A 50-day moving average (50 DMA/SMA/EMA)A 50-day moving average (50 DMA) is a technical indicator that shows the average closing price of a security over the last 50 days. It's a popular indicator because it's realistic and effective at showing historical price movement trends.
Concept of 50 Moving Average
1. Entry
- Candle crossover 50 MA: This refers to a situation where the closing price of a candle crosses above the
50-period moving average line. When the candle's closing price moves from below the 50 MA to above it,
it indicates potential upward momentum in the price action. This could signal a bullish trend or a potential
buying opportunity.
2. Exit:
- Distance between 50 MA and Candle: This involves monitoring the distance between the closing price
of the candle and the 50-period moving average. If the distance becomes significantly large, it may indicate
an overextended market and a potential reversal. Traders might consider taking profits or preparing for a reversal
signal.
- Candle crossunder 50 MA: This occurs when the closing price of a candle crosses below the 50-period
moving average line. It suggests potential downward momentum in the price action. This could signal a bearish trend
or a potential selling opportunity.
3. No Trade Zone (Sideways):
- Use Box Breakout Strategy: In a sideways or ranging market where the price moves within a defined range,
a breakout strategy can be employed. A box breakout strategy involves identifying a range-bound market where the
price oscillates between a support and resistance level (forming a box-like pattern). Traders look for breakouts
above the resistance or below the support level to initiate trades. This helps avoid trading during periods of low
volatility and indecision, typical of sideways markets, and instead focuses on capturing potential momentum during
breakout movements.
X-indicator
Index Trading-Follow EMA Crossover strategyI have been following the simple technique of Daily EMA Crossover for my long & short trades-especially for Trading NIFTY& BANK NIFTY
-Choose 15 Min Timeline
-Plot 4EMA viz 10/20/50/100
-Initiate long Trade when 10DEMA decisively crosses above all other DEMA Viz 20/50/100-which is known as Golden cross over
-Similarly initiate short trades while the 10DEMA cuts below all other moving averages viz.20/50/100-Death Cross over
By following the above simple technique we will be able to make good profits as well exit at the optimum levels.
If you go thru the recent NIFTY Chart its quite evident that even when NIFTY was trading at 22400 levels,10DEMA Cross over below other DEMAs on 11th March generated the 1st sell signal.
Decisive 10DEMA Cross over below 20/50/100 DEMA on 13th March,2024 while NIFTY was trading at 22340 levels confirmed the downfall.Had you initiated a sell signal at this signal its an easy 500 Points profits within a span of 5 days-Isnt it a decent profits ?Trade with levels and follow the trend always.If you feel its of use may send a thank note.Happy Trading(ONLY FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ONLY)
#StopLoss : The Safety Net You Need#StopLoss : The Safety Net You Need
Ever danced with volatility?
Without a stop loss, it's like tightrope walking without a net.
Here's why it's a MUST:
✅ Protect Your Fund: Keep that hard-earned Money safe
✅ Sleep Tight: Close your eyes without the market nightmares
✅ Plan Your Exit: Know when to bow out gracefully.
Remember, it's not just about making money; it's about keeping it too.
Like/Share if you also Agree with my Post.
Getting Started with Technical AnalysisInvesting in the stock market can be both exciting and overwhelming. There are so many stocks and strategies are there that make it hard to decide where to invest. That’s where technical analysis comes in. It’s the study of market data to find patterns, trends, and potential opportunities.
To get started with technical analysis, you need to first understand what exactly technical analysis is.
Technical Analysis:
Technical analysis may sound complex, but it’s actually quite easy. In simple terms, it’s a method of assessing stock or any tradeable asset by studying statistics based on market activity, like past prices and volume.
Technical analysts believe that by analysing charts and other indicators, they can identify and predict market trends for any security. Essentially, they study a stock’s trading history to measure its potential for future price changes.
Let’s understand this with an example:
Let’s make a comparison to weather forecasting.
Can we predict the weather for the future? Yes.
Is the weather forecast always 100% accurate? No.
Weather forecasts are applicable over a period of time rather than being precise second by second.
