X-indicator
Inox StudyInox script is in one range from long time, at present the script is in good support and strong resistance level, its just for study purpose, invest with your own analysis.
NMDC - Journey Of A StockAlmost all chart patterns visible in this long journey
A brief Idea on how to track n trade a single stock over n over again through out its journey
How support acts as Resistance
How Long term resistance never fails to amuse us
How trade can happen using MTF (Tracking Daily / Playing Hourly)
How to use vmc market cipher b + divergencesSeveral confluences showing on Vmc Cipher indicator with the Gold buy signal dot.
Several divergences, increasing money flow, bottom momentum waves getting smaller,
1.Blue Anker (very low) wave on gold dot
2.Smaller wave Anker (not a good trigger wave/entry point bc $$ flow not close enough to flipping zero line)
3.Smaller Blue wave (trigger wave) money flowing in almost above zero, vwap above zero.
Also pay attention to RSI & stoch RSI for over bought/sold to predict if other indicators have room to run.
I confluenced with macd, shows imminent reversal.
This is a great indicators, it works best if stretched vertically to read RSI better. I added dashed horizontal lines at 30 & 70 with a purple rectangle extended both ways to look like the default RSI
Rounding bottom breakout pattern Learning. Educational purposeThis is a chart of indiamart, here i am sharing to learn some logics of rounding bottom along with reasons, targets and stop loss.
Here price has formed rounding bottom, and now it has given breakout along with good intensity of volume at same breakout candle, with supporting views by rsi above 60 at breakout, along with macd running positive crossover and now above zero line.
if price retest the neckline of rounding bottom and rises again then probabilities of win are increased. here stop loss should be bottom of rounding pattern and targets should be double of total depth of rounding bottom to neckline, so our risk rewards ratio would be at least 1:2
price challenging upper bollinger band
supporting indicators
Disclaimer
I am not sebi registered analyst
My studies are for educational purpose only
Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing
Market Crash after a BULL MARKET? How to predict them?"HISTORY REPEATS ITSELF" is a very powerful mantra for success in STOCK MARKET.
Anyone can mint money in a bull market but THE ONE who protects his/her money before a market crash is the one who makes profits in the long run...
And the fun fact is that market gives enough chances to protect one's capital before the crash.
Here I am with one of the very few patterns which was common in both the major crash of 2008 and 2020 and in a mini crash of 1999.
This SETUP is very simple to read...yet a very powerful one
CONDITIONS TO QUALIFY IN THIS SETUP:
1.EMA 52 Slope should not be one directional upwards (CHECK IN BOTH DAILY AND WEEKLY TIME FRAME)
2.RSI-Sharp dip below 40
3.Triple Top as seen in the 1999/2008/2020 crash.
4.Breaking the bottom of the channel with gap down/low wick red candle.
LOOK AT THE MAGIC (1999 CRASH):
2008 CRASH:
2020 CRASH:
Now This was one such SETUP which was common in 2 MAJOR and 1 MINOR crashes in the data which is available on charts.
MARKETs can fell in many other bearish reversal setups like HEAD AND SHOULDERS as shown in the BEGINNING OF 2015 BEAR MARKET:
Many more reversal setups are there which are visible in most of the mini/major crashes that takes place in the market...I will look forward to share one by one all the possible reversal patterns to avoid confusion in reading and digesting the SETUPs...FOLLOW me to stay updated as soon as I upload them on my channel.
Till then,
HAPPY TRADING :)
TRADE PULLBACKS LIKE A PROAn Uptrending stock gives many opportunities to enter in it.
But...we miss many of them assuming it as a reversal or before we enter the stock moves much higher again and Risk/Reward ratio is unfavourable for our trade.
Here I am with another tried and tested strategy to find whether it's a pullback or trend reversal and the most IMPORTANT...enter before the stock moves much higher.
So let's discuss Step by Step from STOCK SELECTION to ENTRY,STOPLOSS,EXIT.
I will also be discussing about the candlestick patterns and indicators for better accuracy.
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1.STOCK SELECTION:
.Broader market has to be in a uptrend (BULL MARKET)
.The stock should be from an uptrending sector
.The stock has to be in a STAGE 2 uptrending structure to QUALIFY as a stock for pullback.
For detail explanation of STAGES I have linked a post below:
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2.MOMENTUM INDICATORS
.RSI-- It has to be above 50 to increase the accuracy of the trade
.EMA 50--Slope of EMA 50 has to be positive
.MOMENTUM--If it is positive then it's icing on the cake
.ADX--While the stock is falling ADX should also fall to give a shade better trade.
.VOLUME--Should be low when the stock is falling as compared to Going up
Keeping things simple : IF THE STOCK QUALIFIES ALL THE ABOVE CRITERIA OF SELECTION AND INDICATORS THEN IT IS NOT A TREND REVERSAL
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3.CANDLESTICK PATTERNS
.Low body red candles are a very good sign
.Long wick rejection from the bottom
.Very less big body red candle (NOT MORE THAN 2)
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4.ENTRY
The most important part of pullback trading is to enter before the stock moves very high and also not wait for months for it to move.
