PCR Option Trading Investors use several financial measures to gauge the market temperament before parking their money into the same. Put call ratio is one such financial tool which proves useful for investors in more than one way.
To understand the application and role of this financial measurement one needs to be well-versed in its basics. Here, we have elucidated the nitty-gritty of the same, including the put call ratio formula and other facts.
Put Call Ratio Meaning
Typically, a put-call ratio is a derivative indicator. It is designed to enable traders to determine the sentiment of the options market effectively. This ratio is computed either by factoring in the open interest for a given period or based on the volume of options trading.
Also known as PCR, this particular ratio serves as a contrarian indicator and is mostly concerned with options build-up. Such an indicator helps determine the extent of bullish or bearish influence in the market.
In other words, it helps traders to understand whether a recent increase or decrease in the market is excessive or not.
Based on this information, traders decide if they should opt for a contrarian call in the prevailing market.
Such an investment strategy is based on the practice of purchasing or selling investment units against the prevailing market conditions, to combat mispricing in the securities market.
How is Put Call Ratio Calculated?
Before learning about the put call ratio formula, it is crucial to understand the components of this ratio individually.
For instance, the put option provides traders with the right to purchase assets at prefixed prices, whereas, the call option offers the right to purchase assets at the current market prices.
Put call ratio calculation can be done in the following ways -
Based on Open Interests of a Specific Day
PCR is computed by dividing open interest in a put contract on a particular day by open call interest on the very same day.
PCR (OI) = Put Open Interest/ Call Open Interest
Based on the Volume of Options Trading
Here PCR is computed by dividing the put trading volume by the call trading volume on a specific day.
PCR (Volume) = Put Trading Volume/Call Trading Volume
Here, Put volume indicates the total put options initiated over a specific time-frame. Conversely, Call volume indicates the total call options initiated over a specific time-frame.
Notably, the interpretation of this said ratio differs as per the type of investor.
Chart Patterns
The 45 Degree Line: A Very Effective Tool in Trading.The 45 Degree Line: A Very Effective Tool in Trading.
When the ppix of an asset explodes and forms a very steep slope, the 45 degree line, also known as the 1x1 Gannangle, is an important and very useful tool in technical analysis, used to identify and predict market corrections.
Meaning of the 45 degree line:
The 45 degree line represents an equilibrium trend in technical analysis. It is considered an average support or resistance line, indicating a balance between time and price. This line is particularly important because it suggests a constant and balanced progression of the market.
Main characteristics
-Angle: The 45 degree line forms an angle of 45° with the horizontal axis of the chart.
-Notation: It is often noted 1x1, which means that it represents a movement of one unit of price for one unit of time.
-Interpretation: A trend following this angle is generally considered strong and likely to continue in the same direction.
Use in Technical Analysis
Traders use the 45-degree line in several ways:
-Identifying trend strength: A trend that follows or exceeds the 45-degree angle is considered strong.
-Support and resistance: The line can act as a dynamic level of support in an uptrend or resistance in a downtrend.
-Forecasting movements: Traders can anticipate trend changes when price deviates significantly from the 45-degree line.
-Multi-timeframe analysis: The line can be applied on different time frames, from short-term to long-term, for a more comprehensive analysis.
Integration with other tools
The 45-degree line is often used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools for a more robust analysis. It can be combined with indicators, chart patterns, or other Gannangles to confirm trading signals and improve forecast accuracy.
In conclusion, the 45-degree line is a powerful but often underestimated tool in technical analysis. Its simplicity and versatility make it a valuable tool for traders looking to identify and follow market trends with precision.
Top 1% Trader SecretDetermine your risk capital, i.e., the total amount of money you're willing to risk in your trading. This should be money that you can afford to lose without it affecting your lifestyle. Calculate 1% of your risk capital. This is the maximum amount you're allowed to risk on any single trade.
For day traders and swing traders, the 1% risk rule means you use as much capital as required to initiate a trade, but your stop loss placement protects you from losing more than 1% of your account if the trade goes against you.