Similarly, just like meteorologists use past weather data and atmospheric patterns to forecast future weather conditions, technical analysts utilize past price and volume data to predict future stock prices.
How You Can Start Technical Analysis of Stocks?
To begin with technical analysis, the first step is selecting a security for analysis. This can include stocks, commodities, currency pairs, or any other tradable financial instrument available on an exchange. Once you have decided on the security, the next step involves studying its price and volume data.
A widely used tool in technical analysis is the price chart. It provides a visual display of a security’s price changes over time. Price charts come in various types, with the candlestick chart being the most popular and commonly used option.
Candlestick charts offer wide information in a single platform. Each candlestick represents a specific time period, like a day or an hour. The body of the candlestick indicates the security’s opening and closing prices within that timeframe, while the wicks or shadows represent the highest and lowest prices recorded during that period.
By studying these candlesticks, traders can identify patterns and trends in the price movements of the stock.
Along with price charts, traders use various technical indicators to analyse securities. These indicators are mathematical calculations derived from the price and volume data of a security. They give signals that confirm trends, identify potential buy or sell signals , and provide additional information to traders.
Some popular and commonly used technical indicators are moving averages , relative strength index (RSI) , and Bollinger Bands , among others. These indicators help traders to judge market conditions, identify potential price reversals or trends, and help to take trading decisions.
Dos and Don’ts to follow when starting Technical Analysis:
Do’s:
A Volume is an important tool for technical analysis. High trading volume suggests a strong trend, while low volume can indicate a lack of buyers and sellers in security.
Traders mostly confirm trends and signals by using multiple indicators. With one or more than one indicators, a trader can become more confident in a potential trade. This approach allows for a thorough analysis of different aspects of the market, increasing the chances of making informed trading decisions.
One of the most important tips to remember is that while technical analysis can assist in identifying potential trades, practising effective risk management is essential.
Risk Management involves implementing stop-loss orders and ensuring that you don’t risk more than a certain percentage of your portfolio on any single trade. With the help of these risk management techniques, you can protect your investments and maintain a disciplined approach to trading.
As the price of stocks is changing every time, you need to stay updated with news and investments that can impact your investment.
Don’ts:
While technical analysis can look complex, it’s important to avoid difficult things. Stick to the fundamental principles and strategies, and you should be on the right track. Sometimes, simplicity is the key to effective analysis and decision-making in the stock market.
While technical analysis is important, it shouldn’t be the only way to evaluate securities. It’s also important to consider fundamental analysis , which involves looking at a company’s financial statements and economic factors. By using both technical and fundamental analysis, investors can get a better overall understanding of the securities they are analysing.
Trading can involve emotional decisions, but it’s important to let no emotions cloud your judgment. Stick to your trading strategy and avoid making impulsive trades driven by fear or greed. By maintaining discipline and adhering to your predetermined plan, you can make more rational and informed trading decisions.
When you’re taking potential trades, it’s important to think about the risk-reward ratio . This means comparing the potential profit with the potential loss.
With a good risk-to-reward ratio, you can make smarter decisions and aim for a good balance between R:R in your trading strategy.
Conclusion:
Technical analysis is a great tool for traders and aspiring investors in the Indian stock market. It helps identify potential opportunities by analysing price and volume data, allowing traders to recognize patterns and trends. However, it’s important to follow certain guidelines when using this approach. With the help of candlestick patterns , indicators, risk management tools, and fundamental analysis traders can achieve their financial goals.
NIFTY 50 profitable trades on 1/3/24Opening: The nifty futures opened almost flat (GAP is the adjustment) and formed a BIG bull bar as the 1st bar indicating a bullish strength which was confirmed as bears weren't able to pullback to the MA even after 20 bars
Mid day and closing: The market behaved like a typical bull trend day closing near it's high
PROFITABLE TRADES:
One good trade which i spotted and took was at around 20 bars after the open whose logic is shown below in the image
1.
HAVE ANY DOUBT RELATED TO THE TRADE ANALYSIS ?
