Chart Patterns
Example of Support, Resistance and RetestThe chart is self-explanatory. The main benefit of entering into a trade at the time of retesting the resistance area is that our stop loss becomes small at that point. And risk-reward ratio appears good there.
Hope the interpretations will help some of you in your trading approach. As me-too learning from others.
Wish you success.
How to trade like the Institutions/Banks? - Selling narrativeWith this post, we'll try to understand the selling narrative of the institutions and how they trap the traders on both sides. Just remember this one thing, "the market is never moved by retailers, only institutions can do that".
The only reason why the institutions sell is to buy at lower prices. Nothing more than that.
This happens in the following way:
1. Institutions initiate selling near a support level so as to create a narrative of a "Bearish trend".
2. When the narrative is set, the retailers think in the following ways:
•Longs fear for their stops below the support line
•Others wait to initiate shorts at the close below the support.
3. When the price closes below the support level, two types of orders are placed instantly. Stop losses of longs and fresh sell orders of the shorts with buy stops above the support line.
4. Longs get stopped out. These retailers are selling to institutions which acts as a discount for them.
5. Breakout shorters start shorting but their stops get taken out in the next few candles when the institutions move the price back up in the intended direction.
6. In this way, the majority of the retail longs and shorts are taken out of the market.
After the initial rally, the price returns to the demand block for the following 2 reasons:
1. To fill the pending buy orders from institutions
2. To close the shorts which the institutions initially opened so as to push the price downwards. This is also called mitigation.
After the longs get filled and the mitigation is over, the price moves back up in the original direction.
This process repeats like the clockwork. You can go and back test on any time frame. The only thing that requires skill is the identification of these phases in the live market, which obviously takes a lot of practice. The more you practice, the better you will become.
If you don’t believe in these concepts and are trading profitably using the indicators, then just ignore this post. This post is meant only for those who want to get an insight as to how the institutions work. All these concepts are real and work very much, you are free to read from Google.
Also, if anyone is interested in getting a PDF version of this thread, then you can check the links under this post. I spend a lot of time creating these educational posts, illustrations, charts, and PDFs. Please be appreciative of that and leave a like and comment if you found these helpful. It will help to know that people are reading these posts.
Disclaimer: This is NOT investment advice. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Invest your capital at your own risk.
Happy learning. Cheers!
Rajat Kumar Singh (@johntradingwick)
Bearish market structure - Illustrations + Structure typesThis is the third post on market structure. Do check out the previous 2 posts if you haven't already.
Recap
Market structure is simple and a basic form of understanding, how the markets move. The Price Action is how the market moves based just on price, without the consideration of trends and how they may continue. But the market structure is focused mainly on the trend. The market structure is formed using swing highs and swing lows. You may have already heard about the formation of higher highs and higher lows in a bullish trend or the formation of lower highs and lower lows in a bearish trend. This is what is called as market structure.
What is a Bearish market structure?
A bearish market structure is a structure that constitutes of formation of a series of lower highs and lower lows. In simple words, when the price is making lower lows and lower highs, it is said to be forming a bearish market structure.
Illustration: Bearish market structure
What is the use of identifying a Bearish market structure?
Identifying any market structure plays a crucial role in entry and exit. In the case of a bearish market structure, the previous lows are often seen as resistance zones where new shorts can be entered with an expectation of lower price movement. When the price returns to or near the previous low, it is often seen as a selling opportunity, commonly known as “selling the rip”.
Exhibit: Pullback in a Bearish market structure
If a stock is moving in a bearish trend but the price prints a new higher high, the trader must become cautious because a trend change may be underway or it may just consolidate before resuming the original trend or it may very well be a bull trap. If a trend change is confirmed, the trader may exit the shorts and look for the trades on the long side.
So, after the formation of a new high, there are only 3 scenarios that can arise.
1. Trend reversal
2. Consolidation and continuation
3. Bull trap
Exhibit 1: Creation of a new high
Chart example:
Exhibit 2: Trend reversal
Chart example:
Exhibit 3: Consolidation and Continuation
Exhibit 4: Bull Trap
These are the only structure that can form in a bearish trend and they will occur time and again. Hence, all these concepts are valid on all time frames.
This is all you need to know about a bearish market structure. Now, open any random chart and back test the concepts. The more you practice, the better you will become. Whatever strategy you use, understanding the structure will always make you more confident in your trades.
I spend a lot of time creating these educational posts, illustrations, charts, and PDFs. Please be appreciative of that and leave a like and comment if you found these helpful. It will help to know that people are reading these posts.
Disclaimer: This is NOT investment advice. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Invest your capital at your own risk.