Option chain and Database Trading Nature of analysis. Option chain: An option chain primarily focuses on options contracts associated with an underlying asset, such as stocks, commodities, or indices. It provides information about the available options, their strike prices, expiration dates, bid-ask prices, and other contract-specific data.
An option chain, also known as option matrix, is a list of all the option contracts available for a given security. It shows all listed puts, calls, expiry dates, strike prices, and volume and pricing information for a single underlying asset and within a given maturity period.
What is Rsi Indicator What Is the Relative Strength Index (RSI)?
The relative strength index (RSI) is a momentum indicator used in technical analysis. RSI measures the speed and magnitude of a security's recent price changes to detect overvalued or undervalued conditions in the price of that security.
The RSI is displayed as an oscillator (a line graph) on a scale of zero to 100. The indicator was developed by J. Welles Wilder Jr. and introduced in his seminal 1978 book, New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems.
In addition to identifying overbought and oversold securities, the RSI can also indicate securities that may be primed for a trend reversal or a corrective pullback in price. It can signal when to buy and sell. Traditionally, an RSI reading of 70 or above indicates an overbought condition. A reading of 30 or below indicates an oversold condition.
Banknifty Professional Trading Setup Here are some things to know about the MACD histogram and divergences:
Divergence
A divergence occurs when the price action and momentum are not acting together. For example, if the price is making lower highs, but the histogram is making higher lows, this is a divergence.
Types of divergences
There are two types of divergences: peak-trough and slant.
Bullish divergence
A bullish divergence occurs when the MACD forms two rising lows that correspond to two falling lows in the price.
Bearish divergence
A bearish divergence occurs when the MACD forms two falling highs that correspond to two rising highs in the price.
Histogram bars
The length of the histogram bars indicate the relationship between the two moving averages. When the moving averages are moving away from each other, the bars are longer, and when they are getting closer, the bars are shorter.
MACD
The MACD is a momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages of prices. It's calculated by taking the difference between a 26-day and 12-day exponential moving average.
How to Draw Support and Resistance Like a Pro! Support and Resistance are one of the most important aspects of technical analysis but often I see traders doing it wrongly.
How to Draw Support and Resistance:
Imagine you have a chart filled with SR like the one below. Do you know which levels to pay attention to? When you’re about to start, how to plot support and resistance lines? It’s filled with nothing but lines and it doesn’t seem to make much meaning of the chart at all.
nah My approach to drawing Support and Resistance uses either
1 line or 2 lines. It is much cleaner and immediately tells you which area of the chart to pay attention to. I use a single line when price respect a level almost to the pip and i use 2 lines when price bounces off an area. I highlight only the key Support and Resistance of a chart meaning the obvious swing highs and lows. The intermediate SR i will not draw any lines so as to maintain my focus on the key areas. Besides, with enough screen time you can easily identify those intermediate Support and Resistance without any lines.
real world… You must keep in mind of the R.S.M. formula. These three things stands for:
Reaction Setup Management Now take notes because this is important… Reaction Here’s the truth: Drawing support and resistance lines aren’t the holy grail.
Part 1: Option Selling: A Simple Way to Earn Consistent PremiumsWe’ll explore the top 7 option-selling strategies on the NSE (National Stock Exchange) that could help traders target up to 10% monthly returns per Month on their capital. Option selling is an advanced strategy that can generate consistent income, but it’s important to balance high rewards with the right risk management. Whether you are new to options or an experienced trader, this guide will provide an overview of each strategy, rated based on its risk, reward, and suitability for achieving your financial goals.
Option Selling on NSE: A Simple Way to Earn Consistent Premiums
Introduction
Option selling is a great way to make steady income on the NSE. Instead of waiting for big market moves, you can sell options and collect premium upfront. It’s a strategy that benefits from time decay, meaning the longer the option sits without action, the more money you can make. Let’s break down why it works and why traders love it on the NSE.
What is Option Selling?