FEEL FREE TO COMMENT DOWN BELOW
Till then,
Happy Trading
Unveiling the Intriguing Intraday Patterns of NIFTY on 29 Feb 241.Opening Range:The market opened flat with first few candles indicating that today might have two sided trading and the market was two sided in a trading range as the opening range suggested
2.Mid Day and Closing:The market consolidated and gave a closing at around the top of the range which is a typical monthly expiry day...
Patterns which were tradable:
Only 1 good trade was seen today as per my analysis which came in the opening hour
1.
The market formed a wedge pattern on the open with the 2nd bar being the first leg down
bars 5,6,7 being second leg down and bar 10 as the start of leg 3 after 2 buy climax bars adding double confirmation...
ANY DOUBTS RELATED TO PATTERN COMMENT BELOW I WILL BE READY TO HELP YOU GUYS!!!
Whether you're a seasoned trader or a curious observer, dissecting these intraday patterns offers valuable insights into market dynamics and potential trading strategies.Would you like to see more posts like this, or do you have any suggestions for changes or improvements? Your feedback is invaluable in shaping our future content! Let us know in the comments below
Happy Trading!!
How to find a BREAKOUT that has a high probability of success?The probability of a breakout getting failed is much higher than it's success rate.(A STOCK AT REST TRIES TO BE AT REST AND THE ONE IN MOTION TRIES TO BE IN MOTION like NEWTON's First Law Of Motion)
But breakout trades are the most rewarding trades in stock market.
So...if there was a method to find out a high probable successful breakout then it would have been a shade better to make money in the stock market.
Here I am with a tried and tested strategy to differentiate a fake breakout and a successful one: FOLLOW the below steps:
1.Choose a stock from an up-trending sector (At present sectors like ENERGY, PSUs, REALTY, FINANCIALS AND AUTO (Just started) are examples of up-trending sectors).
The reason for choosing a sector which is up-trending is that the liquidity is high in those sectors and thus increases the chance of the breakout by one shade.
2.The stock should be above 50 week EMA and above 200 EMA on a daily time frame and RSI should be above 60 (In daily time frame)
This is the reason why HEROMOTOCORP Trade is struggling a lot as it is below EMA 200.
3.The stock should breakout from a consolidation of STAGE 1 structure.
And if the stock is in prior uptrend followed by a consolidation and then a breakout again increases the chances like the recent one in RELAXO FOOTWEARS.
4.If the stock breaks out of multiple patterns like INVERTED HEAD AND SHOULDERS,TRIANGLE,STAGE,PARALLEL CHANNEL,TRENDLINE(The more the number of patterns being broken the better the breakout is) One example of this is TRIVENI ENGINEERING Trade that I shared
5.The breakout should be backed with high volumes (AT LEAST EXCEEDING 20 MA)
6.The closing of the breakout should be strong (NO long wicks)
One more example I have is of INDIAMART Trade that I shared applying most of the concepts discussed above.
NOTE: The above discussed method only increases the probability of a breakout to be successful as no strategy in the market gives 100% successful trades, so managing the risk is as important as the strategy and I will post a tutorial soon for this also.
FOLLOW me to stay updated as soon as I upload it here.
Till then,
HAPPY TRADING :)
How to identify a multibagger stock?Ways to identifty a multibagger and a good stock for positional trade:
The stock should fulfill the following criteria
1.It should be from a booming sector and the broader index should be uptrending
2.The relative strength of the stock to Nifty 50 should be in uptrend
3.RSI should be above 40
4.The stock should be in a stage 2 uptrend structure (breakout with good volumes + consolidation --> breakout with good volumes as shown in the structure of sun pharma)
5.The stock should have low volume consolidation.
Many more examples are there from the realty sector and few from the financial sector and I will be uploading them very soon FOLLOW me to get notified when i upload a new idea
Till then,
Happy Trading :)
Unveiling the Intriguing Intraday Patterns of NIFTY on 28 Feb 241.Opening Range:The market opened flat with first few candles indicating that today might have two sided trading and then after forming a DOUBLE TOP BEAR FLAG as indicated in the below posts of 5 min NIFTY FUTURES chart it broke the opening range and this started a meltdown
2.Mid Day and Closing:The market gave a strong breakout around opening hours and the breakout was very strong to continue it to the close
Patterns which were tradable:
1.