Happy learning. Cheers!
Rajat Kumar Singh (@johntradingwick)
CUP AND HANDLE - FOR EDUCATION PURPOSE EFIUSDT is forming cup and handle in 4hr time frame. Let’s see how it is going to play out.
INFORMATION ABOUT CUP AND HANDLE:
1. A cup and handle is a technical chart pattern that resembles a cup and handle where the cup is in the shape of a "u" and the handle has a slight downward drift.
2. A cup and handle is considered a bullish signal extending an uptrend, and is used to spot opportunities to go long.
3. Technical traders using this indicator should place a stop buy order slightly above the upper trendline of the handle part of the pattern.
(source : www.investopedia.com)
Bullish market structure - Illustrations + ChartsRecap
Market structure is simple and a basic form of understanding, how the markets move. The Price Action is how the market moves based just on price, without the consideration of trends and how they may continue. But the market structure is focused mainly on the trend. The market structure is formed using swing highs and swing lows. You may have already heard about the formation of higher highs and higher lows in a bullish trend or the formation of lower highs and lower lows in a bearish trend. This is what is called as market structure.
What is a Bullish market structure?
Like I said above, a bullish market structure is a structure that constitutes of formation of a series of higher highs and higher lows. In simple words, when the price is making new highs and higher lows, it is said to be forming a bullish market structure.
Exhibit: Bullish market structure
What is the use of identifying a Bullish market structure?
Identifying any market structure plays a crucial role in entry and exit. In the case of a bullish market structure, the previous highs are often seen as support zones where an entry can be made with an expectation of higher price movement. When the price returns to or near the previous high, it is often seen as a buying opportunity, commonly known as buying the dip”.
Exhibit: Pullback in a bullish market structure
Similarly, as soon as the price breaks the previous low and creates a new low, the trader must become cautious because a trend change may be underway or it may just consolidate before resuming the original trend or it may very well be a bear trap. If a trend change is confirmed, the trader may exit longs and look for the trades on the short sides.
So, after the formation of a new low, there are only 3 scenarios that can arise.
1. Trend reversal
2. Consolidation and continuation
3. Bear trap
Exhibit 1: Creation of a new low
Exhibit 2: Trend reversal
Exhibit 3: Consolidation and Continuation
Exhibit 4: Bear Trap
These are the only structure that can form in a bullish trend and they will occur time and again. Hence, all these concepts are valid on all time frames.
This is all you need to know about a bullish market structure. Now, open any random chart and back test the concepts. The more you practice, the better you will become. Whatever strategy you use, understanding the structure will always make you more confident in your trades.
I spend a lot of time creating these educational posts, illustrations, charts, and PDFs. Please be appreciative of that and leave a like and comment if you found these helpful. It will help me to know that people are reading these posts. Also, if anyone is interested in getting a PDF version of this thread, then you can check the links under this post.
Disclaimer: This is NOT investment advice. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Invest your capital at your own risk.
Happy learning. Cheers!
Rajat Kumar Singh (@johntradingwick)
BEARISH DIAMOND PATTERNRULES TO KEEP IN MIND:-
A visible uptrend must take place before the diamond top formation.
The diamond top formation must be well stated with four trend lines that links to each other. They should not be far apart from one another.
Place a sell order at the market after a break and close beneath the uptrend close to the finishing of the pattern.
Traders often apply the stop loss at the very recent swing high before the breakout level.
Traders often determine the target level depending on the calculated move measured. We will calculate the proximity between the highest high and the lowest low in the structure, and plot that downward from the breakout level. This plotted line would serve as the profit exit mark.
The trade will have an additional time stop component. Precisely if 50 candles passes, and the price fails to trigger either the stop loss or target mark, we will have to exit the trade immediately.
NIFTY... CORRECTION AHEADNifty has been in the parallel channel for quite some time and has completed the 5th Elliot wave.
We are likely to see a zig-zag correction where wave A is completed.
Wave B is most probably the last bull run we'll see ahead of Diwali.
The support line of the parallel channel is likely to be broken and I'm expecting a sharp correction in nifty (wave C) to 17000 levels.
Trade carefully. Please share your opinion on this analysis.
HOW TO USE MOVING IN BEST WAY# STEPS
# first see that the price is respecting moving average ( there is no best moving average)
# second draw a trend line like this example
# entry trigger is the candlestick patter
Important - the price must in uptrend and tested moving average 2 times
Keep learning and earning
Amazing all-in-one chart !!The above chart is of TCS on 15 min TF.
The chart has formed various patterns and shows the price action after successful completion of the pattern. Hope rarely we can found a chart which exhibits most of the patterns in a single chart.