When you sell an option, you’re giving someone the right to buy or sell an asset at a specific price. In return, you get paid a premium upfront. As long as the market stays within a certain range, you keep that money.
Selling a Call: You profit if the price stays below a certain level.
Selling a Put: You profit if the price stays above a certain level.
It’s simple – the less the market moves, the more you earn.
Why Traders Choose Option Selling
1. Immediate Income
You get paid right away when you sell an option. No waiting for market moves, just steady income.
2. Time is Your Friend
As time passes, options lose value due to time decay. This works in your favor as a seller, since the option becomes less likely to be exercised.
3. High Win Rate
You don’t need big price moves. As long as the market stays within a range, you win.
4. Control Risk with Spreads
You can limit your risk by using spreads, where you buy another option to protect yourself if the market moves too much.
Why the NSE is Ideal for Option Selling:
High Liquidity: Options like Nifty and Bank Nifty have a lot of buyers and sellers, so trades are easy to make.Low Capital Requirement: You need less money to sell options on the NSE compared to other strategies.Risk Control: With the wide variety of options, you can set up trades that limit your risk.
Banknifty , Crude oil and Copper Divergence Divergence is a technical analysis concept that occurs when the price of an asset and a technical indicator move in opposite directions. It's a sign that the price of an asset may be reversing, and it can help traders recognize and react to price changes.
Here are some things to know about divergence:
#Types of divergence
There are two types of divergence: negative and positive. Negative divergence happens when the price of a security is rising, but an indicator is falling. Positive divergence happens when the price of a security is falling, but an indicator is rising.
#When to use divergence
Divergence can help traders make decisions like tightening stop-loss or taking a profit.
#How to confirm reversals
Divergence can occur over a long period of time, so traders can use other tools like trendlines and support and resistance levels to confirm reversals.
#When to use convergence
Convergence is when the price of an asset, indicator, or index moves in the same direction as a related asset, indicator, or index
07 Insightful approaches to learning cup & handle pattern ⭕ Price Action chart pattern similarity !!!⭕
Ranges candles shows the phase of accumulation or distribution It helps trader to track bearishness and bullishness of the chart, in this phase accumulation can be seen because of bull Bo.
There is so many ways to approach chart patterns, everyone has different approaches and different insights.
Some Examples of Cup & Handle pattern we have seen:-
1)
2)
3)
4)
5)
6)
POST Your Findings in comment section any other stocks with some pattern you observed we can discuss as a community there !!! Happy To Learn here in TRADINGVIEW with charts
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WAAREERTL VCP - The Concept and its formation This is educational article to show how VCP , Volatility Contraction pattern development and its breakout .
The Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP) is a technical chart pattern often used in share trading to identify stocks that are preparing for a breakout.
Here i used the stock WAAREE renewable Technologies as an example- This is not a buy sell recommendation - only for study purpose .
This stock corrected for almost 50 % from All-time high .
Phase reversal started from 07 August 2024.
I split the screen into two sections to explain the concept .
Left side screen
1. VCP-1 20% , VCP-2 11 % and VCP -3 6% - a clear Contraction in Volatility.
Right side screen
2. Steep reduction in volume - see yellow triangle
3. Lower High formation - see violet trendline
4. Volume profile 2.33 M /2.06M (buy/sell)from 7Aug to 12 Sep
5. See RSI bottom level lower high formation
And the result is 25% profit within 5 trading days
This is a classical example for VCP breakout .
I hope this concept will help us in identifying similar breakouts in other stocks -
Note : Both sections , i used the same candles from 7Aug to 12 Sep . Left side screen made little elongated to visualize VCP formation more clearly
disclaimer :This is not a buy sell recommendation - only for study purpose .
Unlocking Success: Your Guide to Profitable Trading### Market Analysis Report
#### Market Structure Overview
The current market structure shows a **bullish trend** characterized by higher highs and higher lows over the past few weeks. Price action has been supported by positive economic indicators, and we see robust buying interest at key support levels. However, it's essential to remain vigilant for potential turning points, as the market can shift rapidly.