STEP-1: Mark the candle of previous high as '0' in daily time frame.
STEP-2:Keep counting the candles from 1-20 as shown in the below figure: (MIN 8 has to be there)
STEP-3: Now when the count is completed mark the lowest price of the stock within the pullback range as 'PIVOT'
STEP-4:Now switch the chart to 1hr time frame as shown on the chart of HDFC Ltd.
NOTE: Candle 0's high has to be the high within these candles (MIN 8)...if not then this strategy might not work well.
STEP 5:Draw a stage structure (BASE) and our entry will be the breakout of this range (50%) and pullback to this STAGE (50%)
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5.STOPLOSS AND EXIT
STOPLOSS: The pivot point will be our stoploss
EXIT: After the stock has broken out of the stage EXIT after 20 counts (It sounds theoritical and funny...but it do works most of the time
Look at the EXAMPLE OF RELIANCE with the concepts mentioned above:
You can also see the EXAMPLE OF AIRTEL's previous pullback
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NOTE: Like all other strategies even this strategy is not 100% accurate.
I hope you liked this strategy of pullback trading and it might increase your chances to make profits in the market.If you have any doubts do let me know in the comment section below.
I will be posting a lot more strategies for trading/risk management in this channel ahead.
FOLLOW this channel to stay updated as soon as I upload it.
Till then,
HAPPY TRADING :)
How to enter a stock with institutions!Using multiple confirmations, different timeframes and by applying rules of price action over a chart let's one understand HOW THE PRICE BEHAVES!
Here is an example of buying a stock at the lows (Disclaimer: NOT THE ABSOLUTE LOWS)
Let's start with a Higher TF- Weekly'
The stock is in a formation of a price action pattern called CUP & HANDLE, where CUP is complete and HANDLE is forming and it is the spot where an early entry is possible ahead of a proper breakout.
This early entry becomes possible with following confirmations:
1. Volumes : Since the absolute low has been established the volumes in the stock as grown multi-fold which in itself is an indication that smart money is already into the stock.
2. RSI: After declining into bearish teritory below 40 in March 2020, the stock bounced back into neutral zone between 40-60 and closing above 60 on 31 August 2020. Since then the stock remained in overbought zone and kept on increasing and took a breather making a double bottom at 40(which is also termed as a support level) and making a neckline on 60 which was breached and retested providing adittional confirmation to the setup
3. The HANDLE: During handle formation the stock made a double botton between 870-910 levels which a pettern within a pattern also adding to the confidence.
The DAILY Chart
Now, the stock is confirmed that it is in a directional trend. Samller TF will help us in better entry and exit levels. The same procedure must also be followed in the lower TF because if the trend is distorting it will reflect in smaller TF first. Here,
1. Volumes: Near the neckline the stock has seen low volumes and the price has moved in a narrow range which we can also say an accumulation zone confirmed by a breakout with tremendous volumes.
2. RSI: Since the stock has been accumulating the RSI line rested near 60 zone which is also a support zone.
3. Pattern: As discussed earlier double botton is formed which more vibrant and act as a confirmation on lower TF.
Ross Hook pattern (simple) explanation using Bank Nifty D ChartRoss Hook pattern (simple) explanation using Bank Nifty Daily chart :
We tried to explain Ross Hook pattern in a very simple way here taking Bank Nifty Daily chart as example.
Ross Hook pattern can be termed as an extension/correction/advancement (as per me) to 1-2-3 pattern. The difference which can be noticed is hook kind of formation after point 3 where there can be couple of small candles which are formed to give a confirmation for momentum or price action. These small candle formation are termed as hook in simple terms and any upside (Bull pattern) or downside (Bear pattern) movement from these candle sticks will give good momentum and good risk reward. SL need to placed just below/above these small candles as per Bull/Bear formation respectively. Entry just above the candles/below the candles for Bull/Bear formation respectively and exit can be planned with a risk reward ratio of 1:2,3,4,5.
In the given chart there are 4 Bull patterns (A,C,D,E) AND 1 Bear pattern (B) for your reference. For confluence the entry points need to looked along with RSI/MACD/Bollinger bands etc. Identification of hook is the key in this strategy. Once it is identified then the RR can be very good. Please do a back testing to identify these hooks so to get a good hold of understanding. Also ample time will be there when we notice these hook formation candles to make entries. Please do not get into entries with long candles formation as it might not be hook formation and we should avoid those entry points. SL is the key and it should be smaller, if this is kept in mind then identification of hook formation in candles can be easily identified. Some times point 3 can also be used for SL but we avoid taking that huge risk and want to move out when our analysis is wrong or the trend is in our opposite direction of our thought process with a small SL. Market gives us abundant opportunities and its believed that for every 8 minutes there would be an opportunity for every one to enter. Hence identify only those trends with small SL opportunity for planning an entry.