A double confirmation after DOUBLE TOP bear flag and a failed attempt by the bulls to defend the sell off....
2.
In this chart the bears formed a higher high double top with the resistance level of the previous strong sell off...When the trend is clearly down just look for signals to sell not to BUY as the bears will try to shport every rise and the bulls will give up easily...
ANY DOUBTS RELATED TO PATTERN COMMENT BELOW I WILL BE READY TO HELP YOU GUYS!!!
Whether you're a seasoned trader or a curious observer, dissecting these intraday patterns offers valuable insights into market dynamics and potential trading strategies.Would you like to see more posts like this, or do you have any suggestions for changes or improvements? Your feedback is invaluable in shaping our future content! Let us know in the comments below
Happy Trading!!
Unveiling the Intriguing Intraday Patterns of NIFTY on 27 Feb 24Are you ready to delve into the captivating world of intraday trading? On February 27, 2024, the NIFTY 50 index showcased some fascinating patterns that kept traders on the edge of their seats. Here's a quick rundown:
1. Opening Range: The market opened flat with first few candles indicating that today might have 2 sided trading...
2. Mid Day and Closing: The market gave a strong breakout around mid-day and the breakout retested the mid point of opening range and closed at around the upper half of the trading range...
Patterns which were tradable:
1.
Green line shows entry price and targets are around 1:2 RR
2.
Red line shows the entry price with targets of 1:2 RR
ANY DOUBTS RELATED TO PATTERN COMMENT BELOW I WILL BE READY TO HELP YOU GUYS!!!
Whether you're a seasoned trader or a curious observer, dissecting these intraday patterns offers valuable insights into market dynamics and potential trading strategies.Would you like to see more posts like this, or do you have any suggestions for changes or improvements? Your feedback is invaluable in shaping our future content! Let us know in the comments below
Happy Trading!!
COAL INDIA. A Case Study.Hi Everyone! I hope you all are fine.
Today I have brought an interesting Price Action case study of Coal India.
Although the chart is self-explanatory, I will mention some key points.
1 . Always watch Support and Resistance—the basics of Price Action.
2. If the price goes too far away from the moving average(in either direction), be cautious, as sooner it will converge towards the Moving Average. (See MG-1 and MG-2 and the CMP currently.)
3. If the trade opens at a Gap, either down or up, sooner or later, the Price will fill the Gap. (Again, be cautious)
4. If you are confident about a Trade, you can enter it even if you are late. (I entered at the point where the Blue line is shown).
The stock is performing Fundamentally well too, but I have skipped that part for now.
I hope you like it. Happy Investing.
This was for Educational Purposes only.
Simple Combination of Price Action and Oscillator for Breakouts.👉 Introduction
Breakouts are crucial in trading because they offer opportunities for quick gains through momentum. However, trading breakouts can be challenging. Around 80% of breakouts fail due to market inertia—where markets tend to continue their existing behavior. When a range attempts to break a comfort zone, some participants defend their positions, causing temporary failure. But remember the fundamental nature: a range will eventually convert into a trend, and a trend will eventually revert to a range.
The Problem:- How Does A Breakout Fail?
If you know how a breakout fails then there may be some chance that you can avoid trading those setups.
🗯Let's look at the first chart of BECTORFOOD on a daily time frame, A two-month-long ascending triangle range has been formed With a horizontal resistance of 1250.
1. There are good reasons to trade the breakout.
a. An ascending triangle is an inherently bullish pattern.
b. The resistance is strong and very good to trade its breakout.
c. Volume was high before the breakout candle a good confirmation.
Still the breakout field why?
2.Volume Action Factor
👉Let's look at an hourly time frame, On 7th of February Price opened slightly gap up on good volume but the candle was not able to sustain the high, and then the price attempted to break the resistance again at the closing of the session but again bears pushed price down with high volume.
👉The next day Price went above resistance On dry volume and then the sell-off started.
3. Oscillator confirmation Factor
👉Oscillators work well in the range bound market it shows the upper and lower range movement.