#### Support and Resistance Levels
- **Support Levels**: Key support is identified around , where the price has previously bounced back. This indicates a strong buying interest at these levels.
- **Resistance Levels**: The market faces resistance around . A breakout above this level could signal a continuation of the bullish trend, while a failure to break through could lead to a pullback.
#### Turning Points
Turning points are critical in identifying potential reversals. Watch for:
- **Candlestick Patterns**: Look for reversal patterns (e.g., doji, engulfing) near support or resistance levels.
- **Volume Confirmation**: A significant increase in volume at these levels can signal strong buying or selling pressure.
#### Sitting on Hands
Sometimes, not trading is the best strategy. On days without clear setups:
- **Assess Market Conditions**: If there are no strong signals, it’s prudent to refrain from trading.
- **Avoid Emotional Decisions**: Staying disciplined helps prevent impulsive trades that can lead to losses.
#### Risk Management
Effective risk management is crucial:
- **Position Sizing**: Limit exposure to 1-2% of your trading capital per trade to mitigate risk.
- **Stop-Loss Orders**: Implement stop-loss orders just below support levels to protect against adverse movements.
#### Money Management
A solid money management strategy includes:
- **Diversification**: Spread risk across different assets to reduce exposure to any single position.
- **Regular Review**: Continuously review and adjust your strategy based on market performance and changes in risk tolerance.
### Conclusion
The current market exhibits a bullish structure, with identifiable support and resistance levels. While opportunities may arise, remember that sitting on your hands can be a wise choice on days lacking clear setups. Focus on risk and money management to protect your capital, ensuring you’re prepared for any market conditions. Stay disciplined, and trade smart!
Happy Trading Follow the process profits will take care of you.
The "Head and Shoulders": Real success rates.The "Head and Shoulders": Real success rates.
Inverted Head and Shoulders: WATCH volumes when the neckline breaks!!
Here is what we can say about the success rate of the inverted head and shoulders pattern in trading:
- The inverted head and shoulders pattern is considered one of the most reliable chart patterns to anticipate a bullish reversal.
- According to some sources, the success rate of this pattern would be very high, with approximately 98% of cases resulting in a bullish exit.
- More precisely, in 63% of cases, the price would reach the price target calculated from the pattern when the neckline is broken.
- A pull-back (return to the neckline after the break) would occur in 45% of cases.
- However, it should be noted that these very optimistic figures must be qualified. Other sources indicate more modest success rates, around 60%.
-The reliability of the pattern depends on several factors such as respect for proportions, the break of the neckline, volumes, etc. A rigorous analysis is necessary.
-It is recommended to use this pattern in addition to other indicators and analyses, rather than relying on it blindly.
In conclusion, although the inverse head and shoulders pattern is considered a very reliable pattern, its actual success rate is probably closer to 60-70% than the 98% sometimes claimed. It remains a useful tool but must be used with caution and in addition to other analyses.
__________________________________________________________________
Head and Shoulders:
Here is what we can say about the success rate of the head and shoulders pattern in trading:
-The head and shoulders pattern is considered one of the most reliable chart patterns, but its exact success rate is debated among technical analysts. Here are the key takeaways:
- Some sources claim very high success rates, up to 93% or 96%. However, these figures are likely exaggerated and do not reflect the reality of trading.
- In reality, the success rate is likely more modest. One cited study indicates that the price target is reached in about 60% of cases for a classic head and shoulders pattern.
- It is important to note that the head and shoulders pattern is not an infallible pattern. Its presence alone is not enough to guarantee a trend reversal.
- The reliability of the pattern depends on several factors such as respect for proportions, the breakout of the neckline, volumes, etc. Rigorous analysis is necessary.
- Many experienced traders recommend using this pattern in addition to other indicators and analyses, rather than relying on it blindly.
