What is Dounle Bottom Pattern?What is Double Bottom Pattern?
The double bottom pattern looks like the letter "W". It indicates an trend and momentum reversal in a particular asset. It is best for analyzing the intermediate to longer-term view of a market. Double Bottom Pattern one of the most reliable reversal pattern after Head and Shoulders Pattern.
How does Double Bottom Pattern Work?
Double Bottom Pattern works in two phases:
Phase 1:
When the major trend is downtrend and forms the first down peak, then from the support the prices bounce to a new higher resistance and unable to break that resistance.
Phase 2:
When prices are not able to break the resistance it again goes to the same level and take support form similar levels forming second down peak also double bottom . Again due to demand the prices rises up to the resistance and break that resistance. Increase in volumes during breakouts further confirms the reversal move. This marks the completion of the pattern.
Above Chart Explanation:
This is the daily chart of EGLDUSDT here we can see in a downtrend prices take support and forms a down peak one and took support form there and bounce back to the above resistance. But prices were not able to break it instead prices got rejection from resistance and the prices again go down forming second down peak. After taking support prices bounces and break resistance due to heavy demand with great volumes.
Usually traders enter on the breakouts and target the next resistance.
Conclusion:
Hence, the Double Bottom Pattern is great reversal pattern after Head and Shoulders Pattern. And it occurs quite often. Most of the traders use it on large time frames like 1D, 1W, 1M.
Please let me know in the comments what do you think about Double Bottom Chart Pattern!
Disclaimer:
This is just an educational post never trade just any pattern. And please do your research before taking any trades.
PS: We are publishing this for our Indian Audience again!
Happy Trading !
Chart Patterns
How to find Strength in Breakout -1How to find Strength in Breakout -1. Due to technical error part-2 is in next video as tradingview does not allow pause or combining 2 video.
How to find a High Probability Trade?A high probability trade is a trade that has a greater chance of success than a regular trade.
So, how can you find these high probability trades?
There are a few things that you can observe to find that golden confluence of various important things such as a support level, demand zone, Fibonacci level, moving average, volume, RSI, etc. The confluence zone can be a combination of any of these things.
In the example above, you can notice the following things:
1. The market structure is bullish before the breakout, which is evident from the formation of higher highs and higher lows.
2. The price is consolidated in the rectangle/parallel channel for a good amount of time.
3. As soon as the price reached the previous support level, the selling pressure started to decrease.
4. When the price touched 200MA/EMA, the buyers stepped in and there was a good buying.
5. The 0.618 Fibonacci level also acted as a support and overlapped with the 200 moving average.
6. The buying pressure can be seen by an increase in the volume in the last few sessions before the breakout.
7. When the price breaks above the previous major resistance with a massive bullish candle, there is a massive volume expansion.
8. We always look for some reversal or neutral candlesticks in the confluence zone. In the chart above, at the point of interaction with the moving average and the Fibonacci level, we can see the formation of hammer candlesticks and spinning top.
High Probability trade checklist:
1. Market structure
2. Consolidation before the Breakout
3. Support-Resistance levels
4. Supply-Demand zones
5. Location of 200MA or 200EMA
6. Overlap with a Fibonacci level
7. Candlestick pattern and the size of candles
8. Volume expansion
You can read and revise this post until you master the concepts. I hope you find this post useful. Also, if anyone is interested in getting a PDF version of this thread, then you can message me, I'll provide it.
Disclaimer: This is NOT investment advice. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Invest your capital at your own risk.
Happy learning. Cheers!
AMARAJABAT - FAVOURABLE RISK REWARDAMARAJA BATTERIES was in downtrend since 6 Months & Now it has shown a reversal.
Pros for taking position
Technical
1) Support
2) Bullish Engulf
3) Trendline Breakout
Fundamental
1) Electric Battery Industry is Expected to grow at around 15.9% CAGR till 2027
2) It is a second leading player in making Batteries and it has to benefit from the demand which is going to come in next few years
3) As Govt is spending huge on EV and demand increasing for EV we can expect it to go up from here.
Cons
Technical
1) Volume has not been impressive and no big money yet Involved.
Fundamental
1) Company has not been able to give better results due to price war and higher lead prices
2) Environmental Reasons for harmful Emission - AP Govt asking it to shift the plant due to this.
How to trade in and out of a sideways range?Horizontal price movement is seen when the powers of demand and supply are roughly equal, thus forming a "sideways trend". This usually occurs during a period of consolidation before the price continues a prior trend or reverses into a new trend. A sideways trend is also sometimes referred to as a "horizontal trend".
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An important indicator is volume, which usually remains flat during a sideways trend as the bulls and the bears balance out each other. A surge in volume is seen when the breakout or breakdown is expected to occur.
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Ways to profit from a sideways trend :
1. Typically traders will try to capitalize on breakouts or breakdowns, to try and ride the momentum in the direction of the break, thus generating profits. But breakouts are prone to failures, so a more prudent approach can be to wait for a re test of the level price broke out from and then initiate the trade.
2. If the price regularly rebounds from the support and resistance levels as can be seen in the chart, traders may try to buy the security when it nears the support levels and sell it when the price nears resistance levels.
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Now, as we can see that the price of IGL was bouncing around in the sideways channel. It failed to move past 545 on 09.04.21 and 11.06.21. Similarly it bounced back from 500, at 5 occasions, on 25.03, 06.04, 19.04, 30.04 and 21.05.21. It finally broke out above 545 with above average volume on 29.06.21 and soon made a high of 584.
It travelled almost the width of the range after breaking out as is expected. And then it started pulling back and has touched the top of the range. A continuation candle with strong volume has occurred now.
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A long can be initiated with the following levels in mind if the price sustains above the "LONG ABOVE" level for 15 minutes.
LONG ABOVE: 548.70
STOP LOSS: 534.80
TARGET 1: 562.60
TARGET 2: 576.50
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Trade your plan and manage your risk effectively.
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Phillips Carbon - Positional - a mistake I corrected Sharing a mistake I made and how I corrected it.
On Weekly chart, I saw a nice rounding botton pattern and stock close to ATH with a BO candle of 26 July 2021. I also saw volume expansion on that day as well as expansion since the candle of 18 January 2021.
I went long at approx. 270.
Although RSI was above 60, what I failed to see was RSI High was flat. And price was making a high with flat RSI. That was my first mistake.
The second mistake was my decision was based on upward slope of MA line and entry price was roughly 25% away from 30 Weekly MA.
The third mistake I made was I have a rule where I add 20-25% corpus on BO with Volumes and slowly add the rest on retracement based on price action. In this case, I added 75% at one go. I also didn't see the Daily chart for entry. A lower timeframe is recommended as ideal for entry, so for someone like me who invests positionally basis Weekly charts, I should have taken cognizance of the price action on Daily.
We don't know what will happen in future. Nifty 50 is on steroids and maybe price will go up or it may retrace and form a cup and handle pattern which is a better confirmation in terms of probability.
At my entry price my risk was way too high to add 75% at one go (If I had added only 20-25% this would be a safe trade). And as investors and traders, we have to manage risk and protect capital.
You may wonder why did I do this? It was my mind that was excited and momentarily I saw a prominent site where the stock had made the day's high. I make a conscious effort to not follow the calls given by research agencies or stock news sites. There is a reason behind this- news comes later, charts inform us earlier.
I exited a part at cost and remain invested only 25% of my corpus for this stock. If stock retraces to the area of better Risk Reward zone, I will add more.
Disl: This is not an investment or trading buy / sell advice. The purpose of this is educational- to share knowledge and learn from the community members. Please consult your investment advisor for any investment related advice.