This strategy works for all time formats and please remember identification of SL (which should be small) is the key (reiterating again) and will lead us to entry and exit points.
Disclaimer : This analysis is only for educational purpose and not be considered as any trading idea/tip. Please consult your financial advisor before you take any trade and we are no way responsible for your profits/losses. Thank you!
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Multiple confirmation for breakout examples...Multiple confirmation for breakout (GBPJPY) :
We want to share a perfect example of breakouts.
There are multiple confirmation of break out on a daily basis for GBPJPY :
• Flag pattern breakout
• Double bottom breakout
• Head and shoulder breakout
• EMA 13 cross over of 50 EMA and recent support of 200 EMA twice
Disclaimer : This analysis is only for educational purpose and not be considered as any trading idea/tip. Please consult your financial advisor before you take any trade and we are no way responsible for your profits/losses. Thank you!
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Triangle Breakout - FII/DII InvestingCanara Bank has a strong PE ratio advantage followed by increasing stake of Institutional Investors in Sept Quarter
It recently broke out of its Traingle Pattern and has shown some upside. I recommend buy on dips and hold for gains in mid to long term.
The P/B Ratio is below 1 and there is less risk involved comparitively as PE ratio is also half of that of peers.
A strong quarterly result can also boost the share price, it might to interesting to see if a pullback from such RSI comes soon.
Note: This is only for Educational Purposes. Please do your due diligence before taking a trade position.
Keep Learning :)
Pullback Strategy - Price Action + IndicatorsRPSG Ventures is an Indian Co in the IT sector
It has witnessed unusually high trading volumes in the recent months in spurts which have been synonymous with 25% upside
In the short term, we can see that the size of red candles almost decreased to a Doji and the share gave signals for a pullback from .628 level with a strong green candle.
The volume during the pullback phase was very dry, showing pretty strong pent up demand.
EMA 21/50 have been good supports during pullback. The level we are looking at also bounced from EMA 21.
RSI is above 50 and not overbought yet. MACD also seems ready for a Bullish Crossover.
It might be interesting to see if the trend is repeated with a strong green candle anytime soon.
The sentiments seem bullish as of now.
Note: This is just for educational purposes and not a trading advice. Please do your Due Diligence before taking any trade position.
Keep Learning :)
Spotting A Crash With RSI and MACD in five stepsFollowing are common things one can spot on weekly chart which happen before fall/crash of 2008 and 2020, similar thing can be found in other indices and on all time frames in chart
1. Price will continue to make higher high RSI or MACD indicators will show trend exhaustion with lower high not breaking previous high
2. Series of Negative divergence is seen on chart, look for 3 or more (RSI is leading indicator will produce more divergences compared to MACD)
3. Look for Head and Shoulders or Rising wedge or double top pattern on chart at top of trend
4. Finally Divergence line is broken out upside signaling final move started, that's exit signal 1.
5. Rsi will break line again downside and MACD crosses below signal line, that's exit signal 2.
DISCLAIMER:There is no guarantee of profits nor exceptions from losses.
Technical analysis provided on the chart is solely the personal views of my research.
You are advised to rely on your own judgments while taking any investing/Trading decisions.
Past performance is not an indicator of future returns. Investment/trading is subject to market risks.
Seek help of your financial advisors before investing/trading.
Not recommended to take FnO positions based on this analysis
Parallel Channel analysis with VWAPIn this article, we analyze NSE:GRASIM using VWAP and parallel channel.
A parallel channel consists of two parallel lines and a middle line which is equal distance from the upper and lower band of the channel. All of these three lines can work as great support and resistance as you can see in the chart.
Along with candlestick patterns I like to use VWAP to make entries for my trades (Intra / positional)
How can we use channel pattern and VWAP for confirming entries
If the price finds support at the lower band of the channel we wait till a candle closes above VWAPto make a long entry, the target can be middle line.
If the price resists at the upper band of the channel we wait till a candle closes below VWAP to make a short entry, the target can be the middle line or the lower band as per price action.
Similarly, we can use the middle line of the channel to make entries.
Now for the analysis of Grasim industries, we will use a similar approach. On daily time frame strong selling can be seen ( Candle with long wick above the small body) if price sustains below VWAP and uses it as resistance and breaks the channel from below we can expect a downward move of up to 2%.
Profit booking and SL as per emotions. (I generally use VWAP as a SL too)
views only for educational purpose
Bullish Intraday Candlestick Patterns for StudyPatterns in Candlestick Charts
Candlestick charts are an excellent way of understanding the investor sentiment and the relationship between demand and supply, bears and bulls, greed and fear, etc. Traders must remember that while an individual candle provides sufficient information, patterns can be determined only by comparing one candle with its preceding and next candles. To benefit from them, it is important that traders understand patterns in candlestick charts.