In conclusion, while the head and shoulders pattern is considered a reliable pattern, its actual success rate is probably closer to 60% than the 90%+ sometimes claimed. It remains a useful tool but should be used with caution and in conjunction with other analyses.
_____________________________________________________________________________
NB: In comparison, the classic (bearish) head and shoulders pattern would have a slightly lower success rate, with around 60% of cases where the price target is reached.
marking EG zonesI have just published an indicator for marking trend and inside candle.
this chart will help in understanding marking EG zones.
- EG system
- Follow any 3 TF set (High (Direction), Middle (Confirm Direction), Low (Entry))
Forex
MN1/W1/D1
W1/D1/H4
D1/H4/H1
H4/H1/M15
H1/M15/M5
M15/M5/M5
Stock
MN1/W1/D1
W1/D1/H2
D1/H2/M30
M30/M5/M1
- Need to see same type EG in all Time Frame to place a trade. (EG BUY,EG BUY,EG BUY) For buy entry same is for sell Entry
- Follow only new EG, created recently, CMP (current market price)
-Price moves from EG to EG, zone to zone.
Advanced Divergence Trading"Welcome to SkyTradingZone "
Hello Everyone 👋
Video Information -
Hello , Everyone lets start the Journey of Advanced Divergence Trading
In this video, we are going to look at divergence.
What is divergence?
Divergence is basically
when the market is creating
higher highs and higher lows, and
the RSI is creating the opposite.
(Divergence can happen in
both downtrends and uptrends.)
----------------------------------------------------------------
Q What divergence does, it's basically
telling you that the trend is weakening.
This is in a downtrend, and the RSI,
the divergence, is basically telling you
that this downtrend is weakening and
there could be a possible reversal soon.
So normally when divergence
is happening, you normally see
The market creates basically a curve.
----------------------------------------------------------------
Structure is always key
It doesn't matter the strategy
you use, structure is always key.
So what you want to see is that
breaker structure to say that the trend
is changing because structure changed.
Note- Normal Tip From our side try to learn Liquidity and order block
Understanding the Round Bottom PatternThe Round Bottom Pattern, also known as a saucer bottom, is a bullish reversal pattern that typically occurs after a prolonged downtrend. It signals a gradual shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. Let's break it down:
Key Features of the Round Bottom Pattern:
Shape & Duration:
The pattern resembles a "U" shape, indicating a smooth transition from a bearish phase to a bullish phase.
It generally forms over an extended period, which can range from weeks to months, allowing the price to consolidate and reverse gradually
Volume:
In the early stages, volume is usually low as sellers dominate the market.
As the price reaches the bottom and begins to rise, trading volume increases, confirming the reversal and the entry of buyers.
Resistance Breakout:
A critical point in the pattern is the breakout above the resistance neckline, marking the end of the pattern.
After this breakout, the stock is expected to continue its upward momentum, leading to a price rally.
Confirmation:
The breakout should be confirmed by an increase in volume, validating that the buyers are in control.
A strong breakout typically indicates the start of a new uptrend.
How to Trade the Round Bottom Pattern:
Entry Point:
Once the price breaks above the resistance neckline, traders can consider entering long positions.
Stop Loss:
A stop loss can be placed just below the neckline or near the lowest point of the bottom curve to minimize risk.
Price Target:
The target price can be projected by measuring the depth of the pattern (from the neckline to the lowest point) and adding that to the breakout level.
Conclusion:
The Round Bottom Pattern is a powerful tool for traders looking to capitalize on market reversals. By understanding its structure and key indicators such as volume and breakout, traders can identify high-probability setups for successful trades.
This pattern is currently observed in Kalyan Jewellers NSE:KALYANKJIL , as shown in the chart, where a breakout above the neckline suggests bullish potential ahead.
For further analysis and updates, stay connected!
Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Mastering Investment Decisions: Mahindra ltdHello,
To better understand how we can use Tradingview to make our investment decisions, today we shall be using an example of Mahidra & Mahindra. I shall follow the below steps and finally make an investment recommendation.
