with truncated wave C correction.
Disclaimer:This are just my views do not trade on it's basis.I am post this analysis just for my future reference purpose.
Rectangle BO JKCement!After almost 3 months the stock has broken out of the rectangle or channel pattern with great volumes with RSI entering super bullish territory of above 60(Acc. to unconventional RSI).
With a retest and a bullish candle on the previous resistance which now has become support this stock is ready to fly to new highs.
Moreover, sector is also bullish. Therefore, a high probability of achieving the target.
Entry 3710
SL 3482
TG 4190
Tata Steel - Did you buy the 'Good News' ?
TataSteel -
NEWS - Results on 11 Nov, highest ever quarterly profit.
Expectation - Strong buying and big trending move.
What actually happened ? - Fall from 1340 to 1271, down 1.3 %.
As usual news channels hype the results, so called 'analysts', big players declare it the best thing ever.
Those unaware of the game buy this fake hype, they buy at open.... and who is selling at the other end ? YES.. many of your favorite analysts, big players who were telling you to buy just a day earlier.
Harsh reality of markets-
1. News channels actually know nothing.
2. Big players are not here to do any favor to you, they have become big from money of people like you and me.
Sooner we realize this sooner we will be on the right path.
Tata Power Fibonacci Retracement SupportOn the 1H chart, we draw Fibonacci taking swing highs and swing lows. It's clearly visible that TaPo takes support at 0.236 retracements. If it sustains and respects these support levels, a further upmove to the levels where it faced resistance (i.e. the recent high tested yesterday 10/11/21).
Accumulation & Distribution Levels - DOW THEORY Dow Theory - Accumulation and Distribution
Accumulation is marked by resource-rich participants accumulating the stock at lower levels when other participants are fearful
Distribution is marked by resource-rich participants de-liquidating the stock at higher levels when other participants are greedy
Pure Price Action TradeIn this Idea I'm going to share the simple price action trade which I have taken the May month in the stock D-MART.
Before taking any trade a trader must have find at least 3 confluences which align in the same direction so that we have a clear vision of the particular trade either it's a short trade or buy. By doing you are following a number of certain rules that will help you to make your trading emotionless and more disciplined.
For me I'm fan of price action trading which undergoes through Trends, S&R levels, Candlestick pattern, Chart pattern and sometimes EMA also.
In this trade of D-MART the price was facing resistance continuously from Area-1 and taking support from Area-2 at the moment when it broke the support level it made a proper morning star pattern at a very crucial S&R level which I had represented by the purple horizontal line.
Human nature and psychology could never change so this pattern can come again.
At this point we can easily see the confluences-
1)Trend- Reversed
2)S&R LEVEL
3)Candlestick pattern
Entry- 2809
Stops-2668
Targets-3090
R:R = 1:2
-NITIN
UPSIDE POTENTIAL IN UPL(FALLING CHANNEL)A descending channel is a chart pattern formed from two downward trendlines drawn above and below a price representing resistance and support levels. The descending channel pattern is also known as a “falling channel” or “channel down“. The more such reversals occur, the more reliable the pattern.
There are three scenarios the price rises after breakout,
the price retests the trendline and that trendline now becomes support in both situations there is a good buy opportunity.
the third scenario is the breakout is fake and our stop loss hits.
this is not investment advice and I am not sebi registered this is just for my own educational reference.