👉If you look at the chart the price was making a new high but the RSI was forming a bearish divergence (marked by a red dashed line ), and it hit the overbought zone before the breakout.
👉The stochastic was also in the upper zone before the breakout indicating a peak of price movement.
4. Broader Market Factor.
👉Let's compare the movement with the broader market direction, On the 7th of February the NIFT50 index started to sell off there was pressure building from all-time high resistance.
👉So the BECTORFOOD also followed that move and fell more than the index.
One More Example:-
👉DHANI SERVICES chart, A clear resistance zone formed at 44.70 but if you see on the chart the oscillators got overbought On daily and hourly timeframes.
👉The volume action on the hourly timeframe also not good because when the price approached the resistance bearish volume increased and then the price went into consolidation and stochastic stayed in the higher zone and RSI started to decline from the overbought zone potential signal for weakness
The Solution
👉IBREALEST Hourly chart, Volume spiked before the breakout a good sign and the RSI and stochastics are approaching the overbought zone but they had not become overbought before the breakout, when the breakout occurred the volume was supporting and even on the small range candle the volume is equal to its previous candle.
Finally The Breakout Succeded.
👉By keeping these small and simple factors in mind while planning your trades you can minimize the wrong entries and also use price filtering methods like taking a trade on only closing basis of a particular candle above the resistance zone, And applying it with the concept of interpretation of chart pattern according to market phase idea published earlier
Thanks For Reading so far, I hope this idea added Some value.
Please like and comment.
Keep Learning,
Happy Trading.
Only one indicator is enough to trade.Yes. ! Super trend.
If we know how and where to use this indicator, you are sure about getting very good trade.
It ensures
1. Low risk
2. High returns and at times real big trend
So how to use it?
1. Prefer larger time frame to avoid noise. I use weekly.
2. Once super trend is green wait for pullback towards super-trend.
3. When supertrend acts as support/resistance and price reverses from nr super trend make entry. (I would wait for break of earlier week high nr super trend)
4. SL is close below super trend. (weekly close for weekly chart)
5. Try to exit far from super-trend to book profit. (Target around 15% possible on weekly)
Opposite is true for shorting in down trend....!
All these charts are from Nifty50 stocks
Note: I am re-publishing this post as earlier post was on Nestleindia which got split and chart is not getting updated.
Next Week Market Strategy | SIDEWAYS TO UPWARD DirectionNext Week Market Strategy | SIDEWAYS TO UPWARD Direction:
-> Black TrendLine is the Seller Zone and Blue TrendLine is Buyer Zone.
-? You can do Scalping from these points.
A big Opportunity will come after the breakout of BLUE/BLACK Trendlines.
Request: Do not Trade without Setup, because Your Money is hard hard-earned money do not waste this.
ICICIPRULI - Hindsight AnalysisA Higher High Higher Low structure on price action is considered as an uptrend.
- In the weekly chart, identify the first break of Higher High after a Lower High.
- Wait for Higher High retest and enter somewhere close to it.
- Cannot expect a stock to test the exact same value.
- Set SL as previous HL or in cases where there are other lows close by, choose the lowest one.
- Calculate the possible loss assuming the stock hits SL
- If you are OK with the calculated loss, enter.
- Trail the SL at every new Higher Low.
- Wait for breakdown of a Higher Low OR Target.
Prestige Estates: Hindsight AnalysisNote that not all trades would result in huge profits
As per the setup, wait for candle close (since this analysis is on a weekly candle, it's Friday after 3:15PM)
A Higher High Higher Low structure on price action is considered as an uptrend.
- In the weekly chart, identify the first break of Higher High.
- Wait for Higher High retest and enter somewhere close to it.
- Cannot expect a stock to test the exact same value.
- Set SL as previous HL or in cases where there are other lows close by, choose the lowest one.
- Calculate the possible loss assuming the stock hits SL
- If you are OK with the calculated loss, enter.
- Trail the SL at every new Higher Low.
- Wait for breakdown of a Higher Low OR Target
NMDC: Hindsight Analysis: Loss TradeA good example of a trade where we followed the rules but still hit the StopLoss.