Understanding the Business
Before investing in any company, it’s essential to understand its business model, revenue streams, and market position. Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. (M&M) is one of India’s most diversified conglomerates, operating across several sectors. Its core business revolves around two major areas:
Automotive: M&M is a leading manufacturer of SUVs, commercial vehicles, and electric vehicles. Its stronghold in the automotive industry, especially in the SUV segment, has positioned it as a dominant player in the market.
Farm Equipment: The company is a global leader in tractor manufacturing, making significant contributions to the agriculture sector both in India and abroad.
Additionally, Mahindra has interests in other sectors such as:
IT Services through Tech Mahindra, which provides technology solutions globally.
Financial Services via Mahindra Finance, offering loans and leasing services.
Real Estate development through its housing and infrastructure divisions.
This diversification not only stabilizes M&M’s revenue base but also allows it to remain resilient in volatile markets.
Revenue and Expenses
When analyzing the company’s financials, it’s clear that M&M has maintained steady growth in revenue. This can be clearly seen on the charts right top. The Total revenue has increased since 2010.
The Net income is also very key to watch as well as the diluted EPS. Below is a chart showing how all this metrics have perfored over the years.
Technical Analysis
Technical analysis provides valuable insights into stock price movements by studying historical data. Over the past 500 days, Mahindra & Mahindra’s stock has shown a consistent upward trend, supported by investor confidence and solid company fundamentals.
Currently, the stock appears to be consolidating around its support level, and forming a flag pattern which is a continuation patten. Below the flag pattern is clearly identified and indicated.
Target setting
Once you have identified the pattern forming, next is to set the targets. I expect the target of this stock to be at IRN 3638 areas with a stop loss being around IRN 2426.80.
Recommendation
Based on the technical analysis and the company’s strong business fundamentals, Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. presents a compelling investment opportunity at current areas.
Buy: IRN 2656
Target 1: IRN 3021
Target 2: IRN 3638.75
Good luck!
The “Fan Principle” is a powerful technique in tradingThe “Fan Principle” is a powerful technique in trading, using trendlines to predict price movements.
Highlights
📈 Powerful Technique: The Fan Principle is formidable in technical analysis.
📉 Identifying Points: Drawing trendlines from three key points.
🔴 Trading Signals: Buy or sell signals can be identified depending on the pattern.
📊 Practical Examples: Analyzing price movements on charts to illustrate the technique.
💰 Profit Opportunities: Strategies can result in significant gains, up to 22%.
🛑 Risk Management: Importance of placing stop-losses to protect investments.
🔍 Additional Resources: Detailed information and charts will be shared to deepen understanding.
Key Insights
📈 Technique Effectiveness: The Fan Principle helps identify clear trends using reference points, making the strategy both simple and effective.
📉 Importance of Confirmation: Validating trendlines with a third point builds confidence in trading signals, increasing the chances of success.
🔴 Warning Signals: Sell or buy signals, as shown in the video, can lead to strategic decisions based on historical analysis.
📊 Visual Analysis: Visualizing data on charts helps understand market movements, which is essential for technical analysis.
💰 Profit Potential: Trades based on the Fan Principle can provide significant profit opportunities, highlighting its effectiveness.
🛑 Protection Strategies: Placing stop-losses above resistance points is crucial to limit losses in the event of adverse market movements.
🔍 Access to resources: The information shared in the description and on other platforms offers ways to deepen the understanding of the technique and improve trading skills.
__________________________________________________________________
The fan principle in trading is a strategy that consists of opening several positions on the same asset at different price levels. Here are the main aspects of this approach:
How it works
The idea is to open several positions (or "lots") on the same financial asset at different price levels, thus forming a "fan" of positions.
These positions are opened at points considered as potential market reversals.
The objective is to let these positions unfold like a fan or to close them gradually according to the evolution of the market.
Advantages
Risk diversification: By entering the market at different levels, the trader reduces the impact of a single bad entry.
Movement capture: This approach allows to take advantage of different phases of a price movement.