Here are some of the patterns which i was able to identify:
(A) Bullish flag pattern:
After recognizing and marking the pattern on chart, longs can be considered on breakout above the upper trendline of the flag, with proper SL favoring atleast 1:2 RR.
(B) EW Counts (Although i am not good at EW analysis, have managed to mark some primary/corrective counts on chart):
After recognizing and marking the counts (1-2) on chart, longs can be considered on breakout above the high of (1) candle, with proper SL favoring atleast 1:2 RR.
(c) Head and Shoulder pattern:
After recognizing and marking the pattern on chart, short position can be considered on price closing below the neckline, again with proper SL favoring atleast 1:2 RR.
(D) Bearish Inverted Flag pattern:
After recognizing and marking the pattern on chart, short position can be considered on breakdown below the lower trendline of the flag, with proper SL favoring atleast 1:2 RR.
(E) EW corrective count:
After recognizing and marking the counts (a-b) on chart, short position can be considered on price closing below the low of (a) point, with proper SL favoring atleast 1:2 RR.
(F) Symmetrical triangle:
After recognizing and marking the pattern on chart, longs can be considered on breakout above the upper trendline of the triangle, with proper SL favoring atleast 1:2 RR.
Most of us have paid penalties/fine to the market for making mistakes.
The objective of this chart is to show some simple and interesting pattern formations and price action after successful completion of the pattern. One should try to learn atleast few simple patterns, which will help to avoid or atleast minimize the penalties that we pay to the market :).
Identifying such patterns on higher TF, say daily/weekly chart, and trading them with proper SL would reep good returns over long term trade.
Hope the above chart was useful with the information provided.
Happy Investing !
A Tutorial on Support and Resistance - Part 1.A Tutorial on Support and Resistance - Part 1.
What are Support and Resistance ?
Support - Is the price level from where people expect maximum buying/demand to come.
1. Price is falling and it is expected to reverse and move up from Support.
2. Support level is always below current price level.
3. Is used to create buying positions or book profits in shorts.
Resistance - Is the price level from where people expect maximum selling/supply to come.
1. Price is rising and it is expected to reverse and move down from resistance.
2. Resistance level is always above current price level.
3. Is used to book profits in long positions or create shorts.
Other parts to be followed -
Part 2 - Why Support and Resistances are formed ? or Why they work ?
Part 3 - How to find/draw Support and Resistance ?
part 4 - How to trade using Support and Resistance ?
Do not buy5 waves upmove of EWT completed in Neuland and then it gave bearish Head and shoulder breakdown. After breakdown it created a gap. Price cam to fill the gap and started trading down. Parallel channel is also visible in recent consolidation. Price may do zig-zag within the band giving false bullish EMA crossover to onboard the new investors which missed the opportunity in bull run. They will be slaughtered in next correction which might take price to the final target of H&S and near to the bottom of 4. Any investment buying from institutions or big whales will emerge only below ₹1000. Till that time avoid the stock even if it touched 2000 level.
Disc : it's not an investment advice to buy or sell
U-TURN Resistance converts into Support (EDUCATIONAL -AARTIIND) Aarti Ind. ltd. This stock has taken Resistance twice at same level, then it consolidated as a parallel channel at that same zone,
and then it given good breakout from parallel channel along with good intensity of volume,
Now it has retraced almost 78.6%, co-incidentally (1) same resistance zone, (2) Parallel channel's top, (3) Support trend line and (4) 200 DEMA, all are there at similar point location, All these 5 conditions met at same level that can provide good support. This scenario makes probabilities very strong each time. where stop loss is too low and Reward is too Good.
Overall scenario
Perfectly U-turn from valid fibonaccy level 0.786%
Daily macd line uptick and also converging towards positive
Good support zone
Support providing 100DEMA also at same responding zone
Parallel channel scenario
Support Trend line
Disclaimer
I am not sebi registered analyst
My studies are for educational purpose only
Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing
I am not responsible for your profits and losses
RSI divergence explained. Here we are seeing NIFTY of daily time frame, here we can see that candles between two vertical line are clearly in up trend and RSI for the same is showing slite divergence on down side which shows the clear indication that there may be change in trend in future and same did happen, NIFTY is now trading in sideways trend.
MY TRADING SETUPThis is the best setup that work best for me
Whenever price rejected from any support or resistance level I enter the trade
This setup work because trader go short and put their stoploss near the support level so because of this she price
Make a move upward for retest the stoploss of short trader hit and they exist which help price to move sharply
Secondary the long trader who are waiting for support are also ready
BE PATIENT AND LEARN FROM UR MISTAKE
BEST OF LUCK