That's why "don't put all your eggs in one basket".
NOTE: There can be other ways of entering an exiting. However, the idea of sharing the instructions is to understand that it should be possible to trade with fixed set of rules. Some trades make huge gains, some don't move much and fewer make losses as well.
Not a "Holy Grail Technique"
A Higher High Higher Low structure on price action is considered as an uptrend.
- In the weekly chart, identify the first break of Higher High.
- Wait for Higher High retest and enter somewhere close to it.
- Cannot expect a stock to test the exact same value.
- Set SL as previous HL or in cases where there are other lows close by, choose the lowest one.
- Calculate the possible loss assuming the stock hits SL
- If you are OK with the calculated loss, enter.
- Trail the SL at every new Higher Low.
- Wait for breakdown of a Higher Low OR Target
The Jan to Dec of Technical Analysis - 1 strategy per month1. January - The Value at Play
Before we start discussing the different technical chart patterns, we need to have some clarity on how buying and selling happens on stocks and options. Every trade has a buyer or seller. That means at a specific point in time, for a specific price there are 2 conflicting thoughts
Someone who thinks the price is too cheap
Someone who thinks the price is damn expensive
The guy who thinks the stock/option is cheap is ready to buy and the guy who thinks it is expensive and it is a good time to sell.
Just think, how is it that two people can have conflicting mindsets about the same instrument at the same time? I am 100% sure that both of them cannot be right, one of them is making a wrong decision. Over time - 5 minutes, 50 minutes, 5 hours, 50 hours, 5 days, 50 days, or 500 days - whatever the period be, that particular instrument will tick away from the quoted price - either move up or move down.
This leads to the important question - what is the fair value? If you have an internal price gauging mechanism - you can quickly calculate if the price quoted is below or above the fair value. Wow, that looks exciting - can you give me the shortcut to calculate the fair price?
Unfortunately, there is no holy grail that does it for you, over time you need to develop that tool or spreadsheet. Have you heard the saying, “Veterans are good stock pickers” - It is mainly because of their experience in the markets. They have developed the intuition to guess the fair value when they see the ticker tape without relying on a spreadsheet or calculator.
The first rule is “Never buy anything at a premium and never sell anything at a discount”. This rule does not guarantee that you will not lose money - but it is a filter that weeds out poor decision-making. The question arises - how do I calculate the fair price of a stock or options strike?
A good place to start would be to start reading “The Little Book of Valuation: How to Value a Company, Pick a Stock and Profit (Little Books. Big Profits) by Aswath Damodaran” - you can even finish the book in 2 straight hours. It gives some insights into valuation techniques.
Most valuation methods available in the markets are part of “Fundamental Analysis”, you might ask me - “What does that have to do with Technical Analysis?”. My answer is everything. Technical Analysis is the process of guessing the future price by looking at the historical data. But what the stock/option has to do with the price today is mostly due to fundamental reasons. A mix of fundamental + technical study is much better than pure fundamental or pure technical analysis.
These days lot of people have turned to options trading as a side gig to make some extra money. Someone would have told them, that it is easy to make money in options trading. The biggest mistake they make would be to short-sell a strike too cheap and buy a strike too pricey. Option premiums do not move in a linear pattern and are totally different from the valuation techniques used to gauge the underlying. If you are able to calculate the fair value of a particular strike with some level of accuracy - then you can avoid selling it cheap and buying it pricey. More often than not, not taking a trade would be the best trade there is. If something is way above your price level, choose not to buy. If way below, choose not to sell. Have faith that a better opportunity will come and gather the courage to skip the trade.
There are 2 option types - CALLS and PUTS. The option strikes above the current trading price are called CALLS and the strikes below the price are called PUTS. The premiums of these far-away strikes are not that easy to calculate or guess, mainly because the prices are derived by a few factors like price movements, time, level of uncertainty & the interest rates in the markets.