Flexibility: The trader can adjust his strategy by closing some positions while keeping others open.
Complementary Tools
The fan principle can be combined with other technical analysis tools to improve its effectiveness:
Fibonacci Fan: This tool automatically draws trendlines at key levels (38.2%, 50%, 61.8%) that can serve as entry points for fan positions.
Gann Angles: These lines, drawn at different angles (82.5°, 75°, 71.25°, etc.), can also help identify potential levels to open positions.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Some traders combine the fan principle with the RSI to confirm entry points.
Important Considerations
This strategy requires good risk management, as it involves opening multiple positions.
It is crucial to set stop-loss and take-profit levels for each position in the range.
Using this approach requires a thorough understanding of the market and significant trading experience.
UPL | Wyckoff Events & Phases Explained Wyckoff developed a price action market theory which is still a leading principle in today's trading practice.
The Wyckoff method states that the price cycle of a traded instrument consists of 4 stages – Accumulation, Markup, Distribution, and MarkDown.
👉TEXTBOOK EXAMPLE Accumulation Schematic: Wyckoff Events and Phases👈
Price Action Analysis
And this is the accumulation stage -
1) PS— Preliminary Support, where substantial buying begins to provide pronounced support after a continued down-move.
- Volume increases and price spread widens, signaling that the down-move may be approaching its end.
2) SC—Selling Climax, the point at which widening spread and selling pressure usually in high point and heavy or panicky selling by the public is being absorbed by larger professional interests at or near a bottom.
- Often price will close well off the low in an SC, reflecting the buying by these large interests.
3) AR—Automatic Rally, which occurs because intense selling pressure has greatly decline.
- A wave of buying easily pushes prices up.
- The high of this rally will help define the upper boundary of an accumulation.
4) ST—Secondary Test, in which price revisits the area of the SC to test the supply/demand.
- If a bottom is to be confirmed, volume and price spread should be decline as the market approaches support in the area of the SC.
- It is common to have multiple STs after an SC.
5) SOS—Sign Of Strength, a price advance on increasing spread and relatively higher volume.
6) LPS—Last Point Of Support, the low point of a reaction or pullback after an SOS.
7) BU/LPS- Backing up to an LPS means a pullback to support that was formerly resistant, on diminished spread and volume.
All the phases of accumulation stage-
Phase A:
Phase A marks the stopping of the prior downtrend.
-- Up to this point, supply has been dominant.
-- The approaching cutback of supply is evidenced in preliminary support (PS) and a selling climax (SC).
-- A successful secondary test (ST) in the area of the SC will show less selling than previously and a narrowing of spread and decreased volume, generally stopping at or above the same price level as the SC.
-- If the ST goes lower than that of the SC, one can anticipate either new lows or prolonged consolidation.
-- Horizontal lines may be drawn to help focus attention on market behavior, as seen in the two Accumulation Schematics above.
Phase B:
-- Phase B serves the function of “building a cause” for a new uptrend
-- In Phase B, institutions and large professional interests are accumulating relatively low-priced inventory in anticipation of the next markup.
--There are usually multiple STs during Phase B'
-- Institutional buying and selling impart the characteristic up-and-down price action of the trading range.
--Early on in Phase B, the price swings tend to be wide and accompanied by high volume.
Phase C:
-- It is in Phase C that the stock price goes through a final test of the remaining supply.
-- this marks the beginning of a new uptrend, trapping the late sellers (bears).
-- It indicates that the stock is likely to be ready to move up, so this is a good time to initiate at least a partial long position.
-- The appearance of an SOS shortly after a spring or shakeout validates the analysis.
Phase D:
--During Phase D, the price will move at least to the top
--LPSs in this phase are generally excellent places to initiate or add to profitable long positions.
Phase E:
--large operators can occur at any point in Phase E.
--These are sometimes called “stepping stones” on the way to even higher price targets.