This makes options trading like a double-edged sword. You get it right - it will reward you more than you can imagine. You get it wrong - it will take away what you have and more. I think hard guessing the fair value of a particular strike of a stock or index is 10 times more complicated than assessing the intrinsic value of that index/stock. This means if you took 15mts to find out the fair value of say “PQR” stock, you might take 150+ minutes to assess the price of a strike say 2600 CE when PQR is trading at 2500. The challenge here is that, once you calculate the fair price - the goal post would have shifted. A change in time will affect the strike prices as “time” is a variable that contributes to its value - so it is a moving target.
Now tell me, what would you call someone when they say “Options trading is easy”, “You can make 100000 in 1 month with just Rs1000 capital”, “100% guaranteed success in options trading…” etc.
The next thing to know is the difference between trading and investing. Both are tools intended to make money but the main difference is the “time” component. Investing is usually done with no particular “time” value in mind whereas trading is done for a specific “time period”. That is why you hear people say, I have bought “XYZ” stock for the long term - Even if it appreciates in price say 10% in 10 days, the investor may not sell it. Partly because they do not want to miss out on further gains after selling.
On the other hand, trading is done with a specific time frame in mind. The trader is only worried about the prices during that window. What happens after that is none of this botheration. The fear of missing out seldom affects the trader because they know their next opportunity will come if they keep looking.
Time has more relevance & weightage than you can possibly imagine. In fact, price is relative to time and it is not the other way around. You can physically measure this concept in options trading wherein strikes go to zero value on the expiry date. The major index options have weekly expiry and the stock options have monthly expiry. So a particular strike will go from “X” value to “0” value in a week. Also important to note that during this lifecycle the strike could swing between X to 4X to 100X to 0.5X to 0.2X and end at 0 after the expiry. The prices of a strike are much more volatile than their underlying - this is the main reason options trading is a double-edged sword.
Generally, people do not respect time. Most of them respect money more than time. The decisions they make are usually to save money even if it means to waste time. If you are into stock markets - that should change. Even though your purpose is to make money - you should give the due credit to the “time factor”. Let me explain with an example. A trader buys 100 qty of ABC at 1500 intending to sell it at 1600 once the results are out. If on the results day the prices drop to 1400 - that trader will say “Let me not book the loss, I will hold it for some more time for the prices to recover”. In this particular instance, the trader is not ready to book the loss but hoping that his money will recover. Most long-term investors are traders who forget to close their trades.
A trader has to have a 180-degree opposite mindset of an investor because we are playing with limited resources. If your money is blocked on a particular trade for a period longer than your calculation - then it is 100% true that you will not be able to take another trade when there is an opportunity. No trader in the world has unlimited resources and unlimited leverage but all of them have got the exact same amount of time per day. If you know how to manage the time - the money will find a way.
This comes to the final segment of this chapter - “Value at Play”. It means the amount of money adjusted for the time factor to the reward it brings in. You might be familiar with the word “Value at Risk” (VaR). Value at Play is something similar but not measured in the same way.
.... to be continued...
Trading Gyan 👑👑🤑💸💸💸💸💸
Technical trading is a broader style that is not necessarily limited to trading. Generally, a technician uses historical patterns of trading data to predict what might happen to stocks in the future. This is the same method practiced by economists and meteorologists: looking to the past for insight into the future.
NOTE
#We Are Not Promote Anything
#This channel Purpose to share market ideas.
Thanks for Watching🙏
Use of fibonacci tool for intraday tradingHello. As an option trader learner today I learnt fibonacci is a great tool for intraday trading and for those who feel difficulties to drawing perfect support and resistance. Fibonacci is the tool which you can use as a support resistance level. No need to use any indicator.
Use these levels + trend lines if needed and with price action we can trade easily :)
What you need to become a successful trader?here we have discussed what are the important things that you will need to become a successful trader.
1. Techinical Analysis Skill: Understanding the chart behaviour;
Price
Volume
Support and resistance
Trendlines
2. Risk Capability
How much money you can afford to lose on a single order, and on a single day.
3. Peace of Mind
Are you having a thought that might disturb your trade making decision. You must
have a calm and peaceful mind for being a successful trader.
4. Trade Managment
Trade management is the skill that gives you the power to make intelligent
decisions based on the analysis of which point is the best point to enter and
exit from the trade.