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Regards,
Revive Traders
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Understanding the Cup and Handle Formation in Technical AnalysisThe Cup and Handle pattern is one of the most well-known and reliable chart patterns used by traders to predict bullish continuations. Understanding this formation can give you a valuable edge in identifying potential breakout stocks.
What is the Cup and Handle Pattern?
The Cup and Handle is a bullish continuation pattern that usually forms during an uptrend. It resembles the shape of a tea cup, with a rounded bottom followed by a slight pullback (the handle).
Cup: The cup is a rounded bottom, forming after a downtrend or consolidation. It indicates that the stock is finding support and gradually regaining momentum.
Handle : After forming the cup, the price pulls back slightly, creating a handle. This handle represents a period of consolidation before a breakout.
How to Identify a Cup and Handle Formation?
Prior Uptrend: The pattern typically forms after an established uptrend.
Rounded Bottom: The "cup" part should have a smooth, rounded bottom, indicating that the stock has gradually built support and is preparing for a bullish move.
Handle: The handle forms as a small pullback or consolidation, often at the upper end of the cup. This is where sellers temporarily outnumber buyers, but the selling pressure is limited.
Breakout: The breakout occurs when the price moves above the resistance level at the top of the handle, often accompanied by increased volume, signaling a continuation of the uptrend.
Example: DOLAT ALGOTECH LTD
DOLAT ALGOTECH LTD displayed a classic Cup and Handle pattern on its chart, signaling a potential bullish breakout. Here’s a breakdown of the key elements of the pattern:
Prior Uptrend: The stock was in a strong uptrend before entering a consolidation phase.
Cup Formation: The price formed a rounded bottom, creating the cup, showing a gradual recovery after a pullback.
Handle Formation: After the cup, the price consolidated and slightly pulled back, forming the handle.
Breakout: The stock has recently broken out of the handle with increased volume, indicating a potential continuation of the uptrend.
Key price targets based on the breakout:
First target: ₹202.53 (+17.82%)
Second target: ₹251.25 (+46.25%)
This real-world example demonstrates how the Cup and Handle pattern can be used to identify potential bullish breakouts in stocks.
Why is it Important?
The Cup and Handle pattern is considered reliable because it reflects a period of accumulation (cup) followed by a mild correction (handle), before the price resumes its upward movement. Traders often use this formation to identify potential buying opportunities before a breakout.
Key Points to Remember:
Pattern Duration: The cup can take several weeks or even months to form, while the handle usually takes a shorter time.
Volume Confirmation: A volume increase during the breakout is a strong signal that the pattern is valid and that the uptrend is likely to continue.
Risk Management: While this pattern is reliable, no technical analysis is foolproof. Always use stop-loss orders and manage risk properly.
NSE:DOLATALGO
How to Journal as a Trader or Investor on Trading View ? Summary of this video
There could be Two types of people Journaling, one who is daily journaling and one who is weekly journaling; both will do the job.
You can make two notebooks for the same: Feelings-based Journal and Stats-based Journaling.
Both serve different purposes.
A feeling-based journal helps you to create a daily habit of writing some compulsory things like pre-market, vix, post-market, and setups, and ask why in terms of positions - if taken and if not taken, whereas to get into the habit of writing a feelings based journal also dig deep into some really important terms like cpi inflation, ppi of some significant economies which effects your markets. These things won't affect your trading, but such add-ons help you give a direction to your journaling power.
A Stats-based journal contains different columns, as told in the video; feel free to add more of your favorite ones and change them as you wish, but every single trade should be respected in such a manner. Journal every single trade like this in terms of numbers. Remars is very important in this journal as it will guide your Fear and Greed.
In conclusion, Finally, if you can do this for at least one month, you will see good results, but what exactly do you have to see?
After one month, read your first-day feeling journal and the first two or three trade remarks. You will be amazed to see how silly mistakes you made in the past or how efficient you were back then and now you are making those mistakes; either will help you grow in mindset and profitability. It enables you to become a better trader by 1% daily.
Feel free to put more ideas and thoughts below in the comment section. Good luck journaling